Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 31, 2007
Stock Market Investing - The Case For Expanding PE Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Knowing whether the PE ratio is going to expand or contract is an important factor when trying to beat the market . This is the second of a four part series on which direction the PE ratio for the S&P 500 will go over the next couple of years. Last week we briefly went over how to use the PE ratio and then we will look at ways to get the underlying PE ratio for the S&P 500. It is not as easy as one might first think. In the later parts we will examine the potential for the S&P 500 PE ratio to expand, contract and then provide an opinion on what investors should do. You can read the first commentary at Will the PE Ratio Expand or Contract? Part 1 . For those readers interested in learning more on how to predict macro moves in the market check out Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles by Joe Ellis. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Stock Market Crash Alert #4 : How to Buy Immediate Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: This is the fourth crash alert that I have sent you in recent weeks.
If you failed to act on my first , second and third alerts, it's water under the bridge. Just take advantage of market rallies like today's and focus on the protective steps you can take right now …
Step #1. Buy Hedges to Protect Your Portfolio From Potentially Devastating Losses
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 30, 2007
What to Do Next : Five FInancial Alternatives To Stocks For These Volatile Times Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I began the Aug. 6, 2007, issue of Commodities Trends by stating, "In the financial markets, all we know for sure is that nothing's for sure. The way I see it, financially speaking the stock market does not appear to be the place to be right now. Stocks could certainly go lower; possibly a lot lower."
In the last issue, I advocated steering clear of most stocks, investment real estate and any bond below investment grade. I also recommended buying the Japanese yen. I hope this advice helped you.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Upmove in the Nasdaq Not for Long / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Although the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) have the right structure and look of an incomplete upleg off of yesterday's low at 46.71, my overall work argues that in the vicinity of 47.70 up to 48.10 this rally will fail and the Q's will reverse into a decline that will retest 46.71, and perhaps press into the 46 area. In other words, I am viewing this upmove as an intervening rally between two declines of a correction.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Stock Market Indexes Confirm a Bullish Cycle Turn / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
From recent information to our investment advisory clients, the S&P 500 index has recently confirmed a 45-day (10-week) and 120-day (20-26 week) cycle bottom in place. The index did so by closing above VTL resistance (chart 1), which goes over top of a shorter-term cyclical component, the nominal 20-day cycle.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
More Stock Market Downside Pressure Coming - Leading Market Indicators: Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Last week, I reviewed three leading indicators of the S&P 500 and found only the Broker/Dealer sector was slowing turning positive. The other two leading indicators were both still declining. This week, three more key indicators will be examined for evidence of possible renewed strength and reversals.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Gold and Dow Jones Analysis - Worrying Times / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
That the direction of the gold price has been in a state of indecision can be seen from the following chart. Since the gold price peaked in May 2006, it has been trending sideways, tracing out what appeared to be a Triangle formation. Some weeks ago this analyst thought he saw evidence that the gold price was about to break up out of the triangle. In fact, it did break up briefly – only to pull back again. Intriguingly, the RSI oscillator has been crawling along the 50% level – clearly incapable of pointing a firm direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
USAGOLD's Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of 2007 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
The financial market globally is up to its elbows in one of the strangest and most complicated credit crises in history. Events have come in rapid succession with mind-numbing effect. No sooner does the dust settle in one part of the market than it is kicked up in another. Through it all, the reactions on the part of the participants have been the stuff of a good financial thriller. We thought it would be interesting to catalog some of that reaction for you on one web page. So here they are - from the witty and profound to the scary and downright silly - our Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of '07.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Fingers of Financial Markets Instability Part 3 - September: Blitzkrieg of Bad News / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In This Issue – Four Fingers Financial Markets Instability
- Banks Out On a Limb
- No Escape, aka “Roach Motels”
- Juggling Acts
- Return of the Resolution Trusts
As we move into September we must keep in mind that historically it is the worst month of the year for the stock markets. Years ending in 7 are particularly nasty as outlined in the July 15 th edition of the “Crack up boom” series. With the events this year, it would argue for more turmoil. As outlined in the previous edition of ‘Fingers of Instability', we are waiting for the cockroaches to emerge into the headlines and in this missive we will put a few “fingers” on them. The turmoil unfolding in the financial sectors of banks and prime brokers has a lot further to run before it will be safe to play on the long side. On the short side however, opportunities would appear to abound.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
The Gathering Financial Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"...Only a lack of imagination can have allowed professional investors to suddenly think of the US Dollar as today's quality refuge..."
