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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Claims: How Bad are the "Real" Numbers? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs noted in Continuing Claims Soar by 159,000 to New Record the record continuing claims number is dramatically understated by over 2.5 million. Charts of what is really happening are shown below but first let's recap the data as reported by the Department of Labor.

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

United States Heading For National Socialism Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was common on the left to intimate that George W. Bush was like Hitler, a remark that would drive the National Review crowd through the roof but which I didn't find entirely outrageous. Bush's main method of governance was to stir up fear of foreign enemies and instigate a kind of nationalist hysteria about the need for waging war and giving up liberty through security.

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Economics

Thursday, July 09, 2009

34 Million Americans Now on Food Stamps / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Earlier today, in Continuing Claims Soar by 159,000 to New Record; Initial Jobless Claims Skewed By Autos I noted The peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment has not. Moreover, reported continuing claims hit 6.883 million, setting a new all time record.

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Economics

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Iceland's Banking Crisis: The Meltdown of an Interventionist Financial System / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Philipp Bagus and David Howden: [Editor note: If you are interested in helping to fund the writing, publication, and distribution of a longer version of this article, with more technical detail and analytics, please write the development department.]

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

When Economic Stimulus Does Not Stimulate / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShawn Ritenour writes: A majority of Americans now give President Obama's handling of the economy a negative rating and many economists and city officials are concerned that Obama's gargantuan stimulus effort has not given the expected quick boost to the economy. Some argue this is because funds have been slow in coming due to bureaucratic red tape meant to ensure that the money spent will not be wasted.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Unemployment, Not the Stock Market, Distinguishes a Recession From a Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleClaus Vogt writes: What are the most important and enduring characteristics of the Great Depression? And what should we monitor to determine how severe today’s situation really is?

The stock market will give important clues. But the economy, especially unemployment, defines depressions.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Battle Lines Form Over "Son of Economic Stimulus" / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough very little of the stimulus money approved by Congress has actually been spent, many are making the case for throwing still more money at the problem.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

HyperInflation or Deflation? / Economics / Inflation

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt present, the investment community is divided as to whether the world economy faces hyperinflation or deflation.  Some observers are convinced that the central banks’ printing press will take the world towards hyperinflation whereas others believe that the ongoing contraction in American private-sector debt will result in outright deflation.  So, what will the future bring?

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Economics

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

The Passing of Billy Mays Will Boost My Personal Saving Rate / Economics / US Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

This is meant as no disrespect to the family of Billy Mays. Rather, it is intended as utmost admiration of the man. My house and garage are full of the products - almost two of each product - that Billy Mays advertised on basic cable television. He was one of the best salespersons I have ever seen. I would purchase almost anything Billy Mays was selling.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

U.S. State Budget Gaps and Investment Implications / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleState budgets are a shambles. Sales taxes, corporate taxes, personal income taxes and other taxes are being raised all over the country.  The budget problems and consequential taxes will impact municipal bond rates and default risk, and after-tax investment returns on many forms of investment.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Credit Expansion, Crisis, and the Myth of the Saving Glut / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge Reisman writes: Readers who are already familiar with the nature of credit expansion and the concepts of standard money and fiduciary media should skip the first section. Readers who are also already familiar with the role of credit expansion and fiduciary media in generating the stock market and real estate bubbles should skip the second section as well and proceed directly to the third section "Evasion of Responsibility for the Bubbles."

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Economics

Monday, July 06, 2009

Inflation or Deflation, Make Sure You Get This One Right / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are those who sweat over every decision, worrying about how it will affect their lives and investments. Then there is the school of thought that we should focus on the big decisions. I am of the latter school.

85% of investment returns are a result of asset class allocations and only 15% come from actually picking investment within the asset class. Getting the big picture right is critical. In this week's Outside the Box we look at a very well written essay about the biggest of all question in front of us today. Do we face deflation or inflation?

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Economics

Monday, July 06, 2009

Yes, We're Still in a Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Paul_J_Nolte

In the words of Maxwell Smart…missed it by that much! The jobs report came in much worse than expected and forced investors to review their “green shoots” thesis and pushing down stocks by 200 points in the process. One of the more interesting points about the jobs data is in the past seven recession since WWII, this one has shown the greatest percentage loss of jobs and unless it bottoms right now, will be the longest decline in jobs, beating the ’73-’74 recession.

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Economics

Monday, July 06, 2009

No Amount of Economic Stimulus Will Work / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomist Paul Krugman is back at it, whining for more stimulus. If you can stomach it, please consider What didn’t the vice president know?

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Economics

Monday, July 06, 2009

Is Inflation a Fact… Or Just an Opinion, Part2? / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday I outlined the basic arguments for why inflation is believed to have hit the market or will be soon. In a nutshell, inflationists look at the Fed’s money printing as shown by the US Monetary Base and claim that inflation must be just around the corner.

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Economics

Monday, July 06, 2009

Day of Reckoning for California and Ultimately for All of America / Economics / US Debt

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: This is a day of reckoning for California and, ultimately, for all of America.

Will our nation’s largest debtors meet their massive financial obligations? Or will many ultimately default?

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Economics

Sunday, July 05, 2009

Is the Fed Predicting Economic Stagnation for the US? / Economics / US Economy

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor sometime now I have been pointing out that things would be bad, not because I prefer gloom to joy but because the Fed's disgraceful monetary shenanigans over the years made the current situation inevitable. In the meantime, the profoundly ignorant Obama and his statist cronies are making things far worse. And what do we get from the Fed? Well, allow me to refer you to Janet Yellen, President of the San Francisco Fed, who opined that the US can look forward a very slow recovery marked by high unemployment.

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Economics

Saturday, July 04, 2009

Current Recession Is a Severe Credit Bust of Depression-Era Magnitude / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Whitney

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's a big difference between inventory-driven recessions and credit-driven recessions. An inventory recession is caused by a mismatch between supply and demand. It's the result of overcapacity and under-utilization which can only work itself out over time as inventories are pared back and demand builds. Credit-driven recessions are a different story altogether. They typically last twice as long as and can precipitate financial crises. The current recession is a severe credit bust of Depression-era magnitude.

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Economics

Friday, July 03, 2009

Inflationary Crack-up Boom has Commenced in the G7 Economies! / Economics / Inflation

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.  The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved. --Ludwig von Mises

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Economics

Friday, July 03, 2009

A Message for Armchair Economists / Economics / Economic Theory

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBetsy Hansen writes: At some point in our intellectual development, we libertarians are naturally drawn to study economics. I think this stems from the fact that we love to explore the forces which drive our world. Economics is, in a broad sense, the study of human cooperation. A solid understanding of economics enables us to see how and why our world looks and behaves as it does.

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