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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, November 12, 2011

The End Of The Inventory Build Cycle Giving Birth to Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"If you build it, he will come" ~ Field Of Dreams

Demand begets supply. Supply then fuels demand. Probably the most simplistic way to look at the economic cycle.

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Economics

Friday, November 11, 2011

Gold Thoughts on Bursting Sovereign Debt Bubble and Keynesian Super Recession / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRarely does one live through great events. Mostly we read about them in history books. But, we are today witnessing the bursting of the greatest bubble of all time. This is the big one. More than 70 years in the making, it was inevitable. Was it popular alchemy or just another case of junk science from academia?To prepare your thinking for surviving this momentous event consider the following headlines from tomorrow¹:

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Economics

Friday, November 11, 2011

Italy in Recession, Industrial Production Plunges 4.8% GDP Likely Already Negative / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Mike_Shedlock

Here is a note I received by email from Barclays Capital regarding Italian GDP and Industrial Production ...

Italy: September IP declined 4.8% m/m (BarCap: -4.0%, consensus: -3.0%)

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Economics

Friday, November 11, 2011

U.S. Exports Narrows Trade Gap, Possibly Upward Revision of 2011:Q3 GDP / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The trade deficit narrowed to $43.1 billion in September from $44.9 billion in August. The improvement of the trade gap reflects a 1.4% increase in exports of goods and services of the United States and a small gain of 0.3% in the nation’s imports of goods and services. Although the inflation adjusted petroleum trade deficit widened slightly in September ($11.9n billion vs. $11.5 billion in August), the non-petroleum trade deficit narrowed ($35.4 billion vs. $37.2 billion in August).

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Economics

Friday, November 11, 2011

U.S. Labor Market Small But Noteworthy Improvement / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt the town hall meeting in Fort Bliss today, Chairman Bernanke stressed that the Fed is “focused intently” on job creation. He also mentioned that the United States will be affected adversely if there is a blow-up in Europe and added that the Fed stands ready to provide policy accommodation as necessary to minimize the damage.

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Economics

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Rising Wages in China Good for Glocals, But Few Jobs Coming Back / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Although some economists have predicted that steeply rising wages in China would bring some jobs back to the United States, the biggest winners will be the large multinational companies operating in China.

Last week the Guangdong province, where many of China's factories are concentrated, announced a 20% increase to the minimum wage. Combined with two earlier hikes in April and July, the total increase over the past 10 months is a startling 42%.

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Economics

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Capitalism and China, Amazing Chaos / Economics / China Economy

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSkip Cook writes: It is seven-thirty on a Sunday night. I have just completed the last leg of my trip home from Guilin, China. As I travel across the Arkansas River bridge from the Little Rock airport, headed for the bedroom community of Maumelle, where I live, I notice something conspicuously absent from my drive: Horns; nobody is honking! In China, both in Shanghai and in the smaller city of Guilin, every vehicle has a horn. Every driver is damn proud of their possession and uses it liberally. In fact, I am convinced it is likely the first mechanical device on their vehicle which will wear out.

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Economics

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Likely Economic Export Shocks From Europe / Economics / Global Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Central Bank (ECB) lowered the policy rate 25 bps to 1.25% on November 3, 2011. The possibility of a mild recession was cited as the reason for monetary policy easing. By implication, the recession should translate into fewer exports of the U.S. to Euroland. The share of US exports to the European Union (all 25 member nations) has dropped to 17.7% in August 2011 from a peak of 23.2% in February 2009.

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Economics

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Inflation Warning: Inflating Your Economy Means Playing with Fire / Economics / Inflation

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGoldMoney founder James Turk interviews When Money Dies author Adam Fergusson, who discusses the parallels and differences between the Weimar inflation and the situation in the US and Europe today. "I don't see how any of these [Western] economies can grow their way out of the extraordinary debts that they have."

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Economics

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

The Continuing Zombification of the US Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have been exploring the zombification of the US economy. Major industries – finance, health, education and defense – have been taken over by zombies, parasites whose real interest is to transfer wealth to themselves, from the part of the economy that remains productive.

