Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Forget Inflation Instead Focus on How Long Deflation Will Last / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Humpty Dumpty On Inflation - There is an excellent article by Axel Merk on Market Oracle called Monetizing the Debt . The article discusses the Fed's growing balance sheet and whether or not it represents inflation. The aspect that I want to highlight is in regards to bank lending. Here are a couple of charts from the article along with commentary by Merk.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
The Global Economic Crisis- Bad and Worsening / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Stephen_Lendman
In a new article, economics professor Richard Wolff explains the current crisis in Marxian terms. It "emerged from the workings of the capitalist class structure. Capitalism's history displays repeated boom-bust cycles punctuated by bubbles. They range unpredictably from local, shallow and short to global, deep and long." Clearly we're now in one of the latter and potentially the worst ever. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Inflation or Deflation? / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Explanation of the Price Effects of Inflation and Deflation - The U.S. Labor Department reported a 1 percent drop in the consumer price index for October 2008. The drop marked the largest decline in 61 years, and it was the first decline in that measure in nearly a quarter of a century. The 1 percent drop was twice as large as many mainstream analysts had forecast. Such a large decline in consumer prices is forcing U.S. policymakers to rethink the possibility of deflation in America. For more on deflation, we turn to Robert Prechter, the man who literally wrote a book on how to survive it. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Economic Depression, Deflation and Your Financial Survival / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: If you're still skeptical that we're sinking into America's Second Great Depression, you don't have to believe Alan Greenspan, who says we're already experiencing the worst financial crisis in a hundred years. Nor need you heed the news that the economy just lost a half-million more jobs or that retail sales have just suffered their worst plunge in 35 years. All you have to do is get up from your chair, open the door and take a walk outside. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
British Economy in Deep Trouble Sterling to Suffer / Economics / UK Economy
By: MoneyWeek
Hopes that Barack Obama's 'New Deal' spending spree can save the global economy saw share prices bounce sharply yesterday.
The FTSE 100 ended more than 6% higher, climbing 250 points to 4,300.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
China's Unique Opportunity to Shape Global Economic Future / Economics / Global Economy
By: Axel_Merk
China has a unique opportunity and responsibility to shape not only its own future, but also that of the global economy. While China is by no means responsible for the plight the world faces, it has played an important role in allowing global imbalances to be built. If China decides to help prop up the world economic model that got us into trouble in the first place, we may face the same challenges again a few years down the road. Except then, China may not have $2 trillion in reserves to rescue its economy, and could face severe challenges. China will ultimately act in its own best interest, but prudent she must be. The time for China to act is now. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 08, 2008
Real Threat is Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: We're “officially” in a recession and the panicky markets are bracing for deflation. But what most investors don't realize is that inflation – not deflation – is the real threat that they face.
For more than a year now, I've been telling readers and attendees at financial conferences around the world that the United States has been in a recession since last November.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 07, 2008
Why Bailouts Will Lead to Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Money Supply
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) both fell in October. Those declines – combined with sharp downward spirals in worldwide stock and commodity prices – have caused many analysts, and even central bankers, to worry that we are on the brink of deflation.
Such concerns may be warranted in the short-term. But in the long run, deflation won't be the challenge we face.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 07, 2008
Fed Deploys Every Trick in the Book to Avert Another Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Mike_Whitney
" Conditions have deteriorated on a scale and with a speed that no one could have predicted just a few months ago. Market conditions of unprecedented strength are roiling the world's financial markets. The global economy is either in, or close to, recession and 2009 is not likely to be a year of great recovery." Brett White, chief executive officer of CB Richard Ellis, LA Times Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 06, 2008
The Velocity of Money and Economic Deflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
"A severe global recession will lead to deflationary pressures. Falling demand will lead to lower inflation as companies cut prices to reduce excess inventory. Slack in labour markets from rising unemployment will control labor costs and wage growth. Further slack in commodity markets as prices fall will lead to sharply lower inflation. Thus inflation in advanced economies will fall towards the 1 per cent level that leads to concerns about deflation. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 06, 2008
Half Million Job Losses as Economic Depression Spreads / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Mike_Shedlock
I wrote about the latest jobs numbers this morning in Jobs Contract 11th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 6.7% . Let's look at some more details starting with this report: Half-million jobs vanish as economy deteriorates . An alarming half-million American jobs vanished virtually in a flash last month, the worst mass layoffs in over a third of a century, as economic carnage spread ever faster and the nation hurtled toward what could be the hardest hard times since the Great Depression.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
Financial Crisis Secrets Revealed / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008
By: EWI
Editor's Note: This article has been excerpted from a free issue of Robert Prechter's monthly market letter, The Elliott Wave Theorist .
