Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 07, 2009

Stock Market , Gold, Commodities and Economic Forecasts for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Martin Weiss: Two recent mega-events — the Wall Street collapse in 2008 and the Washington response in 2009 … the debt implosion and then the money printing explosion — are mind-boggling in their dimensions.

Neither you nor I can know with certainty what the future will bring. But at this particular juncture, we don’t have to poke around in hidden crevices of the economy. Nor must we stretch our imagination to conjure this or that scenario. To get a pretty good idea of what’s likely to happen next year, all we have to do is follow the path of natural consequences from these two mega-events. And that’s what we’re going to do right here and now.

Monday, December 07, 2009

U.S. Dollar Jump and Gold Price Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Paul_J_Nolte

On the anniversary of the “date that will live in infamy”, many are looking around and wondering whether the US has past our best days and is now slowly sliding into a sunset. Buoyed by a much better than expected jobs report, investors initially cheered and then rethought their buying as the markets finished slightly higher on the day. The key to the day was the huge jump in the dollar/decline in gold. The big question is can the dollar find new strength or is it just a one-day wonder? The job report continued the slow improvement of the recent past, however the near zero loss was not corroborated by other economic reports over the past month.

Monday, December 07, 2009

Is Friday's Financial Market Trading Signaling Reversal of Carry Trade? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: Although it’s too early to know for sure, Friday’s action suggests we could be seeing the earliest stages of a carry trade reversal. Remember that hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutional investors have been borrowing here in the United States at ultra-low interest rates, selling the dollar short, and using the proceeds to snap up stocks, bonds, and gold.

Monday, December 07, 2009

130 Bank Failures and Complacency in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Andrew_Abraham

This last week the Fed closed 6 more banks making total to 130 bank failures since the crisis started. There are strong expectations that even more small and regional banks will fail. Just these 6 banks cost the FDIC $2.3 Billion dollars.I believe there is something like 500 banks on the FDIC watch list. However all this time there is complacency in the markets. Bad loans are still out there…you name it from credit card debt to residential housing to a more menacing threat the commercial real estate markets.

Monday, December 07, 2009

Pondering the Stock Markets Next Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Here’s our indicator positioning and our thoughts on the week ahead...

Monday, December 07, 2009

Stock Market Rally Devil’s Advocate / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Joseph_Russo

A Contrarian Bullish Perspective On The Zombie Dia And The Status Quo Powers That Keep It Alive

How the Deck is Currently Stacked
Despite the unequivocal failure of the entire global financial system, the prescient minority bearish contingent whom saw the writing on the wall years ago, are duly disappointed with the present outcomes since March.  This persistently bearish free-market contingent views the presently unfolding outcomes as a complete waste of a-once-in-a-lifetime crisis in which nothing of sustainable utility has been resolved to reconcile such an unmitigated disaster.  This contingent is largely of the belief that the worst is yet to come. 

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Trends Update, Short Down, Medium Up, Long Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Patrice_V_Johnson

LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN -
(See Long-Term Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1974 for further details)

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Financial Market Trends For Gold, 10 Year Treasury Yields, And Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Guy_Lerner

On Friday, yields on the 10 year Treasury spiked higher by little over 3%. Our composite indicator that assesses the strength in the trends of gold, 10 year Treasury yields, and crude oil is back into the extreme zone. This represents a headwind for equities.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Short-term Rally More Probable than a Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Cross Currents / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

The trading range that has developed over the past several weeks is emblematic of the cross currents confronting this market. New highs seem to be made daily and then boom, the rug is pulled out from the market, and prices plunge for a couple of hours. Buyers appear and back to the highs we go and selling begins again. If you are looking for some support area where you might think it is "safe" to find a low risk entry, then this isn't the market for you. Sell offs are clearly unpredictable although they are occurring at the upper reaches of the trading zone that I had expected when I stated this over two months ago:

Sunday, December 06, 2009

This Stock Market is on Less Footing than in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: J_Derek_Blain

It seems that we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era.  In fact, the words bubble, gold, bull market, and stocks seem to be popping up on finance web sites all over the virtual stratosphere.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Markets Pull Back Off The Top On The Best Possible News / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Jack_Steiman

What an interesting day we saw today. An unusual day from many perspectives. We can start with the jobless report that came out 60 minutes before the opening bell. Expectations were calling for nearly 150,000 job losses. We saw only 11,000. You can imagine how much the market loved that report, especially when you add in that the employment rate fell from 10.2% to 10.0%, another nice surprise. Of course, that's a bad number overall but it was better than the market had expected it to be.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Gold Fever Boils Over and the Master Forecasters of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The big news story of the week was the improving Jobs picture in the U.S. which saw the unemployment rate dip back to 10% from 10.2%, triggering a surge in the stock indices early Friday. Last weeks news of Dubai World's debt default hit Emirate stock markets hard this week with the UAE's main exchange in Abu Dhabi down more than 20%.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Probability of a Stock Market Crash Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Brian_Bloom

A new ball game?

In the past few weeks, this analyst has been taking the unpopular stance that the US Dollar Index might be wanting to bottom out. The sharp rise on Friday (chart courtesy yahoo.com) may or may not have been the start of a new move but it was certainly not a mild move in currency terms.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Nasdaq NDX Stock Index Futures Technical Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Piazzi

I was lucky in the order, but I've always been lucky when it comes to killin' folks – Character of William Munny, as played by Clint Eastwood, in the Movie Unforgiven

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Bullish Trend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Peter_Navarro

Grudgingly, I must admit that the market's upward trend remains in place. However, this remains a very difficult market to make money in while the risk/reward still looks more like a gamble on the long side rather than a solid speculation.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Positive Seasonal Factors Have Ended, Heading for a Down Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: • The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new recovery high last Monday.

Short Term - Seasonality has not been very influential for the past 3.5 years (mid 2006).

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Losing Traction on Lack of Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The employment situation suggests an improvement - The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.

Friday, December 04, 2009

Investment Profit Vehicles for the Intensifying Financial and Economic Storm / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“A Great Collapse. The U.S. economic and systemic solvency crises of the last two years are just precursors to a Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Such will reflect a complete collapse in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity, a collapse in the U.S. financial system as we know it, and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. The current U.S. financial markets, financial system and economy remain highly unstable and vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The Federal Reserve is dedicated to preventing…debasing the U.S. dollar…

Friday, December 04, 2009

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Robert Folsom writes: The major stock indexes are the wrong place to look.

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline: