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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Deflation Inflates Global Bond Bubble / Economics / Bond Bubble

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAsha Bangalore (Northern Trust): US Q3 real GDP remains unchanged
“The final estimate of third quarter GDP was unchanged at a 0.5% drop. The minor revisions show consumer spending and non-residential investment slightly weaker than the preliminary report, government spending was marginally stronger, and residential investment expenditures fell less rapidly.

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Economics

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Global Economic Structural Changes – A Quantitative approach / Economics / Global Economy

By: Econgineers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProposed Study - Global Economy Many structural changes in the global economy are due to the rise of emerging markets. In this study we will discuss structural changes in economies, debate and propose a quantitative approach to identify possible trading opportunities.

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Economics

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Credit Crisis 2008 Ends as Economic Crisis of 2009 Begins / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors spent the holiday-shortened Christmas week in an un-merry mood, digesting more gloomy economic data and taking stock of a tumultuous 2008.

With the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Index down by 35.8% and 40.6% respectively for the year to date, many investors would be anxious to wave the old year goodbye. But changing the calendar digits from '08 to '09 will regrettably not make an iota's difference to the perilous nature of the investment environment facing investors as we usher in the New Year.

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Economics

Saturday, December 27, 2008

Unemployment Prevention- Companies Implementing Unpaid Vacations and Four Day Weeks / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Jason Simpkins writes: The U.S. unemployment rate, currently at a level of 6.5%, could rise to 8% next year . But it could also find a ceiling sooner than expected, as more companies implement unpaid vacations and four-day workweeks to preserve jobs.

The U.S. recession may just now be entering full swing, but storm clouds have been gathering for more than a year and many companies have already trimmed payrolls. Now, the goal for many companies is to prepare for an economic rebound by finding ways to keep the their skilled productive labor intact.

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Economics

Saturday, December 27, 2008

Asian Economic Crisis of 2009 / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAsia Economic Crisis: Spotlight on Japan, China, Korea, Vietnam. Decoupling, an idea that never made any sense, is talking another beating. Bad news is coming from multiple places in Asia, with Japan and China leading the way. Let's take a look starting with Japan's Recession Deepens as Factory Output Plummets .

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Economics

Friday, December 26, 2008

US Economic Output vs Money Supply / Economics / Money Supply

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether prices rise or fall depends on what is happening with a nation's economic output and money supply. If one is growing/shrinking proportionally faster than the other, you get inflation/deflation. For example, if the money supply is growing faster than economic output (what happens during normal economic times), you get inflation.

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Economics

Friday, December 26, 2008

U.S. Recession 2009 Depth Analysis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: What Shape Will the U.S. Recession Take: U, W or ‘Bloody L?’ Right now, the conventional wisdom seems to be that the United States is looking at a "U-shaped" recession and recovery. Output declined gently in the third quarter, is dropping sharply now and will continue dropping sharply in the first and possibly the second quarter of the New Year, finally bottoming out and beginning a slow recovery thereafter.

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Economics

Friday, December 26, 2008

Fiscal Insanity Virus Strikes Canada, Sweden, Italy, IMF / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe world health organization has confirmed new cases of the extremely contagious Fiscal Insanity Virus (FIV) that is rapidly spreading the globe. Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty is one of the latest victims as evidenced by the headline Flaherty gives banks deadline to lend more .

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Economics

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Higher Wages or Bubblenomics: What's it gonna be? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWages, wages, wages. It all gets down to wages.

A strong economy must be built on a solid foundation of steadily rising wages. If wages don't keep pace with production, the only way the economy can grow is through the expansion of debt, which leads to disaster.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

U.S. Economy GDP Contracts by 0.5% in Third Quarter / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Mike Caggeso writes: The U.S. economy shrank 0.5% in the third quarter, marking the slowing pace since 2001 and continuing a still deepening recession that has wrung the markets since last year.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Inflation Deflation Switch Turns Entire Investment World Upside Down for 2009 / Economics / Investing 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: The Fed, the Treasury and all major governments on the planet are throwing the kitchen sink at this debt crisis.

