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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, January 16, 2009

Saving & Spending and the Credit Crisis Solutions / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article(with no apologies whatsoever to John Maynard Keynes)

"Saving the savers is not the priority...This is surely the time to encourage people to spend, spend, spend..." - Editorial in the Financial Times , Tues 6 Jan.

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Economics

Friday, January 16, 2009

Downward Economic Spiral Driving Consumption Down / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon't Forget the Economics - Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Apple Inc. Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs, who said this month that he is being treated for a nutritional ailment, will take a medical leave of absence through the end of June. The shares fell 10 percent.

Although I wish the best for Steve Jobs, I care very little about this whole Apple story. The reason I bring it up is due wholly to CNBC. They've covered this story, along with the Madoff, for a large portion of the day.

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Economics

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Global Economic Demand Collapse, Bonds Next / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnyone following the economic news in recent months has to be stunned at the declining economic activity. Japan had a 16% drop in machine orders for November. US car sales down 30 to 40%. Even world car leader Toyota has sales down 20 to 30%. Worldwide car sales are way down too, anywhere from 10 to 20% depending on which area.

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Economics

Thursday, January 15, 2009

UK Retail Sales Crash, No Vadera Green Shoots Visible / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite the hype of deep discounting, the retail sales figures released today by major high street retailers shows sales slumping by between 7.5% and 10% which clearly demonstrates that the long experienced shoppers to a large degree did not get caught up with sales frenzy of previous years and refused to fall for the sales gimmicks where actual real discounting was few and far between. This coupled with the economy falling of the edge of a cliff despite green shoots ramblings by Labour's Shriti Vadera, sets a bleak scene for retailers for the whole of 2009 as my earlier analysis pointed out that the 30% crash in sterling will lead to higher restocking costs, whilst at the same time consumers increasingly expect discounting and therefore put off purchasing for the closing down sales.

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Economics

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Economic Depression is Inevitable / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Brian_Bloom

The simple analysis below demonstrates that – based on current behaviour of the Central Banks and monetary authorities – Economic Depression is inevitable.

In the article which can be accessed via the attached link, (http://www.hoisingtonmgt.com/pdf/HIM2008Q4NP.pdf ) Hoisington states that “nominal GDP …. is equal to the stock of money multiplied by its turnover, or velocity.”

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Economics

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Last Nail in the Coffin for the U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: The government has just released one of the most shocking federal budget reports of all time.

Even if you overlook the gaping holes in their economic assumptions, it's obvious the federal deficit is going to deliver a punch below the belt of the economy.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Obama Deficit Spending the Anti-Reagan / Volcker Revolution / Economics / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith over 2.5 million jobs lost in 2008 and G.D.P. estimates for Q4 projected to fall at a minus 6% annual rate, all hopes are now pinned on an Obama stimulus program that could exceed $1 trillion. Are investors hopes well-grounded in believing a government going further into debt can bring about a sustained economic recovery? I think not, and here's why:

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Economics

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Stimulating The U.S. Economy All the Way to Rock Bottom / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith attention turning to the next big economic stimulus package, questions are still swirling about our economic troubles. How did we get here? How do we get out? As usual, Washington has all the wrong answers. According to many politicians, we got here by not spending enough, not consuming enough, and not regulating enough.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Credit Crisis Bailouts Debt Fueled Money Printing Flood / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: How much is $1.186 trillion — or $1,186,000,000,000, written out the long way?

• It's more than the inflation-adjusted cost of the Vietnam ($698 billion) and Korean Wars ($454 billion).

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Economics

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Bernanke Banking System, Economy In Much Worse Shape Than Previously Admitted / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt the Stamp Lecture, London School of Economics, London, England, Bernanke Urges ‘Strong Measures' to Stabilize Banks
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke warned that a fiscal stimulus won't be enough to spur an economic recovery and that the government may need to buy or guarantee banks' tainted assets to revive growth.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

The Availability of Money / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Econgineers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow does it matter if money is cheap nowadays, if nobody has access to it?
Money is simply not available.
Banks have stopped lending to individuals and corporations.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

U.S. Consumer Booms Inevitable Bust / Economics / US Economy

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Nation Named Desire - Classic film buffs will be familiar with the 1951 film – A Streetcar Named Desire – which starred Marlon Brando and Vivian Leigh. My favorite scene in the film involves Blanche DuBois (Vivian Leigh) and Stanley Kowalski (Marlon Brando).

