Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 03, 2009
U.S. Jobs Contract 15th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Soars to 8.5% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the March Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline sharply in March (-663,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 8.1 to 8.5 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Since the recession began in December 2007, 5.1 million jobs have been lost, with almost two-thirds (3.3 million) of the decrease occurring in the last 5 months. In March, job losses were large and widespread across the major industry sectors. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
The Inflationary Depression, Peter Schiff Interviews Marc Faber / Economics / Inflation
By: LewRockwell
Dr. Marc Faber runs his own business, Marc Faber Limited, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager. He publishes a widely read monthly investment newsletters The Gloom Boom & Doom report which highlights unusual investment opportunities, and is the author of several books including Tomorrow's Gold – Asia's Age of Discovery which was first published in 2002 and highlights future investment opportunities around the world. Dr. Faber is also a regular contributor to several leading financial publications around the world. A book on Dr. Faber, Riding The Millennial Storm , by Nick Vittachi, was published in 1998. In late February, Euro Pacific President Peter Schiff interviewed the eminent economist Marc Faber by telephone from his office in Hong Kong. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
Economic Decoupling Set to Increase Amongst G20 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: John_Browne
This week, the leaders and finance ministers of the 20 most economically important nations, or G-20, will convene in London to develop coordinated policies that they hope will prevent a worldwide depression. The leaders will also consider greater transnational regulatory oversight of the financial industry and the future of the U.S. dollar as the world's 'reserve' currency. By any reckoning, this meeting will be the most important international economic conference since Bretton Woods in 1944, or the Great Powers economic meeting in Rome in 1922.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
Economic Stimulus Recipe for Cooking up Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation
By: Michael_Pento
Actually, We're not Saving Yet - There seems to be much confusion lately about the consumer's increased savings rate and if this is a good or bad condition for the health of the U.S. economy. While many Austrian economists are lauding our new found predilection to save, the Administration is obsessing over forcing banks to increase lending and compelling consumers to step up their borrowing.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
OPEC Must Also Bear The Pain of the Great Depression II / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Dr. Raju M. Mathew writes: Age of Booms - OPEC had enjoyed all the pleasures of the boom for a very long time and that made them to become the richest bloc of the world as oil price jumped to more than $100 and to some extent to $ 147 from a reasonable price of $ 40 per barrel. As a result, their unspent oil reserve funds exceeded in terms of several trillions, far ahead of the entire wealth of over 70% of the developing countries of the world.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 30, 2009
The Marginal Productivity of Debt, Why Obama's Stimulus Package Is Doomed to Failure / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Professor_Emeritus
Paper mill on the Potomac - The paper mill on the Potomac is furiously spewing up new money. According to the manager of the mill, as indeed according to the Quantity Theory of Money, this should stop prices from falling and the economy from contracting. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 30, 2009
Three Processes to Restore Sustainable U.S. Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Submissions
Thomas Auchincloss writes: Recent media and financial market attention has been highly concentrated and responsive to the latest initiatives of Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner. While such attention is warranted, the latest activities of the Fed and Treasury are addressing just one aspect of the bundle of ills that befall the economy and that there are actually three processes that need to complete to a sufficient, if not ideal, degree to restore an attractive basis for long term U.S. economic growth. They are: righting the financial system, systemic de-leveraging and re-balancing the global trade and currency systems.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Credit Crisis Easing and Signs of Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
CEP News: US Treasury unveils PIPP “The US Treasury announced Monday morning it will spend up to $1.0 trillion in a bid to provide support to the balance sheets of financial institutions and support the ‘toxic debt' market, which includes mostly mortgage-backed securities.
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Sunday, March 29, 2009
Forecasting Economic Armageddon / Economics / Financial Crash
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Is what we are experiencing with the economy the beginning of the ‘Economic Armageddon' that Stephen Roach forecast for the U.S. in November 2004? This is what he said (and I paraphrase):
America's record trade deficit means the dollar will keep falling, interest rates will rise further and U.S. consumers, in debt up to their eyeballs, will get pounded with no better than a 10% chance of avoiding economic Armageddon .
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Saturday, March 28, 2009
George Soros Forecasts Housing Crash and Price Inflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: George Soros recently made two predictions. First, commercial real estate will decline by 30% in the United States. "It is inevitable, it is written, everybody knows it, there are already some transactions which reflect and anticipate it, so we know, they will drop at least 30 percent." Second, when banks finally begin to lend, the swollen monetary base will lead to serious price inflation. He called this "an explosion of inflation." Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2009
U.S. Depression Level Unemployment Rates / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
A total of seven states have passed the 10% unemployment rate as the Jobless Slump Spreads . The number of U.S. states with a jobless rate exceeding 10 percent almost doubled in February as the worst employment slump in the postwar era spread.
