Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 02, 2009
Is the World Finally Ready to Accept the Deflationary Scenario? / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival Guide now . Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Washington Replacing Wall Street as the City that Drives America? / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes: Washington replacing New York – and more specifically, Wall Street – as the city that drives America?
The question, raised in a new Reuters piece , is certainly a good one – and a fair one. As the United States suffers through perhaps its worst financial crisis ever – a crisis caused by the combination of rampant greed and some ill-conceived financial engineering – Wall Street's reputation has been badly tarnished, perhaps forever.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Obama's Ignorance of Economic History Could Wreck U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Gerard_Jackson
In a recent talk he gave at the London School of Economics Bernanke basically laid out the thinking behind his monetary strategy with the statement: "Put out the fire first and then think about the fire code." This is code for flood the US economy with dollars and then worry about the inflationary consequences for the country. No wonder he saw nothing wrong with letting the monetary base explode by 107 per cent (from just under one trillion dollars to nearly three trillion dollars) from 8 August last year to 9 January. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
So, Who's Going to Bail Out the Consumer? / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Joseph_Toronto
Since the consumer is now and forever the great engine of all economic activity and growth representing approximately 70% of GDP, doesn't it make sense to re-liquify the balance sheets of the consumers/taxpayers who are arguably in worse shape than any bank, corporation or local/state government? Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
The Paradox of Savings and Spending Competing with Socialism 2009 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as pressure from my “day job” precludes me from doing my customary commentary. However, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is provided. (For more discussion about economies and financial markets, also see my post “ Video-o-rama: Global economy - banked into submission “.) Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
U.S. Unemployment Government Statistics Hiding the Dismal Truth / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Don Miller writes: The dismal U.S. unemployment numbers have gotten more airtime recently than Jerry Springer.
And why not?
The numbers are mind-numbing.
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Saturday, January 31, 2009
Yikes! We're caught in a liquidity trap. What the Heck is That? / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Joseph_Toronto
Since the Fed increased the monetary base by, oh, about a Trillion dollars, why aren't we having massive hyperinflation?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Peter Schiff, WSJ and Countries Must Un-peg Before They Decouple / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Chris_Galakoutis
The Wall Street Journal ran a piece today titled: “Right Forecast by Schiff, Wrong Plan?”
Peter Schiff is the president of the Darien, Connecticut broker-dealer firm, Euro Pacific Capital Inc., which specializes in investments in foreign dividend paying stocks. He has come under some criticism recently concerning the performance in 2008 of foreign stocks tied to his investment strategies – namely, that the U.S dollar would weaken significantly and that foreign economies and stocks would outperform those in the U.S.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Gold Outlook: Currency Debasement Risks Inflation Spiraling Out of Control / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold rose by just over 1% yesterday to over $900/oz as renewed risk aversion saw stock and bond markets come under pressure. Gold subsequently traded sideways in Asia prior to another strong rally at 0800 GMT when gold surged from $901/oz to $926/oz in the hour. It has since given up some of those gains but remains above $920/oz. Demand remains very high internationally for etf's, gold certificates and bullion coins and bars.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
California Economy Near Collapse / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
MSNBC: California 's fiscal future lurched yet another step toward oblivion on Friday as state Controller John Chiang announced he could no longer make payments for services to disabled and blind people who need the money to pay for rent and food .Chiang said payments would most likely have to be stopped by Feb. 1. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
U.S. Economy in Deepening Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
Does any Know Where the Economy is Going? - The U.S. economy has been in a recession for more than a year now. The current administration is now debating an additional stimulus package to help turn the economy around. Lead by followers of John Maynard Keynes, the father of deficit spending, the U.S. government is bent on spending its way out of the recession. Do these programs have a chance to help the economy recover and start a new long-term economic expansion? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Fiat Currency Seigniorage ("The Inflation Tax") / Economics / Money Supply
By: Mike_Hewitt
Before becoming Governor of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke co-authored several text books familiar to college students studying economics. In one of these text books, Macroeconomics , the question of whether government budget deficits can lead to ongoing increases in the money supply is both asked and answered. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
U.S. Heading for Japan Style Two Decade Economic Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: James_Quinn
Every day seems worse than the previous day. Five hundred thousand people are getting laid off every month. Our banking system is on life support. Retailers are going bankrupt in record numbers. The stock market keeps descending. Home prices continue to plummet. Home foreclosures keep mounting. Consumer confidence is at record lows. You would like to close your eyes and make it go away. Not only is the news not going away, it is going to get worse and last longer than most people can comprehend. The Great Depression lasted 11 years, but the more pertinent comparison is Japan from 1990 until today. A two decade long downturn has a high likelihood of occurring in the United States. There are many similarities between the U.S. and Japan, but in many areas the U.S. has a much dire situation. If the next decade resembles the Japanese experience, there will be significant angst and social unrest.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Gold and Silver Lifeboats for Sinking Titanic U.S. Economy / Economics / Gold & Silver 2009
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
A lifetime is not long. It is long enough, however, to lead one to believe that life is far different than it really is.
