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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Mortgage Backed Securities Monetization and the US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Fannie Mae is being groomed to be the central clearing house for mortgages and their bonds, sponsored by the USGovt and the US Federal Reserve. Fannie Mae (FNM) just requested permission to take on much greater volume of mortgages, in order to alleviate the secondary market flow of capital funds. Since the accounting scandal which peaked in September 2004, a limit was imposed on FNM on its holdings at $727 billion. In today's climate, marred by credit seizure to some degree, FNM is deeply missed in its former prominent centrifuge role.

A key question arises on the general inflation impact, if and when FNM expands its role and is the nexus (surely a hidden basement) of grandiose illicit monetization of mortgage bonds. If the banking maestros undertake to put a secretive floor on mortgage backed securities (MBS), a solid bid to prevent further breakdown, then vast amounts of new printing press money will enter the system. The mortgage finance sector desperately needs a bid on subprime MBS bonds so as to clear them upon liquidations. The bank wizards could start monetizing them, and work their way up the quality ladder toward Alt-A loans which are also in trouble.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

MPTrader - Near-Term Work Remains Positive on Nasdaq (Q's) As Long as 48 Holds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) rocketed nearly $0.90 (1.9%) off of this morning's pre-open low at 48.08, but stalled and reversed right just below a key near-term resistance plateau between 49 and 49.15, which if (when) hurdled should trigger a powerful upside acceleration off of the development of a 3-week base-like pattern in the aftermath of the Jul-Aug decline.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

The “Plunge Protection Team” Working Overtime to Save US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Gary_Dorsch

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”, the brilliant Albert Einstein used to say. Imagine for just a moment, that the Dow Jones Industrials has become a key instrument of national economic policy, and that by “actively managing” its direction, the government could impact the wealth of tens of millions of US households, and by extension, influence consumer confidence and spending.

Since the appointment of Henry Paulson to the helm at the US Treasury, the US stock market has always found a way to defy the law of gravity. During Paulson's short reign, the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI-30) broke an 80-year old record for the longest streak of gains with only three declining days in between. During the first seven months of his tenure, the S&P 500 did not decline by 2%, the second longest-period without a 2% correction since 1964.

The market savvy Treasury chief, who built a $730 million fortune at Goldman Sachs, is also the chairman of the Working Group on Financial Markets, commonly known as the Plunge Protection Team (PPT), created by Ronald Reagan to prevent a repeat of the Wall Street meltdown in October 1987. The PPT is empowered to intervene in stock index futures and the foreign currency markets in the event of a crash.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Financial Markets Critical Signals Updated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: In times like these, when markets are swinging wildly, I pay particularly close attention to my systems and the signals they generate.

Not only have those signals proven themselves over the last 30 years, they also help eliminate emotions from the investing process. That's a key ingredient to successfully navigating the markets.

Indeed, the last time I published my signals they should have served you very well. Here's a reminder of what I said back in May, along with what happened afterward:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

MPTrader - Semiconductor Stocks Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Semiconductor HLDRs (AMEX: SMH) briefly popped above key near-term resistance at 38.00/05, but did not sustain that level -- at least not yet. However, my near-term pattern and momentum work argue strongly that higher price will emerge in the upcoming hours that will propel the SMH towards 39.00/25. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), and Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI) will be the big drivers of the next upleg in the semiconductors.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Stock Market Troubles - Three Ways to Protect Yourself / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Money_and_Markets

Tony Sagami writes: Although they posted a heck of a rally yesterday, U.S. stocks have had a couple of rough weeks. The S&P 500 lost 7.7% of its value from its peak in the middle of July through last Friday. That was its steepest three-week slide since 2003.

Friday was an especially ominous day because the S&P 500 fell below its 200-day moving average. Many market watchers consider that a key technical level. Picture Wile E. Coyote running on thin air and you'll get an idea of just what this break signifies!

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Japanese Deflation... A Global Liquidity Wild Card / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

This week in Outside the Box we turn our eyes on Japan and as promised offer a report by macro-maven and good friend Greg Weldon. Japan is the world's second largest economy and a major source of liquidity. While China has captured the headlines in Asia, Japan is still the big economic dog and supplier of capital on the block.

Greg argues that there is the potential for another asset bubble popping in Japan at the same time as we see our housing market and subprime mortgages implode. That could have considerable implications for world wide liquidity and the yen carry trade.

While this prints out longer than usual, it is mostly charts, as Greg likes to illustrate his thinking with lots of graphs. Follow his logic and reasoning. He is pointing out a potential problem that no one else I know is paying attention to. At the end is an offer for a trial subscription to his work, which I find quite valuable... John Mauldin, Editor

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

MPTrader - Dow Jones Relative Strength Versus Russell 2000 Nearing Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I have been long the Dow Diamonds (AMEX: DIA) vs. short the Russell 2000 Small Caps (AMEX: IWM) in our ETF Trading Diary model portfolio since last September, when the base pattern started to mature. Looking at the weekly relative strength chart of the two indices, the powerful two-year base pattern in the DIA/IWM spread has accelerated from its breakou level of 1.6400 to a high today of 1.7775 (so far), which is nearing my secondary target price of 1.8200.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Subprime Housing Market Financial Sector Crash and Jim Cramer's Sage Rage / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Brady_Willett

In what is quickly becoming one of his most popular television tirades to date (which is saying a lot), Jim Cramer completely lost it last Friday during a discussion on CNBC. Coined a "passionate plea to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to consider cutting interest rates" , the incensed Cramer said: "It is no time to be an academic... open the darn Fed window. He [Bernanke] has no idea how bad it is out there. He has no idea! He has no idea! I have talked to the heads of almost everyone single one of these firms in the last 72-hours and he has no idea what its like out there. None!!!...

