Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 22, 2015
De-Greece-ing the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending diagonal is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Stock Market Monday Big Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It looks as though the US stock market could plunge Monday. We have Saturn Semi-Sq. Pluto while Saturn is in Scorpio and while Jupiter is trine Uranus. On the cycle front we have a Gann cycle low due Monday while we also have a Bradley turn date. The Armstrong Pi Cycle suggests a panic week for the Dow Industrials (which by my reckoning should occur on Monday).Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets in Self-Perpetuating Denial / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The central bank circus was on full display this week as the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee held a two-day meeting only to emerge with another mind-numbing series of excuses for keeping interest rates at zero when the economy is not in crisis.
One such claim was that inflation (as measured by economists) is insufficiently high, despite the fact that the price of real-world goods and services (including gasoline again) are steadily rising. The Fed stated that it's afraid raising interest rates – for the first time in nine years and by all of 25 basis points – could send the economy into a tailspin. That isn't only bad policy, it is pathetic.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Markets - All Eyes on New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
SPX
In the last report I was looking for a bit more downside, then setup for a move higher. http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/all-eyes-on-new-highs-part-ii/
For the best part that's exactly what we saw, with the rally late last week it should now setup for a move higher now for the final piece to this suspected ending diagonal that has been in progress from the Oct 2014 lows. Whilst there is a way to count the pattern completed, based on the recent sideways chop, I favor more upside and make a new high above 2134.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Shanghai China Stocks Sink: Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What is occurring today in China’s Shanghai Stock Index can best be described by Yogi Berra’s famous line: “Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again.”
Almost 85% of China-listed companies are trading at higher multiples today than they did at the previous market top in 2007…just before the crash.
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Saturday, June 20, 2015
Investor Tactics to Profit from the Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's a lot being written about the Greek debt crisis right now. It's scary, it's problematic, and, for the most part, almost totally unusable for the average investor.
That's completely unacceptable as far as I'm concerned.
So I thought we'd take a good hard look at what you actually need to know, then move on to three tactics that can help you capitalize on the situation. And I don't just mean by single digits, either.
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Saturday, June 20, 2015
Stock Market Important Week Ahead Medium-term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Very interesting week. The week started off at SPX 2094. On Monday the market gapped down, hit the low for the week at SPX 2072, which was last week’s low, and then started to rally. By Wednesday, after a gap up opening, the SPX hit 2104. It then pulled back to SPX 2089, rallied to a higher high before the close, then gapped up again on Thursday. By Thursday noon the SPX had hit 2127. It then pulled back for the rest of the week ending at SPX 2110. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.3%, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front reports again came in with a positive bias. On the uptick: the NAHB, building permits, the CPI, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the PCE, and more reports on housing.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market SPX is Losing Its Grip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX is going through with the reversal as mentioned yesterday. It is difficult to say whether there will be a bounce at the 50-day Moving Average at 2106.02. The deterioration of the situation in Greece may not be able to give us the “good news” needed to spark a bounce this time.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Fed Shift Is Major Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US stock markets were quick to rally after the Federal Reserve did nothing at its policy meeting this week. Traders love the endless dovishness gushing forth from this Yellen Fed. But their complacency is very misplaced. It was epic Fed easing that fueled the stock-market levitation of recent years. So the Fed shifting away from these extraordinary policies is a major downside risk for these Fed-inflated stock markets.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market Watch The VIX ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The VIX is now coming to the end of its triangular pattern.
