Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Peeking Under the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: HRA_Advisory
[The following comments went out to subscribers prior to the US Election and Hank Paulson's latest change of tack but our comments on where we expect things to turn first haven't changed. – Eds] - Its too soon to say de-leveraging and “de-Funding” is over, and all trading desks can do is respond to calls by marking up more red on screens while it continues. However, various measures to unlock credit do seem to be creating at least the potential for trading bottoms. Credit market risk measures such as the TED spread are starting to narrow. We don't expect them to return to normal for a long time but that is not required for a rally. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Extreme Stock Market Volatility as Corporate America Heads Towards Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The Oxford Dictionary defines “volatility” as “liable to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse”. It's not as if investors do not know this by now, as global stock markets were again subjected to extreme fluctuations during the past week.
The red line in the chart below shows the daily percentage change in the S&P 500 Index, illustrating the severe movements stock markets have seen in recent times.
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Stock Market Bear Still in Control / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing is a guarantee for sure in life but one thing I do know for sure is that the last 40 minutes of trading told us a lot about where we are in this stock market and the message this market is trying to send to the world that many of us still haven't heard. I now feel for sure that there is something out there that we just don't get at this moment in time because it's not visible. It does, however, have an energy. A vibe. It's saying that we are dealing with something never before seen and it's also saying that it's job isn't over yet. Almost like a punishment for all the improper behavior from the higher ups from just about everywhere. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Why the Dollar is Rising and Potential for Large Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
- The Economy Gets a Margin Call
- Where Have All the Consumers Gone?
- Why Is the Dollar Rising?
- Can We Actually Muddle Through?
- The Potential for a Large Stock Market Rally
- Is GM too Big to Let Fail?
As long-time readers know, my daughter Tiffani and I are interviewing millionaires for a book we will be writing called Eavesdropping on Millionaires. This has been one of the more personally impacting projects of my life, as the stories we hear are so very provocative. I hope we can transfer to readers of the book at least half of the impact we are personally experiencing. But at the end of each interview, we let the interviewee ask me questions. Often, they are along the line of "Do you really think we will Muddle Through?" Sometimes they ask in need of assurance and sometimes they simply think that my stance is somewhat naïve. It is something of an irony that I am called a perma-bear in some circles and a Pollyanna in others. The Muddle Through middle has been lonely of late.
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Saturday, November 15, 2008
Bailout for GE But not Yet for GM / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Holiday Retail Sales aren't what they used to be.- “ The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $363.7 billion, a decrease of 2.8 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 4.1 percent (±0.7%) below October 2007.” Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Stock Market Strong Bottom Indicators Supporting a Sustained Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The bottom indicators have been moving sharply upward suggesting a high likelihood of a rally lasting at least several weeks.
Short Term - Many indicators are coincident, i.e. they mirror what is happening. Oscillators and momentum indicators can be misleading because of their tendency to revert to 0 or neutral. The recent activity in volume indicators has been confusing.
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Saturday, November 15, 2008
21st Century Investments, What's Hot and What's Not! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Tim_Iacono
It took a while to make up this chart, therefore, I don't have much of anything to add. Fortunately, the chart speaks for itself.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Hope for a Dismal Economy & Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Dancy
The ‘page one' story last month was simple. If you owned stocks in any market in the world you suffered a serious decline. Year to date the S&P 500 index is down 34% and the Russell Microcap index has declined 33.7%. For the one, three, five, and 10 year periods all the major indexes we track yielded negative returns. An investment in those major market indexes for each of those investment periods would have lost money. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Where Will the Stock Market Go Next? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
This chart is part of a Multi-Indicator Model that we post on our paid website every day. There are actually 5 Indicators on the chart, and we will show two of them this morning.
The chart below compares the market action of the New York Stock Exchange Index to the trend of the Declining Volume on the NYSE, and a C-RSI (Relative Strength) on the NYSE.
