Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, June 26, 2011
Bernankenstein's Monster / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
(Here's part 1: The Blinking Idiot & the Banking System.) Elliott: How should we invest in this environment - when we take into account the Fed’s huge interference in the markets?
Lee: Think like a criminal. Look, it’s a matter of knowing what the Fed’s next move is going to be, and knowing the investment implications. You have to stay with the trend until the Fed sends signals that it is going to reverse. We’re at that inflection point. The issue is how much front running will there be? You definitely have to be out of your longs by now. When support fails after having succeeded, succeeded, succeeded, and every other previous retracement has held, then suddenly one doesn’t, it’s a huge signal.
Ilene: If the Fed wants oil and metal to go down, and the dollar to go up, is that saying it wants the stock market to go down as collateral damage? If pattern continues, the stock market will go down with the commodities.
Saturday, June 25, 2011
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Another volatile week that ended about where it started. Economic reports were light and mixed: 5 negative/4 positive. On the negative side: existing/new home sales fell, as did the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Weekly jobless claims ticked up. On the positive side: Q1 GDP was revised upward, durable good orders rose, along with the monetary base and the FHFA housing index. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%.
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Saturday, June 25, 2011
Stock Market Investors Play Defense Until Fed Is Forced To Act / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Prior to the Fed’s June 22 statement, there were enough positive technical developments to justify a belief that Chairman Bernanke would give the markets a much needed push. The market wanted some signal the Fed is willing to implement some form of additional quantitative easing (QE) sooner rather than later. That is not what the market got.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Investor Fortress Assets for The Coming Anarchy – The Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham
“concludes that the world has undergone a permanent "paradigm shift" in which the number of people on planet Earth has finally and permanently outstripped the planet's ability to support us.
Specifically, Grantham says, the phenomenon of ever-more humans using a finite supply of natural resources cannot continue forever--and the prices of metals, hydrocarbons (oil), and food are now beginning to reflect that.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Thanks to June’s sizable and rather-sharp stock-market selloff, fears are growing that a new bear market is brewing. For investors and speculators, the implications of these concerns are not trivial. Optimal trading strategies vary wildly between bull and bear, as bears relentlessly maul down all sectors including popular ones like commodities stocks. So today’s bull-or-bear question is critically important to address.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Stock Market Plunge Protection Team Losing Traction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
To this analyst, analysing charts of the markets is like doing a jigsaw puzzle. With patience, when you put the pieces together – and they fit comfortably – a picture begins to emerge. Often, the outline of the picture becomes visible well before the media reports on it. To those who enjoy the adrenalin rush of making trading profits (and losses) the revelation of the long term picture is not relevant. “Look at all the action we missed because the big picture told us to stay out!” Well, the article below might go some way towards explaining why the big picture is highly relevant – even to those with a trading mentality.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Greece Death by a Thousand Cuts, What it Means for Us? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The political landscape: The Greeks need even more boat loads of cash to stay afloat and its richer European partners are scrambling to put a package together. The German government are desperately trying to enlist more contributors and the UK is an obvious target. So the question is will David Cameron rollover or stand firm, for now he is standing firm. One of the reasons for keeping the pound was to avoid such nonsense. This bailout is good money after bad, all in aid of keeping the Eurocrats in highly paid jobs rather than helping the Greeks solve their debt problems. Taking on more debt is not a cure for debts, it is akin to giving smokers another cigarette as they try to kick the habit.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Bernanke, A Blinking Idiot and the Banking System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Interview with Lee Adler of Wall Street Examiner
Ilene: Lee, I've gathered from reading your material lately that you think it's time to be out of speculative trades, such as oil, now?
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Upside Breakout for China Stock Market Short ETF / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
A look at the chart of the inverse China Stock Index ETF -- the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/XINHUA 25 Stock Index (FXP) -- suggests strongly that slowing Chinese growth and climbing inflation remain part of the problem, not part of the solution -- at least, not yet.