My uncle, Bobby Schoon, grew up during the Great Depression. Born in the 1920s, the 1930s were to be far different than the previous decade. My uncle came of age when the US led the world into an economic abyss where human desperation and misery were to become commonplace, an abyss that is now about to be revisited.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
U.S. Recession Hits Asian Economies Hard / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: President Obama and the Democrat-controlled Congress are on a multi-trillion dollar spending spree to keep our economy from slowing even further.
Whether all that spending will revive our economy is yet to be seen. However, one thing is very clear —
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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Euro-zone Recession: Light at the End of the Tunnel? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Victoria_Marklew
Today's Ifo and last week's Belgian leading indicator offer the tantalizing hope that the economic downturn across the Euro-zone is starting to bottom out - but one month is not enough to call a trend, and the ‘zone in general, and Germany in particular, are still likely in for a rough first quarter of 2009. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Deteriorating World Economy Leading to Currency Instability and Strong Gold / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Christopher_Laird
The fast deteriorating world economy is putting pressure on currencies. Fast rising unemployment is going to cause social strife, and gold is reacting accordingly.
World unemployment rising fast
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Tuesday, January 27, 2009
UK Banking Sector and Housing Market Reverting to Below the Mean / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: MoneyWeek
Banks have money - they just don't want to give it to most people - The job losses are stacking up across the world. According to The Times , about 70,000 jobs went globally yesterday. Most of the cuts were in the US - construction equipment maker Caterpillar is cutting 20,000 jobs, while mobile phone operator Sprint Nextel is cutting 8,000 posts. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Protectionism and the Global Banking System Technical Insolvency / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: John_Mauldin
This week I bring you two different articles as an offering for Outside the Box. As a way to introduce the first, let me give you the quote from Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg about the rising threat of global trade protectionism:
"The Financial Times weighs in on the rising threat of global trade protectionism in today's Lex Column on page 14 ("Economic Patriotism"). The FT points out that the stimulus packages of many countries include "buy local" provisions. At home, there is a proposed inclusion of a 'Buy American' provision in the economic recovery package and this could set off trade retaliation from importers of US goods. Here is what the FT had to say, 'It was trade protectionism that made the 1930s Depression "Great". Congress would do well to understand that it is in everyone's interest to keep trade open today.'"
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Monday, January 26, 2009
Some Good Amid the Gloom for Investors and the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Frank_Holmes
When it comes to the global economy, there's a huge surplus of bad news and there's a good chance that more is coming. Positive indicators are in short supply, but there's a good chance that more of these are coming, too. I would like to share some of the more optimistic signs and trends that we are seeing to offset a little of the negativity, just as people look for that first robin or tulip bud as proof that the gloom of winter will not last forever. Read full article... Read full article...