Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, June 06, 2010
The SP 500 Stocks Index Poised to Break to New Lows? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: David_Banister
Back in mid April on Kitco.com I wrote a market forecast calling for a top in the SP 500 index and an ABC correction. Since that time I had one intervening update on both Gold and the SP 500 index, and this is a June 5th follow-up.
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Safe Havens are Shining but are Stocks About to Rocket Higher? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was another extremely volatile week sharp rallies followed by sharp sell offs. Fear is in no doubt controlling the market. The bulls and bears continue to battle it out. The charts below cover some important trends and market internals I pay attention to on a daily basis.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 06, 2010
Here's How You Figure Out Where the Stock Market Is Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: DailyWealth
Dan Ferris wites: If you want to get an idea of where the overall stock market is likely headed in the next few years, just take a step back and think about Mr. Market's wild mood swings of the past few years...
After a three-year depression lifted in late 2002, Mr. Market became irrationally exuberant all over again. By late 2007, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high. Stocks were king. Nobody thought about risk.
Sunday, June 06, 2010
Time Frame Dominance: Why I Stayed Short on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: JD_Rosendahl
A reader asked recently, "Why I was staying short with a couple positions when I thought the stock market could bounce and I was discussing a little inverse H&S pattern?" Excellent question.If you’ve been reading my recent TA of the market, then you know I’ve highlighted a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. You also know I've repeatedly stated, "I had no long side positions AND was holding a couple of short positions from a week ago, and waiting for a better low risk set up to make new trades." The follow up question has to be why?
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Saturday, June 05, 2010
Jobs Report Brings Some Unexpected Truth To The Stock Market..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was set-up to try higher and form a right shoulder. It was excited over the prospects of huge job growth, especially in the private sector where it matters most. A strong close Thursday with MACD's crossing set it all up. The time came for the big surprise that would shock the bears and allow the bulls to celebrate an expanding economy. Then reality hit. No growth. No job creation in the private sector. Stimulus doing nothing big picture, which it never does, of course.
Saturday, June 05, 2010
It's Un-American To Be Bearish On Anything Besides Gold and Silver, Only Evil Speculators Short Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
It is un-American to be bearish on anything besides Gold and silver. Only evil, greedy speculators would bet against stocks. Only kooky people with guns and canned goods would be bullish on Gold. That would make me an un-American, evil, greedy, kooky, gun-toting, spam-eating speculative devil. As an example of the thoughts such an unstable and unfit being creates when evaluating the financial markets, please indulge me in yet another bearish scenario simulation that contradicts the "central bankstaz and governments would never let that happen" theme.
Saturday, June 05, 2010
Bad Jobs Data and Hungary Debt Crisis Triggers Market Failure / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Employment Situation: Less than meets the eye. Total nonfarm payroll employment grew by 431,000 in May, reflecting the hiring of 411,000 temporary employees to work on Census 2010, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Private-sector employment changed little (+41,000). Manufacturing, temporary help services, and mining added jobs, while construction employment declined. The unemployment rate edged down to 9.7 percent.
Saturday, June 05, 2010
Deflationary Forces and Historical Stock Market Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Ciovacco
With a weak employment report on Friday, problems in Europe, and financial markets in a precarious technical condition, it is helpful to review similar historical stock market corrections. From a fundamental perspective, our present day concerns relate to deflationary forces in the global economy. Unlike the U.S., which can expand the supply of dollars relatively easily, printing euros is more difficult since each member of the European Union has its own tax and spending policies. Printing euros may help the people of Greece in some ways while diminishing the purchasing power of German savers.
Saturday, June 05, 2010
Investor Reality to Protect Profits, Delusion to Court Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…Can you imagine if during the cold war the Soviet Union had undermined all the countries, it would have been the start of World War III. And yet we are letting investment banks do the same thing. We are letting investment banks undermine the finances, cast doubt on the credibility, create civil unrest, riots, death. It's the kind of thing that in a military frontal assault would be repelled, but somehow we let Wall Street attack the countries and do nothing about it. I am glad that someone is finally standing up, and I expect that Merkel will be joined by others. I am not against speculation. Let speculators put up some money, let them do (it) on an exchange, let the pricing be transparent, let them do variation margin... This no money down shadow credit default swap market is completely destructive. A little hyperbolic but you get it.”James G. Rickards, King World News, 5/22/10
Friday, June 04, 2010
A Look at Some Stock Market Echoes and Gold Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Clif_Droke
I'd like to return to a theme we were discussing last week concerning our expectations for this year's upcoming 4-year cycle bottom. We touched on this in a recent commentary and we'll discuss it some more here. The theme I'd like to emphasize is that in years when the 4-year cycle bottoms (which always occurs in late September/early October) and the stock market takes a significant hit prior to the 4-year cycle time low, the bottom is in most cases made well before the late September/early October period and the market usually ends up outperforming for the rest of the year. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 04, 2010
Confirming the Stock Market Flash Crash Omen / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Gordon_T_Long
The highly discussed and quickly forgotten Flash Crash was an omen of what lies ahead for the financial markets. It was a uniquely distinctive occurrence relative to anything we’ve ever experienced. Likewise, what we are about to witness will be startling and never before observed by this generation of investors. After only thirty days the Flash Crash signal has become unambiguous and historians will wonder why the public didn’t react sooner to its clarion call.
