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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, February 28, 2010

E.U. Shocked at Greek Greeks Used Financial Technology For Debt Deceit / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Janet_Tavakoli

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Union (EU) is shocked--shocked I tell you!--that Greece used financial engineering to qualify for admission. Exactly how did they think that weaker countries managed to meet the requirements? Now the EU is concerned that geeks used their knowledge of Greece's hidden debt (and bailout negotiations) to manipulate financial markets for their own profit.

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Economics

Sunday, February 28, 2010

For 15 Million Unemployed Any Job is a Good Job / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet's take a look at the employment situation and prospects for jobs starting with the cold hard numbers as they exist today. Please consider the following grim unemployment statistics.

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Economics

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Cause of Today's Economic Crises: Too Much Thrift / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mansoor_H_Khan

In this essay I want to propose that the ultimate of cause of today's economic crises is that we have too much thrift.  This view is very similar to John Maynard Keynes' Paradox of Thrift.  What I want to show is that this is not a paradox at all but confusion about what saving money really means and what consequences it has.  I want to explain this confusion by way of examples and using non-technical economic jargon usually used by Keynesian economists.   But before I can go into why too much savings leads to a disaster in the modern economy I need to clarify what I mean by savings  and what money is by way of an example:

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Economics

Saturday, February 27, 2010

India vs China Economic Growth Potential / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Charles_Maley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom the Vedas we learn a practical art of surgery, medicine, music, house building under which mechanized art is included. They are encyclopedia of every aspect of life, culture, religion, science, ethics, law, cosmology and meteorology – William James, American Author
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Economics

Saturday, February 27, 2010

The Euro and a Conspiracy of Hedge Funds, Wheres All the Greek Gold? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere Is All that Greek Gold?
The Greeks Write Back
The Euro and a Conspiracy of Hedge Funds
So Where's the Inflation?
No Help for Homebuilders
The Singularity, San Antonio, Home, and Addictions

The economy grew in the fourth quarter by 5.9%, the most in years. The adjusted monetary base is exploding. Bank reserves are literally through the roof. The Fed is flooding money into the system in an effort to get banks to lend. An historically normal response by banks (to increase lending) would have been massively inflationary, causing the Fed to stomp on the brakes. Despite raising the almost meaningless discount rate (as who uses it?), this week Ben Bernanke assured Congress of an easy monetary policy, with rates remaining low for a long time. Many ask, how can this not be inflationary?

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Economics

Friday, February 26, 2010

U.S. GDP Contraction Double Dip Recession Coming In Second Quarter 2010? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been speaking with Rick Davis at the Consumer Metrics Institute about leading economic indicators. Davis claims his data leads the GDP by about 17 weeks while noting that other so-called "leading indicators" are merely a reflection on the stock market and yield curve.

Davis captures his data solely from online transactions of real consumers, in real time.

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Economics

Friday, February 26, 2010

To Survive Economic Deflation, First Understand It / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSurviving Deflation: First, Understand It

Deflation is more than just "falling prices."

Robert Prechter explains why.

The following article is an excerpt from Elliott Wave International's free Club EWI resource, "The Guide to Understanding Deflation. Robert Prechter's Most Important Writings on Deflation."

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Economics

Friday, February 26, 2010

The Recession Is Most Certainly Over / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "There are still no jobs here," my friend Lee tells me.

Lee used to work for a beachfront resort on Florida's east coast. Our town was built on tourism and real estate. Both are dead. The resort is on the brink of bankruptcy.

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

More Credit Default Swaps Means Trouble for European Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment debt is no longer just a problem for emerging countries. Portugal, Spain, France and Greece (as we have seen in recent weeks) are living in fear of credit default. Consequently, the value of their credit default swaps is skyrocketing.

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims Spike, Will Economic Reality Soon Set In? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the market rallied the moment Bernanke started yapping to Congress about holding interest rates low for a considerable length of time. Pray tell what did he say that anyone should not have expected?

