Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, August 13, 2017
Stock Market VIX Explodes and XIV Puts In A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Mike Golembesky writes: The XIV fell over 13% on Thursday, August 10th and is now down over 23% from the high that was struck on July 26th. Additionally, the XIV has firmly broken through all of shorter term price support levels that I have been mentioning now for several weeks. The break of these support levels is, therefore, making it highly probable that a larger degree top has been struck in the XIV.
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
The Top of the Wealth Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Week two of August. Schools start back soon. Last chance for summer vacations. Football and fall return. The Dow reaches 22,000 this month, proving the “wealth effect” has worked…right?
Yet, cognitive dissonance abounds as we watch global markets and world news.
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Thursday, August 10, 2017
SPX Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX is trying to make another test of the Short-term resistance at 2474.94. From there it should go down hard. Be Time to add shorts. Normally I wouldn’t recommend going 100% short until a trendline is crossed. But there’s enough confidence in the signals to go at least 50%.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
SPX Bounces Off Brexit Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX bounced off its trendline possibly completing a Wave (i) decline. The bounce may take it back to Short-term resistance at 2474.92. A failure here may have some profound implications, so we use the bounce to add short positions.
Alternatively, this morning’s gap may not be filled. If so, the trendline at 2462.00 gives us another chance to add short positions.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Why Is The Stock Market Not Trading On Fundamentals Lately? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last week, I noted that as long as the market maintains support over 2450SPX, we still have potential to strike the 2500SPX region before we see a top to wave (3). Currently, the market has maintained such support, so I must maintain my expectations.
“The market is just not trading on fundamentals.”
“The stock market is detached from the reality of the economy.”
“Eventually, fundamentals will matter again.”
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
New Monthly Rebate to Help Reduce Your Trading Costs / Stock-Markets / Spread Betting
Financial Spreads have started a new monthly rebate scheme called 'Trader Rebate'.
This gives clients a rebate, up to 20%, on their trading costs every month. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Dow 22,000 Struck - How Much Higher Can It Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Mike Golembesky writes: I have now been writing for several weeks now that I was looking for an ideal shorter-term target zone of the 21,971 -22,429 zone on the Dow Jones Industrial Average prior to seeing a top in the index. Last week the Dow moved over 22,000 for the first time and is now trading right in the middle of that target zone. Additionally, the path up to this zone since the May 17th low has been exceptionally smooth having seen a tight grind to these higher levels.
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Wednesday, August 09, 2017
Stock Market Divergences Are Now Appearing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The loss, of the leadership of the banking and financial sector, BKX ETF, is now a major warning signal which is what is required in order to move the SPX much HIGHER, at this time!
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Tuesday, August 08, 2017
The Case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the following charts, I present the case for SPX 2265.22 by August 14th, 2017. That is only one week away and would knock about 8.5% off the major average.
I use astrology, Gann & Hurst Cycles, E-Wave and charting techniques to prove my point.
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Tuesday, August 08, 2017
Stock Market Volatility: A Dangerous Game Made Safe / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the coming years, we’ll see much more volatility in the market.The fact that the VIX (or volatility index) has hit its lowest levels ever this year is of course prompting concern that a bear market is lurking in the shadows.
The market boom from late 1982 through late 2007 was based on real fundamentals: the spending wave of the largest generation in history; falling interest rates from rising productivity after the greatest peak in history in 1980 to 1981; the movement of internet and portable computing into mainstream markets.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
CRASH - If Some People Do It, Nothing Bad Happens, But If Everyone Does It, All Hell Breaks Loose / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
BY JARED DILLIAN : In preparation for writing this article, I wanted to brush up on the Crash of 1987, so I let my fingers do the walking:The Crash of ’87 doesn’t even make the list! Wow, short memories.
When I started trading index arbitrage in 2001, people were asking me if index arb caused the Crash of ’87.*
No, index arbitrage didn’t cause the Crash of ’87, nor was it a contributing factor.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
TASI Targets Higher Prices Following Breakout Of Bull Pennant / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
The Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) bull trend is preparing for its next move higher following a pull back towards support. Support can be anticipated anywhere from last week’s low of 7,059 and down to approximately 6,870. The lower part of the range is from previous resistance (now potential support) at the swing high from April 2016. That high marked the top of a large double bottom trend reversal pattern.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
Stock Market - Has Time Run Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 06, 2017
U.S. Dollar: This Crash Signals the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
As the Dow breaches 22,000 and the U.S. dollar slides, Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group, discusses portfolio positioning.
Apple reported earnings this week and the stock surged, taking the Dow Jones above 22,000 points for the first time in history.
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Saturday, August 05, 2017
Parallel Lives: The U.S. Stock Market and The New York City Subway - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The NYC Subway and the Stock Market: See Amazing Parallel Trends and Turns For Yourself.
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Saturday, August 05, 2017
CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.
Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.
Saturday, August 05, 2017
The Crisis of World Automation / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
“Money is an amazing, device without which modern civilization could not function but its introduction and development as a debt-credit accountancy system in the context of an increasingly labor-displacing, intensive capital producing system, involves a number of fundamental issues of which we must become aware of and for which we must compensate through a new economic orthodoxy. Keynesianism is dead. Let us actively bury it and move on, rather than let the corpse rot and its disease destroy the natural creative resourcefulness of nations”.
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Friday, August 04, 2017
How to Win Against the Dangerous Stock Market Investor "Herding Impulse" / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
We all love a bargain...
...Except when it comes to stocks.
The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer's -- but we're far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.
So how does our mind work in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty?
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Thursday, August 03, 2017
Uncertainty At Record Highs, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, August 02, 2017
What Is Widespread Excessive Stock Market Optimism Indicating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I implement these “seasonality” charts as they have been a great framework into all of my trading/investing technical analysis. Seasonality charts are constructed from the past thirty years of historical data.
I implement them as “contrarian indicators”. The “extreme bullishness” is perceived as bearish and the “extreme bearishness” is perceived as bullish!
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