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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

Decoding the Truth About Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

Proving once again that investing in fixed-yield bonds when the foul, filthy Federal Reserve is creating so much money (so that their governments can deficit-spend it!) is a stupid, stupid, stupid idea because inflation will result, Agora Financial's 5-Minute Forecast newsletter reports that "Already since October, the rate on the 10-year has jumped from 2.4% to 3.6% - a 50% increase." Yikes!

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Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

Weather Distorts Initial Jobless Claims / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims fell 36,000 to 383,000 during the week ended February 5.  A large part of the nation experienced severely inclement weather during this week, which suggests that the initial jobless claims numbers of the past week did not capture the entire count.  Next week's report should give a better read on initial jobless claims.  Continuing claims, which lag initial jobless claims by one week, dropped 47,000 to 3.888 million after a decline of 74,000 the prior week. 

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Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

Inflation - Advanced Economies vs. Emerging Economies / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England (BOE) and The European Central Bank (ECB) have chosen to stand pat after their recent policy meetings.  However, inflation readings in the UK and the Euro area are problematic, particularly in the UK.  President Trichet of the ECB, last week, presented a less concerned stance about inflation compared with his comments in prior weeks.  Inflation in the Euro area (2.2%) is slightly higher than the target rate of 2.0%. 

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Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

Escaping the Great Depression and Extending the Greater Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Casey_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoug Casey,  The Casey Report writes: Here at Casey Research, our view of the Great Depression of the 1930s is a little different from that of most people. In our eyes, Franklin Roosevelt wasn't a hero, he was a villain. Nearly everything he did served to extend and deepen the economic downturn.

With the exception of supporting the 21st Amendment for the repeal of Prohibition, Roosevelt's involvement in the economy was an unmitigated disaster. But in popular memory, that failure is obscured by U.S. success in WW2, over which Roosevelt presided.

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Economics

Thursday, February 10, 2011

U.S. 9% Unemployment Rate is a Statistical Lie / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Submissions

Greg Hunter writes: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the latest unemployment figures last Friday.  There was a stunning drop to 9% from 9.4%.  How did that happen?  Is the economy really getting better or is the government up to its old statistical tricks.  According to the mainstream media, the economy is getting better and the so-called recovery is alive and well.  

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Economics

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

G7 Banana Republics ON the Money Printing Inflation Road to ZIMBABWE! / Economics / Inflation

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe global financial cataclysm is mushrooming with every stroke of the keyboard at a central bank, with the issuance of new debt to cover old debt, and with the illusion of creating money out of thin air.  It is all debt, nothing else, with no final settlement…. EVER.  You exchange the money you work for and save and buy a government bond; they print the money to pay you back and PRETEND you have been paid.  The situation is just as Von Mises outlined:

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Economics

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

How to Beat the Looming Inflation Tsunami / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Inflation is coming our way. Make no mistake about it.

This insidious increase in the general level of prices is currently rattling around in the world's emerging markets - causing China and Brazil to put up interest rates and India to try and suppress it with price controls. It's beginning to appear in Britain, which had a similar crash to the United States, but where the currency has been somewhat weaker.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Phony Official Inflation Statistics Produced by Dirty Rotten Scoundrels / Economics / Inflation

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe purpose of this paper is to draw particular attention to the recent disparity in crude oil prices – namely the difference between two benchmarks - West Texas Intermediate [WTI] and Brent [North Sea] Crude.  Historically the price of WTI trades at a premium to lesser quality Brent North Sea Crude.  This paper lays out the case that the extreme, existing, observable price discrepancies is likely the result of engineered and arbitrary market manipulations – to be discussed below. Such arbitrary price manipulations in the oil markets impact negatively on the oil exporting economies and show favor to oil importing economies.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Bullish Small Business Optimism Index and Opposing Views from the Fed / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe NFIB survey results of small businesses for January 2011 point to an improved outlook.  The composite index moved up to 94.1 in January from 92.6 in the prior month.  The level of the composite index is close to the pre-recession reading of 94.4 in November 2007 (see Chart 1). 

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Economics

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

China, Inflation and Gold, China created paper money and paper money then created Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRalph T. Foster in his invaluable book, Fiat Paper Money, The History and Evolution of Our Currency, writes that paper money made its first appearance in Szechwan, a remote province of China early in the 11th century.

