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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, July 23, 2012

Euro-zone Economic Crisis Black Swan or Hidden Lion? / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"In the economic sphere an act, a habit, an institution, a law produces not only one effect, but a series of effects. Of these effects, the first alone is immediate; it appears simultaneously with its cause; it is seen. The other effects emerge only subsequently; they are not seen; we are fortunate if we foresee them.

"There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen.

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Economics

Friday, July 20, 2012

The Spanish Inquisition 2012 / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur daughter studied in Spain, and our whole family fell in love with the country when we visited. Ever since, we’ve cheered for La Furia Roja, the wonderful national soccer team. Unfortunately, Spain is dealing with a much less pleasant Furia at the moment.

As the crisis in peripheral Europe spreads from smaller countries to larger ones, the consequences grow commensurately. Spain’s economy is about five times larger than Greece’s, and its commercial and financial linkages are proportionately deeper. While Spain has many of the same structural challenges that other countries have, its plight has been deepened by a property market crash that rivals the one in the U.S.

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Economics

Friday, July 20, 2012

The Quantum of Quantitative Easing Inflation is Coming! / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe City of London is Imploding as a consequence of ever escalating shockwave's mostly emanating from across the Atlantic as the United States goes into overdrive in attempts to wipe-out competition from London in terms of profiting from global financial market transactions.

First we saw the US dig out and focus on 4 year old LIBOR manipulation stories centred around the cesspit that goes by the name of Barclays Bank that looks set to devastate all of UK's biggest banks, with the UK tax payer ultimately footing the bailout bill. I have covered this story at length that illustrate that everyone knew about LIBOR manipulation but now pretend that they only found out relatively recently - more here - RBS Chaos and Barclays Libor Cesspit Prompts Slow Motion Run on British Banks

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Economics

Thursday, July 19, 2012

There is a Hole in the U.S. Economy, Economic Growth Could be Slashed By 71% / Economics / US Economy

By: Dan_Amerman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverything from the ability to pay for Social Security, to projected federal deficits, to retirement planning and stock market valuations is based upon assumptions that the United States and other nations will emerge from crisis and return to "normal" long-term growth rates. 

What happens if we don't return to those growth rates?

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Economics

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

The International Monetary Fund - World Economic Outlook / Economics / Global Economy

By: Ian_R_Campbell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the International Monetary Fund issued both its 'World Economic Update' and its 'Global Financial Stability Report'. If you read the short Executive Summaries at the beginning of each, you effectively will have read them. That will take you less than 2 minutes in total, and you ought to take the time to do it - see links following this commentary.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

United States Dependance Day / Economics / Government Spending

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fourth of July week brought unwelcome birthday gifts to the United States in the form of poor domestic jobs data and similarly gloomy information from other major economies. Amidst the heat and festivities, it has become difficult to deny that the economy is deteriorating. Politicians appear helpless, thrashing about for a solution and blaming everything and everyone but themselves. This lack of leadership is apparent to those who have by now lost all confidence of a possible quick rebound, if only the tough decisions had been made early and swiftly.

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Economics

Monday, July 16, 2012

What Every American Should Know About the National Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. government has stolen $15,876,457,645,132.66 from future generations of Americans, and we continue to add well over a hundred million dollars to that total every single day day. The 15 trillion dollar binge that we have been on over the past 30 years has fueled the greatest standard of living the world has ever seen, but this wonderful prosperity that we have been enjoying has been a lie. It isn't real. We have been living way above our means for so long that we do not have any idea of what "normal" actually is anymore. But every debt addict hits "the wall" eventually, and the same thing is going to happen to us as a nation. At some point the weight of our national debt is going to cause our financial system to implode, and every American will feel the pain of that collapse. Under our current system, there is no mathematical way that this debt can ever be paid back. The road that we are on will either lead to default or to hyperinflation. We have piled up the biggest debt in the history of the world, and if there are future generations of Americans they will look back and curse us for what we did to them. We like to think of ourselves as much wiser than previous generations of Americans, but the truth is that we have been so foolish that it is hard to put it into words.

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Economics

Monday, July 16, 2012

How the Malaysian Government Manipulate the CPi to Undermine Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Consumer Price Index measures the movement of goods and services purchased for consumption over a period of time.  It is a very good measure for households to evaluate their financial position and purchasing power over time. As far as we know, folks like us knows that the prices of goods and services had risen much for the past few years and yet the government had been telling us the contrary. This is because according to their calculation based on the CPI, the basket of goods and services only goes up by 2-3% per annum. As we know all governments lies about their inflation figures. They will report inflation figures of 2-3% even though the prices of food, fuel, education, medical expenses and etc have been sky rocketing in the past few years.

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Economics

Sunday, July 15, 2012

China's End Game, the dark side of a great deleveraging / Economics / China Economy

By: Dee_Woo

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1. The frustrated and aggressive central bank

If one wants to know how bad the health of China's economy has gone, look no further than PBOC's composure, which seems rather frustrated and aggressive as of late. On 5th July, the central bank cut benchmark interest rates for the 2nd time in less than a month. This happened right after the fact that in December 2011, PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio(RRR) by a 50 bp to 21%, it followed up with another 50 bp in February and another 50 bp in May to 20% currently.