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

Revenge of Frankenstein Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Michael_J_Panzner

A chimerical force has been rampaging through global markets in recent months, wreaking widespread havoc. Cobbled together from myriad agreements, assumptions, and transactions by academics, financiers, and marketers, this labyrinthine creation was once seen as an unmitigated success of new age financial alchemy.

But now, with changing economic and financial conditions exposing the derivatives-securitization monster to the harsh light of day, the nightmare of Frankenstein finance is coming home to roost.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 06, 2007

United States Day of Reckoning! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Last week, I sent you a crash alert on Monday and then sent it to you again on Saturday. If you've seen it and you've taken the five protective steps I recommended, you should be in good shape. If not, before you start on this morning's message, I think you should go back and read my crash alert now .
— Martin Weiss

I was born in New York but raised in Brazil.

Elisabeth was born in Brazil but has spent most of her adult life in the U.S.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Dow Jones Stock Market Meltdown - It's a Bloodbath! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Mike_Whitney

On Friday the Dow Jones took a 280 point nosedive on fears that that losses in the subprime market will spill over into the broader economy and cut into GDP. Ever since the two Bears Sterns hedge funds folded a couple weeks ago the stock market has been writhing like a drug-addict in a detox-cell. Yesterday's sell-off added to last week's plunge that wiped out $2.1 trillion in value from global equity markets. New York investment guru, Jim Rogers said that the real market is “one of the biggest bubbles we've ever had in credit” and that the subprime rout “has a long way to go.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Stock Market Update: So Much for a Vacation! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

Well, Dom's going for a second take at his first vacation since starting TTC, so this is Joe filling in again. Dom's attempt at getting some time off ended when he returned early to prepare members and guide them through what turned out to be an important and profitable week. While he should have been on the beach, one of hardest working man in the business was instead at his desk pounding the table and getting members to buy the bottoms and sell the tops… again and again.


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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Foot and Mouth Outbreak to Hit FTSE 100 Index / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Latest reports suggest that the Foot and Mouth virus strain to hit the UK on Thursday is one that is NOT normally found in animals and is linked to vaccines. The strain is thought to originate from the Institute for Animal Health just three miles from the outbreak farm.

The last out break of Foot and Mouth disease in the UK in 2001 cost the Economy an estimated £10 billion ($20 billion) with the agricultural and tourism sectors of the economy hit hard. The government at the time was accused of gross incompetence in the handling of the crisis which saw the destruction of more than 6 million animals and closure of much of the British countryside as well as export bans.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Stock Market Crash Alert: What to Do to Protect Yourselves / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: With the Dow down over 280 points yesterday and the dollar sinking fast, I just wanted to make absolutely sure you didn't miss my alert of this past Monday. So here it is again. All our signals are equally valid; all our instructions, equally urgent.

With last week delivering the worst stock market rout in nearly five years, millions of investors are in a state of paralysis.

They're finally beginning to wake up to the enormity of the meltdown in the housing market.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 04, 2007

Volatility Delivers Wake-Up Call to Financial Sphere / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Joseph_Russo

Likely resulting from decades of imprudent financial engineering, the uncertainty-surrounding discovery as to the potential extent of collateral damage from such shenanigans remains immeasurable and unknown.

Similar to those engineers about to embark upon months of intense investigation in attempt to determine cause of the sudden bridge collapse in Minnesota - the omnipotent financial sphere is just beginning to access whether or not the minor structural fractures, (which market volatility has so blatantly revealed) could possibly morph into a sudden and total collapse of similar dimension.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis - Half of All Hedge Funds Gone? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Inflation is Baked into the CPI Numbers
The Mortgage Pig in the Python
Housing Starts Look to Stop
A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis
Half of All Hedge Funds Gone?
Golf, Weddings, and Europe

With the economy increasingly looking like it will slow down materially in the last half of the year, there is a drum beat for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. But how likely is a rate cut this year? We take a very different look at inflation to see if there is any room for the Fed to give a boost to the economy. We look over our shoulder at Japan and the yen carry trade and ask a heretical question: does the Fed cutting rates make any difference?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

It's the Fundamentals Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Peter_Schiff

Amid the recent stock market weakness, the pundits are virtually unanimous in their claims that good underlying economic fundamentals are being trumped by irrational fear. However, if investors understood just how bad the fundamentals for the U.S. economy really are, they would dump stocks even faster.  So, contrary to the rhetoric, it is not that investors are being too fearful, but that they are being too complacent.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 03, 2007

Why Financial Stocks Still Look Too Risky ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I don't want to pull any punches: This is the worst environment for banks, mortgage lenders, and the general U.S. financial industry that I've seen since 1998!

That's when gun-slinging hedge fund Long Term Capital Management bet billions of dollars in bond markets all over the world.

Everything went swimmingly … until Russia defaulted on its outstanding debts. That spooked global bond investors, prompting massive "flight to quality" buying in U.S. Treasuries. LTCM's bets went haywire and more than $4 billion in losses piled up.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 02, 2007

This is a Liquidity Driven Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Things have changed since Bernanke took office and M3 was discontinued. This put blinders on what the Fed was doing relative to Liquidity Injections.

Our Long Term Liquidity measurement is the closest we can get to seeing what Liquidity levels are and when they shift.

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