Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Are Free Markets The Solution? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
You’ve probably seen the Jack Link’s Beef Jerky commercials where unsuspecting campers think it would be fun to mess with Sasquatch – an eight-foot tall, 400-lb. freak of nature.I like these commercials. What kind of idiot thinks they can get away with that?
When you mess with Mother Nature, she knocks you out with a fist to the face or a kick in the ribs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Stock Market No Fireworks Yet, But We May Have Seen the Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I was amazed this afternoon to see the top come in 61 days from the high on May 21, very close to 3:30 pm on both days. Due to the July 4 holiday, this turned out to be precisely 43 market days, to the hour, from top to top.
This is no guarantee of a top, but as I mentioned earlier, today was indicated by the Cycles Model as an important Cycle high. In fact, my earlier prognostications suggested that today might be a lower high in SPX, which it was. But I am marking it as a slightly truncated Wave 5 of (5) high, since it is only 190 ticks lower than the previous high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 20, 2015
China Crash and the Extinction of Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Michael_Pento
China's four-week-long stock market rout wiped out nearly 30% off the Shanghai Composite Index since its highs of June. To stem those losses the Chinese government has formulated an interesting hypothesis: stocks won't go down if you ban sell orders.
Working off this proposition Beijing has ordered shareholders with more than a 5% interest to stop selling shares; directors, supervisors, and senior management personnel are also barred from reducing their holdings.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 20, 2015
Markets Big Deflationary Downwave Quick Reference Guide... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
We are believed to be on the verge of another deflationary downwave, similar to or more severe than the one which drove the dollar spike - and commodity slump - between July of last year and March, and caused by an intensification of the debt crisis, with increasing capital flight out of Europe and into dollar assets as the EU crumbles. More QE will not save the situation, as it is already discredited and will have no more effect than trying to inflate a tire or rubber boat that has a big hole in it.
It is understood that in this modern age many readers have a very limited attention span, due to time constraints and the tendency to multi-task. For this reason this update is being kept short and to the point. It is intended to make plain in the clearest possible manner the scenario that is expected to unfold in the coming months. So let's get to it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market in Danger of Bear Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week I was looking for a short term low Monday and a rally into Wednesday, then down into week's end. The short term low occurred on Sunday in the futures market then sky rocketed all the way into Friday, July 17. In the past, whenever I've seen the 8 TD top go 10 TD's on a 16 TD top area, the market got over extended and lead to hard selling the following week.
Clearly, my forecast was a miss, but I don't think the next one will be too far off. We have the 16 TD low due July 22-24 (July 24 if we go 18 TD's like the last top). The next top is the 8 TD top due right on the FED meeting date July 29. The following week sees the 5/40 wk low due around the 5th of August.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market Relief Rally and More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 19, 2015
The Historical DOW Stock Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Some are concerned that the stock market is overvalued, and the bull market may end soon with a resounding crash. They have some valid points. US GDP, to date, has underperformed most modern recoveries. Corporate revenues have been soft lately due to the USD’s bull market. Interest rates are at historical lows and can only go higher, eventually. Record corporate stock buy backs have been helping to drive the stock market higher. Nearly everywhere you look Central Bankers are increasing their balance sheets by buying debt, and stocks in some cases. And, there are bubbles forming in the Bond market, Biotech, and Social media sectors.
Sunday, July 19, 2015
Five Ways for Stock Investors to Profit from the Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com
Michael A. Robinson writes: Today I'm setting you up with five ways to profit from the Greek Debt Crisis and any other sell-offs that come along.
The market swoons and soars we've seen over the past couple of weeks are part of a long-term trend.