But their efforts are being overwhelmed by a monumental sea change — the shift from rising prices to falling prices, from booming asset values to crashing asset values, from wealth creation to wealth destruction , from inflation to deflation.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Deflation Depression II as $10 Trillion Wealth Destroyed / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHave you done your Christmas shopping yet? Research shows that more of us are putting it off in expectations of better prices. In other words deflationary expectations! The prices I have seen while out shopping the past few weeks are simply amazing. I have to admit to have made a few purchases for some items that I was not planning to buy just yet because prices were off by 60% or more. A few days ago a friend came in sporting a new black cashmere sweater top with jeweled embroidery and quite fancy. She said she got it at Saks. But the real story is that when she walked into Saks looking for a present for her kids they handed her a coupon with a 30% off any one item from whatever price it was already marked down. That top? At one point it was almost $500. She bought it for $75.

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Economics

Monday, December 22, 2008

Federal Reserve and Central Banking Responsible for Inflationary Booms and Busts / Economics / Global Financial System

By: Rob_Kirby

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether Or Not We Like It - In the past, I've written papers where the following quotation was included at the end of the treatise as an “exclamation point”: “We shall have World Government, whether or not we like it. The only question is whether World Government will be achieved by conquest or consent.”James Paul Warburg , whose family co-founded the Federal Reserve - while speaking before the United States Senate, February 17, 1950

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Economics

Monday, December 22, 2008

Great Depression 2009 Follows $30 Trillion Deflation / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Kurt_Kasun

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNot Your Grandfather's Depression - It will be much worse, in many respects.

The chart below, borrowed from Dr. Marc Faber's Market Commentary December 1, 2008, is devastating. The chart shows a stunning loss of $30 trillion stock market wealth around the world. By some estimates, combined losses in commodities, stocks, bonds, real estate are greater than $60 trillion. This is beyond rescue.

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Economics

Monday, December 22, 2008

U.S. Economy Sinking in an Ocean of Newly Created Money / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt one time or another we have all heard it said that "you cannot get there from here". Much the same can be said of the current state of the US economy. Every prominent economic pundit is focusing on falling demand as the economy's nemesis. Nouriel Roubini points out that "85 percent of aggregate demand -- consumption and fixed investment -- is now in free fall". It's even worse than that because final demand as it is calculated does not include inter-business spending (spending between the stages of production). If this were taken into account the picture would change from grim to downright scary. That Treasury bills have been trading at negative rates is evidence enough of the markets fearful state.

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Economics

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Governments Powerless in the face of Price Deflation and Debt Collapse / Economics / Deflation

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with a quick update and big picture overview.

Deflation is now striking with unprecedented power and speed: Last week, OPEC announced its biggest production cut in history … and STILL oil prices collapsed, extending their largest decline of all time.

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Economics

Friday, December 19, 2008

Inflationary Consequences of Fed Policy of Monetary Panic / Economics / Money Supply

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMeasurement is perhaps second greatest problem in establishing satisfactory economic policies for a nation. That matters because those economic policies influence the value of the nation's money on foreign exchange markets. In the case of the U.S. dollar, that $Gold has risen in value by more than 150% in the past ten years is unquestionably a failing grade for U.S. economic policy makers. Inflation measurement may be part of that inadequacy as it was used as a rationale for easy money.

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Economics

Thursday, December 18, 2008

UK Inflation CPI Slumps to 4.1% Whilst RPI Crashes to 3% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK inflation as measured by the CPI continued its sharp fall following Octobers slump from 5.2% to 4.5% by falling in November by 0.4% to 4.1%. This follows hard on the heels of the Bank of England's continuing panic interest rate cuts that saw another 1% sliced off of the UK base rate at Decembers MPC meeting to 2% as the UK remains on target to experience a recession just as bad as that of the early 1980's. Meanwhile the RPI inflation measure crashed by 1.2%, falling from 4.2% to 3% as increasingly the RPI measure heads for true deflation during 2009 i.e. negative inflation.

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Economics

Thursday, December 18, 2008

UK Unemployment Breaks above 2 million During December / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK unemployment crept up by 39,000 for September to 1.864 million, and remains on target to break above 2 million on release of data for December 2008. The unemployment claimant count surged in November by nearly 10% to 1.056 million, up 86,000 on the month and confirming that the pace of unemployment is fast accelerating which compares against Octobers rise of 25,000 and September's rise of just 20,000.

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Economics

Thursday, December 18, 2008

UK Real Retail Sales Deflation Continues as Woolworths Goes Bust / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest retail sales data released by the ONS shows UK retail sales showing a surprise rose of 0.4 for November and up 1.7% on a year earlier, however a deeper analysis of the data reveals that the data for October was revised lower on the retail sales indices from 140 down to 139.7, and therefore the index of 140.1 for November is just 0.1 higher on the original data rather than that which the mainstream press is running with as positive sign as the below graph illustrates.

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