Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 12, 2018
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
Stock Market Investing 2018 - “I Hope I’m Making a Bad Buy” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Yesterday was a lesson from Barton Biggs on how important it is to “listen to the market crowd.”
Today, we continue learning from his book, Wealth, War & Wisdom. As a reminder, it’s about what happened to stock markets and wealth during World War II.
Biggs calls WW2 “the most excruciating, destructive global disaster in all history.” No one knows if something similar will ever happen again.
The chances are that it will, whether that’s a decade or two hundred years from now.
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
S&P 500 Fluctuates As Stock Market May Be Topping, Or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly accurate, because the S&P 500 lost 0.1% following slightly lower opening of the trading session (-0.2%). The broad stock market fluctuates after its record-setting rally. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,765 and potential profit target is at 2,710 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Thursday, January 11, 2018
7 Market Forecasts 2018 from the Brightest Financial Minds I Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
In my fairly upbeat 2018 forecast, I predicted that the US economy and markets will probably hold up well, thanks to tax cuts and deregulation. That’s, of course, assuming the Federal Reserve gets no more hawkish than it already has.
Continuing my series of forecasts, here I’ll look at predictions from some of my most trusted friends and colleagues (subscribe to Thoughts from the Frontline to receive all my forecasts). Some disagree with my own views—and that’s perfectly fine. I want you to see all sides so you can make good decisions for your own family and portfolio.
I’ll let these forecasters speak for themselves in longer quotes than I usually allow, then add my own comments.
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
It’s Not Enough to Be Contrarian / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
Barton Biggs was a guru hedge fund manager and global investment strategist.
He was also a serious student of World War II. His book Wealth, War & Wisdom is about what happened to stock markets and wealth during WW2.
Today is part one of a two-part series on the takeaways from this book.
This is important because it was during a time he calls “the most excruciating, destructive global disaster in all history.”
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
Stocks That Take One for A Roller Coaster Ride Through the Thick And Thin Of Every Single Investment Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Today stocks categorically are subject to a lot of affluence and positivity where everyone can look over it without any hesitation. The rapid growth of many companies has resulted in the stocks surging higher than ever in the markets with a lot of potential gains that are to be foretold coming to act. In the same dimension of situations, one can easily comprehend the many diverse ways of making money that are essentially a driving force to the activity that completely leads to a fresh new perspective with which one can always lead a hand to willfully ensure an act that is worth indicating the good indexes with. Where there is a strong line of defense that can very much entice the crowd with which there is completely new dimensions of finding out the best of symmetrical and systematic investments that can guarantee a very definite option worth trying for.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
Stock Market Early Super Cycle Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
We now early evidence of the start of Super Cycle Wave (c). The first item is an unfilled gap, which may be a hallmark of The Wave (c) all the way to the bottom. The second is the bounce may have ended at 2747.36, beneath the 2-hour Cycle Top. There may be another attempt at filling the gap, but should also remain beneath the Cycle Top. As a result, that may temporarily be our stop loss level. The urge to buy the dip has not been extinguished, so be prepared for some whipsaw. However, a repeated decline may start to weaken the resolve of those willing to buy the dip.
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Wednesday, January 10, 2018
Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPX opened beneath its Cycle Top support at 2748.11 and stayed beneath it. Thus far the bounces have been weak and new lows are being made. This may be a good place for an aggressive short position. A partial position is recommended until the decline develops further. Usually you want to take a short position on a bounce, but since the decline isn’t yet fully developed, be prepared for a pullback.
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Wednesday, January 10, 2018
The 2018 Decline in Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The precious metals sector moved higher in the first days of this year, but based on yesterday’s decline and the current price levels, 2018 is already a down year for silver and mining stocks. Gold is almost flat. This is a subtle clue that the rally may have already ran its course. The confirmation comes from what happened yesterday. Miners continued their decline, invalidating the previous breakout, while gold finally joined the rest of the sector and started its own decline as well. Is the rally indeed over?
Most likely – yes. Let’s start today’s analysis with a look at gold’s performance (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, January 09, 2018
Investment Advice That Probably No One Gave You Before / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
BY PATRICK WATSON: Welcome to 2018.
Now is the time for New Year’s resolutions, so you might have important financial decisions to make.
If so, here’s a suggestion: Pay attention to that ugly prospectus, policy, or other disclosure that comes with your new stock or fund purchase. As you’ll learn in this article, it could save you from making a costly mistake.
