Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

The Stock Market Rise Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following the June 21 Market Minute titled "The low has arrived", equity indexes continue to show a bullish stance. Models have been indicating since late April that the corrective low in the S&P 500 would occur in the second half of June. As that trough has now developed (June 16-20), upward pressure can be anticipated into July and early August.

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Stock Market MACD Rally Off The Lows.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The market staged a very nice rally today as those MACD's started crossing up positive over negative today. No news over the weekend, along with those crosses, gave the market a lift few expected as things looked very dire after the close on Friday. The one positive has been those oscillators on the daily charts, especially those MACD's. It's really funny how things have reversed for this market. Two months ago we were dealing with market highs on the belief that the economy was recovering thanks to QE1 and QE2. The negatives at that time were the two-headed monsters known as sentiment and those nasty looking weekly divergences. Now we have the opposite situation at hand. We have a falling economy, but we now have a two-headed monster that's positive for this market.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Greek Stock Market, the Moments Before Drowning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

I sit. I watch. I contemplate. I observe. The stock market appears to have lost all sense of reality and logic. Maybe it never had any. Maybe it is just drowning and the current behavior is the moment before the drowning.

The Dow Jones Greek Index is a good barometer of investor behavior. When a person is perilously close to drowning, they will grab on to anything. There are a few seconds of desperate panic. The same holds true for investors. They will grab on to any story no matter how ridiculous it may be. The former nation of Greece is in the news almost every hour. They have debt obligations that they cannot repay and the ECB is going to throw them another $100 billion in bailout money to keep their debt off the default report. To be accurate, the ECB is going to give the $100 billion to the German, French, and American banks that hold the credit default swaps tied to the Greek debt in question. They just needed to figure out how to steal it from the Greeks.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Commodities and Market Internals Concerning For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Our global economy still faces significant balance sheet problems (assets vs. liabilities) at numerous points in the economic food chain. Consumers are still hurting from the reverse wealth effect created by falling asset prices. Numerous countries, including Greece, Spain, Portugal, and the U.S., are burdened by mismatches between government spending and revenue. Falling asset prices make problems with balance sheets worse and are not good for revenues from ad valorem taxes.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Sign of the Stock Market Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

Today I am going to teach you a little about cycles.

First a little background information. I'm going to be discussing almost exclusively the intermediate degree cycle. Now to start let me correct some misconceptions. Cycles are virtually worthless for timing tops. Cycles are measured from trough to trough. All we can really do with cycle theory is develop timing bands for bottoms, tops can occur at any time.

Monday, June 27, 2011

The Macro Economic Picture And The Outlook For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Hampson

Increasing numbers of writers are bearish on the outlook for the markets and the likelihood of recession. Take a look at the deteriorating picture:

1. The Yield Curve is inverted in Brazil and close in India. Other countries are trending towards that situation, and an inverted yield curve has historically led to bear markets.

Monday, June 27, 2011

The Future for U.S. Stocks in Light of the Fed’s Failings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: Major U.S. stocks were under pressure during most of the past week as new worries about Eurozone sovereign debt and a disastrous press conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke corroded confidence.

This time, it was not just Greece that was pushing sellers' hot button, but also Italy, as the Mediterranean nation's banks are believed to have excessive exposure to troubled loans in the region. But at the center of the troubles was Bernanke, who looked helpless as an Econ 101 student in a master's class when asked by the media to explain why the economy was not improving as fast as expected.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Initial Stages of Global Stock Market Crash In Progress? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Steven_Vincent

Last week SPX appeared to complete an abc sideways correction. By Friday the index was heading back towards its lows and ended the day and the week just above critical support at the confluence of the 200 EMA and the uptrend from March 2009. The setup is for a potential gap below this support zone on Monday, which could then trigger sell stops leading to a cascading decline.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Too Early for Stock Market Bulls to Declare Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.

Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which has evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Hyperinflationary Depression Inevitable, Banking Sector Breaking Down, Gold and Silver Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Clive_Maund

As Stockcharts no longer see fit to run usable charts for gold and various other commodities - line charts are only suitable for schoolkids or journalists doing projects on the markets, not for serious analysis - we are going to use the chart for SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) as a stand in for gold. It is a very accurate proxy, and should continue to be, unless of course, the markets were suddenly to discover that they don't have the gold in their vaults that they say they have.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Stock Market Gone Nowhere, Gold and Silver in Synch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

Last weeks ideas still stand as we essentially went nowhere over the past week, just a bunch of noise that was chopping up traders, but also left the market venerable to more downside, we were actually bullish going into the lows made last week, as I wanted to see a big reaction of the 200DMA test, as the triangle option was a setup we were following, if the market made a low, we could see a big push higher. Well we got the big push off the lows I was expecting, but the lack of follow through was the disappointment and once we broke under our keys support areas on a pullback, we knew once again we needed to get short and start looking for new lows, of course we got some wild swings from the Greece news, and I felt without that news the market was heading lower.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Bernankenstein's Monster / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: PhilStockWorld

(Here's part 1: The Blinking Idiot & the Banking System.)  Elliott: How should we invest in this environment - when we take into account the Fed’s huge interference in the markets?

