Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets Register Worst January Performance in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_J_Nolte
We've seen this movie before and unfortunately it doesn't end well. With the decline of over 8% for the month of January, the SP500 has cemented the worst January in the history of the index. Nothing like piling on! Economically speaking, the markets took their cue from the very poor reports. Although the GDP figure was better than expected, once the details were pulled apart, there really was nothing to get excited about going into the first quarter. Housing figures also indicated that there is no improvement in housing. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: How to Survive Deflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bear market reasserted itself by the end of last week in response to across the board bad earnings reports and economic data accompanied by revised IMF forecasts of marked slow down in global economic growth. The stock market trends are in line with the forecast for 2009 that targets new stocks bear market lows for the Dow of 6,600 and FTSE 3,400 as per my earlier newsletter and associated syndicated article of 22nd January.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Dangerous Time to Stay Invested in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
The terrible price action in the stock market raises the question, ‘are we on the right track expecting seasonals and the multiple post-crash historical patterns that have proven reliable in forecasting higher prices moving forward from here to repeat; or, is the market condition so far advanced that these things are known by the investing population, potentially altering the outcome?' This, in essence, is the question of the hour all good speculators are asking themselves right now. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Market Performance at the Mercy of Grim Corporate and Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
An avalanche of worse-than-expected economic and earnings data again put pressure on Wall Street during the past month, resulting in four straight down-weeks and the worst performance of the major US indices for January on record.
“As January goes, so goes the year” is one of the most frequently quoted sayings about seasonal trends in the stock market. With the Dow Jones Industrial Index down by 8.8% and the S&P 500 Index 8.6% lower, the year is not off to a promising start.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Trivial Corporate Earnings, Not-So-Trivial Investor Buying / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Oxbury_Research
On Wednesday, after the markets closed, as well as Thursday before the open, the distinct majority of earnings surprises were positive. So, why on Earth did the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P close down between 2.7% and 3.3%?
Because what is happening is exactly what I said was happening. Earnings and non-catastrophic news alone are not going to budge the market. The only event that will push or pull prices is the will of investors.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 2nd February 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extended last Friday's decline below the 10-
day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last Friday's decline, January's low crossing at 1132.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1200.17 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets Log Worst January Ever! / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
US markets finished the week very much on the back foot. Disappointing earnings from P&G, Allstate & Caterpillar trailed analysts estimates while the entrails of the GDP report revealed that consumer spending was down a massive 9% . No wonder exports from Germany, China and Japan are falling off a cliff. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Financial and Economic Forecasts 2009, Stock Market Crash to New Lows / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
If you were shocked by last quarter's 3.8% plunge in the economy, wait till you see the tally for the current quarter!
Late last year, consumers snapped their wallets shut so quickly, and America's manufacturers were so unprepared, they couldn't stop their assembly lines fast enough.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets at Major Bear Tipping Point: Protect Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Armstrong_Davis
2008 and 2009: Years of return OF capital, not necessarily return ON capital. We are close to a major turning point in the stock market and during the weekend I considered very carefully what action to take.
Clients may recall that there is a greater than 90% correlation between all major stock markets. So, whether this is the FTSE in London, or the DAX in Frankfurt or the Nikkei in Tokyo, the movement in stock prices has been almost identical. For us, the S&P is the leader of world markets. Hence we focus on it rather than, for example, our own FTSE100. Look at the following chart of the S&P 500.
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Sunday, February 01, 2009
Stock Markets Record Worst January Ever! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Non existent. The S&P 500 (SPX) finished its worst January ever, down 8.57%.
During the 1st year of the Presidential Cycle, since 1928, the SPX has been up 62% of the time, in January during the 1st year of the Presidential Cycle, with an average gain of 1.7%. Out of the 8 times the SPX has been down in January during the 1st year of the Presidential Cycle all but one turned out to be the beginning of a down year.
