Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, March 18, 2017
Stock Market 4 Year Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the week at SPX 2373. After ticking up to SPX 2374 on Monday the market gapped down on Tuesday to SPX 2358. After that it rallied to SPX 2390, after the FED raised rates 25 bps to 1.0% on Wednesday. Then it pulled back to SPX 2378 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.55%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, building permits, and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: the CPI/PPI, retail sales, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, capacity utilization, leading indicators, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by durable goods orders and housing. Best to your week!
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Janet Yellen Just Popped the Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The Fed hiked rates for the third time in eleven years.
In so doing it has confirmed what many have long suspected: that the only thing that matters to the Fed is stock market levels.
The Fed certainly doesn’t care about GDP growth. If it did, it would be evident that now is NOT the time to be hiking rates.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Financial Crisis, Steve Eisman: Smart, Lucky, Abrasive & Now One Of Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
I loved Michael Lewis’ book – The Big Short – about the 2008 Wall Street created global financial catastrophe, that is still impacting the little guys on Main Street eight years after it was supposedly resolved by Paulson, Bernanke and Obama. I even wrote an article about it called The Big Short: How Wall Street Destroyed Main Street. I also loved one of the main characters in the book – Frontpoint Partners hedge fund manager Steve Eisman – a foul mouthed, highly skeptical, open minded guy who figured out the fraudulent subprime mortgage scheme and shorted the crap out of the derivatives backing the fraud, making hundreds of millions in the process.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
$1.4 Trillion of SPX Notionals Due to Expire / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX futures are flat going into Quad Witching options expiration. The action is likely to begin in the final minutes before the market opens as traders square away their positions.
ZeroHedge reports, “A quiet start to today's quad-witching St. Patrick's day, with European stocks mixed, Asian shares and U.S. index futures (-0.1%) little changed ahead of industrial production data with just Tiffany's set to report earnings.”
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
Stock Market Resume Uptrend Or Correct Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Call Me Boring, But… Those who don’t like my writing style may already call me boring (or worse), but as far as stock holdings go I willingly take on that description. If you’re looking for words about yesterday’s FOMC meeting, you won’t find them here. There are plenty of people picking that thing apart and trying to make chicken salad (news) out of chicken shit (a non-event).
I am not going to go on about the precious metals’ big rip yesterday because that is for casino patrons to get excited about. I’ve expected the sector to bounce from oversold conditions. When it takes out real upside parameters (that NFTRH will surely manage) we’ll amp up the hysterics (not really).
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
The Straddle Trade Stock Market Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Day Trade the News with Straddle Trades.
As part of my trading system I have 7 day trading strategies that I utilise. One such strategy employed is the straddle. This strategy I use to: “trade the news”. (I list all the other 6 strategies below for review. Over the next few months I hope to explain each in greater detail and provide examples of their technical set-up and actual execution).
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
Stocks Get Close To Record High Again As Fed Hikes Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, March 16, 2017
US Interest Rates Up Quarter Percent, Stock Market Loved It / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Fed Yellen raised interest rates a quarter percent today and the stock market loved it. The Nasdaq 100 popped early, and then pulled back, but the S&P 500 kept going up all morning. By midday, just before the FOMC, they pulled back just a little going into that meeting, and then exploded. They pulled back again and rallied sharply. Only at the end of the day did they pull back a little to pare back the profits.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2017
Stock Market Chaos in the Chicken Coop / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX has exceeded its 61.8% Fib retracement and may be headed for the hourly Cycle Top at 2391.50. It is overbought to an extreme and may reverse at any time.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2017
Fanaticism, Stock Market Crash 2017 or Continuation of Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
"A fanatic is a man that does what he thinks the Lord would do if He knew the facts of the case." ~ Finley Peter Dunne
Not too long ago this bull market was one of the most hated in history; that no longer appears to be the case. Throughout the unpopular phase of this bull market, we consistently and much to the dismay of many penguins, oops we mean experts, stated that every pullback should have been treated as a buying opportunity. There were two reasons for this; market sentiment was consistently negative, and the trend was up.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2017
Stock Market Most Overvalued On Record — Worse Than 1929? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The US stock market today has never been more dangerous and overvalued, according to respected Wall Street market analyst John Hussman.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2017
What's Preventing the Dow from Exploding? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market has once again entered a period of consolidation as investors wait for the results of the most important legislative decision of the year. The fight to repeal and replace Obamacare has taken the spotlight as Congress debates the passage of legislation that would eliminate its most burdensome aspects for businesses and individual taxpayers alike.