Blanche DuBois is a fallen woman – her family fortune and estate are gone. In an absolutely classic line, Blanche says to Stanley Kowalski - “I have always depended on the kindness of strangers”.

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Economics

Monday, January 12, 2009

Global Recession 2009, Investors What to Do Now / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomically, 2009 has been handed some horrible numbers: It inherited the steepest contraction in manufacturing activity since 1980.

The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) factory index tumbled from 36.2 in November to just 32.4 in December, the lowest level since June of 1980. The all-time low for this data series, which began in 1948, was 29.4 in May 1980.

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Economics

Monday, January 12, 2009

Emerging Giants Russia, China, Brazil and India Looming Collapse 2009 / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI hope you've had a great start to your New Year! At the same time, however, I trust you are not counting on the latest holiday rally in the stock market — or the most recent incarnation of the Obama rescue package — to transform 2009 into a positive year for the economy.

The reasons: In addition to the massive wealth destruction I told you about two weeks ago and the continuing debt collapse I've been warning you about for many months now, the overseas engines of global growth are also collapsing.

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Economics

Monday, January 12, 2009

Growth of Global Money Supply / Economics / Money Supply

By: Mike_Hewitt

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis essay analyzes the growth of the money supply for 73 selected currencies from 90 countries. Nineteen of these countries belong to two monetary unions - the European Union and the East Caribbean Union. 1 Together, these countries make up 96.7% of the world's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and 84.1% of the world's population . 2

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Economics

Monday, January 12, 2009

Credit Crisis Solutions That Should Scare The Hell Out Of You / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThings are looking pretty bleak. There is bad news in housing, the stock market, commercial real estate, jobs, and wages . Unfortunately, no matter how bad things are, someone always comes along to propose a "solution" that is guaranteed to make the situation much worse. Please consider the following ideas.

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Economics

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Antole Kaletsky's Economic Crisis Solution to Tax the Savers into Spending / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDangerous Times - Be careful what you read when Antole Kaletsky is writing. Welcome to the Weekly Report. I have been reading the mainstream media of late to get a feel for the level of understanding writers (and therefore the vast majority of their readers) have for the new economic situation that faces the global economy.

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Economics

Sunday, January 11, 2009

The Cycle of Economic Deflation During 2009 / Economics / Deflation

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg: Nouriel Roubini - worst is still ahead of US
“The global financial system in 2008 experienced its worst crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Major financial institutions went bust. Others were bought up on the cheap or survived only after major bailouts. Global stock markets fell by more than 50% from their 2007 peaks. Interest-rate spreads spiked. A severe liquidity and credit crunch appeared. Many emerging-market economies on the verge of a crisis had to ask for help from the International Monetary Fund.

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Economics

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Obama Ups U.S. Job Creation Program to 4 Million / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile increasing his jobs creation forecast to 4 million jobs, Obama Calls for Sacrifice, Scaling Back Campaign Promises .
President-elect Barack Obama said turning around the U.S. economy will require cutting back on some campaign promises and personal sacrifice from Americans.

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Economics

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Economic Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleForecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and the Stimulus Effect
  • Muddle Through on Hold
  • Lies, Damned Lies, and Government Unemployment Numbers
  • Central Bankers of the World, Unite!
  • Predictions 2009

Where are we headed in 2009? We will explore that in detail over the next few issues of Thoughts from the Frontline, but today we will start with some of the larger forces which will have a major impact on the economies of the world, and I will end with my usual attempt to forecast the various markets. We will look at deflation, deleveraging, the fallout from the stimulus plans (note plural), housing, consumer spending, unemployment, and a lot more. There is a lot to cover. But first two quick announcements.

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