As the economy becomes more zombified, the part of it dominated by these non-productive industries increases, leaving fewer resources for the productive part. And as the productive part weakens, so does the entire economy’s ability to produce real wealth, or grow its way out of debt.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

America's First Deflationary Depression: Is a Bigger One Ahead? / Economics / Great Depression II

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon't blame Martin Van Buren for America's first deflationary depression. Social mood rode higher in the saddle than did our 8th President, who only stood 5' 6".

Elected in 1836, by the time Van Buren assumed office in March 1837 a speculative bubble had burst and a banking crisis was at hand (sound familiar?) -- the national mood had turned south and the "Panic of 1837" followed. Van Buren was known as "The Little Magician," but he could not pull an economic recovery out of the hat. He met defeat seeking a second term.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

Stalling German Economy Will Throw Petrol on Eurozone Debt Fire / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Germany's economy is slowing dramatically, an unwelcome turn of events that will put even more strain on existing fractures in the European Union (EU) as it struggles to cope with its ongoing sovereign debt crisis.

Last month a consortium of eight leading economic institutes slashed their forecast for German economic growth in 2012 by more than half, from 2% to 0.8%.

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Economics

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Disappointing U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Number / Economics / Employment

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Birth-Death Model was out of normal to the high side enough to raise a comment. This is shown in the first slide. Lately the BLS statisticians had not resorted to this and had actually been running at estimates a little more to what one might expect in a business slump.

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Economics

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Solutions to the Global Economic Crisis: Keynesian Myths, Hopes and Illusions / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIsmael Hossein-zadeh writes: The Keynesian view that the government can fine tune the economy through “appropriate” fiscal and monetary policies to maintain continuous growth at or near full employment is based on the idea that capitalism can be controlled by the state and managed by professional economists from government departments, that is, capitalism run by “experts” in the interest of all. Economic policy making according to this view is largely a matter of technical expertise or economic know-how, that is, a matter of choice.

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Stupid Government Tricks, Let’s Tax the Millionaires, Where Will the Jobs Come From? / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI find myself in Liam's taxi on the beautiful drive to Kilkenny through the Irish countryside for a few hours this very early Friday morning, so what better time to begin writing about employment than in a country that is struggling, just as most of the developed world is, to find good jobs for its people. I'm on my way to a conference that will talk about the economics that is driving the world's leading governments to distraction in Cannes. Is Greece going to vote? Take the money? Will it be an orderly default? Should Ireland default? Whatever I write, the situation will change as soon as I hit the send button tonight. (For the record, I think Greece should have a referendum. You don't go into what they are getting ready to suffer without national buy-in. No elitist deals. Put it to the people to decide, one way or the other.)

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

U.S. October Employment Situation Means Fed Can Watch From the Sidelines, For Now / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 9.0% in October, down from 9.1% in September. Cycle high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.1% in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +80,000 jobs in October vs. +158,000 in September. Private sector jobs increased 104,000 after a gain of 191,000 in September. Addition of 102,000 jobs after revisions to payroll estimates of August and September

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Global Economy is at the Mercy of Tiny Greece? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s incredible when you think about it.

Greece is one of the smallest countries and economies in the world. Its population is 11 million people out of the 492 million in the combined European Union countries, and compared to 312 million in the U.S., 1.3 billion in China, 1.2 billion in India.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

U.S. Jobs Market Won't Normalize Until At Least 2023 / Economics / Employment

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Disgruntled American workers have yet another reason for pessimism: At the current rate of job creation, the U.S. unemployment rate will not fall back to "normal" levels - below 6% - until 2023.

Through most of this year the U.S. economy has managed to create about 119,000 jobs per month, but that's barely enough to keep pace with population growth. Only job creation levels of well over 120,000 jobs per month will drive down the 9.1% unemployment rate.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

Is Debt Necessary for Economic Recovery? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the crisis began, one of the dominant themes in arguments over proper government policy has been the Keynesian view that it is crucial to prop up total spending. The added twist during this particular recession is the crushing burden of private-sector debt, which allegedly makes it all the more urgent for governments to run fiscal deficits.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

U.S. Economic Productivity Improves, Labor Cost Remains Contained / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Productivity of the U.S. economy rose 3.1% in the third quarter, after posting decline in the first-half of the year. The downside of the improvement in productivity in the present environment is that it prevents firms from increasing payrolls.

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