Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 25, 2010
Gold & U.S. Dollar Rise Together? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The past week and a half has been as choppy as it gets for the stocks market. Thankfully the herd mentality (fear & greed) stays the same. Understanding what others think and feel when involved in the market is one of the keys to making money consistently from the market. The crazy looking chart below I will admit is a little tough on the eyes, and I should have used red and green for holiday colors but green just was not going to work today so bear with me J.
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Thursday, November 25, 2010
Stock Market S&P500, Gold, Crude Oil and Banking Stocks Trading Patterns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Stocks were back on sale Tuesday when the S&P 500 suffered more than a 1.40% decline by the closing bell. Some market prognosticators pointed their fingers at the dollar, other pointed at the Korean situation, and still others had their eyes fixed on Ireland and the Eurozone as potential causes for the sharp selloff. The S&P 500 is currently oversold on the short term chart and either a bounce or period of consolidation is likely. At this point, chasing stocks in either direction will only satisfy the desires of the smart money, who will likely blow these anticipatory traders into trading fodder in coming weeks.
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
The Commodities and Equities Circus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Mystery of Yellow Metal: We’d be very much interested in seeing how Gold trades today. Yesterday the Korean peninsula put a bid in Gold just as it put a bid in Green back and Yen and we had no option but to term Gold as safe haven almost of the caliber of a Reserve instrument. Why, we are interested is to find out whether Gold is better than even a reserve instrument! It enjoyed a perfect rally yesterday but as we expect weakness in Green back today would it then switch sides and conform to inverse correlation as commodities move opposite to Green back.
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
S&P 500 Levels to Watch After Spain Says No Debt Problems Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The situation in Europe reminds us of a general manager’s dreaded vote of confidence for his underperforming and embattled coach. We will expand on some risk-management concepts today after the dreaded ‘we do not need a bailout’ comments coming out of Spain. From Bloomberg:
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Nasty Spill for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a nasty spill today as world markets were lower, partially because of the saber rattling between North and South Korea.
The indices dropped sharply at the opening, gapped down, tried to rally midmorning and went lower, and made session lows before noon. The rest of the day was spent backing and filling, and trying to consolidate. They did have a little bit of a late bump, but closed off sharply.
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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Stock Market Perception is More Important than Ireland, Greece, Portugal, and Spain Combined / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The trials and tribulations of these four countries (that have run up huge deficits) have been well known for quite some time. What is more important in my opinion is not the size of the debt, which is staggering, but rather what is going on with market perception.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Awaiting Confirmation of SDS UltraShort SPY Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The e-mini S&P 500 is approaching key support at 1171.00, and the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (SPY) is approaching key support at 118.00-117.60. So why aren't I positioning myself long the UltraShort SPY (SDS)?
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
This Is Where The Stock Market Got Into Trouble Last April ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The next week or two could be an important test for the markets.
Why? Because the same pattern could be developing that preceded the May drop.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Stock Market Short-term Consolidation, Finding Support at Bottom of Expanding Bullish Channel / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began a corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Why was Euro’s rally short lived? And Other pairs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Now, the Irish bailout package seems to be a “limited relief”, to us market had plenty of time to observe and then act accordingly before the markets opened around the world as Ireland went to IMF on “Sunday”.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Ireland's $130 Billion Bailout When Irish Banks are Ailing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
$130 Billion!
That's how much money Ireland will be getting in the bailout package they said they didn't need as recently as Friday. I just want to make it perfectly clear that I also DO NOT need a bailout of tens of Billions of dollars so whatever you do - DON'T give me a bailout this weekend. Let's hope that works! The U.K. and Sweden may contribute bilateral loans, the EU said in a statement. Irish Finance Minister Lenihan declined to say how big the package will be, saying that it will be less than 100 billion euros but Goldman Sachs said yesterday the government needs 65 billion euros to fund itself for the next three years and 30 billion euros for the banks.
Monday, November 22, 2010
S&P 1200 Remains Too Difficult... For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's not bad news at all. The market could definitely use more to refresh. A longer time to pause to sell off slowly but gradually. Enough time to unwind those oscillators from neutral to oversold on those daily charts. The longer we sell off slowly the more sentiment will erode. The market wouldn't be best served if we just flew up here. Won't happen in all likelihood, but anything is always possible.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Fibonacci, Elliott Wave Theory and the Stocks Bull Market, Gold Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There are a number of well known technicians and fundamentalists who believe and continually write about and talk about a long term bear market in the stock indexes that has much further to go. There are long term charts that may be telling us that a bear market in the S & P 500 and the D. J. I. A. ended in March 2009. A third chart may be telling us that a fifth and final wave in the long term bull market in stocks that began in 1913 is underway. It appears to have begun at the bottom in March 2009. Thirty four years is the key number.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Stocks, Dollar, Gold and Crude Oil 2010 Year End Targets to Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A couple of weeks ago I gave you my updated shorter-term market maps for the Dow Industrials, gold and oil.
Today — for the first time ever — I am going to release my critical longer-term year-end signals for the same markets that I want you to be aware of.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
FDIC: 903 U.S. Banks in Trouble, What to do … / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Martin here with an urgent update on the next phase of the banking crisis.
Just this past Friday, the government released new data showing that the FDIC’s list of “problem banks” now includes 903 institutions.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Investing Strategy for Switching from Bonds to High Dividend Paying Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
This is a follow-up to last week's letter suggesting that the best days for bonds are behind us for a while, and that reduction of bond positions is in order. We have been replacing bonds in managed accounts with high quality, above average dividend stocks with long histories of paying and growing dividends, and shortening duration among the substantially reduced bond positions we hold.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Can the Stocks Bull Market Continue as Uncertainty Recedes? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks rose briskly in the second half of last week as investors cheered the return of General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) shares to the Street and the return of Irish budget officials to the debt negotiating table. It's amazing how quickly people forget what a horrible company GM was and what a mess Dublin has made of governance. In a twinkling of an eye, all was forgiven. Must be a bull market.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Federal Reserve Actions and Their Economic and Market Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It is generally accepted that the recent financial crisis was brought about by excessive borrowing due to cheap and easy credit, and this excessive borrowing increased the risk in the financial system as market participants leveraged up to the hilt. Therefore it appears to be somewhat hypocritical to claim that the best action to take after such a crisis is to lower borrowing costs and make credit more accessible. This essay will explore the recent quantitative easing actions by the Federal Reserve, the repercussions of these actions and what implications similar policies may have on the financial markets and the global economy going forward.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Chinese Stocks, Is Red China Rolling Over? / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
I have begun to cash out of many of my positions and take profits in anticipation of a flat to down US market until the end of December. Both tax selling and the taking of profits coupled with uncertain outlooks in communist China and in the PIGG portion of Europe suggest less upside reward than an undeniably strong technical market trend might suggest at this point. Better to be early than late is my motto.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Global Inflation Watch as Gold and Silver Hit Good Support, QE2 Aimed at Breaking Stocks Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Pure truth, like pure gold, has been found unfit for circulation because men have discovered that it is far more convenient to adulterate the truth than to refine themselves.” - Charles Caleb Colton
There is so much going on out there that it’s difficult to pick a starting point. China, Ireland, quantitative easing and even Greece pop in and out of the news like a cork bobbing around on rough seas. One day everybody is selling everything due to deflationary fears and the very next day they are buying everything because of the threat of inflation. Then the next day deflation back on the tip of everybody’s tongue…
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