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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, June 17, 2013

Stock Market Caught in a Wide Trading Range, Odds Favor Resolution to Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. An intermediate reversal is on the way.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 17, 2013

Stock Markets Risks Unacceptably High and Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

Post GFC, US corporate profits have been very likely rising for reasons that are more related to cost savings and margin increases than to real revenue growth. These cost savings have now worked their way through the system and future US corporate profit growth will be more dependent on price inflation and/or sales volume growth.

US balance of payments may improve as a result of improved energy exports but, because the country is now oriented to a service economy, any growth in export volumes of manufactured goods is unlikely to impact significantly on the economy as a whole. In any event, with the rest of the world in recession, the likelihood of a growth in export volumes is low.  With government spending sequestered, an implication is that employment opportunities will have to be driven by private enterprise.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 16, 2013

Media, Economy and Markets Behind The looking Glass! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Robert_M_Williams

The most important service rendered by the press and the magazines is that of educating people to approach printed matter with distrust! - Samuel Butler (1612 – 1680)

I have been of the opinion for a number of years that what we see in the media is exactly what “they” want us to see, no more and no less. With very few exceptions, if we see it on TV it’s because they want us to see it and it is meaningless. If by chance you do see something bad on TV it’s because it isn’t what it appears, or the censors slipped up. Most of what appears to be bad is simple misdirection intended to distract your attention away from what really matters. This week was no exception as we are subjected to the monotonous drone of employment numbers, earnings reports and whether or not the market has topped. None of that matters, at least not in the way it is being presented to us.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 16, 2013

Stock Market Longer Trend Weakening, Daily Trend Turning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Charts are not predictive in nature, rather they are instructive on how to best prepare and get an edge when deciding to enter into a position, [or exit one]. It is of the utmost importance to have a game plan in place, beforehand, otherwise, one is relying upon factors more emotionally driven than fact driven.

The function of reading a chart is to gain insight from the most reliable source available, the market itself. What a market does is generate information that reflects the outcome of all source decision-makers, from the most highly informed and experienced to the least informed and weakest, with varying degrees of skills in between.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another choppy week in the US as foreign markets continue to confirm downtrends. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World index dropped 0.60%. On the economic front positive reports continue to outpace negatives ones. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, the PPI, the WLEI and the monetary base, plus both weekly jobless claims and the current account deficit improved. On the downtick: export/import prices, consumer sentiment and the budget deficit worsened. Next week we have the FOMC meeting, housing reports and leading indicators.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Stock Market Bulls Ignore Japan’s Implosion and Pray for More Printing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

The markets in the US have entered a mania in which investors look for any and all excuses to push the markets higher.

Case in point, yesterday Japan’s Nikkei fell 6%. This happened in spite of the fact the Bank of Japan is currently engaged in a QE policy equal to over 25% of Japan’s economy.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Stock Market Back And Forth...Good Medicine.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

So Thursday we're up 180 points after struggling just prior. The market is ready to blast out, right? Well, not exactly. You see, in an agnostic, sideways, unwinding situation you get a lot of head fakes both ways. You think things are bad and then they rise. You think things are good and then they fall. This process continues the medicine the market needed, which again, was two-fold. Unwind overbought and very top heavy oscillators and unwind too many bulls, and thus, get more folks bearish or least unsure of themselves. Days like today are so good for the bigger picture in that it made folks angry.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 15, 2013

What If The Secular Stocks Bear Market Is Not Over? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

It’s easy to forget, especially in the excitement of the recent new market highs, that not only a cyclical bear market, but also a secular bear market began when the market topped out in 2000.

None other than Warren Buffet warned in November 1999 that “Over the next 17 years equities will not perform anything like – anything like - they’ve performed over the last 17 years.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 14, 2013

Investors Beware Higher Interest Rates Looming / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: The rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has been creeping up higher and just broke the four-percent threshold. This is a telltale sign that higher financing rates are on the horizon.

While there’s still hope that the Federal Reserve will hold off on reducing its bond buying at next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the reality is that the money party is coming to an end.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 14, 2013

Truly Shocking - Selling Access to Market Moving Economic Data 2 Seconds Before Everyone Else! / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Pssst...Want to buy a watch?