ONCE EVERYONE gets back from vacation and starts to focus on what's really going on, we may be in for a torrid few months in the financial markets.
I believe the current lull in gold prices could offer a good opportunity to defend yourself before the real trouble begins.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Predicting the Financial Markets in the Current Chaotic Environment / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
No one can predict how deep the decline in Western economies that is underway will go, because there is so little transparent information. Within the U.S., the government is hiding the severity of the crisis in order to prevent a collapse of consumer confidence.Realize that the problem does not lie on the side of production. Global industry has the capacity to produce a huge quantity of goods and services. There is even a glut in some sectors, such as automobiles, textiles, IT, and other consumer products.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Fed Policy A Recipe For Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As explained Tuesday , the Fed was not about to give into the mob (in terms of official policy) just yet in consideration of the Presidential Cycle and dollar ($), with the end result being the market thought they were demonstrating the economy is stronger than people think, which turned into a credibility boost as stocks continued to squeeze higher. This of course is really just a bluff on the Fed's part, as the credit cycle is turning down, meaning the economy (all Western economies) is in a great deal of trouble moving forward. Here, as you know, stocks are rising not because they are discounting better times ahead, as price managers would have you believe. No, they are rising because of historically high short positions set against ample liquidity conditions sufficient to spark consecutive short squeezes higher, which is why the stock market never corrects fully.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Stock Market and Financial Crash Emergency Audio Update! Online NOW! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: The other shoe is about to drop on this mortgage catastrophe — and before it does, I need to get you some urgent help — fast .
So this morning, my team and I have just recorded an Emergency Audio Update .
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
What to Do Next : 5 FInancial Alternatives To Stocks For These Volatile Times / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
In the financial markets, all we know for sure is that nothing's for sure.
The way I see it, financially speaking the stock market doesn't appear to be the place to be right now. Stocks have retreated in recent weeks, but they certainly could go lower, possibly a lot lower. For the foreseeable future, I plan to steer clear of most stocks, investment real estate and any bond below investment grade.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - The Situation Today is Temporary / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
It is not often Peggy Lee and Wall Street meet, however the market action of the past six weeks begs the question posed by Ms. Lee – Is that all there is? If that is all there is my friends, then let's keep dancing! And stocks did just that, dancing higher as the concerns over housing, sub-prime loans and a liquidity crunch became mere memories. The SP500 is merely a percent away from the closing level of June and three from the May peak.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
Volatility As a Stock Market Indicator / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Investors seeking to beat the stock market are always looking for a way to help predict the trends that lead to profits. The movements up and down create opportunities for investors and traders. They also create serious risks and can cause investors to panic and sell at the wrong time. Knowing how use this volatility can help investors improve their performance.
What is Volatility?Volatility is a measure of dispersion around the mean or average return of a security. While there are several ways to measure volatility one of the most common is to use the statistical measure called the standard deviation. A standard deviation tells an observer of a stock or index how tightly grouped it is around an average, such as the moving average. A small standard deviation means the price is tightly bunched together. A large standard deviation means the price is spread apart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
MPTrader - Nasdaq's (Q's) Decline Unimpressive / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Thus far today the fact that the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) are down about $0.30 is not very impressive if you are looking for some give-back after last week's powerful advance. Put another way, the Q's are holding up extremely well, as if there is very little impetus to bank last week's advance.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
Stock and Financial Markets Crash - Final Warning! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: This is your final warning.
The tempest Mike Larson and I have been warning you about is here, and the time for protective action is now.
To see the storm, you no longer need the flat-screen window to the world that you get each day from CNBC or CNN. You don't even require the time telescope we've been giving you in Money and Markets .
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
Market Efficiency Hokum / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
You know the story triumphantly heard in the West. Markets work best when governments let them operate freely - unconstrained by rules, regulations and taxes about which noted economist Milton Friedman once said in an interview he was "in favor of cutting....under any circumstances and for any excuse, for any reason, whenever it's possible (because) the big problem is not taxes (but government) spending.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 27th August 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point, some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to another correction in 2008.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - Climactic action followed by an immediate reversal suggests that the 4.5-yr cycle has bottomed, but the low will need to be tested.
Read full article... Read full article...