Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Euro and Irish Banks Nationalization, Chinese interest rate hike the Grinch for Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
Almost half of German companies see breakup of Euro region as a real threat and to make things worst Irish High Court has given the go ahead to the government to acquire Allied Irish bank without the consent of the shareholders! Dublin would now be injecting $4.8 billion into Allied Irish bank to raise its stake to 92% from 19% before. This is not the first bank/lender which Ireland has nationalized, it is the 4th lender now and Ireland’s Ministry of Finance had this to say “Allied Irish was Ireland’s largest company by market value in 2007 [which at its peak valued at 21 billion Euros] however, [now] the bank’s market capitalization is at 347 million Euros only and had the government not invested now then there would have been no Allied Irish bank on Jan 1st”. The stock would be delisted from the stock exchanges it is listed on and would be moved to the junior Irish bourse. So, in simple words the Allied stake holders are wiped clean out.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
China Syndrome: A Building Bubble This Way Bloweth / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Midas_Letter
The investment world has become obsessed with phenomena that cause catastrophic loss – so much so that a new language has evolved, subjugating old words to new meanings. Melt-downs, for example. Collapse. Bubbles.
Bubble, in fact, is now the word that classifies any asset class believed to be overpriced as a result of investment hysteria. Right now, we have the gold bubble, the silver bubble, more generally, the commodities bubble. The real estate bubble, now burst, precipitated the world financial crisis of 2008, which, according to most financial press, is now over. Strange, that, since unemployment remains rampant, home prices are still at rock bottom, and earnings for any corporation who didn’t get stimulus cash to superficially improve their balance sheet optics, are non-existent.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
Financial Markets Year End Signals, Q&A's / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Larry_Edelson
I hope you had a wonderful Christmas with your loved ones! The holidays are wonderful, and in a few days we have another one coming up — the start of a brand new year.
Now, please be sure you’re watching the year-end signals I gave you in my columns of November 22 and November 29. They’re effective for this Friday’s closing prices for those markets. They are very important and I will be referring to them as the new year unfolds.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
Rising stock prices may be self-sustaining, but rising commodity prices are self-limiting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: ECR_Research
The upswing in resource prices continues. From a fundamental perspective this is no surprise. As the US, Japan, and Europe pursue an unremittingly loose monetary policy, credit supply to the “real” economy is more or less stagnant. Therefore a lot of capital is available for speculation. In addition, growth rates (and the anticipated returns) in the emerging economic nations outpace those in the West, whereas the former consume relatively high quantities of commodities. Owing to various capital restrictions it has now become easier and cheaper to speculate on buoyant growth in the upcoming economies through the commodity markets. On top of this US growth is accelerating while resources are becoming more popular as an inflation hedge.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
What 2010's End is Saying About 2011's Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks rose last week with all the excitement of water turning to ice in the freezer.
I kept hitting the side of my monitor to see if the pixels were stuck -- but no, it was just another one of those low-volume, low-drama late-December sessions that we have come to know and love.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Extreme Investor Sentiment Persists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
It doesn't take a rocket scientist (or Wall Street analyst ~ a downgrade?) to figure out that investors are extremely bullish on the equity markets. Such extremes in sentiment will usually (85% of the time) lead to better risk adjusted buying opportunities in the future. In other words, the next best time to be a buyer of equities will be when investors are bearish not bullish as they are now. The markets don't have to go down just because everyone is bullish, but if you are a "believer" and buyer at these levels, then you will need to identify a market top and get to the exits before the next guy to extract profits. This is a very crowded trade and identifying the top is a tall order.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
The Stocks Bear Market Will Return In 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It's almost impossible to find anyone who is long term bearish on the stock market or economy at this time. In the recent Barron’s poll every single analyst expected a rise in stock prices next year and continued economic expansion.