I don't have one for sale, but I know some folks that are willing to sell you... well, it's not a watch, but it's something much, much better. They'll sell you time. You want to buy some time?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 14, 2013

Bail-Ins, Bonds Bursting and Hyperinflation… Three MEGAS / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“The implicit assumption behind that siren call must be that the inflation rate can be manipulated to reach economic objectives. Up today, maybe a little more tomorrow and then pulled back on command. Good luck with that. All experience demonstrates that inflation, when fairly and deliberately started, is hard to control and reverse.”

Paul Volcker, Former Fed Chairman, June, 2013

Indeed! The St. Louis Fed’s adjusted Monetary base shot up from $800 Billion in 2009 to $3.2 Trillion in June 2013.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Why Central Bankers Are Terrified / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

Japan continues to implode. We’ve now taken out the trendline that supported this rally since November.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Stock Markets In Dangerous Territory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

As I alluded to in my previous report both stocks and gold are due to mean revert. Short-term the stock market is getting significantly oversold and if we get a down day tomorrow I would expect some kind of bounce off of the 1600 level. If that bounce fails and we break below last Thursday's low it should confirm that stocks have begun an intermediate degree correction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Stocks, Gold and Crude Oil Markets Analysis and Trends Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The two most popular investments a few years ago have been dormant and out of the spot light. But from looking at the price of both gold and oil charts their time to shine may be closer than one may thing.

Seasonal charts allow us to look at what the average price for an investment does during a specific time of the year. The gold and oil seasonal charts below clearly show that we are entering a time which price tends to drift higher.

While these chart help with the overall bias of the market keep in mind they are not great at timing moves and should always be coupled with the daily and weekly underlying commodity charts.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Fear Sneaking Back into the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: In just a matter of a few months, the S&P 500 is up more than 14%. To say the very least, these gains are nothing short of amazing—much better than what investors can get with the long-term U.S. bonds that currently yield less than 3.5%.

Consider this: on average, in the first five months of this year, the S&P 500 went up by about 2.8% per month (14% divided by five months). Assuming the stock market keeps the same pace, the S&P 500 will gain way more than 30% this year (12 times 2.8%).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Healthy Stock Market Selling Kicks In.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

There's good selling and there's bad selling. Selling that comes with a massive breakdown is never good if you're a bull. Not something you really ever want to see from a bull-market perspective. Then there's selling that comes which serves two very important purposes. Both from an unwinding standpoint. Look folks, the market stayed overbought, obnoxiously so, for a very, very long time. It just refused to sell very much. RSI's constantly in the 70 range, often well above with some RSI's reaching up near a ridiculous 90 on those froth stocks. Stochastic's staying near 100 with readings 90, and above, for a very long time. MACDs very highly compressed. No move down, just staying at the top for weeks and months. Add in how the bull-bear spread went from the teens to the red flag reading of 36.4%, and the market was pretty much full to say the least.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Financial Crisis 2008 Style Can Absolutely Still Happen Again / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Bloomberg

John Thain, former chairman and CEO of Merrill Lynch and COO at Goldman Sachs, told Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Sara Eisen on "Market Makers" today that a crisis like the one in 2008 could "absolutely" happen again." Thain said, "If anything, too big to fail is a bigger problem because the biggest financial institutions are more concentrated today than they were. Dodd Frank did not solve too big to fail."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Stock Market SPX Support Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX broke the minor support at 1622.90 and has now gone back to retest it. The next support is the Cycle Bottom and 50-day moving average at 1610.00. SPX behavior here will tell us whether it will accelerate immediately to the downside or hesitate yet a few more days.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Why this Economic Statistic Scares Me to Death for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon writes: A year ago at this time, a U.S. Federal Reserve study found that the median net worth of the American family fell by almost 40% between 2007 and 2010, wiping out 18 years of economic progress and cutting middle-class wealth back to levels not seen since the early 1990s.

A year later, a new study has found that - despite the continuation of the strongest-bull-market rebound in history - America's finances haven't improved.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Did the ECB Mega Bailout Just Hit the Wall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

Few analysts know or admit it, but the only thing that held Europe (and ultimately the financial system) together since May 2012 was the promise of unlimited bond purchases from the ECB.

The reason this worked was because traders poured into European bonds in an effort to front run the coming ECB purchases (much as they have done with Treasuries during every new QE plan in the US).

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