Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, March 14, 2010
China Joins Inflation Mega-Trend, Stock Market Drifts Higher Into Resistance, Delaying Correction? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market drifted higher all week with the Dow closing up at 10625, meanwhile the FTSE raced ahead to a new bull market high of 5625, which is not surprising given the fact that the FTSE is mostly populated with international companies with a large % of overseas earnings, therefore a 10% drop in sterling makes these stocks 10% cheaper hence the out performance of the nominal indices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Stock Market Upward Trend, No Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This week I would like to pick at least a small fight with one of my favorite columnists, Michael Santoli of Barron's magazine. In his March 15, 2010 column, Santoli used his so-called Mystery Broker to predict a market pullback in the range of about 10%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 14, 2010
US Retail Stocks Sector Surges. Consumer Confidence Returns / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
In the February newsletter I highlighted the consistent upward strength of the S&P Retail Index. This leading indicator of consumer confidence and thus economic health, had consistently outperformed many industry sectors throughout 2009 and also the broad-based S&P 500. Fundamental data generally looked unimpressive last year and many market watchers doubted the return of this important industry.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Stock Market Rally Sustainable For Another 2-3 weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear
market. This bull market should last until 2011
Sunday, March 14, 2010
U.S. Financial System is On the Edge of Default / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The dramatic and costly undertow of deflation continues unabated, as government via fiscal policy and the Federal Reserve, by creating money and credit out of thin air, proceed to overpower this deflation with massive inflation.
Unbeknownst to most the Fed and the Treasury have been maintaining this program for the past several years, accompanied by most major countries, all of which have taken the path of least resistance rather than address the underlying problems.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Stock Markets Push to New Highs Despite Lingering Credit Crisis and Recession Reminders / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Shrugging off some lingering reminders of the credit crisis and recession, investors last week marked the one-year anniversary of the bear market low by pushing many benchmark equity indices to cycle highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Few Words Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
With 3 out of 4 of our measures registering extreme readings, few words are needed to describe investor sentiment this week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Back to Market Fundamentalism, How Champions of Neoliberal Economics are Reversing New Deal Economics / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Ismael Hossein-zadeh writes: The “golden” years of the U.S. economy in the immediate post-WW II period, along with the recovery and expansion of the economies of other industrialized countries, afforded the working class of these countries a decent, even middle-class, standard of living. Combined with extensive social safety-net programs such as the New Deal reforms in the U.S. and Social-Democratic reforms in Europe, the economic recovery and high employment rates of that period paved the way for a relatively cooperative relationship between the working and capitalist classes in these countries.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Stock Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As equities moved into their January highs, a very short-term Dow theory non-confirmation developed. The Transports made their January closing high on January11th at 4,262.86 while the Industrials pressed higher marking their January closing high 5 trading days later at 10,725.43. On March 9th the Transports closed above their January high and this time around the Industrials have lagged. As a result, we now have another Dow theory non-confirmation that spans a couple of months in duration. It seems that this latter non-confirmation is getting some attention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Stock Market Broadening Top, Time to Look for the Exit? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly declined for a second month in March, a sign Americans are discouraged about the labor market.
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment index fell to 72.5 from February’s final reading of 73.6. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected the gauge would increase to 74, according to the median estimate.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Stock Market Discussion..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's been quite the run thus far for this market. The S&P 500 made a low at 1045 and began to crawl its way back to the old high at 1151. Step by step and index by index. All of the major indexes clearing their recent highs, but the S&P 500 not quite making the move. The laggard. The market is waiting for the S&P 500 to make that move through to confirm a total market breakout: the Nasdaq, NDX, small caps, mid caps, transports, and so on, already on their breakout. Only the S&P 500 lags behind, but oh so close to making the bulls feel that they’re totally in control of the action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Stock Market Consolidation Session Closes Narrowly Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices moved higher in the morning and reached new rally highs but backed off sharply shortly thereafter. The rest of the day they bounced back and forth and vacillated in coil-type fashions, but were not able to make any progress either way, although a late afternoon test of support threatened to break but held.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
The Stock Market Big Dead-Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Doug Hornig, Senior Editor, Casey Research writes: It’s now been a year since the dark days of early March 2009, when, although no one knew it at the time, the stock market hit rock bottom. From there, all of the indexes went on a tear through the rest of the year, moving almost uninterruptedly higher before easing slightly in the first two months of 2010. At this writing (March 5), the Dow is still up 60%, the S&P 500 68%, and the NASDAQ 83%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
The Unfolding Economic Depression and Continuing BOOM Commodities and Natural Resources / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
As the commencement of the next leg down in the developed world’s economies continues to unfold like the sunset at the end of the day, the emerging world is HEALTHIER than ever and economic sunrise is still on their horizons. Economic trains traveling in completely different directions. In the emerging world, growth, capitalism, creative destruction and competition are embraced; they know the recipe for an expanding economy which means more food on everyone’s plates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
Investor Opportunities to Profitably Escape Fiat Currency Paper "Wealth" in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
“Greece is only the latest in a series of countries that have faced this type of crisis in recent memory. Not too long ago the same types of fears were mounting about Dubai, and before that, Iceland. Several other countries (Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Latvia) are approaching crisis levels with public debt as well. Many have strong ties to Goldman Sachs, and the case could easily be made that default could have serious implications for big US banking cartels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
VIX Relative Strength Warning for SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This morning the S&P 500 (SPX) popped to a new recovery high above the Jan peak, although it has traded lower since then. It is interesting to notice that while the SPX climbed into new high territory, the cash VIX did not decline to new lows -- either beneath its Mar or Jan lows.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
SULTANS OF SWAP: Smoking Guns & the Sting! / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
There are 7 stages to executing a successful sting operation. Whether this is the modus operandi behind the Sultans of Swap operating in the $605 Trillion OTC Derivatives market or just simple coincidence, I will leave it to you shrewd reader to determine. The seven stages do however offer us an instructive theater guide to better understanding these murky instruments called Interest Rate Swaps.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
Stock Market S&P 500 At The Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
They tried to sell this puppy but it just wouldn't sell. It would have been best to sell a few hundred points on the Dow, and we started in that direction today. but the force of this bull just wouldn't allow for it. The bears came out of the gate defending the close just under S&P 500 1151 with a nice little gap down. It started to run some after trying to claw back to flat and it seemed the selling was finally under way. Some bull markets get silly and just don't allow for too much selling before the buyers rush back in. The S&P 500 was spending most of the day trading slightly under the flat line but as things drew closer to the final bell, the S&P 500 went green and closed right at the breakout with a final print of 1150.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 12, 2010
Stocks Sucker Rally, Bear Market Trap and the Energy Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Rick Rule probably could draw an audience if he were talking about the weather, but combine his presence with knowledge, understanding, experience and a track record of success, particularly in the resource arena, and the crowd falls silent. Founder and chairman of Global Resource Investments, Rick recently made himself available for a brain-drain, the foundation of the piece that follows. . .
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 11, 2010
Financial Markets Biggest Question For the Next Two Months / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The biggest question for the next several months for markets is what?
Now that the S and P rallied over 60 pct since last March 2009, and pretty much all other markets except housing and real estate have also rallied (anything connected to financial markets that received the half of the several $trillion of US and other central bank emergency money infusions beginning big around March 2009) it begs the question when there will be a correction. Or a crash.
Read full article... Read full article...