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Saturday, January 31, 2009
Stock Market January Losses May Not Bode Well For Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Kingsley_Anderson
Two days after a fiery rally that broke through resistance, the indexes have been pushed back into their previous trading ranges. If you are going either long or short, this is indeed a frustrating market. The positive aspects of today's decline was that while volume was higher than the previous day, it is still rather low. Investors should also consider the movement of the VIX . While it has increased over the last two days, it is still caught in a downtrend. The 50 dma is slowly rolling over while the 200 dma is bound to be tested soon.
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Saturday, January 31, 2009
Stock Market Eroding Towards A Breakdown..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
There have been so many head fakes in this three month lateral range that you don't get your hopes up when it looks like a more directional play is about to be in play. 805 is the number where massive support comes in to play and we have held easily above for a while. 860 was strong resistance and we did take that level out only to lose it right back and now we're headed back down again. There has simply been too many pieces of bad news from the economic data as well as earnings over the past few days to keep the bulls in charge for more than a day or so or until we get to important resistance. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 31, 2009
Trading the Dow Stocks Bear Market with the Complete Speculative Landscape / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Joseph_Russo
Five Levels of Engagement - After a brief update on the Dow, we will share with readers the five levels of tactical engagement, which drive our market guidance and summarizes the working architecture behind Elliott Wave Technology's forecasting disciplines. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Economic & Financial Markets Forecast 2009: Collapsing Global Financial System Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Ty_Andros
As economic activity and PONZI finance fall off the face of the earth, we enter the stretch run of the CON game known as the Bond and FIAT currency markets. Although both are headed for their ultimate demise, the path will be quite different. In 2009, these challenges will be headed your way. Prepare properly and thrive, or fail to do so and fall to your demise. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
U.S. Economy Contracts 3.8% as Wallstreet Rewards Failure with Bailout Cash / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The U.S. economy shrank the most in the fourth quarter since 1982 as consumer spending recorded the worst slide in the postwar era, a trajectory that's likely to continue in coming months.
The 3.8 percent annual pace of contraction was less than forecast, with a buildup of unsold goods cushioning the blow. Excluding inventories, the decline was 5.1 percent, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. A survey of purchasing managers also indicated today that business in January was the weakest in almost 27 years.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Upmove Expected in Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Looking at the hourly chart on the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ), my near term pattern work argues strongly that the decline from Wednesday's rally high at 30.65 ended this morning at 29.19, and that in the upcoming hours the Q's will carve out a minor base area ahead of another upmove that should revisit 30.00/20, and then possibly 31.25/50 prior to completion.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Cassandra John Paulson Hedge Fund Manager Makes Billions from the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate near 0% and claimed it stands ready to take additional steps such as purchasing longer-term Treasury bonds if such a move will help get credit flowing once again.
It seems their logic is that lowering the yield on government bonds will spur other lenders to lower their own yields. Hmmm, isn't the mantra of cheaper money everywhere sounding familiar? Why, of course it is.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 30th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of Wednesday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 1256.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1186.95 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Recession Makes Stocks Pause For Thought / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
A reality check for the Dow yesterday; the onslaught of ever grimmer economic news (and serious downward revisions to previous numbers) finally took its toll and snapped the 4 day winning streak. There was notable weakness in banking (the recent star performer), autos (Ford's $6bn loss) , aerospace (on dire durable goods data) & industrial equities. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Becoming Overly Complacent and Gold Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Daniel_Smolski
A routine I have always kept to is listening to market news on the radio every morning. Recently it has felt as if the morning market news has morphed into the morning job losses report. It is no longer tracked on a monthly or weekly basis but rather the consortium of job cut announcements have been a routine part of the morning news. This Thursday morning, we were confronted with 12,000 jobs cuts lead by Eastman Kodak, Wednesday brought us 15,000, Tuesday 11,500 and kicking off the week on Monday we recorded 71,000 jobs losses. Read full article... Read full article...