The full 10-page market letter, Be One of the Few The Government Hasn't Fooled , can be downloaded FREE from Elliott Wave International.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
Countries to Fight Over Shrinking Economic Pie During 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Christopher_Laird
Trade and Currency Tensions in 2009 - Most people know that, in recent years, there have been tensions between the US and China over two big issues. One is that China runs big trade surpluses with the US, which the Democrats have been wanting to do sanctions on. The other is they keep their currency, the Yuan/RMB, weak compared to the USD, and that is also something the Democrats have wanted to sanction. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
Wealth of Nations- Government Assets Minus Liabilities Analysis / Economics / Global Economy
By: Mike_Hewitt
The intent of this article is to compare the net wealth of selected nations. The net wealth figures (actually labeled as 'Net Debt') for the G-7 nations (US, Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy and Canada) can be found on the International Monetary Fund website here . It should be noted that all of the G-7 countries have greater government liabilities than assets. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
U.S. Economy Disintegrating as Government Supports Zombie Banks / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The USGovt and financial system is growing deep commitments to support dead entities. Their business models have failed. They are bankrupt. Although with faulty business model, often l aced with fraud, they have been fully adopted by the USGovt and US Federal Reserve. They are considered too big to fail. Or one should say, they are too connected to the power structure, or they are too intertwined with explosive financial devices, or one from their own tribe is running the Dept of Treasury. Capitalism embraces the Darwinian principles bound by survival of the fittest. The United States bears absolutely no resemblance to such principles anymore, at least at the upper corporate echelons. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
America's Second Great Depression Has Started / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Wiess writes: On this first weekday after Thanksgiving, it's time to take a moment, look at the changes swirling all around us and think about the tasks we must achieve together in the weeks ahead.
After more than six decades of growth, America is sinking into its Second Great Depression of modern times. The place is every home, business, and community.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
U.S. Economy Downward Revision to 3rd Quarter GDP / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: David_Urban
The National Bureau of Economic Research finally admitted the worst kept secret on Monday. The US economy fell into a recession in December 2007. Drilling down into the 3 rd quarter data can lead us to some interesting details.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
50 Ways To Beat Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
With thanks to "Stonewall" for posting this as a comment, it's time for a little sing along with a Paul Simon Song called50 Ways To Beat Deflation
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Bankrupt G7 Print Money to Reflate Economies / Economics / Fiat Currency
By: Ty_Andros
As the G7 economies plunge over a cliff, the governments and central banks are taking turns at fire fighting in their respective economies. With each new initiative the Crack-Up Boom creeps closer and closer on the horizon as G7 public servants and central banks attempt to RESCUE foolish lenders and borrowers from their approaching demise and insolvency. The attempts will fail and insolvency will be brought to the entire G7 financial systems. Never before in history has more been borrowed and printed to rescue global banking and corporate elites from their hubris and stupidity. Mal investments are crumbling to their REAL value, not their inflated NOMINAL value, and as they do, the banks, financial systems and real economies shudder under the repricing. As reality supplants the fairy tales the greatest opportunities are presented to you! Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Impact of Deflation and Death of the Economic Decoupling Theory / Economics / Deflation
By: Chris_Galakoutis
In the panic following the 1929 stock market crash, bank runs led to bank balance sheet contractions and bank failures, which led to money supply contraction and by definition, deflation. “Trust” had become a fleeting ideal in the early 1930's, and the suspension of the gold standard during WWI was a fresh memory. Americans of that era learned rather quickly that the maintenance of wealth in tangible form was preferable to paper wealth, so as bank runs became more pronounced, they rushed into and hoarded gold, since a growing distrust of banks meant an equal distrust of paper money. Read full article... Read full article...