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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, July 03, 2010

Really Dismal Unemployment Numbers a Central Banker's Nightmare / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome Really Dismal Numbers
Unemployment Went Down?
Earnings Take a Hit
Money Supply Concerns
A Central Banker's Nightmare
Why Don't You Reform Yourselves?

There’s a reason economics is called the dismal science, and weeks like this just give it further meaning. In economics, there is what you see and what you don’t. This week we are going to examine the headline data we all see and then take a look for what most observers do not see. Then we’ll try to think about what it all really means. With employment, housing, and the ISM numbers, there is a lot to cover. And this letter will print out longer than usual, as there are a lot of charts. Warning: remove sharp objects from the vicinity and pour yourself your favorite adult beverage. This does not make for fun reading.

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Economics

Friday, July 02, 2010

Economic Recovery Withers on the Vine as Factory Orders Fall More Than Expected / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe "nascent recovery" was led by manufacturing and now the one bright spot is showing signs of age, just as state payrolls are about to get clobbered.

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Economics

Friday, July 02, 2010

Double-Dip Recession Warning Signs Everywhere! Batten Down the Hatches! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bright red warning signs of a double-dip recession are flashing everywhere. And I do mean EVERYWHERE.

In just the past few days, we learned that …

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Economics

Friday, July 02, 2010

Misguided Economic Policy Paving the Way for a Double-Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: With unemployment still hovering near 10%, policymakers should be doing all they can to combat joblessness and reinvigorate a recovery that is showing signs of weakness.

But they're not.

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Economics

Friday, July 02, 2010

Investor Silver Lining to the Age of Austerity / Economics / Economic Austerity

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to some analysts and David Cameron, the new prime minister of the United Kingdom, the “Age of Austerity” is upon us. If the cuts promised by many European countries actually take place, investors fear it will lead to another recession in several of those countries. The age of austerity is what has worried the markets in the last month causing anxiety as volatility ruled the days.

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Economics

Thursday, July 01, 2010

India is on the Path to Double-Digit Economic Growth / Economics / India

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: If it's able to control inflation and cut its debt, India could well become the world's most appealing investment opportunity.

Europe is choking on debt and scrambling to salvage its beleaguered currency. The United States is saddled by high unemployment and struggling to preserve its wobbly recovery. Even China - which has had to reign in its stimulus to cool its red-hot property market and curb inflation - may have peaked.

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Economics

Thursday, July 01, 2010

UK Unemployment Forecast 2010 to 2015 / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest set of figures from the coalition ConLib government forecast that 600,000 public sector jobs will be lost over the next 5 years at the rate of 120,000 per year as a consequence of spending cuts and tax rises of £113 billion per year by 2015-16, that will directly result in loss of private sector jobs of an additional 700,000 to total of 1.3 million. However at the same time the Prime Minister, David Cameron announced that the economy by some miracle would create 2.5 million private sector jobs to more than off-set the 1.3 million expected to be lost as a consequence of spending cuts.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

20 Questions with Robert Prechter: Signs Point to Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following article is an excerpt from Elliott Wave International’s free report, 20 Questions With Deflationist Robert Prechter. It has been adapted from Prechter’s June 19 appearance on Jim Puplava’s Financial Sense Newshour. To read the entire conversation, access the 20-page report here.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

The Economics of Great Depression Scrip / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Clifford_F_Thies

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to Paul Krugman, a contributing cause to a depression is hoarding and, concerning this, I have no real quarrel.[1] It is concerning the ability of the market to address the problem of hoarding, versus the need for government intervention because of hoarding, on which I disagree.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Why the Greater Economic Depression Still Lies Ahead / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf one does not know the real cause of a problem, they should also be unable to provide a genuine solution.