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

As Greece Goes, So Goes the U.S.? / Economics / US Debt

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreece hasn't gotten so much press since 146 B.C. when the Romans took over. Of late, Greece sneezes and investors think the U.S. is going to catch the swine flu. Of course, it is not just Greece. Greece is part of the EU and the EMU. So, it is thought that as goes Greece, so goes Europe. And then, the next step is that as goes Europe, so goes the U.S. But is Europe really where the action is with regard to U.S. economic growth?

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Inflation as the Enemy of Investing / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this age of inflation, we are all forced to do many tasks that others could do better for us. The fact is that inflation impedes the process of civilization, which is brought about by the division of labor. While, without the central bank's continual monetary infusions, prices would gently fall as technology made all things and all people more efficient, we don't enjoy that luxury. Instead we're mowing our own grass, fixing the flappers in our toilet tanks, and managing our own retirement funds.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Leading Economic Indicators Keep Rising, but … / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Thursday the Conference Board published its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. In January this historically-reliable indicator increased 0.3 percent after shooting up 1.2 percent in December and 1.1 percent in November. This was the tenth consecutive rise!

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Economics

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Greek Debit Crisis European Sideshow / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Peter_Schiff

If the global economy were a three ring circus, then the center ring attraction would be the currency and debt battle quietly and slowly building between the United States and China. But for the past month the world's attention has been distracted by a much more entertaining sideshow in which European unity, and the ongoing viability of the euro, is being tested by the Greek debt crisis.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

U.K. Keynesian Disaster Economy, Crippling Budget Deficit and Rising Prices / Economics / UK Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.K. is the poster child for Keynesian stupidity carried out to extreme levels. In an extremely well written article, Matthew Lynn, a Bloomberg columnist discusses the sorry state of British affairs in Deathbed of Keynesian Economics Will Be in U.K.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Government Deficits and Debts or Spending the Big Issue? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether it is Greece or the US, it seems as though the headline du jour involves government deficits and debt. The Obama administration has taken a lot of heat for its projected US deficit and debt ratios. But are government deficits and debt really the big economic issues or is it government spending? Milton Friedman thought that the ultimate economic cost of government was not how the government funded itself, but how much funding the government was engaged in. Friedman understood that just as the Northwest Mountie always gets his man, the federal government always gets its funds.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Over-Arching Sovereign Debt Crisis / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNeither the US financial press nor the US bank leaders take the sovereign debt crisis seriously. Even the USCongress seems totally unaware of the growing global intolerance for government debt out of control. The issue is rollover of short-term debt, size of the overall debt burden, borrowing costs to sustain the debt, annual deficits that accumulate further debt, and size of debt versus economic size. The United States projects a certain degree of arrogance that foreigner must continue to finance the USGovt debt at a time when the evidence gathers on loud suspicious activity in the USTreasury auctions.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Inflation Hiding In Plain Sight, The Key To Profits  / Economics / Inflation

By: Bob_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs an Account Manager and Trading Instructor, there is a theme I see that keeps recurring.  I hear this from my clients and students over and over, "things are so bad how can I be safe buying".  I hear "we are going to have hyper inflation" or "it is all going to collapse into a deflationary abyss.  In other words, they lose their bearings in a sea of information.  My answer is always the same, we must trust our algorithmic models.   Markets will fluctuate, what you read or listen to is illusion.  When one group has all the money, the rules of the game have changed.

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Economics

Monday, February 22, 2010

Not So Fast for U.S. Economy, Inflation and therefore Fed Tightening / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNot so fast for the economy, for inflation and, therefore, for Fed tightening. The Commerce Department's first guess at Q4:2009 real GDP growth of 5.7% is likely to be the fastest quarterly annualized growth we see for some time. Rather, sequential annualized growth rates over the first three quarters of this year are going to be on the order of less than one-half that of the last year's fourth quarter. Although one month does not a trend make, consumer inflation in January already shows signs of abating a bit.

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Economics

Monday, February 22, 2010

Government Stimulus, One Year Later / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week marked the one year anniversary of the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act, or the stimulus bill, passing into law. While the debate over its success has been focused on whether or not it is stimulating the economy and on various questionable uses of funds, in my estimation this legislation is accomplishing exactly what it was intended to accomplish - grow the government.

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