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Economics

Saturday, July 14, 2012

China Economic Growth Slows in 2012:Q2 / Economics / China Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal GDP for China slowed to a 7.6% pace from a year ago in the second quarter compared with an 8.1% increase in the first quarter. The latest read on GDP growth in China is the slowest since the first quarter of 2009 not only on a year-to-year basis but also on a quarterly basis (See Chart 3), with the second quarter gain at 6.4%.

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Economics

Saturday, July 14, 2012

U.S. Wholesale Price Inflation Reverses Part of Recent Decline / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Producer Price Index (PPI) of Finished Goods moved up 0.1% in June, following a string of three monthly declines. The energy price index fell 0.9% in June vs. a 4.3% decline in May. Wholesale gasoline and natural gas prices moved up in June but residential electricity costs declined and provided a large enough offset to bring down the overall finished energy price index. The 0.5% increase in food prices was one of the culprits for a gain in the headline index.

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Economics

Saturday, July 14, 2012

Chile at an Economic Crossroads / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Russell_E_Hoss

Chile's accession to the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development in 2010 was more than just a confirmation that they'd earned the right to join the world's top ranked economies. As the first South American country to be accepted into the OECD, it was also a symbolic affirmation of several decades worth of market-oriented reforms that transformed the country from an illiberal backwater to what is arguably one of Latin America's most stable and thriving nations. As a result, we feel that Chile qualifies as a good choice for international investment (for other investment locales that we have our eye on, see the latest Euro Pacific Global Investor Newsletter).

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Economics

Friday, July 13, 2012

U.S. Labour Market Distortions Lead to a Sharp Drop of Initial Jobless Claims / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims fell 26,000 during the week ended July 7 to 350,000. The sharp decline would be bullish if in fact it was not distorted by the July 4 holiday and fewer summer auto plant shutdowns. Typically in the summer, auto plant shutdowns and return of auto workers causes wide swings in jobless claims numbers.

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Economics

Friday, July 13, 2012

Are there suddenly signs of growth in UK retail? / Economics / Sector Analysis

By: Nick_Dockerty

Whisper it but there’s just a touch of optimism surrounding the retail sector in the UK at the moment.

The past financial year has been a difficult one for the majority of retailers but there have been just enough signs in recent company results and economic indicators that things might be picking up.

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Economics

Thursday, July 12, 2012

EU in Recession, US Entering Recession and China is Lying About Its Growth / Economics / Recession 2012

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe emerging markets, especially China, are showing signs of a major slowdown. Indeed, recent revelations have made it clear that China’s slowdown is in fact much worse than expected:

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Economics

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

U.S. Labor Market and Sales News Remains Unsatisfactory / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere were 3.642 million job openings in May according to the job openings and labor turnover report (JOLTS), which lags the employment report by one month. The job openings rate (number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings) moved up slightly to 2.7% in May from 2.5% in April, but matches the rate seen in March. The hiring rate (number of hires during the entire month as a percentage of total employment) at 3.3% in May has held at this level in three out of first five months of the year. Essentially, the report confirms the message from the employment report of sluggish labor market conditions.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

U.S. Already in Recession, Thinks ECRI's Achutan / Economics / Recession 2012

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Tom Keene today and said that, "What we said back in December was that the most likely start date for the recession would be in Q1 and if not then, by the middle of 2012. I'm here to reaffirm that. I think we're in a recession already."

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Economics

Monday, July 09, 2012

Barack Obama's Presidency Economic Report Card – Fail / Economics / US Economy

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are now three and one half years into Barack Obama's presidency. I thought a few pertinent charts would help us assess the success of his economic policies. Upon his election he demanded an $800 billion stimulus package in order to keep the unemployment rate from surpassing 8%. The $800 billion was to be spent over two years we were told and then government spending would be scaled back to pre-stimulus levels. There were 145 million Americans employed when Obama was elected. There are 9 million more working age Americans today than there were in 2008. There are now 142.4 million employed Americans. So, we've added 9 million potential workers and still have 2.6 less Americans employed. We have the same number of Americans employed as we did in early 2006, when there were 17 million less working age Americans.

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Economics

Monday, July 09, 2012

The Unseen Hand in Economic Progress / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The assessment of economic growth based on Gross Domestic Product is a fallacy, because GDP is merely a measure of the amount of money in an economy. The one thing it does not measure, which is central to economic progress (note progress, not growth), is the level of entrepreneurial activity. This has important implications for the efficacy of government interventions and solutions to the current economic crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, July 07, 2012

U.S. Labour Market Stood Sill in June, Strengthens the case of FOMC Doves / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 8.2% in June, unchanged from May. Cycle-high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.0%, registered in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +80,000 jobs in June vs. +77,000 in May. Private sector jobs increased 84,000 after a gain of 105,000 in May. A net loss of 1,000 jobs due to revisions of non-farm payroll estimates of April and May.

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