I think they are all going to be wrong, horribly wrong. I believe next year the stock market will begin the third leg down in the secular bear market. And the global economy will tip over into the next recession that will be much worse than the last one.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Analysis Into End of 2010 and 2011 Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a productive albeit quiet week of trading in the US. The market made a new bull market high in the opening minutes of trading on monday, made higher highs over the next two days, and closed out the week within two points of the SPX 1259 bull market high. The week’s fourteen economic reports were all jammed into the last two days of trading. Twelve were positive or improving, and only two were flat or lower. The rundown. Weekly jobless claims were flat, and the weekly M1 multiplier declined this week. Q3 GDP was raised to 2.6%, existing/new home sales rose, as did FHFA home prices and weekly mortgage applications. Durable goods orders improved, personal income/spending remained positive, while PCE prices rose, along with, consumer sentiment, the monetary base and the WLEI.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Reaches Eight Month High, Could be Downhill Fast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After Nearly Two Years Of Searching, TrimTabs Still Can't Figure Out Who Is Buying Stocks
(ZeroHedge) A year after Charles Biderman's provocative post first appeared on Zero Hedge, in which he asked just who is doing all the buying of stocks as the money was obviously not coming from retail investors, today Maria Bartiromo invited the TrimTabs head once again in an interview which disclosed that after more than a year of searching, Biderman still has no idea who actually buying. In response to Bartiromo's question if the retail investor, who left after the flash crash (thank you SEC), Biderman responds what every Zero Hedger has known for 33 weeks: "Retail investors are not coming back to the US…When I was on your show a year ago I was saying the same thing: we can't figure out who is doing the buying it has to be the government, and people said I was nuts. Now the government is admitting it is rigging the market." Cue Bartiromo’s jaw dropping.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
The Derivatives Monster That's 9X Bigger than the Global Economy / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Richard_Daughty
I assume that you, as an intelligent person who understands that the treacherous, greedy, vampire banks creating so much excess money means We’re Freaking Doomed (WFD), are Up To Your Freaking Ears (UTYFE) in gold, silver and oil, and you have had it UTYFE with your family always complaining about how you spend all the family’s income on gold, silver and oil instead of luxuries, family vacations, adequate food, clothing, medical care, dental care, blah blah blah, the list goes on and on.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010
Global Stocks and Commodities Trotting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Piazzi
Let’s take a look at a variety of indexes, one commodity, and one commodity-related index
Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Technical Outlook 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As we kick off 2011, there are plenty of things for investors to worry about, including budget imbalances in developed nations, high levels of bullish sentiment, and a fear of rising interest rates. As of late December 2010, the market’s technical profile remains healthy relative to the outlook for the next few months, something we expand on in the video below.
Friday, December 24, 2010
Stock Market Santa Rally Closes at New Bull Market High, FTSE Above 6000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
London's FTSE 100 Stocks Index closed at a new bull market high and above the 6000 level for the first time since June 2008, which followed the Dow's yesterday close at a new bull market high of 11,573.
Friday, December 24, 2010
Lessons Learned by Looking Back at 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Mike_Larson
The year is winding down, and boy has it been an exciting and volatile one. Bonds. Currencies. Financial stocks. Some of the gyrations we’ve witnessed in those instruments over the past 12 months were enough to take your breath away …
Friday, December 24, 2010
Thoughts on Stock Market Timing and Hundreds of Billions in Municipal Bond Market Losses? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: John_Mauldin
We Lost One of the Really Good Guys
Hundreds of Billions in Losses? Really?
Some Thoughts on Market Timing
Where Has the Year Gone?
I am neither a market timer nor the son of a market timer. I left my office in the Texas Rangers ballpark this year, and they went to the World Series. I bought Dallas Cowboys season tickets for the first time in 50 years, as they went down in flames. But I do know a few very good timers, and they are sending out warnings. Today, we look at a few of these, as it might pay to hedge some of your equity portfolio as we go into the New Year. I also answer some questions as to my view of the municipal bond market, given the 60 Minutes report of last week. The answers may surprise you. And as we approach the end of the year, I suggest a place where your help is most needed. I will try to keep it shorter, as there are more important things at this time of the year than the markets.
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Friday, December 24, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Tone Continues into 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Equity markets have enjoyed a positive tone since mid-2010. Improving fundamentals and rising U.S. GDP have bolstered investor confidence and supported the upward trend of the bull market. A year-end review of several key technical gauges highlights the ongoing strength that is normally associated with bull markets and should remind investors of the opportunities ahead in 2011.
Thursday, December 23, 2010
Stock Sentiment Worsens... Holiday Time Holds Market Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
This is normally a very bullish time of the year for the stock market. Santa Clause and all that nonsense. It's a retail trade time where small investors buy, and buy, and buy some more the way they're trained to do while the big money walks away for vacation. Volume trends are ridiculously low, but the markets almost always trend higher. We like that notion. Holiday cheer and good market times. Only problem is, sentiment is now becoming an important issue for this market.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Investor ETF Madness hits $1 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: PhilStockWorld
After adding $209Bn (26.3%) in total assets so far this year, the US ETF industry has passed the Trillion Dollar mark led by $31Bn of inflows into fixed income ETFs, of all things as well as $29Bn of inflows into emerging markets, and $21Bn into domestic. Recent outflows have knocked commodity ETFs down to $11.4Bn, miles down from last year’s $32.6Bn inflow – rats leaving a sinking ship, perhaps? That would be very bad news for the firm that bought up 90% of the LME copper supply recently. Do ETF traders really know something or are they a lagging indicator?
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
The Three Financial Market Trends That Will Define 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Kitze
It’s that time of the year when analysts and economics make financial predictions for the year ahead. And it is time for me to throw in my two cents’ worth as well. I believe that four financial trends will shape and define 2011. Here they are:
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Ten Economic and Investment Themes for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
1. US Municipal Bankruptcies Head to Center Stage
Look for Detroit and at least one other city in Michigan to go bankrupt. Also look for increasing discussions regarding bankruptcy from Los Angeles, Miami, Oakland, Houston, and San Diego. Those cities are definitely bankrupt, they just have not admitted it yet. The first major city to go bankrupt will cause a huge stir in the municipal bond market. Best to avoid Munis completely.
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