Lee: Think like a criminal. Look, it’s a matter of knowing what the Fed’s next move is going to be, and knowing the investment implications.  You have to stay with the trend until the Fed sends signals that it is going to reverse. We’re at that inflection point. The issue is how much front running will there be? You definitely have to be out of your longs by now. When support fails after having succeeded, succeeded, succeeded, and every other previous retracement has held, then suddenly one doesn’t, it’s a huge signal. 
Ilene: If the Fed wants oil and metal to go down, and the dollar to go up, is that saying it wants the stock market to go down as collateral damage? If pattern continues, the stock market will go down with the commodities.

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another volatile week that ended about where it started. Economic reports were light and mixed: 5 negative/4 positive. On the negative side: existing/new home sales fell, as did the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Weekly jobless claims ticked up. On the positive side: Q1 GDP was revised upward, durable good orders rose, along with the monetary base and the FHFA housing index. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%.

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Stock Market Investors Play Defense Until Fed Is Forced To Act / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Prior to the Fed’s June 22 statement, there were enough positive technical developments to justify a belief that Chairman Bernanke would give the markets a much needed push. The market wanted some signal the Fed is willing to implement some form of additional quantitative easing (QE) sooner rather than later. That is not what the market got.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Investor Fortress Assets for The Coming Anarchy – The Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham

 “concludes that the world has undergone a permanent "paradigm shift" in which the number of people on planet Earth has finally and permanently outstripped the planet's ability to support us.

Specifically, Grantham says, the phenomenon of ever-more humans using a finite supply of natural resources cannot continue forever--and the prices of metals, hydrocarbons (oil), and food are now beginning to reflect that.

Friday, June 24, 2011

New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Thanks to June’s sizable and rather-sharp stock-market selloff, fears are growing that a new bear market is brewing.  For investors and speculators, the implications of these concerns are not trivial.  Optimal trading strategies vary wildly between bull and bear, as bears relentlessly maul down all sectors including popular ones like commodities stocks.  So today’s bull-or-bear question is critically important to address.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Stock Market Plunge Protection Team Losing Traction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Brian_Bloom

To this analyst, analysing charts of the markets is like doing a jigsaw puzzle. With patience, when you put the pieces together – and they fit comfortably – a picture begins to emerge. Often, the outline of the picture becomes visible well before the media reports on it. To those who enjoy the adrenalin rush of making trading profits (and losses) the revelation of the long term picture is not relevant. “Look at all the action we missed because the big picture told us to stay out!” Well, the article below might go some way towards explaining why the big picture is highly relevant – even to those with a trading mentality.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Greece Death by a Thousand Cuts, What it Means for Us? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Kirtley

The political landscape: The Greeks need even more boat loads of cash to stay afloat and its richer European partners are scrambling to put a package together. The German government are desperately trying to enlist more contributors and the UK is an obvious target. So the question is will David Cameron rollover or stand firm, for now he is standing firm. One of the reasons for keeping the pound was to avoid such nonsense. This bailout is good money after bad, all in aid of keeping the Eurocrats in highly paid jobs rather than helping the Greeks solve their debt problems. Taking on more debt is not a cure for debts, it is akin to giving smokers another cigarette as they try to kick the habit.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Bernanke, A Blinking Idiot and the Banking System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Interview with Lee Adler of Wall Street Examiner

Ilene: Lee, I've gathered from reading your material lately that you think it's time to be out of speculative trades, such as oil, now?

Friday, June 24, 2011

Upside Breakout for China Stock Market Short ETF / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Mike_Paulenoff

A look at the chart of the inverse China Stock Index ETF -- the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/XINHUA 25 Stock Index (FXP) -- suggests strongly that slowing Chinese growth and climbing inflation remain part of the problem, not part of the solution -- at least, not yet.

As we noted for subscribers last night, Wednesday's sharp afternoon advance in the FXP after the morning's weakness positions the inverse China ETF to accelerate to the upside towards a test of multi-month resistance between 32.00 and 33.00. If hurdled, this will confirm the upside breakout from a major base formation that has the potential to propel the FXP to 39.00-41.00 in the weeks ahead.