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Friday, March 27, 2009
Global Economic Crisis Emerging Fault Lines / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
For a few fleeting, horrifying moments this past week the fault lines that underlie the global economic crisis erupted into plain view. With deft and quick effort leaders in Washington, Europe and Asia papered over the fissures and fears largely subsided. But the shock of plain truths which resulted in violent currency movements are the latest reminder that the 21st century economic order will bear little resemblance to the world we now know.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2009
The Inescapable Inflationary Realities of Quantitative Easing and Economic Stimulus / Economics / Inflation
By: Ty_Andros
$14 million, million, or stated another way $14 trillion. The annual GDP of the US is approximately $14 trillion or $46,666 for every man, woman and child in the US - either way you view it, this is the INCONCEIVABLE amount that has been spent, printed or guaranteed since January 2007 in the US; it does not include the government machinations in other G7 countries. And what have you and your family received from that $46,666 per person? MOSTLY nothing and you will get mostly nothing from the next $46,000 and the next $46,000; ut you will get one thing from it: the bill.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
United States Economy, U.S. Dollar and the China Factor / Economics / US Economy
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A crisis of global confidence in the US Dollar is upon us. Foreigners have begun to lose respect for USGovt approach to problem solving, for US bank administration, and for US Dollar custodial management. Foreigner creditors have suffered deep losses from fraudulent bond export, continue to sit atop mountains of US$-based debt securities, and watch current events in horror. The heap of moldy paper includes both USTreasury Bonds and USAgency Mortgage Bonds. Foreigner creditors see the US Dollar valuation propped up by liquidation forces rather than US Economic strength. Foreigner creditors see the USTBond yields forced down by liquidation forces rather than USGovt debt integrity. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
U.S. Recession, China to the Rescue? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
On Friday March 13, 2009, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao urged the U.S. to guarantee its “good credit”, expressing concern about the safety of his country's huge holdings of U.S. government debt. China is the largest holder of U.S. debt. It is estimated that 70 percent of the country's almost $2,000 billion foreign exchange reserves are believed to be in U.S. dollar assets. In addition, Chinese officials believe the country will be able to grow their GDP by eight percent in 2009. Mr. Wen has acknowledged that this may require additional stimulus to bolster the economy. Will China be able to rescue the world's economies and cover the U.S.'s growing deficit? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Economic Stimulus Packages — The Hidden Threats / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Submissions
Dr. Raju M. Mathew writes: Following the American lead, lunched by President Barrack Obama, almost all governments, including China, India, Kuwait, the UAE and several other countries have either introduced or are on the process of introducing economic or financial stimulus packages to make an early recovery from the global economic crisis, that they prefer to call ‘Recession’. But they are forced to admit that it is more severe than the Great Depression of 1929. Then, of course, it must be the Great Depression II of 2009, lasting several years to recover. A series of global summits to deal with the crisis are under way. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Dear Chancellor: Inflationary Facts / Economics / Inflation
By: Adrian_Ash
A draft of this week's open letter – from Bank of England governor Mervyn King to UK chancellor Alistair Darling – which BullionVault found blowing down Threadneedle Street early Tuesday...Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Eggertsson Theory, Armstrong, Timing and the Economic Confidence Model / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Mick_Phoenix
Who's that knocking on the door? Who's that ringing the Bell?
It's time for another visit by your friendly Collection Agency to offer timely advice and to remind you of his previous excellent record. You should all know by now that the Collection Agency doesn't pull any punches and has ensured that subscribers have been well ahead of developments in the global macro economy.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Japan's Economy Caught In Deflationary Downward Spiral; Exports Plunge, Prices To Follow / Economics / Japan Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Recessions have taken their toll on Asia exporters. Inquiring minds are reading Japan Exports Drop Record 49% as Global Slump Deepens . Japan's exports plunged a record 49.4 percent in February as deepening recessions in the U.S. and Europe sapped demand for the country's cars and electronics.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Save the Big Banks, Trash the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Timothy Geithner's plan to save the big banks will be a success. This success will come at a cost. The plan will hurt taxpayers, and it will lead to severe price inflation. It will not revive the faltering economy in 2009. It will not restore the housing market. Family wealth will continue to decline. Read full article... Read full article...