Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
OECD Joins the UK Double Dip Recession Forecast Club / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Over the past 2 weeks many 'recognised' forecasting organisations have been issuing reports and releases that point to Britain targeting a double dip recession to be triggered by deep public sector spending cuts following the next election. The latest of which to join the club is the OECD which stated that Britain remained in deep recession and that the recovery is likely to be slow and be accompanied by rising unemployment.
Monday, June 29, 2009
Apples and Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
Last week on CNBC’s “The Kudlow Report” there was a thrilling debate over inflation between Alan Blinder and Arthur Laffer. Mr. Laffer (former member of Reagan’s Economic Policy Advisory Board) encapsulated his position that we need to fear the return of inflation by simply stating that “…if you have a huge increase the supply of apples, the price of apples falls.” While Mr. Blinder (former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) responded by stating, “If people suddenly want to hoard apples and the apple suppliers provide a lot of apples, you’re not going to have inflation of apple prices.”
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Monday, June 29, 2009
U.S. Jump in Savings Rates Means Debt Deflation in America / Economics / Deflation
By: Global_Research
Michael Hudson writes: Happy-face media reporting of economic news is providing the usual upbeat spin on Friday’s debt-deflation statistics. The Commerce Department’s National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) for May show that U.S. “savings” are now absorbing 6.9 percent of income.
Monday, June 29, 2009
Public Sector Pensions Deficit of £1.2 trillion Adds to Britains Debt Crisis / Economics / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream press is widely reporting that the public sector pensions deficit has now grown to £1.2 trillion, standing at 85% of GDP which is more than triple that of the United States as stated in a report by the British-North American Committee :
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Ben Bernanke on the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Clif_Droke
A major result of last year’s credit storm is a lingering sense of dread and foreboding among investors. Many are waiting for the proverbial “other shoe to drop” as the memories of last year’s crisis, and its attendant economic effects, are still fresh in mind.
Sunday, June 28, 2009
The Coming Economic Apocalypse / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Roy_F_Grieder
Astonishing to me is the fact that no one seems to understand the ultimate result of the current policies and practices of Washington D.C. and the Federal Reserve Bank, the Fed. I have studied our economic situation for about 3 hours per day for the last 8 months and conclude we are bankrupt. Think about the facts.
Sunday, June 28, 2009
The Possibility of Credit Collapse Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: LewRockwell
David Calderwood writes: Recently there's been a spate of articles about the inflation/deflation debate.
According to the dominant view, the inflation the U.S. has experienced these past 75-plus years will inevitably continue and very likely accelerate as the managers running the Fed and U.S. Treasury attempt to deal with a monstrous overhanging debt bubble by cheapening the dollars with which repayment is made.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
The Inflation Deflation Debate and Myth of the Kondratieff Wave / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Do you want to lose money? Invest in terms of the Kondratieff wave.
Do you want to misunderstand completely the relationship between economic production and prices? Adopt the Kondratieff wave as your tool of explanation.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Embrace Deflation - It's The Cure, Not The Problem / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Concern over Japanese deflation is increasing. Please consider Japan Succumbs to Deflation as Consumer Prices Fall Record 1.1%.
Saturday, June 27, 2009
Why the "Green Shoots" of Economic Recovery will Not Happen Anytime Soon / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Kevin_Geary
There is much talk about "green shoots" of recovery in the economy. They are more like weeds growing through the cracks in the concrete, as far as I can see.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
The End of the Recession? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
The End of the Recession?
The New Normal Is Still In Our Future
The Hidden Problem Within Unemployment Data
Was Income Really Up?
Last week we began a series on data abuse, about how various commentators twist and torture data to make it say what they want, or fail to look at the details underneath the headlines. Predictably, there is a lot of fodder this week as we forge ahead into this ripe territory.
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Friday, June 26, 2009
Double Whammy For U.S. Businesses and Consumers / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
Misguided government policies have already dealt vicious body blows to our economy, but that hasn't stopped politicians this week from launching two new kicks to the groin: a national health insurance plan and a carbon emissions regulation system called “cap and trade.” Even if these plans could achieve their desired ends, which is highly unlikely, I would have hoped Washington would refrain from throwing more monkey wrenches into the economy until it shows some signs of resurgence. The last thing we need right now is to further encumber our economy with higher taxes and additional regulations.
Friday, June 26, 2009
US Economy Spending & Income: Two Charts / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Adrian_Ash
"Everyone says higher saving rates are needed. Just not yet – please...?"
"STOCKS SEESAW as savings rate jumps," said the AP on Friday, amending its earlier "Stocks decline" headline to try and fit the moves to the news, rather than the other way round.
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Friday, June 26, 2009
US Savings Rate Hits 6.9%, Highest In 15 Years / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Personal incomes are rising reflecting tax cuts and consumer spending is up as well, notably car sales. However, consumers are still struggling to fix their personal balance sheets, currently overloaded in debt.
Friday, June 26, 2009
World Bank Forecasts Long Recession for Russia / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
The recession in Russia will run deeper and longer than it appeared even a few months ago, the World Bank concluded in a report released Wednesday, underscoring the impression that Russia has been one of the countries hit hardest in the downturn.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Epidemic of Bankruptcies Symptomatic of the Deflating Bubble / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MISES
Doug French writes: There is an epidemic of bankruptcies: Circuit City, Sharper Image, Goody's, Gottschalk's, Comp USA, Levitz Furniture, Chrysler, GM. Not to mention all the local businesses that don't make the news when they close up shop. And the rash of corporate bustouts is far from over according to consulting firm Bain & Company, who predicts nearly 100 large ($100 million or more in assets) corporate bankruptcies by next year.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Decade of Lost Jobs, Worst Since the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Mike_Shedlock
Before taking a look at the worst 10-year job growth record since the Great Depression, let's take a look at the unexpected rise in weekly unemployment claims.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
U.S. Federal Budget, Where Do The Dollars Drain? / Economics / US Debt
By: Global_Research
Emily Spence writes: In order to raise sales and personal royalty gains, Alan Greenspan, just prior to the release of his book The Age of Turbulence, carried out a public relations blitz dragged out for a whole week in which he made remarks similar to those conveyed in his hardback. These included statements such as “I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.”
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Not Green Shoots of Economic Recovery, Just Falling Leaves / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Browne
While corporate earnings fell by some 38 percent in the first quarter, a dismal performance by just about anyone's reckoning, Wall Street took heart that the results were not as bad as the consensus estimates had predicted. Straws were frantically grasped. Buoyed by the resulting talk of “green shoots” and the hope of a relatively quick economic recovery, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged nearly 40% from its lows.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Inflation or Hyperinflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Axel_Merk
Inflation is dead – long live inflation! We hear about the threat of hyperinflation in the media – is this for real, can it happen in the U.S.? Are we hyping up the word inflation, is it an inflationary play of words to grab attention to discuss the threat of hyperinflation? Let’s deflate the hype and put inflation where it belongs… at the forefront of your concerns.