As we noted for subscribers last night, Wednesday's sharp afternoon advance in the FXP after the morning's weakness positions the inverse China ETF to accelerate to the upside towards a test of multi-month resistance between 32.00 and 33.00. If hurdled, this will confirm the upside breakout from a major base formation that has the potential to propel the FXP to 39.00-41.00 in the weeks ahead.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Pimco’s El-Erian Says Greece Debt Crisis Response Risks Wider Contamination / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO of Pimco, spoke to Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu, Mike McKee and Jon Erlichman this morning. He talked about Greece’s debt crisis, QE2 and whether QE3 should be on the table, as well as the IEA oil reserve release.
El-Erian said that the efforts to resolve Greece’s crisis risks contaminating the entire system because they don’t address structural problems. Excerpts from the interview can be found below, courtesy of Bloomberg Television.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
Stock Market Bear is Back, Deflation in Our Future / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Make no mistake, the four-day rally we just saw was nothing more than short covering in front of the Fed meeting just in case Bernanke surprised us with QE3. As expected he confirmed that QE2 would end on schedule. The dollar rallied and the market sold off on the news.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 23, 2011
Dollar, Gold, Silver, Oil and SP500 Technical Chart Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
- Yesterday was do or die day for stocks and commodities to breakout but they failed once again at resistance.
- The US Dollar in overnight trading has made a strong move up and that is putting pressure on stocks and commodities.
Thursday, June 23, 2011
The Unfinished Empire, World Financial Markets Hibernating / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
WAITING FOR MIRACLES - , early this year: their unfinished business is on the back burner. Brokers and operators, in summer operating mode, only trim and adjust positions while awaiting new or decisive global events - which by market folklore only happen in September or October but before then, in fact permanently, they need miracles.
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Thursday, June 23, 2011
The Misery Index vs SP500 and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The Misery Index, the sum of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate reaches a multi-decade high. The index was created in 1976 by Jimmy Carter’s economists in an attack on Gerald Ford, but it backfired when it spiked under Carter.
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Thursday, June 23, 2011
Deflationary Stock Market Collapse In Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In the modern fiat world, a deflationary-style stock market collapse isn't supposed to happen. And yet that is exactly what Greece has already experienced and I don't think it's over yet. Here's a modified chart any real bear has seen before: the first half of the 1929-1932 Dow Jones Industrial Average stock market bear, which saw a total loss from top to bottom of 89% (chart stolen from chartsrus.com, a great site, and modified):
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Thursday, June 23, 2011
Greece Yard Sale for the Rich / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Greece is fixed - now what?
Well, Greece isn't really fixed, of course, but look how fast it all turned out to be nothing and this morning hardly anyone is even mentioning it. The crowds protested but this vote wasn't in their hands - it was in the hands of their corrupted officials and they voted 100% along party lines to keep Prime Minister Papandreou in power, which will now allow him to push through another $40Bn in budget cuts (14% of GDP or $2.25Tn if applied to the US budget - in a single year) that will pretty much turn the Government of Greece into nothing more than a debt collection service for Banksters - as they no longer have the money to provide any Government services to the people.
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
To QE or Not To QE? That Is The Question / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
While the media is customarily thought to disseminate news, there is a far more intriguing purpose in the role of the relationship between the national mindset and the intended purposes of economic establishment.
It has ever been thus, going back to Shakespeare's Salanio character in "Merchant of Venice." Upon meeting colleagues, the characters would greet each other with the question: "Now, what news on the Rialto?"
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Monday, June 20, 2011
Stock Markets Unhappy with Lack of Immediate Greece Bailout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Futures are down again this morning as the perception that there would be a 'solution' (kick the can) to the Greece situation over the weekend has not come to fruition.
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Monday, June 20, 2011
Stock Market S&P500 Index and Decreased Solar Sunspot Output / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There were a series of articles put out this past week on sunspots: drop in sunspots, solar minimums and STEREO of sun all came out earlier this week. The take home message is "this could be the last solar maximum we'll see for a few decades. That would affect everything from space exploration to Earth's climate."
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Monday, June 20, 2011
Stock Market Negative Divergence Carrying a Dangerous Message? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Last week we discussed how the Leadership stocks were in retreat. That was a good discussion why the market couldn't hold up since the beginning of June, but today's message is about a longer term Negative Divergence that is potentially very dangerous.
Many investors and technicians are familiar with positive or negative divergences that come from various technical indicators. The problem they have is, that they don't always kick in because the indicator is measuring stock or index movements and it is like trying to take a picture of yourself.
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