Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, December 05, 2008
Stock Market Volatility Connecting the Dots Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Volatility
One of the easiest ways to determine the trend in any market is simply to connect the dot's. In this five minute video, I explain how you can connect the dots in any market to determine its trend. I will show you three examples of connecting the dots...Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
US Jobs Report To Set Market Tone / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Yesterday was another sloppy day for stocks which sagged under the weight of earnings misses and dismal 2009 guidance (Nokia, Merck), big layoff announcements (AT&T, DuPont), weak chain stores sales numbers and ever widening credit spreads for corporates. This sell off comes despite another supportive plunge in the price of crude oil and more eye catching rate cuts from central banks in New Zealand, Indonesia, Sweden, UK and the Eurozone.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The importance of reviewing leading indicators Analysts, market pundits and the financial media are all looking for evidence of the current bear market bottom. Many forecasts from market experts have been announced over the past few weeks that a low may have already been established in the S&P 500. The rational for this statement covers the range from the historical decline percentage of bear markets over the past 60 years, the much quoted TED spread and its recent narrowing, the all-time high of the volatility index (VIX) and attractive valuations on many, many stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
Stock Market Short Term Support & Trend Lines Broken / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had what appeared to be a constructive morning, as they moved back and forth in a fairly narrow & orderly manner, getting several swings that were unable to break out or down, until the afternoon when they ultimately rolled over hard.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
Opportunities in the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
As various companies go hat in hand to Washington for a bailout, a recurring topic is what guaranty do the taxpayers get that they're not just throwing more money down a hole. Good question. Who wants warrants or preferred shares if the company is doomed anyway? What you're seeing take place are negotiated backstops between the US Government and pools of capital. A couple of examples:Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
Why Bond Markets Are Right, Depression Coming, No Time to Buy Equities / Stock-Markets / Economic Depression
Let's hear it for Ghana . The Ghanaian stock exchange is the planet's top performer this year – up a cool 60% to be exact. And in sterling terms it's up by two-thirds.
But nearly every other equity market in the world, including our own, is in a complete tailspin. And despite more and more bulls poking their heads above the parapet, the latest news is extra evidence that the selling's set to continue...
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Homebuilders ETF Surges Higher / Stock-Markets / Housing Stocks
The Homebuilders ETF (AMEX: XHB) appears to have established a significant low at 8.21 on Nov 21, and already has carved out what exhibits a bullish initial upleg from 8.21 to 12.24 (11/26). The pullback into yesterday's low at 10.32 has been reversed this morning, in a powerful surge that is nearing a retest of the 11/26 high, which if hurdled should trigger additional strength towards a confrontation with the declining 50 DMA, now at 13.83.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Shakes Off Mid-Day Decline to Close Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
It was another volatile session, very similar to yesterday, except for the late afternoon rally. The indices opened lower, bounced around, and then took off in a very sharp rally that took the NDX from 1105 to 1158, a 53-point rally inside of an hour and a half. The S&P 500 went from about 828 to about 864 in that time frame.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
The Important Connection Between Stock Market New Lows and Relative Strength / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
What can the NYA New Lows vs. the S&P's Relative Strength tell you about the market?
We have discussed the NYA "New Daily Lows" vs. the market many times before. Basically, when New Lows fall to below 50 to 28 per day, the market faces a condition where investors have pretty much stopped the big selling and have decided to hold on to the stocks they are still in.
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Deflationary Trend Scenario Into into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Welcome to An Occasional Letter, the third part of the development of the new scenario that I believe will play out over the next 5 or so years. In the last 2 articles we looked at the new themes emerging from the pyre that was Financial Innovation, in this article its time to develop the new road ahead.
If you want to catch up on the first 2 articles click article 1 and article 2 .
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Systemic Risks Means this is a Traders Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The latest valueline report makes very sombre reading: "The economy is now in a deepening slump, which is now characterized by issues of viability in the troubled auto sector, by the need for a monumental bailout of ailing behemoth Citi-group, and by further reversions on the housing market, where existing home sales resumed their decline in October and prices fell by the most on record. Given this dour backdrop, it is not surprising that we expect the downwardly revised .5% decline in third quarter gross domestic product to be followed by a materially large 3%-5% set back in GDP in the final three months of the year. The news is likely to get worse before it gets better."Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
U.S. Stock Market Valuations and Returns, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Stock market movements over the past few months have been characterized by increased volatility as uncertainty became paramount. And as new pieces of the economics puzzle are added every day, investors are increasingly grappling to make sense of the most likely direction of stock prices.
It seems to be a case of so many pundits, so many views. Has the market started bottoming out, or are bourses still in the grip of the bear? Or is a “muddle-through” trading range in store?
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Caution, Caution, and More Caution / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Just when you think you have this figured out in this impossible environment, you recognize you don't -- and thus the reason to be either all cash or very close to it. Getting aggressive in any way, shape or form is incredibly inappropriate. Two days ago things looked good. Monday made things look bad, but Tuesday not so bad as those daily Macd's hung in there very well -- but of course could totally collapse tomorrow out of no where.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Indices Get Strong Finish to Finish near Highs in Volatile Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had a volatile session, but a got very strong finish, closing at the highs for the day on some of the indices and near them on the others.
The day started out with positive market futures, but they had come way off their early pre-market highs. They opened positive but then sold off immediately to retest yesterday's late lows, but held there. When that happened, they staged a very strong rally in the morning that took the Nasdaq 100 from about 1192 to 1137, about a 45-point rally.
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Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Plunging Domestic and Global Funds Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Mutual fund money flows, which are a good indicator of overall retail investor market views, have been strongly negative in recent months. Global and international equity funds have experienced greater negative money flows than domestic US mutual funds this year. Until the 2008 market drops, US equity funds received lower money inflows than global and international funds.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Financial Markets Technical Analysis- Yorba TV / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Today’s Yorba TV Program may be entitled “Final Landing” since the indexes have now given us a potential map of its intentions. Last week I put out a video on YouTube describing my current views on the BKX. It drew a lot of commentary and gave me a reason to re-evaluate the chart patterns to get the “best fit.” The red horizontal line is the neckline of an earlier head and shoulders pattern that had a target of 33 in the BKX.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Markets Finding More Promising Signs of a Turnaround / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
As the final month of 2008 begins, let's look back at November -- a month that featured a number of promising signs that a market recovery could be drawing nearer.
U.S. markets— According to probability models from Thomas Weisel, the S&P 500 has been a “Buy” since November 21, the day that index closed at 800. They say a verification could come in early December, when monthly liquidity figures come out—if there is extreme positive liquidity to accompany the technical “Buy” signal, history shows that on average there's a six-month price rally of 18.5 percent.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Market Crash Technical Analysis Online Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
How did a dead mathematician pinpoint the downturn in the market?
In my new video, I will show you how a mathematician who has been dead for
several hundred years, pinpointed today's downturn in the market (12/1/08).
I think that you'll find this short video informative, educational and above
all practical.
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Major Stock Market Test Underway / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
... because a formidable 6 month resistance is now being tested ...
Today, we will share the chart of our "Net Daily Difference between the Very Strong to Very Weak" stocks.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Stock Market Rally Ends With a BANG! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The rally abruptly ended today and with a bang, as the indices opened sharply lower on very negative pre-market futures. They dropped precipitously in the morning, bounced around mid-day to try to consolidate, and even tried a mid-day rally. When that failed they sold them off in earnest, as the indices cascaded in the last hour, the Nasdaq 100 dropping from 1128 to 1093 just in the last hour alone, and the S&P 500 dropping from 850 to 815 over that same period of time and closing not far from there.Read full article... Read full article...