Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 09, 2015
September Stock Market Crash Cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
All experienced stock market experts are proficient in the concept of economic cycles. While they may not always predict the future, their study of time relationships to trends and prices are important factors in reading the market. Just remember, markets are rigged so adherence to ridged oscillations for predicting the movement of financial instruments is not a pure science.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Crash Sees the Fed Lost Half Its $4 Trillion Bet in 1 Week / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Since the financial crisis, central banks have injected trillions of dollars into the global economy. Their goal: to offset the natural downturn from slowing demographic trends and the crushing debt loads of the greatest credit bubble in history.The Federal Reserve alone has created $4 trillion in QE since late 2008. They tried to solve an unprecedented debt crisis by adding more debt.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
When Stock Market Volatility Is Your Best Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Most people who talked to me about the market last week were shaking their heads, trying to make sense of the extreme up-and-down moves. But a few smart investors simply shrugged their shoulders and said, “I don’t care. I’m selling the volatility, so it’s been great for me.”
What they mean is that they are selling options - calls and puts. And they’re not selling them to close positions. They’re starting new ones, but selling first and buying them back when they’re cheaper.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
One of the Best Opportunities When the Stock Market Recovers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
For some time now, I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing within the stock markets. The speed of the market’s drop, during the month of August, came as no surprise to me.
The bear market rally ended last week, after it had a 50% retracement of its initial decline. By Friday, September 4th, 2015, the index was trying to hold on, so as to support that which was created by a critical short- term trend line that had already been violated. The DJIA weekly chart gives a good argument by expressing the view that a bear market may already have begun.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Muddling Through Shanghai Stock Market and Chinese Economy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
“He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot, will be victorious.” – Sun Tzu
A couple of weeks ago I was complaining about 47,000 China reports clogging my e-mail. The number now feels like it is well into six figures (perhaps a slight exaggeration). Maybe my memory is going, but there wasn’t nearly as much China talk on the way up. Funny how that works.
Is China collapsing? I think parts of China are under severe pressure if not outright recession, and clearly the stock market is a disaster. Anyone who bought Shanghai or Shenzhen stocks on margin this year is probably on the brink.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
7 Reasons the Stocks Bear Market Has Just Begun / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On March 10th 2009 the US stock market hit an intraday low and put in the now-famous “Haines bottom”--coined after my friend, the late great Mark Haines, who made one of the most prescient calls in market history. It should be noted by the time that fateful day arrived it was virtually impossible to find a single bull out of all the geniuses on Wall Street.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
The Stock Market Wants to Rally, Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX futures are rallying during this Labor Day Holiday. The chart below pretty much explains what I'm looking for this week. On the sentiment point, we have excessive bearishness: large specs short volatility, while the small specs are long volatility and high P/C ratios... this is fairly bullish, at least in the short term.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 07, 2015
If You Think That Was A Stock Market Crash…. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week’s volatility to the downside was entirely predictable, as the first leg down during this ongoing market crash reached the correction stage of 11%. The technical bounce was a given, as the 30 year old HFT MBAs on Wall Street have been trained like rats to BTFD. In their lemming like minds, it has worked for the last six years of this Federal Reserve created “bull market”, so why wouldn’t it work now. Last week was their first lesson in why it doesn’t work during bear markets, and we’ve entered a bear market. John Hussman seems amused at the shallowness of the arguments by Wall Street shills and CNBC cheerleaders about the future of the stock market in his weekly letter. After this modest pullback from all-time highs, the S&P 500 is still overvalued by 92%:
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Bond Yields vs Stocks and The Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The widely anticipated US August jobs report headlined with a disappointing 173k increase in nonfarm payrolls (lowest since March). The silver lining was in the 44k upward revision of the previous two months and the decline in the unemployment rate to fresh seven-year lows of 5.1% from 5.3%. The decline 41K decrease in the labour force was too small to reduce the participation rate, which remained unchanged at 62.6%.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
More Stock Market Selling Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Stock Market Bulls Set To Be Tasered Again - Imminent Crash, Severe Downleg... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stockmarket is toxic! It's very important that you don't get seduced by the old siren song of Wall St about "buying the dip" and other nonsense like "being selective". While these strategies have worked up to now, they won't any longer, because we are now in a bearmarket, and furthermore it looks like we are on the verge of another plunge.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Investors Cash in On a Strong U.S. Dollar and Weak Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another 541 points or 3.2% to close at 16,102.38 while the S&P 500 dropped 68 points or 3.4% to 1921.22. The Dow is now solidly in 10% correction territory from its 18,351.40 closing high earlier this year and down 9.7% year-to-date.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Tracking Stock Market Investor Sentiment with Credit Spreads / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Long time readers of this site are aware that successful traders/investors learn how to read market sentiment. Positioning yourself on the correct side of a market is the key to profits. Do this, and do it consistently, and you will make money. Don’t do this and you will lose money. It is a very simple yet very profound axiom that sadly many seem never to learn.
“Fighting the tape”, is the expression we use when characterizing those who fail to approach markets objectively, but who insist on reading their own bias or belief system INTO a market rather than listening to what the market is saying to them.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
How Stock Market Crisis Creates Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Anthony Summers writes: Last week, we looked at the largest percentage losses in the Dow since 1965. We learned that the months August through November saw the highest concentration of single-day losses of 3% or higher.
In today’s chart, we’re going to look at the market’s largest gains. And just like before, we wanted to know the months when they were most common.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Dog Day Afternoons / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Fed got what they wanted today besides the much weaker than expected jobs report.
The Unemployment Rate dropped to 5.1%, largely on the number of people who have been unemployed for so long that they are no longer counted as part of the workforce. Hence the record low 'Labor Participation Rate.'
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another volatile week! The week started off with two consecutive gap down openings after starting at SPX 1989. By late Tuesday the SPX was down to 1903. Wednesday and Thursday it reversed with two gap up openings, carrying the SPX to 1975 by Thursday morning. On Friday the market gapped down at the open taking the SPX to 1911. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.35%, the NDX/NAZ were -3.15%, and the DJ World index was -3.60%. On the economic front positive/negative reports came in even. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the GDPN, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, both ISM’s, the WLEI, payrolls, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by the PPI, Export/Import prices and Consumer sentiment. Best to your week!
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stock Market Investors Destined to Lose; What you can do to improve your odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Uncertainty and mystery are energies of life. Don't let them scare you unduly, for they keep boredom at bay and spark creativity. - R. I. Fitzhenry
The average person regardless of their education or lack off usually is on the receiving end of the stick when it comes to investing in the markets. The reason for this quandary is really very simple and predicated upon the fact that the average person’s decision-making process is driven by their emotional state. Successful investing and emotions do not go together; it’s an awful mix, and the outcome is always the same; stress and loss.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Global Stock Markets Are Between Apocalypse And Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Major world stock markets are all in a BEAR MARKET MODE…cash is king horizon to horizon…universally! Death Cross patterns continue to spread through most international stock markets like an epidemic gone viral (A Death Cross pattern is when the 10-week moving average falls below the 40-week moving average). Moreover, history is testament that September is marked by horrific stock losses during the past 40 years.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Central Planning, Politics, Economics and The Santelligram / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Rick Santelli may be one of the last speakers of truth left in the mainstream financial space.Santelli is a former commodities trade – now a popular CNBC commentator, broadcasting from Chicago.
He is treated like a sad clown brought out for entertainment effect, where you brace for the extreme. In his case, this often manifests as an angry rant.
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