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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

U.S. China Tire Trade War Could Lead to Second Great Depression / Economics / Global Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: When U.S. President Barack Obama late Friday (Sept. 11) signed an order that imposed an additional duty of 35% on tires imported from China, it set up the potential for an old-fashioned trade war.

Currently, global trade is down only 20%. During normal times, worldwide commerce would recover on its own. But as most investors understand all too well, these aren't normal times.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Can Keynesian Spending Achieve National Energy Security ? / Economics / Climate Change

By: Andrew_McKillop

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe December Revolution - The coming World Climate Summit, also called COP-15, is scheduled for a marathon 11 day series through December 7-18 in Copenhagen. This will bring together 192 presidents, heads of government or high level delegations, observers from a selected range of UN agencies and some other accredited organizations, selected NGOs and commercial sponsors, and carefully selected press and media. For the public getting in to these meetings is a lot more difficult, with open access sessions being the exception not rule. This has already resulted in accusations that COP-15 is essentially a closed-door forum where climate business will be pushed to the limit. Where national leaders will haggle in private for clear advantages and gains, here, and lower costs and losses, there.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Yellen Calls For "U" Shaped Recession and Another Jobless Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne thing I like about Janet Yellen is that unlike Bernanke and Greenspan, she speaks understandable English and is not prone to sugar coating everything. I disagree with much of what she says, but not all of it.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

U.S. Retail Sales Bounce on Federally Subsidized Auto Sales / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of my favorite sources of information is The Liscio Report by Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood. Among other things, each month they survey all the states about tax revenues, expenses and then give us the results in a very pithy fashion. No one pays taxes unless they have to, and thus taxes tell us a lot about the current spending and income situation. Taxes are a far more reliable indicator then surveys, which most "data" is based on.

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Economics

Monday, September 14, 2009

Recession Ghost Fleets With No Crew, No Cargo and No Destination / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Mail Online has some stunning images of The ghost fleet of the recession.

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Economics

Monday, September 14, 2009

U.S. and China, The Alarming Tale of Two Economies / Economics / US Debt

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe contrast between the U.S. and China has never been more disturbing.

Here in the U.S., our government is sinking into debt at the fastest pace in history. The federal deficit has nearly quadrupled in a year. New spending programs now before Congress seem to guarantee even higher deficits and debt ahead.

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Economics

Monday, September 14, 2009

UK Economic Productivity, Trends and Prospects / Economics / UK Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the key indicators of how well economies perform is productivity. Over the medium to long term, real income growth, and hence living standards, depend on how fast an economy can grow its output based on its labour and capital inputs. Those economies that perform well on this score tend to be those that are the most flexible and dynamic – i.e. those that have a high degree of skilled labour, undertake strong capital investment, employ a high proportion of their available workforce, and combine their labour and capital inputs in the most efficient manner.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Greenspan the Root Cause of this Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bernanke, Geithner, and others have stated the biggest mistake in this depression was the failure to rescue Lehman. I have long disagreed, instead declaring the Bankruptcy of Lehman was one of the few things the Fed got right, even if by accident.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Decade of No Income Gains for Wage Earners / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the first time since the great depression (and possibly even then), US wage earners suffered through A Decade With No Income Gains.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

1929 Great Crash, Depression, Then and Now Lessons From History / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Hans_F_Sennholz

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarly 1955 finds the American public swamped by forecasts of prosperity and boom. Economic advisers to governments, corporations, universities, labor unions and other groups seem to have resolved in unison to assure the people that a depression like that of the 1930s has been banned forever from the American scene. "Americans need not fear a depression," they say. "Our government will carefully watch our economy and interfere when the need arises."

