Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, October 12, 2012
QE-U, China, and Great Economic Depression 2.0 / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Andy_Sutton
With the pop from the USFed’s latest attempt at financial shock and awe already seeping from lackluster markets, and the teleprompter news networks losing steam over their promotion of the same, it is time to take a look back at the decisions made on 9/13/2012 and set the record straight on some things.
Friday, October 12, 2012
America's New Great Depression - Sluggish Economic Growth, Staggering National Debt / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Global_Research
Dr. Rossen Vassilev writes: The American economy is caught between the Scylla of sluggish economic growth and the Charybdis of a staggering national debt aggravated by Washington’s unyielding partisan deadlock over taxes and spending cuts.
After the Great Recession of 2008, the approaching “fiscal cliff” at the end of this year threatens to cause even more economic havoc and bring about another recession which some “doom-and-gloom” economists darkly predict may turn into a new Great Depression.
Friday, October 12, 2012
Euro-zone Debt Crisis, What Happens When The Core Starts To Rot / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Raul_I_Meijer
While we're all watching Spain and Greece, their alleged saviors in the rich core of the eurozone are starting to show serious signs of corrosion. This makes all the hollow words and promises coming from the world of troikas and politics sound even emptier than they already did. Not that anyone in Holland or Germany seems to even be prepared to think their economies are in for a big fall; for them, all the bad stuff is temporary, and soon it will all be better. Our proverbial Martian might be tempted to think denial is a river in northern Europe.
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Spain Headed in a Downward Economic Death Spiral? / Economics / Spain
By: Ian_R_Campbell
An article yesterday discusses what appears to be continued downward economic trends in Spain. I see this as hardly unexpected by those who have been following Spain closely.
I strongly suggest you read Austerity fails to close Spain's budget black hole if you have not already done that. If you participate in the financial markets, and Spain is not highly visible on your radar screen, I suggest it ought to be.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Counterproductive Minimum Wage Mandates / Economics / Economic Theory
By: BATR
Working for wages has never been the path for significant wealth. Most people are not equipped nor do they have the inclination to be engaged in business endeavors that will earn them a viable living. The reluctance that most workers bring to their occupation stems from their inability or unwillingness of properly understanding the related components that are essential in creating wealth. While many view work as a curse, the indispensable reconciliation for a practical and tolerable acceptance of universal plight is that no one is owed a living.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
U.S. Jobs Report Will Not Derail Fed / Economics / Employment
By: Michael_Pento
The gold market dropped nearly $20 an ounce shortly after the U.S. Non-farm Payroll report was released on Friday. The Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate dropped to 7.8%, from 8.1% in the month prior. Gold prices retreated on the fear that the Fed may decide to truncate its debt monetization schemes in the near future.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
China and the Global Economic Crisis of Industrial Overcapacity / Economics / China Economy
By: Andrew_McKillop
EARLY MATURITY
This term now has a special meaning. Not only OECD economies, and especially their leading industrial manufacturing sectors, but also these sectors in the Emerging economies are downsizing at an accelerating pace. After the shrink in industrial and manufacturing activity, in the mature or "post mature" OECD economies, comes the downsizing of the entire economy which in Europe, especially in the PIIGS, is now the rule and a new "tradition". Any other way is now an eccentric hope, and outside the PIIGS an increasing number of other EU27 economies are moving to net shrinkage, including the UK and France.
Tuesday, October 09, 2012
U.S. Unemployment Rate Drop Surprise / Economics / Unemployment
By: John_Mauldin
The unemployment number surprisingly dropped to 7.8% last Friday, and the shoot-from-the-hip crowd came out in force. To say that the jobs report was met with skepticism would be a serious understatement. The response that got the most immediate airplay was ex-GE CEO Jack Welch (who knows a few things about making a number say what you want it to say) tweeting, "Unbelievable job numbers ... these Chicago guys will do anything ... can't debate so change numbers."
Not be left out, Fox Business quoted Ed Butowsky of Chapwood Capital Investment: "'No way in the world these numbers are accurate,' he said. 'Somebody needs to do an investigation.... Investigate these numbers.'"
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
U.S. Jobs Lies, Damned Lies and the 7.8% Unemployment Rate / Economics / Unemployment
By: The_Gold_Report
Shadowstats.com Author John Williams wonders if politics are at play behind the latest jobs report, which shows 114,000 new U.S. jobs since September and a 0.3% drop in unemployment since August. Investors need to know how seasonal factors and month-to-month volatility affect the Bureau of Labor Statistics' reports. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report , Williams explains why he doubts that we are in a recovery. The take-away? Look at the unadjusted figures before you sell your gold.