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Tuesday, January 09, 2018
S&P 500 Sets Another Record, But This May Be Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Monday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong, because the S&P 500 gained just 0.2% following slightly lower opening of the trading session. The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend, but it remained within a relatively narrow trading range. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored today. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,765 and potential profit target is at 2,710 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Tuesday, January 09, 2018
Share Market Is One Of The Most Encouraging Opportunity For Young And Old Alike To Make Profitable Investments / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Taking a count on the number of people who have benefited from the amount of shares that have been purchased, there are many certain levels of ideal benefits in investing for shares. The profit is one thing but the thrill of waiting is another level altogether. The ups and downs are always there but when it comes to the very foundation of having a stern yet disciplined outlook on investment, things can get quite real and always will suffice the very ideology of fulfilling desires of monetary value. In realizing the importance of shares, one needs to be really on top of the game that will garner them enough support in making it easily possible for anyone to breathe easy on terms of realizing the very possibilities of profitable investments.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 08, 2018
Stock Market Close Call... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
SPX opened down…and in the nick of time, since the current Wave structure is invalidated above 2743.80. The alternate Wave structure goes much higher, thus my hesitation in writing until the open.
One measure that I missed is that Super Cycle Wave (b) is 2.618 time the size of Super Cycle Wave (a) at 2720.56. Again, using Elliott Wave, one must compare the Waves at the same degree. This is a flaw of Northman Trader that many will not pick up on.
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Monday, January 08, 2018
Stock Market Melt-up, Up, and Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger likes what he sees for gold in 2018's first week of trading.
While the moniker for this missive is "Gold and Gold Miners," I just sit back in absolute AWE as the global equity investors (otherwise known as "Stock jockeys") have decided that "cash is TRASH!" and despite a massive "miss" in the employment numbers this morning, within seconds of the release, the spin doctors manning the equity trading desks deemed that number "bullish" because it is less inflationary and may cause the Fed to "pause." So dollar-yen rallies, the USD index has a minor pop, gold sells off, and stocks come out of the gate up another 0.25% with all of the bubblicious bravado of a high school quarterback getting his first win.
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Monday, January 08, 2018
A little Stock Market Euphoria? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s. Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, January 06, 2018
A Timely Lesson for Today’s Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
"The names may change, but the psychology remains the same."
Have you ever compared chart patterns from history with financial markets today? Elliott Wave International can show you the unique value of doing exactly that.
Why?
Because patterns on market charts repeat themselves. It happens across the globe, regardless of time period. When a still-unfolding pattern in the present looks a lot like a chart from the past, the price action to come may well remain on that earlier path.
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Friday, January 05, 2018
S&P 500 Grinds Higher, But Stock Market Correction Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Thursday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved partly accurate, because the S&P 500 gained 0.4% following higher opening of the trading session (+0.2%). The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend, but it remained within a relatively narrow intraday trading range. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored today. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,750 and potential profit target is at 2,700 (S&P 500 index).
Friday, January 05, 2018
The 10 Key Charts For Global Multi-Asset Investors In 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Callum Thomas writes: As interesting and sometimes even amusing as it is to look back in time and reflect, as investors we get paid for looking forward and anticipating what may come. In this respect there’s a few existing trends and themes that will remain front of mind for me this year and will be key to keep on your radar in understanding the risks and opportunities in 2018.
Following is a selection of the key charts and indicators, the themes span inflation, monetary policy, commodities, China, emerging markets, corporate bonds, global equities, volatility, and bond yields. In other words, all the issues and topics that most active asset allocators should be thinking about. I'll be covering these topics in more detail in the coming weeks.
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Friday, January 05, 2018
Financial Markets Outlook 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Williams Market Analytics write:
Contents
I. Review 2017
II. Macroeconomic Outlook
III. Bonds & Yield
IV. Currency Markets
V. Commodities
VI. Equity Markets
VII. Final Thoughts for 2018
Thursday, January 04, 2018
2018 US Stock Market Rally Is Just Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Last week, we posted our research showing that the US markets were setting up for a 2018 Q1 rally based on our research using our advanced predictive analysis modeling tools – the Adaptive Dynamic Learning model. This model attempts to find unique price, technical and indicator patterns in past price bars and then attempts to find similar patterns in newer price bars. When multiple price bars with similar pattern structures are found, it maps these as “unique genomic structures” and attempt to learn from the future price activities. This unique modeling system was created by our team of skilled market researchers in an attempt to provide accurate insight into the markets future price swings.
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