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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Bernanke is "Unusually Uncertain" - Is that an Improvement? / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

In response to Bernanke Says Economic Outlook is "Unusually Uncertain", Fed Prepared for "Actions as Needed" I received this comment from "Economics Teacher".

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Economics

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Unusually Uncertain Outlook Shows The Fed is Killing the Economy / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFed Chairman Ben Bernanke yesterday that the outlook for the economy is "unusually uncertain".

That's not surprising.

Nothing has changed since I made the following points last December.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

China Has a Painful Debt Bubble Surprise for the Global Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina implemented one of the world’s most aggressive economic stimulus programs to fight the recession of 2008. And the country went on something akin to a debt binge.

Credit growth surged as much 50 percent — an unprecedented peak. Such a policy can jump start an economy. But it lays the groundwork for imbalances and major bubbles.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Raising Taxes to Combat Recession, The Ultimate Fiscal Folly / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen I saw that Illinois cleverly solved its budget crisis by just not paying its bills, I knew that the end is near, or would be, if we still had a dollar that was not a stupid fiat currency, because nowadays it would be child's play for the Federal Reserve to just create as money as any state wanted! And they can do it in less time than it takes to tell you about it, too!

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Canada’s Economy Casts a Long Shadow Over its U.S. Counterpart / Economics / Canada

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Canada's economy has consistently outperformed that of the United States since the beginning of the financial crisis. And while it's showing signs of slowing down, Canada's pending decline will be far shallower than that of the United States, and its rebound more dynamic.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Four Stocks to Buy Ahead of Britain's Unexpected Economic Turnaround / Economics / UK Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: I have been negative on Britain for a decade - and with good reason. The British economy was over-dependent on financial services, and government spending - at greater than 50% of gross domestic product (GDP) - was out of control.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Japan, Land of the Rising Debt / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors are understandably scared of the sovereign debt crisis unfolding in Europe. Amid their angst, however, they are ignoring a more likely, and significantly larger, debt catastrophe that is about to hit the nation with the second-largest economy in the world — Japan. Two decades of stimulative, low-interest-rate fiscal policy have made Japan the most indebted nation in the developed world, and as new Prime Minister Naoto Kan recently said, in his first address to Parliament, that situation is not sustainable. Japan has little choice but to raise interest rates substantially, with dire consequences far beyond its shores.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Hoover's Dam Folly, Governments Never Learn They Can't Print There Way to Prosperity / Economics / Government Spending

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomics professor Bernard Malamud not once but twice invited the crowd in Las Vegas to visit nearby Hoover Dam to see for themselves an example of the productive assets that were created by Franklin Delano Roosevelt's (FDR) New Deal. Professor Malamud was recruited to plead the Keynesian side of the argument in an "FDR's Depression Policies: Good Deal or Raw Deal?" debate with the Foundation for Economic Education's (FEE) Lawrence Reed during FreedomFest.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

ECRI Paranoid About Calling a Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds have been watching the ECRI's weekly leading index plunge nonstop since October of 2009. Moreover the WLI has been in negative territory for 6 consecutive weeks.

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

Understanding Robert Prechter's Deflationary Depression 'Slope of Hope' / Economics / Great Depression II

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlmost everybody who follows financial markets has heard about climbing the "wall of worry": the time when prices head up bullishly, but no one quite believes in the rally, so there's more worry about a fall than a rise.

What's the opposite condition in the market?

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

Real Jobs vs Fake Jobs / Economics / Employment

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn many ways, the unemployment numbers are much worse than they appear. One factor has been the timing of the US census. The bureau hired some 700,000 workers to collect data — people who otherwise were having a very difficult time navigating the choppy labor markets. They went for the jobs because they were a sure thing, paid decently, and didn't require unusual skills (anyone can knock on a door and pester people about their private lives).

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

DeLong on Bigger Budget Deficits / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a recent blog post, UC Berkeley economist Brad DeLong made an arithmetic case that, "We need bigger deficits now!" As an Austrian economist I naturally find his conclusion horribly mistaken, but it will still be useful to go through DeLong's argument and identify exactly where he goes astray.

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

Keynesian Economics Fraud, A Bad Day For The WSJ / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA recurrent theme in my articles has been that our current economic system is intended to steal your wealth and that a vast amount of information being taught as economics is intended to justify this stealing and to trick you into falling for its program.

As with any misinformation, one must make a distinction between a deliberate lie and an honest mistake.  As I have studied this, it is clear to me that, at the very top, it is deliberate.  For example, John Maynard Keynes was a deliberate fraud.  He did not believe Keynesian economics.  It was a useful tool toward his goal of attracting the bankers to support him and his followers.  Keynes was a confidence man; our current economic system is a confidence game, and the intent is to steal the wealth of all the marks.

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

Obama's Policies Will Cause Economic Stagnation / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGrim is one word that surely sums up the state of the US economy. Without a doubt the Obama administration is the most incompetent since the lamentable Carter sat in the Oval office. Now there are some who sincerely believe that Obama has deliberately set out to destroy the economy. What else could explain his 'economic policies'? Ideologically-driven ignorance, for one.

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Economics

Monday, July 19, 2010

Debt, Deleverage and Default: What Next? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe relentless forces of debt, deleverage and default were set in motion by the financial market excesses of the last decade. This is hardly surprising, but the details are sobering.

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Economics

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Nouriel Roubini Ponders the "L-Shaped Recession" / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNouriel Roubini appears to be sticking with his "U-Shaped Recession" call, at least for now. However, his stance seems much more cautious than before.

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Economics

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Total Failure of Bush’s “Bail-Outs” and Obama’s “Stimulus” / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Submissions

Philip Szlyk writes: The Bush and Obama bail-outs and "stimulus" plans have been a total failure. The evidence? While "official unemployment" hovers around 9.6%, this figure excludes those formerly-employed people who, for now, have given up looking for work. It also excludes the large numbers of the formerly-employed who have opted to retire at age 62, allowing them to receive federal Social Security payments. When these two groups are included in the calculations, true unemployment has been estimated between 18% and  25%. If one further considers the large increases in government hiring (e.g., 700,000 temporary U.S. Census workers; increases in Dept of Homeland Security workers), it becomes clear that the true private-sector unemployment rate easily exceeds 25%.

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Economics

Sunday, July 18, 2010

The Debt Supercycle Path to Profligacy and End Game / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Debt Supercycle
Somewhere Over the Rainbow
The Path to Profligacy
Things That Cannot Be

I have been writing about The End Game for some time now. And writing a book of the same title. Consequently, I have been thinking a lot about how the credit crisis evolved into the sovereign debt crisis, and how it all ends. Today we explore a few musings I have had of late, while we look at some very interesting research. What will a world look like as a variety of nations have to deal with the end of their Debt Supercycle. We'll jump right in with no "but first's" this week.

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Economics

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Debunking Paul Krugman's Icelandic Economic Miracle / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith op-ed pieces such as "Budget Deficits: Spend Now, Save Later", it is of no surprise that Paul Krugman declares--Iceland--a "Post-Crisis Miracle."

In an article dated June 30, Krugman wrote: "...although Iceland is generally considered to have experienced the worst financial crisis in history, its punishment has actually been substantially less than that of other nations."

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Economics

Saturday, July 17, 2010

ShadowStats U.S. CPI Inflation Running at 4.3%, Gold $2,382, Silver $139 / Economics / Inflation

By: Jesse

ShadowStats U.S. CPI Inflation Running at 4.3%, Gold $2,382, Silver $139

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSomething Weimar this way comes?

There is almost no doubt in my mind that we will see these prices for gold and silver. I am just not sure exactly how we will get there, and when. But I expect the unexpected, or at least that which is not expected by the many.

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