Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 06, 2011
Commodities Plunge Calls for Stock Market Contingency Plans / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
While we still believe the S&P 500 can hit 1,400 to 1,440 sometime in 2011, the next few trading sessions are very important for intermediate-term outlook for stocks and commodities. If you own stocks you should be concerned about the May 5 plunge in the commodity markets. Why? Commodities, especially silver and copper, have been the leaders of the current bull market in risk assets. When the leaders of a bull market become weak, it is prudent to become concerned about the entire market.
Friday, May 06, 2011
Greece Stocks New Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Willem_Weytjens
When I saw the CDS prices for Greece debt, I was wondering “How High will they go?”
I thus started to dig deeper, and had a look at some long term charts of the Greek Stock market.
Thursday, May 05, 2011
From Bin Laden To Ben Bernanke, From War On Terror To War On Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Andrew_McKillop
The notion that "war on terror" events have a large negative impact on the economy, when the terrorists are winning, and a large positive effect when they are losing is well anchored in market mythology. Gold and silver prices, and of course oil prices have been falling since May 1.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2011
Rising Stock Markets = Signs of Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Submissions
In 2007 or 2008, "While markets across the world have been crashing, the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange has being seeing record gains as citizens turn to equities to protect their money from the country's hyperinflation.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Nasdaq Rebounds At Support.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This does not mean that things look good here and that we should start loading up. Not at all. It means we should have a small rally, but that's about it. We should ultimately test lower again, and if that move down brings about strong positive divergences from low oscillator levels, then we can feel better about taking on a new play or two. With the market moving lower early on and then extending down as the morning went along, it looked like things might get out of hand. But these pullbacks often look worse than they really are in terms of how it set up technically. Selling off 70 RSI's on both the daily and weekly charts can seem scary, but you know it has to happen, and thus far, it's not even close to being out of the ordinary.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Defensive Stocks Sector Strength Points to S&P 500 Weakness / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Donald_W_Dony
The recent sector strength of the Consumer staples ETF (XLP) over the Consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) indicates that money is now flowing out of a growth industry group and into a defensive sector. This action normally occurs during a period of weakness in the S&P 500.
Over the past few years, this shift in buying pressure between these two consumer sectors has provided guidance to the short term movements of the broad-based S&P 500. As models are indicating that a low in the index is expected in June, the returning performance of the defensive staples sector over discretionaries adds some additional evidence to the anticipated pullback.
Wednesday, May 04, 2011
Stock Market and Euro Elliott Wave Counts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: WavePatternTraders
The markets are now coming into a target zone that will likely define the trend going forward over the coming weeks/months. As bears continue to try and top tick this rally from the lows made in Aug 2010. They are being forced to cover as the strength is overwhelming; anyone that tries to short this market is getting run over.
The trend is clearly still up and the easiest way to make a successful trade is to follow the trend, top tickers generally get wiped out, as being right once out of 20-30 times, does not constituent to a healthy account balance.
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Stock Market Rallies on News of Bin Laden's Death? It's Not So Simple / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
On the morning of May 2, the financial headlines were abuzz with the news of Osama Bin Laden's death and its positive impact on the stock market: "Stock Market Celebrates Killing of Bin Laden" (The Wall Street Journal)
But despite a positive open, stocks closed lower on May 2. Undoubtedly, in the days ahead we'll hear analysts explaining how Bin Laden's death is not that "bullish" of an event, after all.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
What Bin Laden's Death Means for the Stock Market and Your Financial Security / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
The finding and killing of Osama bin Laden after 10 years of searching is clearly being heralded as an enormous U.S. victory.
But once you look past the news itself, the death of bin Laden brings to light some highly worrisome revelations about Pakistan. And those revelations have some potentially serious long-term implications for the Dow Jones Industrial Average - and for your money and future financial security.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
The Forgotten Stock Market “Flash Crash” One Year Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Gary_Dorsch
One year ago, few traders were expecting a pullback of any significant degree, with the Dow Jones Industrials perched above the 11,000-level. Traders had become complacent after a year long advance, in which the Dow Industrials had risen +70% above its bear market low, while retreating only twice for minor pullbacks. Traders stopped thinking about potential dangers, and started believing the risk of another bear market had vanished. Yet simmering beneath the surface was the specter of a sovereign debt default, rivaling the size of Lehman Brothers’, and threatening the world economy with a “double-dip” recession.
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Major Market Turning Points, The Gallery of Crowd Behavior Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Doug_Wakefield
" [From an intensive two-year study], I found that market price movements are like people - they have statistically significant life expectancy profiles that can be used to measure risk exposure...Consider life insurance, which deals with the life expectancy of people instead of price moves. If you're writing life insurance policies, it's going to make a great deal of difference whether the applicant is twenty years old or eighty years old.... Similarly, in a market that is in a stage of old age; it is particularly important to be attuned to symptoms of a potential end to the current trend. To use the life insurance analogy, most people who become involved in the stock market don't know the difference between a twenty-year old and an eighty-year-old."
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Obama Kills Osama After the Bernank Spoke, US Dollar Bubble Bursts Trending Towards USD69 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What a week! A series ever more historic events accompanied by the dollar's continuing in the background meltdown.
Firstly, the Bernank spoke, spouting more central bank propaganda which as expected has been liberally lapped up by the mainstream financial press and further regurgitated at length by the BlogosFear, after all talk is cheap when compared with the increasing costs of actually doing something.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Nouriel Roubini on U.S. Economy, Bond Vigilantes, and Yuen Becoming a Reserve Currency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bloomberg
Today on Bloomberg Television, NYU professor and economist Nouriel Roubini talked about the euro and China's currency during a panel with Bloomberg TV's Tom Keene at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles.
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Stock Market Sidelights to 1994 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Fred_Sheehan
LURING THE UNSOPHISTICATED into the stock market was considered a risk by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan in 1994. So much so, that protecting the individual investor was a mandate of the Fed. (The Fed advertises and then omits new mandates faster than spring fashions. My favorite is the brainstorm of former Fed governor Frederic Mishkin in 2007: "The modern science of monetary policy proceeds under the assumption that the central bank's purpose is to maximize the well-being of households in the economy; the objective function specifies exactly what should be maximized.") On May 27, 1994, Greenspan told the Senate Banking Committee it was for this very reason that he - his FOMC - had started raising rates in February, 1994: "Lured by consistently high returns in capital markets, people exhibited increasingly a willingness to take on market risk by extending the maturity of their investments." The People had shifted assets out of bank deposits and the like. The avuncular Fed chairman, by raising rates, was shepherding his sheep: "[S]ome of those buying the funds perhaps did not fully appreciate the exposure of their new investments to the usual fluctuations in bond and stock prices."
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Another Sign QE2 is Undermining the Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Clif_Droke
A rather eye-opening headline appearing in the financial press is worth discussing here because it’s symptomatic of a bigger problem plaguing the economy. This problem will only increase in the coming months and there’s ample reason for believing it will eventually undermine the cyclical bull market in stocks. The headline reads, “Kimberly-Clark to hike prices after profit falls.”
Monday, May 02, 2011
Prepare for a Stock-Market Reversal, Even at New Bull-Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
In a stunning display of determination (or simple greed), U.S. stock prices are once again at new highs - despite problems in the Middle East, out-of-control government deficits throughout the world, an increasingly inflated China and the looming end to the U.S. Federal Reserve's free-money boondoggle, otherwise known as "QE2."
Monday, May 02, 2011
Dow Jones Transportation Stock Index Rolls to Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
The biggest news of the week for me was the fantastic earnings report from railroad Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC), which pushed the Dow Jones Transportation Average to a new record high.
Think about that. New. All-Time. High. For the transports. The transports! When crude oil prices are pressing $112 a barrel. When the economy is limping along at an annualized growth rate of less than 2%. When the bears said we should be diving for cover.
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Monday, May 02, 2011
Stock Market Outlook for May 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
There is positive pressure for stocks into and around the new moon of May 3rd, then negative pressure after that into and around the full moon of May 17th:
Monday, May 02, 2011
Stock Market May be Ready for a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend –he continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market. Cycles and P&F projections point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, May 01, 2011
Stock Markets Review, Asia Weak But Western Markets Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market started the week making new uptrend highs and this progressed into new bull markets highs into week’s end. Positive economic reports outpaced negative reports about two to one. On the positive side: New/Pending home sales, Consumer confidence, Public sentiment and Durable goods orders rose; Personal income/spending and PCE prices remained positive, and the Monetary base hit a new record high.