Because of a shortage of copper coins, provincial officials had begun circulating iron coins; but the difference in value and weight between the two metals caused unexpected problems.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Changing Perception of the U.S. Economy Food for Thought / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 2-year Treasury note is trading around 0.78% today, from a low of 0.54% on January 28. The 10-year Treasury note yield has moved up to 3.67% from 3.36% in the same period (see Chart 1). The bond market essentially signals the U.S. economy is turning around and is most likely to establish sustained growth in 2011. A part of the bullish sentiment commenced after Bernanke's speech in the last week of August 2010 when the Fed signaled that a second round of support was on its way.

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Economics

Monday, February 07, 2011

China a Trade Growth Machine Investors Ignore at their Own Risk / Economics / China Economy

By: Justin_John

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are very few macro points in the world that needs to be understood and analysed more than the story of the dragon and its kids. Infact for a generation to come, we may be telling the story of the great dragon which breathed fire and consumed the eagle in the sky. What happens to the dragon after that is the plot where almost everyone has a different ending.

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Economics

Monday, February 07, 2011

Subjective Value and Market Prices / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the most subtle aspects of modern economic theory is the relation between subjective value and objective money prices. This is an area where the Austrians have an advantage over other schools, because they care more about their forebears than most other economists, and because Austrians were instrumental in the development of subjective-value theory.

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Economics

Sunday, February 06, 2011

China Economy in the Year of the Rabbit / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: John_Derrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHappy New Year 4708!

According to the Chinese calendar it’s the Year of the Rabbit. The leading Asian brokerage firm CLSA reports the Rabbit will “wrest the reins from the decidedly unpleasant and erratic Tiger that’s been tossing and turning the markets over the past 12 months.” We all could appreciate a respite from extreme volatility.

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Economics

Sunday, February 06, 2011

If Friday's U.S. Employment Data Confused You... / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article... this story via AP should help 'clear' it up.  There remains a lot of confusion even by economists who follow this stuff for a living.  Essentially the larger story is traditional businesses are not hiring at pace so large swathes of America are either (a) dropping out of the workforce or (b) becoming self employed.  Hence the new workers in category b respond affirmatively when the household survey calls and asks "are you working?".  Even if working means selling some of those old Beanie Babies on their new fangled Ebay store. 

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Economics

Saturday, February 05, 2011

The Burden of Lower Economic Growth and Frequent Recessions / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"My best guess is that we'll have a continued recovery, but it won't feel terrific. Even though technically we'll be in recovery and the economy will be growing, unemployment will still be high for a while and that means that a lot of people will be under financial stress." -- Benjamin Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve in a Q&A at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

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Economics

Saturday, February 05, 2011

U.S. January Employment Report Suggests Continutation of Fed Easy Monetary Policy Stance / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe January employment report includes special factors, so the format of today's commentary is different from the procedure we follow for each month's employment report.  The comment starts with a discussion of the special factors, followed by a conclusion, and ends with an analysis of customary details. 

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Economics

Saturday, February 05, 2011

U.S. Labor Force and Unemployment Statistical BS / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI had no idea what to expect in today's jobs report. ADP projected 187,000 jobs but has been wildly off numbers reported by the BLS. Economists expected +146,000 jobs. The actual establishment survey report shows +36,000.

I knew huge revisions and methodology changes were coming this month would make gaming the report a crap-shoot. However, the amazing thing in the jobs report was not the number of jobs, but the statistical sleight-of-hand in the unemployment rate.

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Economics

Friday, February 04, 2011

The Cause and Evidence of Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a heated debate on the February 1st episode of CNBC's "The Kudlow Report", financial commentator Donald Luskin offered his "textbook" definition of inflation as "an overall rise in the general price level." I countered with the "dictionary" definition. My 1988 edition of Webster's Dictionary defines inflation as follows: "An increase in the volume of money and credit relative to available goods, resulting in a substantial and continuing rise in the general price level." [Emphasis added.] These differences are not academic and go a long way toward explaining why economists argue so vociferously.

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Economics

Friday, February 04, 2011

The Euro Debt Crisis and Economic Theory / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Kel_Kelly

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThroughout the last year, European debt problems have been cited as a threat to both the euro and to the American economy, among other entities. While many correct assertions have been made concerning the potential impact of a European debt implosion, there have also been many ill-conceived ones. It is often faulty economic theory that leads to faulty conclusions. This article revisits economic theory — from a free-market perspective — as it relates to the current European monetary challenges.

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