Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 20, 2009
Forecasts and Analysis for ALL Major Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
For the first time ever, EWI is giving away one month of its most popular global analysis publication, a 120-page "little black book" of investment insights called Global Market Perspective, which includes EWI's three regional publications:
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Over Bought Stock Market Pauses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
That’s where we are in terms of whether equities, and the inflation mindset, continue to fill with air past this point – it’s time for a pause. This is basically what Carl Swenlin is pointing out in making the observation intermediate-term technicals are now overbought, and that the stock market should pullback somewhat from here before building the necessary steam to produce a more lasting breakout. And this is what I expect also, as long as increasingly negative sentiment in the betting parlors allows prices to continue climbing the wall of worry. Because as alluded to in discussing our fraudulent and dysfunctional markets last week, you should understand that all of our markets work on the same premise, where the gamblers and speculative sentiment largely control price movements, not fundamentals, at least not until it’s too late.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Markets Are a Mixed Bag ETF Attributes: Part 2a - iShares Bonds / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
In Part 1, we examined Vanguard bond and stock ETFs. In this Part 2a, we look at iShares bond funds with 12 or more months of distribution data (plus their preferred stock fund).
iShares is the largest ETF provider. Their ETFs differ importantly from Vanguard’s in two important ways.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Corporate Earnings to Test Stock Market Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A make or break week for the six week long gravity-defying rally as a huge list of earnings reports beckon. The Dow is up 24% since March 10th, with the S&P 500 up nearly 29% and the Nasdaq up 32%.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Time To Sell the Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This is now the fifth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this with the fact that prices on the major stock indices remain below their 40 week moving averages, there is a high likelihood that the market will rollover in the next several weeks. I have previously discussed these observations in the article, "Investor Sentiment: Some Context".
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Are global stock markets on the road to recovery? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Another week goes by, and world markets put more distance between current levels and the lows of March. The broad S&P 500 managed to register its sixth positive week on the trot, something that would have seemed impossible just a month ago. Leading the charge has been the resurgent financial sector with major US banks beating analysts’ estimates with their latest earnings announcements.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Another Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In this morning’s media, (April 19th 2009) a Reuters article appeared, entitled U.S. transport Q1 earns watched for recovery signs (http://news.yahoo.com/..)
In it, the following statements appeared:
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Financial Markets Are a Mixed Bag- ETF Attributes: Part 1 - Vanguard / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Nietzsche said “Out of chaos comes order”. Obama says there are signs of green shoots and glimmers of hope. George Soros and Nouriel Roubini say if you thought 2008 was bad, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.
Quite a range of possibilities! How to deal with them?
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Ending Within Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the MarketSPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Stock Market Rally Continues As Unprecedented Stimulus Measures Starting to Take Root / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Spring is in the air – at least in the Northern Hemisphere and on global bourses. Last week marked the sixth consecutive up-week for stock markets as investors’ risk appetite returned amid signs of global economies and the financial sector embarking on the road to recovery.
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Saturday, April 18, 2009
Cuba Your Next Offshore Investment Bonanza? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Offshore investment is getting a bad name lately, but that’s the tax-avoidance variety. There’s another potential investment offshore, and a few elite investors are already licking their chops at the prospect. I’m talking about Cuba.
On Monday, the Obama administration lifted restrictions on Cuban-Americans who want to travel and send money to their island homeland. This is a calculated break with a half-century of U.S. policy of isolating communist Cuba.
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Saturday, April 18, 2009
Investors Don’t Ignore The World’s No. 2 Stock Market India / Stock-Markets / India
Tony Sagami writes: This should be easy for many of you. Name the two fastest-growing economies in the world.First of all, we know who they are not. They’re not any countries in North America or Europe because both of those continents are mired in painful recessions.
Saturday, April 18, 2009
The Only Western Country Where the Banks are Profitable / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
If you can believe it, there is a land where the bankers are still honest and polite… and even profitable.
First, a quick corrective note. On Wednesday I said that FAZ, at more than 125 million shares traded in recent days, “had bigger trading volume than Microsoft, Intel, Exxon and IBM combined.”
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Saturday, April 18, 2009
Bernanke's Conundrum and the Investment Opportunities It Creates / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Good morning!As I head to China, I'm struck by the irony of Bernanke's continued assurances this week that he'll head off inflation by selling assets and shrinking the monetary supply when the time comes. Not because I don't believe that he'll try - he will - but because I don't think he can.
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Stock Markets Rising a Wall of Worry or Slope of Hope? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Banks given a lot of slack to report better earnings. Citigroup Inc., the U.S. bank rescued by $45 billion in U.S. taxpayer funds, ended a five- quarter losing streak with a $1.6 billion profit on trading gains and an accounting benefit for companies in distress.
Citigroup posted a $2.5 billion gain from accounting rules that allow companies to profit when their own creditworthiness declines. The rules reflect the possibility that a company could buy back its own liabilities at a discount, which under traditional accounting methods would result in a profit.
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Bank Real Profits By Bucking Wall Street Trends / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: Investors who trade actively and are closely in touch with the ebb and flow of opinion on Wall Street have one enormous barrier to good investment performance: They will often be seduced by what’s fashionable – whether it be in terms of sectors, countries or individual stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 18, 2009
China Exchange Traded Fund (FXI) Rises off its Double Bottom Leaving Investors Cautiously Optimistic / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
In this type of economic environment, a double bottom “bullish reversal” formation is surely a site for sore eyes. This technical pattern is made up of two consecutive troughs with a minor peak in the middle. Add that to an upside breakout of an overall downward trendline and you’re looking at some good bullishness.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Stock Market Maintains Firm Footing to Close Slightly Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices managed to eke out gains at the close, but had an uneventful end to the week on options expiration day.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 18, 2009
The Stock Market Trend is Your Friend Until It Ends / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In this issue:Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis
Dressing Like an Economist
The Trend Is Your Friend Until the End of the Trend
What Is Money?
MV=PQ
Two weeks ago I presented my thoughts on the current economic situation at my 6th Annual Strategic Investment Conference in La Jolla (co-hosted with Altegris Investments). The speech was well-received, at least to judge from the comment forms. So this week and next, we are going to revisit that talk (with a few edits). Let's start with a little set-up to explain the first few paragraphs.
Friday, April 17, 2009
Stock Market "Sucker-Rally-Dead-Cat" Still Yowling! Market-Long-Waves Say's "Bull-Run Warning" / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The consensus is that the stock market rally is on it's last legs, market-long-wave analysis says different and that the markets will be 15% to 30% up on today by end 2009 and that the medium term trend is also upwards.If it were up to Sticks and Stones (can break my bones) that Cat would be road-kill by now. On the 14th March Professor Roubini pronounced the rally that started 10th March was a dead-cat-sucker-bounce.
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