Friday, June 04, 2010
Non Farm Payrolls Disappoints Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Even on a typical uber quiet pre-payrolls day, the on going tug-of-war between strong economic data in the US and European sovereign banking risks was clearly visible with the former triumphing by a short head giving the S&P 500 Index its first back-to-back gains since April. Microsoft and Cisco led advances in the Dow and Dell rose 4.9% helping lead technology shares to the biggest gain in the S&P 500, after its founder said he has considered taking the company private. The losers were basic resource / mining stocks like Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold which sank after saying China’s plans to crimp growth will hurt demand for copper.
Friday, June 04, 2010
Two Big Reasons to Believe the U.S. Stock Market Will Bounce Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: There's been a lot of cheerless news coming out of Europe lately, and that's taken a toll on the U.S. stock market. But I want to take this opportunity to offer up some positive points and remind investors that it's still too early to declare the bull-market dead, and even more premature to fret over a new bear market beginning.
Friday, June 04, 2010
Robert Prechter Stocks Bear Market Cycle Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
The August 2009 issue listed the range for typical retracement as being from 9368 to 11,620. This is a wide range, but there is nothing we can do about it; second waves have a lot of leeway. The illustration shown in that issue is reproduced below alongside an update of market prices. The Dow has so far stayed within the normal range."
Friday, June 04, 2010
Positive Session for the Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices managed to eek out a gain at the end of the day today, only because of a late afternoon rally.
The day started out on the plus side and then sold off in a 3-wave decline by midday, reaching the session lows at that point. When further downside was unable to be attained, the indices tried the upside, tested the declining topslines, backed off there, but came on again and blew through them with a couple hours to go. They then stair-stepped their way higher near the afternoon highs at the close to put the indices back in the plus column.
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Friday, June 04, 2010
Stock Market Needs To Test Higher...MACD's Cross Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The late day action saw something important take place. Oversold MACD's crossed up positive, which tells me that we should be trying higher prices in the short-term. MACD's weren't crossing across the board, but the late action allowed for all the major indexes to cross up on the daily charts and that's near-term bullish thus shorting should not be your mantra short-term. If the market were to fall tomorrow it would set up strong positive divergences on deeper selling. Also that divergence would come from very compressed MACD's thus it would be best for this market to trend higher. Another excuse for the bears to step aside overall.
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Friday, June 04, 2010
Seven Reasons We Are Glad To Have Stock Market Short Sell Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Grandey
Seven reasons we are glad we have short exposure.
Friday, June 04, 2010
Ending Phase of the Cyclical Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Toby_Connor
I have to wonder, are we entering the ending phase of this cyclical bull?
For sometime now I've noticed the similarities between the `02-`07 cyclical bull and what we've experienced since March of last year. The one difference is that this time we've truncated the middle phase of the bull. I suspect that was a direct result of the massive liquidity Bernanke ... and all central banks have pumped into the system.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Underwhelming Jobs Numbers See Stocks Trim Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
In another late late show Wednesday US stocks, as I expected, rebounded from oversold levels in the last hour of trading because of stronger than expected home sales (buyers took advantage of the now expired tax credit), decent auto sales numbers and a read on the Challenger layoffs survey which implied underlying jobs growth of 200k. Other contributing factors were the calm on the bad news from Europe front and comments from Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan that he saw “more than hopeful signs” on loan demand.
Thursday, June 03, 2010
Strong Three-Wave Rally Closes Stock Indices Near Session Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices rocketed higher today after an early morning dip in a strong 3-wave rally. The indices had a superior turnaround session as earlier losses were wiped with a strong morning rally. They did get a midday pullback to test intraday support and then turned it around for the sharpest rally of the day in the last hour and a half. In the last 10--15 minutes they spiked up into the close and finished right near the session highs going away.