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Friday, November 14, 2008
G7 Banking Systems Continue to Plunge into the Abyss / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Ty_Andros
As the G7 banking systems continue their plunge into the abyss, so do the world's economies. Public servants, governments and central banks are firing every policy option they have to keep the confidence of consumers and business from collapsing. NOTHING is working as the dominoes of confidence fall faster then they can run ahead of the game. The US and G7 governments are still trying to PICK winners and losers so confusion reigns supreme. Which set of corporate or financial elites will be let into the financial lifeboats and which shall be allowed to fail? That is the question. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock Markets Plunge Near the Close / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
We certainly had a topsy-turvy, volatile session today with the indices moving in three distinct waves on Friday. In the morning they gapped lower at the opening and moved down steadily until they reached yesterday's late reaction lows just under 1180 on the Nasdaq 100 and down around the 870 range on the S&P 500. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 14th November / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of Thursday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below October's low crossing at 1136.75 would open the door for a possible test of monthly support crossing at 979.90 later this year. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 1321.25 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes above last Wednesday's high crossing at 1389.00 are needed to renew the rally off October's low. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock Market Rally Against the Primary Trend / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
What a wild day on stock markets yesterday! At one stage the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged to below 8,000, but staged a spectacular rally late in the session to close 553 points (6.6%) up on the day. The S&P 500 Index moved in tandem to finish the day 59 points (6.9%) higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Stock Market Crash Count Update and Bullish Gold Stocks Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Bullish Divergences on $HUI and $OSX, S&P Crash Count Updated Again, here are a few charts I am looking at after Thursday's dramatic reversal.$HUI Daily Chart
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Friday, November 14, 2008
Japanese Stock Market Could Bounce in the New Year / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Japan has been an infuriating country for U.S. investors for almost 20 years now, since its benchmark Nikkei 225 index hit its trading high of 38,957 in late December 1989 . The market then dropped steadily to a third of its peak value by the end of 1998, zoomed back up to 20,000 in March 2000, fell to a low of 7,600 in March 2003, and then recovered to 17,600 in June 2007. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Stock Indices Explode Higher in the Mother of All Rallies! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The mother of all rallies occurred in the afternoon as the indices exploded in very strong 5-wave rally that left them at or very near the highs for the day going away on the close in a major turnaround rally. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Emerging Markets ETF Starting New Upleg? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's notice that at yesterday's low the iShares Emerging Markets ETF (AMEX: EEM) was 10% of its October low, compared to the SPY's, which at yesterday's low were about 1.8% off of October low. In addition, the pattern carved out from the Oct 27 low at 18.90 to the 27.63 high on Nov 4 exhibits a very bullish structure, which was followed by a correct pattern into yesterday's low. Taken together, my pattern analysis suggests strongly that the EEM has entered the very early stages of a new upleg that has as its first target a test of the November resistance line now at 24.75.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Where Stock Market Valuations and Technical Support Intersect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Where observation is concerned, chance favors only the prepared mind.” Louis Pasteur (1822-1895)
The basic fundamental value in buying a stock or a business is the cash flow it can produce over time. Investors discount expected cash flows to a single present value to come up with a valuation for a stock or business. You value a stock the same way you would value a dry cleaning business. A prospective buyer of a dry cleaning establishment wants to know how much cash it can produce over time after all the bills are paid.
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Stocks, U.S. Dollar and Crude Oil Video Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: INO
When Paulson came out today and stated that his earlier plan to save the western world was not working, he offered up a plan "C" (or is it "D"?) to relieve pressure on consumer credit, scrapping his earlier effort to buy the value mortgage assets.
No matter what happens or what the next plan is here, are the 3 reasons I believe stocks are headed lower.
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Signs of a Stock Market Bottom as Bulls Duck for Cover Whilst Bears Roar / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Last weekend, I attended the Money Show in Washington, DC. The themes of fear and greed ran throughout the show. And I'd say that fear had the upper hand.
The speakers at the show (I was one of them) presented a bushel of picks for both up and down markets. And it's always good to get a peek inside some of the best brains in the business.
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