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Tuesday, March 14, 2017
SPX Futures are Down this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
SPX futures are down this morning, but haven’t yet crossed either Short-term support at 2359.10 or the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2355.00. There is still a considerable distance to go. From a timing perspective, the time elapsed between that March 1 high at 2400.98 and the March 10 high at 2376.86 was approximately 45 hours. That is one-half the 12.9-day (90 hour) Cycle that we saw in last January’s decline. Should that observation be correct, it suggests the decline may extend to the close on Monday, March 20.
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Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Strong Stock Market Still, Won’t Give Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting day today, and a lot of our stocks did very well. The indices, however, were mixed.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 21.50 at 20,881.48. The S&P 500 was up .87 at 2373.47. The Nasdaq 100 was up 8.67 at 5394.57.
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Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Stock Market Elliott Wave Target: SPX 2,700 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Looking at the bull market advance since 2009, we can see at least two options for counting. The options are that wave 3 ended in May'15 (blue) or wave 3 is ongoing (green).
The late 2015 decline certainly looks like a potential wave 4 except that the high earlier in May that year came with a negative divergence in RSI. Third waves usually have a strong RSI reading (like now).
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Monday, March 13, 2017
Here's What the Stock Market Could do for the 3rd Time in 17 years / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The major averages continue to set record highs, which provides further evidence that Wall Street is becoming more complacent with the growing dichotomy between equity prices and the underlying strength of the U.S. economy. When investors view the Total market cap to GDP ratio, it becomes strikingly clear that economic growth has not at all kept pace with booming stock values in the past few years.
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Monday, March 13, 2017
Stock Market Unconfirmed Intermediate Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: Reaching 2400 has brought about a correction, but 2410 is still a remote possibility.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 12, 2017
A Review of Stock Market Predictions for 2017— 10 Weeks Later / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Towards the end of 2016, there was a seemingly unending stream market prediction from legitimate analysts and a host of self-styled experts about where the markets are headed in 2017. Some analysts interpreted the signs to suggest that 2017 will be rewarding for investors and there wasn’t a shortage of analysts who saw reasons to be bearish on the market in 2017.
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Sunday, March 12, 2017
SPX New Highs Should be Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the week at SPX 2383. After a gap down opening on Monday the market declined to SPX 2355 by Thursday. Then a gap up opening on Friday carried the SPX to 2377, before ending the week at 2373. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, the Q1 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: factory orders, the ADP, export/import prices, monthly payrolls, plus the unemployment rate and budget deficit declined. Next week the FOMC meets, and there are reports on industrial production, housing, the CPI/PPI, retail sales, plus its options expiration Friday. Best to your week!
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Friday, March 10, 2017
Seven Bowls – Current Threat - Personal & Financial Protection Shield / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Although finance & economics are the primary themes for the Hat Trick Letter and its related research, it is impossible to ignore the reality of widespread coordinated aggravated attempts to destroy our lovely blue orb, planet Earth. The globalists are hell-bent on ruining the entire biosphere for the home to humanity. Gold & Silver might be the best protection for the financial and economic deterioration, if not destruction, as individuals and financial entities work to ensure the preservation of their assets. However, Gold & Silver should be part of any concerted effort toward preparedness in emergency supply. The Jackass has diverted in this one article instance from the primary newsletter themes in order to warn people about the threat to the entire human species. The common theme among the perpetrators is the Satanism practiced by the Western Elite, who are gradually being exposed for their pedophilia and child sacrifice rituals. Their symbols are all through the corporate signposts, from Proctor & Gamble to HSBC and much deeper.
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