Messer’s Obama, Bernanke and Geithner do not understand the real cause of this debt crisis. They are politicians first and economists or students of the market second; if at all. Therefore, it is not wise to ask them if the great recession is indeed over, or for them to provide a plan to prevent another from occurring in the future.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Ferguson, Roubini vs. Krugman: Slowdown or Economic Depression for the U.S.? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman, a strong supporter of fiat money, is obviously having a major distress over the G20 push to cut deficits in half by 2013, and stabilize the soaring U.S. debt.  In his latest New York Times column, Krugman not only criticizes austerity measures, but also asserts that we are in the early stages of a third depression as a direct result of the spending cut. 

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

How Economic Policy Errors Cause Depressions / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is easy to pick on Paul Krugman. So easy in fact, that it is not even fair sport.

However, if you can separate the wheat from the chaff, sometimes there are nuggets of truth in what Krugman writes.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Economic Choice Between Austrian Austerity Or Keynesian Poverty / Economics / Economic Theory

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Corrigan writes: [Government] is apprehended, not as a committee of citizens chosen to carry on the communal business of the whole population, but as a separate and autonomous corporation, mainly devoted to exploiting the population for the benefit of its own members… The intelligent man, when he pays taxes, certainly does not feel he is making a prudent investment of his money; on the contrary, he feels he is being mulcted in an excessive amount for services that, in the main, are useless to him, and that, in substantial part, are downright inimical to him" ~ H.L. Mencken, "More of the Same," American Mercury 1925

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Economics

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Fed Credit, Inflation and the Idiots in the Middle / Economics / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA whole series of alarms occurred after I got the news, although I lost the source, that "food stamp usage just soared to a new record high" of 40.2 million persons.

This number is alarming in itself because it means that the economy is so bad that more and more hungry people cannot afford to even feed themselves, sort of like teenagers, but with hopefully better manners and dietary choices.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Plunging Consumer Confidence and Treasury Yields, Economic Depression is Here / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs that a 3-handle I see on the long bond and a 2-handle of the 10-year treasury? Why yes it is.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Keynesian Economics C + I + G = Baloney / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePatrick Barron writes: Wrongheaded governmental interventions are preventing the world's largest economies from recovering from massive malinvestment.

Japan, currently the world's third-largest economy, has had zero growth for 20 years. A good case can be made that the United States has had zero growth for ten years, because the so-called growth of the first decade of the new millennium now appears to have been phony. All of those houses were built at a loss, losses that we are only now recognizing. We have yet to plumb the total extent of the rot.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Robert Prechter Answers 20 Tough Questions About Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFree Download: Elliott Wave International have just released a brand-new interview given by Robert Prechter. A devoted inflationist asks the leading proponent of deflation tough questions about fiat currency, gold, the Fed, the Great Depression, financial bubbles, government intervention and how to protect your money -- and even profit -- in today's environment. Learn more below or access the 20-page report now.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Paul Krugman Warns of Depression / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Anderson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe more I read Paul Krugman's columns and papers, the more I realize just how great the gulf is between Austrian and Keynesian thought. It is impossible to sum up all of the differences between the two camps, but I do think that perhaps the disparities can be summed up in the Austrian rejection of Keynes' famous 1943 statement that expansion of credit by the central bank will create a "miracle . . . of turning a stone into bread."

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Economics

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne hit the reset button on the UK economy by delivering the most radical budget of the past 30 years that has sought to cut an extra £40 billion from Britains annual budget deficit by 2014-15 which is on top of ALL of Labours March 2010 budget cuts and tax rises of £73 billion that the coalition left intact. The cuts totaling a withdrawal of £113 billion from the economy will be phased in by 2015-16 and by then total about 7.5% of GDP which is a huge amount that is deemed necessary to divert Britain from its current path towards bankruptcy that Labour had put it firmly upon as a consequence of running an annual budget deficit of 12% of GDP.

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Economics

Monday, June 28, 2010

How do Other Nations Balance Their Trade? Try Germany / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs America continues to contemplate its trade mess, the question naturally arises how other developed nations manage to trade with the world without deficits and without turning high-wage industries into low-wage industries to compete. Although some other developed nations, like Britain and Spain, have trade situations almost as bad as ours in recent years, some have been quite the opposite.

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