What does that mean? It means that, before too long, it will have to break out of the triangular pattern. When it does, it will have an important impact on the market.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Greek Contagion Abyss Looms - Wealth Preservation Strategies / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Greece, EU and Banks Staring Into Abyss
- Markets Are “Irrationally Exuberant” – Gods Punish Hubris
- “Invisible Hand” Propping Up Sanguine Markets
- Short Term Considerations
- Long Term Considerations
- Best Case Outcomes
- Worst Case Outcomes
- Wealth Preservation Strategies
Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Cracking the Whip will no longer work to keep the tiger sitting on its stool / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Yesterday’s Fed announcement is a distinct break with the past and a watershed moment for the markets psychologically. The Fed will no longer be able to simply crack the rhetorical whip in order to keep the market tiger sitting on its stool. We will probably get a taste of what this all means in the near term, but, in my view, the Fed will find itself on the defensive with little left in the quiver, save the ultimate rate hike, to discourage speculative bubbles. Since it will be hard-pressed to actually snap the whip on Wall Street’s nose (in the form of aggressive rate hikes), the door is open to all sorts of renewed reckless behavior – a hey day for speculators of every description until the bubble ultimately bursts. The importance of a hedge in gold is now more important than ever.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
Piston Hurricane, Parable of the Broken Window / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Jared Dillian
An old friend from the Coast Guard visited me over the weekend. He is retired and now works as an emergency planner. If there’s one thing government folks do, it is plan. But many times I’ve seen plans go out the window when emergency strikes and people start to improvise. Or maybe the planned-for emergency never materializes. Maybe you get a different emergency you didn’t plan for. The anarchist in me says that plans are useless. But I agree that it’s good to think about these things ahead of time.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
How Will 2015 End For U.S. Markets? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Anyoption writes: Throughout the past several years, the bull has been running in U.S. markets; and while the bull is still somewhat running, it has definitely lost a bit of pep in its step. Simply put, we're not seeing the growth in 2015 that we saw over the past several years. Now the big question is, “How will the year end?” Unfortunately, I'm not sure we're going to see much positivity as the year closes. Today, we'll take a close look at leading indicators with regard to the health of U.S. and discuss why this year is likely to come to a bad close.
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Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Dovish Again... Stock Market Froth Coming In..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market waited patiently for four and a half hours to hear the words of wisdom from our Fed leader, Janet Yellen. What would she say regarding rates in the moment, and for the future was all anyone cared about. She said no rate hikes for now. When grilled in her conference she said she would raise rates soon, but that she had no intentions of raising too quickly under any circumstances, and that a rate-hike cycle was not in the cards. The market always likes hearing that rates will remain low, and although the market knows a rate will likely come this year, it knows it's safe for the foreseeable future.
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
Discover a New Way of Thinking About Society and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Editor's note: This video was excerpted from a new multimedia report, "The New Financial Theory that Could Make the Difference in Your Investing Success," from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. Authored by Robert Prechter, the full report demonstrates the failures of the modern investing paradigm and suggests a radically new approach that can make the difference in your investing success. Click here to read and watch the full, four-part multimedia report -- it's free.
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
George Lindsay's Stock Market Dow Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As explained in previous commentaries, the Dow is sketching out a Right Shoulder (following the end of the Basic Advance last July) which is higher than the high of the Basic Advance. The preserved written work of Lindsay reveals no attempt on his part to forecast the high of a Right Shoulder - only his warning to expect one following an extended Basic Advance (929-968 days)and that it can rise to a level higher than the end of the Basic Advance. This happened in 1966 and 1973, and has occurred again in the current bull market.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
The Stock Market, the Music Industry and the New Network Economy / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Someone rings the bell at 9:30 a.m. and gets the hell out of the way. All types of chaos erupt from second-to-second. Everyone knows, in real-time, what they made or lost.Users drive the system. Not management. Management’s nowhere to even be seen. It’s merged within the light-speed, low-cost software and processes that make the whole thing possible.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
Stock Markets 2015 - Don't Fight The Fed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - At the beginning of the year, market participants were expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates during the summer months. This widely anticipated monetary tightening prompted investors to become cautious which halted the primary advance and brought about a multi-month consolidation on Wall Street.
It is no secret that since mid-December, the environment on Wall Street has been quite volatile; nonetheless, despite the wild swings, the major US indices have essentially gone nowhere.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
What Is The Next Big Move In The Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Markets typically move in waves. For secular investors, the long waves with a duration of 6 months to 6 years are important. However, the 3 to 6 months waves convey information about the secular strength, and that is why we focus on the multi-month trends.
We believe that markets today are preparing for new trends. We rely on intermarket chart analysis to assess the highest probability moves, because intermarket dynamics sow the seeds for market specific trends.
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