Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 23, 2009
ETFs with Rising and Falling Long-Term Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
There is tremendous concentration of day-to-day price movements recently and understandably so with all the carnage and fear. However, it may be helpful to zoom out a little bit to look at some longer periods.
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Where are the S&P 500 Corporate Earnings Expectations / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Much of the recent rally in the stock market can be attributed to higher earnings expectations in the S&P 500 from an economy that is performing less badly than earlier. Does this justify the 29% rise in the S&P 500 over the last six weeks? Moreover, can this move up sustain itself and keep climbing, or at least find a plateau. Part of the answer to this question lies whether earnings expectations will be sufficient to support the current level of the S&P 500, let along a rising market?
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Are Institutional Investors Buying or Selling Stocks Now? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Everyday, Institutional Investors buy stocks and they sell stocks. If they buy more then they are selling, then they are in Accumulation. If they sell more then they are buying, then they are in Distribution.
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Stock Market Rally Fades In Final Minutes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Yesterday’s tentative rally was brought to an abrupt end by some broad based late selling in financials and notable weakness in tech bellwether Intel on a report that the European Union was close to sanctioning the chip giant for anti-competitive practices. On the bright side, Apple beat street estimates thanks to healthy iPhone sales, as did eBay. Other stocks that reported yesterday, such as Wells Fargo (who had the “best” quarter ever), Scandisk and Boeing all chalked up hefty gains on the day. Caterpillar faired well on an upgrade from JP Morgan, while to the downside, Morgan Stanley had a big miss versus analysts estimates and cut their dividend by 81%.
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Corporate Bankrupcies Show Credit Default Swaps Should be Banned / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: For frustrated investors looking to justify the ban of credit default swaps (CDS), look no further than last week’s corporate bankruptcies of Canadian newsprint producer AbitibiBowater Inc. (ABWTQ) and U.S. shopping center developer General Growth Properties Inc. (GGP).
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Stock, Commodities and Bond Market Forecasts 2009 Special / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
For the first time ever, EWI is giving away for FREE one month of its most popular global analysis publication, a 120-page "little black book" of investment insights called Global Market Perspective, which includes EWI's three regional publications:
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Stock Market Indices Roll Over Sharply in the Afternoon to Closed Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets were doing fantastic until the last 45 minutes when a sudden plunge dropped them sharply, and dropped the Dow, S&P 500 and OEX to losses on the day.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
The Quickest Way to Build a Paper Fortune in the Coming Years / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Porter Stansberry wites: "How can I protect my family's finances from the reckless government spending we're sure to see in the next decade?"Of all the questions an investor should ask himself (or herself) these days, this is by far the biggest one. I provided the answer to it in the most recent issue of my Investment Advisory.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Investors Path to Permanent Wealth / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The path to permanent wealth is paved with high-yielding dividend stocks and reinforced with gold. With a housing market that's in tatters and an economy that's reeling, most U.S. investors see the current market as perhaps the worst ever to even think about such topics as saving, investing and wealth. Corporate profits are plunging, as unemployment soars. Investors have watched as the worst bear market since the Great Depression savaged their savings and plundered their pensions.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The daily chart on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) is scary because is so bullish – and represents a much more powerful pattern than the SPYs. The reason that it is scary is because the Q’s are poised to confront the declining 200 DMA, now at 33.34, which is 3% above current prices. However, my upside measured targets off of the huge base pattern are 35.20/40, and then 38.00. The weakness earlier in the week in the Q’s tested and held critical intermediate-term support at 32.00-31.80 and since yesterday morning the price structure has turned up—and is accelerating towards a test of the 200 DMA (34.50 area). Only a plunge that breaks 31.80 will wreck the near and intermediate-term bullish set-up.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Airlines Act Like Stock Market Leader / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
The AMEX Airline Index (symbol: $XAL.X) was up 10% yesterday on earnings reports from Delta Airlines (symbol: DAL) and UAL Corporation (symbol: UAUA). Delta Airlines is the world's largest airline and UAL Corp. is the parent of United Airlines.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Six Month Correlation Among iShares ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Owning multiple funds with close correlations is mostly wasted effort and potentially self-deception. Owning multiple funds with a significant correlation spread can be helpful in reducing overall portfolio volatility.