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Fiat Money a Tool for War to Kill Americans / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA few years ago on these pages, I harshly criticized an article urging New Yorkers to "eat local," and went so far as to dub the young lady's column, "The worst economics article ever." I am here to report that her record has been smashed. Floyd Norris's recent New York Times article on the greenback is hands down the worst economics article I have ever read. Not only is it jam-packed full of false history, but it uses the falsehoods to justify monstrous crimes, both in the past and present.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Deflation, Falling Velocity of Money Ensures Printing Presses Will Keep Running / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElements of Deflation, Part 2
The Velocity Factor
Y=MV
Sir, I Have Not Yet Begun to Print
There Are No Good Choices

Just as water is formed by the basic elements hydrogen and oxygen, deflation has its own fundamental components. Last week we started exploring those elements, and this week we continue. I feel that the most fundamental of decisions we face in building investment portfolios is correctly deciding whether we are faced with inflation or deflation in our future. (And I tell you later on when to worry about inflation.) Most investments behave quite differently depending on whether we are in a deflationary or inflationary environment. Get this answer wrong and it could rise up to bite you.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Fight Deflation by Giving Workers a Pay Rise / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe slight rebound in housing looks a lot different when one considers how much the Fed is meddling in the market. Fed chair Ben Bernanke has purchased $240 billion in US Treasuries to keep long-term interest rates artificially low while--at the same time--buying $740 billion in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to provide the financing for new home buyers. It's the double-whammy; and that's not all. Bernanke plans to continue buying agency MBS (monetization) until he reaches $1.45 trillion, which will make Uncle Sam the biggest player in the housing market by far. How's that for central planning?

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Economics

Saturday, September 12, 2009

The Economy Will Not Recover Until Trust is Restored / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA 2005 letter in premier scientific journal Nature reviews the research on trust and economics:

Trust ... plays a key role in economic exchange and politics. In the absence of trust among trading partners, market transactions break down. In the absence of trust in a country's institutions and leaders, political legitimacy breaks down. Much recent evidence indicates that trust contributes to economic, political and social success.

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Economics

Friday, September 11, 2009

Economic Fundementals Suggest This Fall and Winter Could Get Ugly / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: ArbitraryVote

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince March of this year, we have seen growing consensus and excitement from the mainstream media and government about an economic recovery underway. Scattered economic indicators are released and spun in a positive light when they are proportionally minuscule improvements compared to the declines already experienced for each given indicator. They typically use this sugarcoated data and ignore reality to say “the worst is behind us, yet perhaps we’ll still see a 10-15% correction in the markets, and growth might be slow for quite awhile”. In under six months from the low, the markets have rallied over 45%. Yet this type of market move up hasn’t been seen since the lead-up to the crash of October, 1987.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Government Run Economy, A New Era of Opportunity / Economics / Government Intervention

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCould it be that the government is now in the driver's seat of the economy, having replaced the private sector? We certainly don’t believe it is the engine yet, but increasingly it has moved from being the backseat driver directing instructions intermittently, to taking over the steering wheel.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Widening U.S. Trade Deficit Signals Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: The U.S. trade deficit expanded at its fastest pace in more than ten years in July, accelerated by rising oil prices and increased demand for auto parts and industrial supplies.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

G-20 Governments Inflate the Global Economy to Economic Prosperity / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho says central bankers can’t inflate an economy to prosperity?  To head-off the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, the “Group-of-20” central banks have slashed interest rates to record lows, while politicians have funneled trillions into the coffers of the most powerful Oligarchic banks. So far, the cost of mopping up after the world financial crisis is a staggering $12-trillion, or equivalent to around a fifth of the world’s annual economic output.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Wave of Unemployment in the U.S. What to Expect and What to Do- Part2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Continued from Part 1 here
Decline in Manufacturing

As everyone knows, the manufacturing has shrunk in the United States and the service sector has grown. Even in a manufacturing center such as Detroit, manufacturing jobs have been declining for decades: Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Wave of Unemployment in the U.S. What to Expect and What to Do / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIndividuals who look for work but can't find it are miserable.[1]

On the national level, high unemployment is both cause and effect concerning other problems with the economy. As we'll see below, high unemployment results from a weak economy and - in turn - weakens the economy.

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