Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 19, 2013
Stocks Go Parabolic Without Taper to Hold them Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Holy cow, look at that Dow line: We have gone from 14,700 to 15,700 (6.8%) in 3 weeks. At this pace, we'll be at 19,000 by December 31st and over 20,000 in January and 32,000 at the end of next year! Wow, that is so normal, right?
Of course, the Fed DID put $1Tn into the market yesterday. Actually it was more like $2Tn because they are continuing to put $85Bn PER MONTH ($1Tn per year) into the markets through QE but they also withdrew $1,000,000,000,000 – not just from your savings account – but from every single asset you have, when they devalued the Dollar by 1% yesterday.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Federal Reserve Surprises Markets with ‘No Taper’ Announcement / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The Federal Open Market Committee met on Tuesday and Wednesday and decided not to taper Quantitative Easing (QE) not even by a small amount, so the $85 billion monthly bond-buying program remains in place until further notice.Tapering would have represented a major turning point for the Fed in that it would have signalled the beginning of the end of QE and a reversal of monetary policy which provides by financial stimulus, however, tapering appears to be off the table, at least for the near term. Although the Fed Chairman did say the following:
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Financial Crisis Meltdown Five Years After / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
So appropriate that the architect of banking deregulation, Larry Summers pleads that he is not the right person to head up the Federal Reserve. No S$%#. Well, the Fed is certainly the hot seat under normal circumstances. What will it be like when the next crisis directly puts into play the reserve currency status of the dollar? Do not worry, anniversaries are supposed to look at the brighter side. Never mind, our benevolent government is hard at work presenting the public with the kind of assurance that would make anyone start singing happy birthday.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Dow Jones Upside Break May be a Head Fake / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
To begin with, attention is drawn to the positions of the RSI and MACD on the chart below (stockcharts.com). The RSI is overbought and the MACD has failed to rise to a new high. Technically speaking, this is a meaningful non-confirmation
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Thursday, September 19, 2013
Dow New High, Another Stocks Bear Market Goes Up in Smoke, Forget QE Tapering Expect Expansion! / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The Dow Jones stocks index closed at another all time high of 15,676, catching many if not most so called market analysts off guard as for the duration of the stock markets latest correction could be found to be singing the new secular or cyclical bear market has begun mantra, despite the fact that many of whom have been singing the same tune for the duration of the 5 year plus of the stocks bull market.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Dark Pools of Capital Should Be Closed / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
John Thain--chairman and CEO of CIT Group, former CEO of Merrill Lynch and former CEO of NYSE--sat down for a wide-ranging interview with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle on "Market Makers" yesterday. Thain said that there is too much fragmentation and insufficient transparency in the stock market and that dark pools should be eliminated.
Thain went on to speak about bank compensation, saying that pay and talent can emphasize risk management and that "the problem is bonus is a bad word these days."
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Steps to Take When the Stock Market is Ready to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: It is Wall Street legend that in 1979, BusinessWeek informed readers of “The Death of Equities” right before the biggest run-up in stock prices in history.
Since then, many other magazine covers have served as a contrarian signal for where the markets are headed. That’s led to a theory among some investors that the market is about to do the opposite of whatever mainstream magazine covers suggest.
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Unpleasant After-Effects of Prolonged Low Interest Rates Starting to Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes: There’s a notion among central banks of the global economy that goes like this: if you lower interest rates, you will get economic growth. On the surface, it makes sense; easy monetary policies by central banks are supposed to bring confidence to an economy—they’re supposed to encourage consumers and businesses to borrow, which should translate to more jobs created and an improvement in the standard of living.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Why the Stock Market Prefers Yellen So Much for New Fed Chief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: With recent news on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s possible replacements, we’re seeing even more evidence that the stock market gains really are largely dependent on the Fed’s current easy money environment.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
What Investors Can Do About Rising Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
Sasha Cekerevac writes: As my long-time readers are fully aware, one of the concerns I have brought up over this past year has been the reaction in the economy to what I believed would occur—higher interest rates.
As we are now seeing interest rates increase, the result of this action is beginning to seep through into the economy.