Here is a table with the 6-month correlation of daily returns of selected iShares ETFs with at least 6 months of history (as of April 21, 2009), as rendered by the iShares website.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Geither’s Soothing Words Send Stock Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Yesterday saw a nice little wrestling match between Tim Geithner and his former colleagues at the IMF, a match that was easily won by the US Treasury Secretary. The respected IMF Global Financial Stability Report pointed to cumulative worldwide financial losses through to 2010 of slightly over $4tr. Assuming a 17 times leverage ratio, the US financial system was seen as unable to earn its way out of the problem and in need of as much as $500bn of fresh capital.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Exclusive Interview with One of the “Most Sought-After Fund Managers” / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
To say it’s not often we get an opportunity like this is an understatement. Today we’re sitting down for an exclusive one-on-one with the man the New York Times calls “one of the most sought-after fund managers in the country…”In his ongoing quest to uncover hidden opportunities, get past the mainstream headlines to find safe investments, Andrew Mickey, Q1 Publishing’s Chief Investment Strategist, had the opportunity to speak to John P. Calamos, Sr.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Surprisingly Strong Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets had a surprisingly strong session after yesterday's sharp losses. The indices were strong from the get-go, then had a steep early pullback that retested the lows but held, and then rallied back up to new session highs on the S&P 500, but the NDX at that point trailed miserably. On several occasions, they tried to punch through key overhead resistance but couldn't and they rolled back in the early afternoon, first bounced and then thrust to new session snapback highs, pulled back with about 15 minutes to go, but closed strongly right near the session highs.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Trouble on the Dow Transportation Index? / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
In the past few days, I have done something I don't normally do. I have reported on the same thing for two days in a row, and will report on it again this morning ... about what is happening on the Transportation Index.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Are Stock Markets Facing Green Shoots or Just Weeds? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Monday, and the bull lays down on Wall Street as investors fret that Bernanke’s “green shoots” are just weeds. Bank of America’s sharp boost in loan-loss reserves and its downbeat outlook shocked the market after it had been lulled into a false sense of security with the Citi and Wells Fargo “numbers”. Which set do we believe now? Therein is the investor’s dilemma. Elsewhere, in the tech space, Texas Instruments added to the bulls’ woes after the bell with disappointing numbers. Sun Mircosystems soared as Oracle stepped up to the plate left vacant by Big Blue with a $7bn deal. Oil fell below $46 barrel.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Putting Finance Capitalism "Back in Its Box" / Stock-Markets / Articles
So writes Philip Augar in an April 13 Financial Times (FT) op-ed. He's a former UK investment banker/broker and author of The Death of Gentlemanly Capitalism, The Greed Merchants, and most recently Chasing Alpha: How Reckless Growth and Unchecked Ambition Ruined the City's Golden Decade. More on his newest book below.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 20, 2009
Financial System Still Struggling to Gain a Firm Footing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Based upon the earnings of the banks so far, it looks as though the TARP program is working. Provide banks a whole bunch of money and create a very wide spread between short and long rates and even the less than stellar banks should make money. However, with much of the gains coming from the benevolent government aid (that is not likely to be repeated in subsequent quarters), the above average (and positive) earnings may be nothing more than a one-quarter phenomenon. There was additional evidence this past week that the economy is still deteriorating.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In just six weeks the S&P 500 has climbed about 30% and the broader, small-cap focused Russell 2000 has soared 40%. It’s the steepest rally in more than 70 years. The bulls are off and running.
Despite it all, very few people believe this rally can last. And it’s because there are still so very few people getting in on this rally, odds are it won’t end very soon.
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