Monday, October 08, 2012
World's Brightest Minds Migrating to China, Brain Drain Creating the "Chinese Dream" / Economics / China Economy
By: Pravda
China actively took up the issue of attracting highly skilled professionals, scientists and managers to the country. Foreigners are offered attractive conditions, and observers are already talking of this trend as the "brain drain" into the PRC. China that does not shy away from learning from other countries intends to create the "Chinese dream".
Monday, October 08, 2012
U.S. Economic Recovery? Sign's of What's Ahead / Economics / US Economy
By: EWI
Several signs suggest economic contraction instead of expansion.
The first was recent front-page news: 8.1% August jobless rate. The number would have been higher, but it excludes people who gave up the job search.
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Sunday, October 07, 2012
The Iran Hyperinflation Fact Sheet / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Submissions
Steve H. Hanke writes: For months, I have been following the collapse of the Iranian rial, tracking black-market (free-market) exchange-rate data from foreign-exchange bazaars in Tehran. Using the most recent data, I now estimate that Iran is experiencing hyperinflation – a price-level increase of over 50%, per month.
Saturday, October 06, 2012
IMF Inadvertently Condemns The Eurozone, No Recovery Economic Until 2018! / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Raul_I_Meijer
No global recovery until 2018, says Oliver Blanchard at portfolio.hu.: It’s not yet a lost decade... But it will surely take at least a decade from the beginning of the crisis for the world economy to get back to decent shape.
Well, that makes it easy then, you would think. Solves a lot of problems in one go. All bailouts and loans and other measures can now be halted and reversed when and where possible. Since there is no way our central banks and governments can keep on doing what they have done for another 6 years (yeah, I know lots of you doubt that, but there's just no way).
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
U.S. Economy Never Really Recovered Since 2007-2009 Financial Crisis / Economics / Great Depression II
By: EWI
Several signs suggest economic contraction instead of expansion.
The first was recent front-page news: 8.1% August jobless rate. The number would have been higher, but it excludes people who gave up the job search.
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Friday, October 05, 2012
The Quantifornication of U.S. Housing Market, Banks and Economy / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: Richard_Mills
Overheated US housing prices started dropping in 2006. Homeowners were going underwater (they owed more than the house was worth) and many had questionable credit - "fog the mirror loans" were common, if you breathed you got a loan. *Banks sold these mortgages to agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They bundled the mortgages with other loans bearing similar interest rates and then sold them as Mortgage-backed securities (MBS), so called because their value was backed or secured by the value of the underlying mortgages.
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Tracking World Hyperinflation - The Data from Argentina to Zimbabwe / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Submissions
Steve H. Hanke writes: Hyperinflation is an economic malady that arises under extreme conditions: war, political
mismanagement, the transition from a command to market-based economy. There
are barriers to the recording and publication of reliable inflation statistics. Overcoming
these barriers is an arduous and painstaking process. This article and attached table – an
abbreviated version of a Cato Working Paper – supply, for the first time, data on all 56
episodes of hyperinflation, including several which had previously gone unreported.
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Hyperinflation Has Arrived In Iran / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Submissions
Steve H. Hanke writes: Since the U.S. and E.U. first enacted sanctions against Iran, in 2010, the value of the Iranian rial (IRR) has plummeted, imposing untold misery on the Iranian people. When a currency collapses, you can be certain that other economic metrics are moving in a negative direction, too. Indeed, using new data from Iran’s foreign-exchange black market, I estimate that Iran’s monthly inflation rate has reached 69.6%. With a monthly inflation rate this high (over 50%), Iran is undoubtedly experiencing hyperinflation.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
Economic Reforms in India Likely To Stick This Time / Economics / India
By: Benjamin_Shepherd
India has always taken a protectionist approach to managing its economy, initially out of a certain necessity and more recently as a result of populist politics.The initial necessity arose out of a desire to develop a stronger internal economy by fostering small businesses that cater to indigenous tastes and demands. That’s no surprise, given the huge cultural disparities within the country’s regions, especially between the more cosmopolitan and richer south and the poorer north.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2012
China and Global Economic Recovery / Economics / China Economy
By: Ian_R_Campbell
Why read: To test the contemporaneous views I expressed four years ago, to observe similarities and differences then and now, and to determine if you agree with my current views.
Commentary then: On July 31, 2009 I commented as follows:
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Wednesday, October 03, 2012
What Parenting Teaches us About Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
By: William_Bancroft
Recent BBC documentaries on the great economists have created quite a buzz in the UK. No doubt the shows are proving popular on the BBC’s international channels too. The sorry state of the global economy and withered trust in economics today prompts another look at the giants of this social science. The usual names are re-examined, including John Maynard Keynes and Friedrich Hayek.