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Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Investors - Why Russia is Hard to Ignore / Stock-Markets / Russia
Russian President Vladimir Putin created a stir recently when he shared his thoughts with Americans in an op-ed printed in The New York Times. According to The Times, very few pieces written by heads of state have been published by the paper and very few received the attention Putin attracted.But will the plea be influential? Will it change President Barack Obama’s or Americans’ opinion on the matter of Syria?
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Why the Roaring S&P 500 Is Really Showing Signs of Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Looking back over the past year, it’s quite amazing to see the shift in market sentiment. Last year, many investors were quite skeptical of the market, best represented by the S&P 500, and this led to cautious market sentiment.
This year, with the S&P 500 hitting new all-time highs, market sentiment has certainly improved substantially. But the question is: can the move continue?
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Prepare for "The Mother of All Bubbles" / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Shah Gilani writes: There are lots of reasons to be fully invested in the stock market. And that's why it's so important right now to keep an eye on all the bubbles.
They're everywhere. And we have plenty of reasons to fear any number of them bursting.
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Summers Out... Stock Market Likes But Fades Late.... Nasdaq Lags Badly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market sent a strong message today about what it thought of the prospects of Larry Summers taking over as the head of the federal reserve. Mr. Bernanke and his liquidity machine are on the way out this January. The market wanted to get more insight into who may take over. It wanted someone more in tune with the ways of Mr. Bernanke. In other words, free cash. Mr. Summers is known to be the opposite. He doesn't believe in nonstop stimulus where Ms. Yellen does believe in it. The market was hopeful to have someone step in who would basically keep the machine running if necessary, and thus, celebrated the news that came out over the weekend when Mr. Summers said he was no longer interested in being the head of the Fed world.
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Tuesday, September 17, 2013
How to Make More Money Investing Than a Venture Capitalist / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Alex Daley writes: One set of investors has managed to catapult themselves to near-demigod status in recent years, with revelers hanging on their every word. They even have their own TV shows. Yet, with one simple investment, you could make double what they do. Here's how.
In some circles, they've become as iconic as Babe Ruth or Ted Williams. You overhear people talking about the time they met one in a surprise encounter in a swanky bar, as if they'd just brushed shoulders with a resident of Olympus. The mix of reverence, fear, and giddiness in the conversation is almost palpable.
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Stock Market Turn is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SPX did turn just about mid-day and is challenging its uptrend line. There are a lot of issues the market must contend with. First, there’s the taper. Second, there the interest rate spike, which the Fed is not prepared and hasn’t planned for. Third, Janet Yellen could not see the last crisis, showing her to be unprepared for the next one, as well. She is still the first candidate for the Fed Chairmanship, but appears totally unable to think independently. Maybe that’s what Obama wants?
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Credit Crisis Five Years Past or Five More in the Making / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Wall Street is now reflecting upon the fifth anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy and the start of the Credit Crisis. In fact, most are celebrating the belief that the complete collapse of the American economy was avoided thanks to a massive intervention of government-sponsored borrowing and money printing.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Cycle Turn Date May Stop the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Good Morning!
Today is day 11 from the September 5 Trading Cycle high in TNX. It is also a potential turn date into a potential Primary Cycle high on September 29 through October 3. Primary Cycles can be very strong and sharp. You may recall that I have said, “Primary Cycles may often be spoken of in superlatives.” This one promises to be one of them.
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Summers Out, Syria Solved, Stock Markets Flying! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The Futures are flying!
Everything we were worried about is "fixed" and most of the Global markets are snapping higher this morning. That suits us just fine as we got much more aggressively bullish at our Strong Bounce lines on Tuesday (see "5 More Trade Ideas that Make 500% in an Up Market") and, even better, we nailed it again on oil, which is DOWN to $106.50 again this morning (/CL) for $2,000 PER CONTRACT gains!
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Monday, September 16, 2013
Stock Market September Bounce Accelerates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: For the second consecutive week, all eight indexes on my world watch list finished with gains, the first time that’s happened this year. In fact, prior to the last two weeks there have only been three other Friday closes when all eight posted gains: the first Friday of 2013, Friday May 10th, and Friday July 12. The Shanghai Composite was the week’s big winner, with a 4.50% advance. The Nikkei finished second with a 3.92% gain. The S&P 500′s 1.98% was only good enough to be the top of the second tier. The FTSE posted the smallest gain, a perfectly respectable 0.56%.
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