Just in the last week, we saw enormous battles between the bulls and the bears as a bevy of market "pundits" tried to factor in what the dramas in Greece and China will mean for the markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
The expected “oversold technical bounce” due to recent market weakness materialized this week. With the good news from Greece spurring sentiment on, the NASDAQ has just jumped to new highs with the Dow 30 and S & P 500 not too far behind. Nothing unusual here. However, just like a clay mound in the Australian desert that is being burrowed out by termites the American stock market’s apparent strength is actually being hollowed out by technical failure.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Room For Further Upside....Transports Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The short-term charts were overbought on the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500, etc. It would be good if we could unwind them. That's exactly what we saw on everything other than the Nasdaq, but that was because Google Inc. (GOOG) was up so much on their earnings. Also, Apple Inc. (AAPL) did well, and it's heavily weighted, but, for the most part, things did unwind. A little more wouldn't be a bad thing, but that doesn't have to happen since the trend overall is still higher and weakness is being bought up. I say higher overall since the long-term trend is up and since 2040 S&P 500 has held on a closing basis. The bears came close, but no cigar. 2044 two times the best they could muster up. Today saw a small gap down on the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq gapped up on Google Inc. (GOOG). The rest of the day was spent in a very narrow range as the bulls were trying very hard not to allow too much in terms of price erosion. They're doing their best to keep the S&P 500 close to 2134.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Why Pensions Are A (Big) Black Swan / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: John_Rubino
When talk turns to what might derail today’s debt-driven “recovery,” the big names and easy stories get most of the attention: China with its soaring debt, volatile equities and heavy-handed intervention; Japan with its stratospheric debt and science fictiony demographics; Greece, which needs no explanation; the developing countries with their weak currencies and mountain of dollar-denominated debt. And of course America’s triple bubble of stocks, bonds and derivatives.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors Starting to Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
There is an old adage about when the VIX is too low. During the past 5 days, it dropped almost 40% and it is now at a historically low level.
Since the VIX (Volatility Index) moves opposite to the stock market, it is saying: don't worry, everything is wonderful.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2015
Compelling Reasons Why the Next Move Down in Global Markets is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rajveer_Rawlin
There are some compelling reasons to believe that the next move down in risk assets across the globe is about to begin:
First and foremost the Euro a good proxy for global risk appetite has completely broken down despite the perceived resolution to the crisis in Greece. The strong dollar could eventually cause the liquidation of carry trades (Source marketwatch.com):
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2015
Stock Market Investors Take the Low Risk Road / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The S&P 500 Index has hit numerous new highs in the past three years. Note the log-scale graph below and the broken support lines from 2000 and 2007. The current support line, depending on where it is drawn, is on the verge of breaking.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Beware of Stocks vs Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
How high can stocks go following the dissipation of Grexit, reiterated ECB calls to stick with its asset purchases and the stabilisation in Chinese stocks? Can equity bulls ignore the relationship between oil and stocks?
The 22% decline in oil from the May high raises the old question from early Q1: Will cutbacks from oil companies weigh on overall spending? Remember how in January, economists raised the red flag over oil prices' tumble below $50s, owing to the implications of severe cuts in capital expenditure by big oil/gas companies could, falling by as 20%, as low revenues no longer justify project finance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2015
GOLD and SP500 Intraday - Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P futures did not go far in the last 24 hours, so our view did not change; looking for a reversal down into a three wave retracement for wave B) soon. Notice that we can count five waves up from 2037 while current price is already outside of upward channel so momentum is decreasing, signaling for a turn.
Friday, July 17, 2015
8 Unprecedented Extremes Indicate a Stock Market Bubble in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
This article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2015 Elliott Wave Theorist. For more charts and detailed commentary, analysis and forecasts from Prechter's latest issues, click here for the extended subscriber version of this report -- it's free.
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Some indicate a bubble, and others a bubble in trouble.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Fed Follies and Assorted Shenanigans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Stocks managed to hold their own today in honor of Janet Yellen's testimony before the House. And it was painful to watch.
The Greek situation continues to remain highly unstable, but the rinse cycle is not quite due yet. but the markets are ignoring these things because of 'technical conditions.'
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 16, 2015
The Biggest Trade Ever! (No Exaggeration) / Stock-Markets / Demographics
By: Casey_Research
I won’t keep you in suspense. The biggest trade ever is in demographics. In particular, our rapidly increasing life expectancy.
Quick story. My Coast Guard friends are retiring now. You get to retire after 20 years of service, but some of them have been taking advantage of early retirement and are leaving the service as young as age 40.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Volatility Likely to Slow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Richard_Cox
When we look at the historical trends of the market, some interesting trends start to emerge. It can be said that historical averages are not always applicable to what is likely to happen in any given market situation but the fundamentals and technicals are currently aligning in ways that suggests the historical trends in stocks are likely to continue for the next few months. For stocks, this ultimately means a period of prolonged sideways trading that is likely to persist either until the summer months have finished or until the Federal Reserve actually makes it clear that interest rates will be rising according to a specific timetable.
Read full article... Read full article...