Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, July 23, 2009
Dow Disappoints, Nasdaq Continues Winning Streak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Underwhelming banking results from Morgan Stanley, Keycorp and Wells Fargo and a decline in energy prices dragged down a jaded looking Dow to a modest 0.39% decline on a listless days trading. But over at the Nasdaq they made it 11 up days in a row, as it continued to bask in the warm afterglow of Apple’s stellar results on strong IPhone and Mac sales. Starbucks surprised on the upside, sending the share price into orbit (up 18%, it’s biggest 1 day gain in 11 years). EBAY also impressed investors, while the less said about Qualcomm the better.
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Vicious Stocks Stealth Bull Market Eats the Bears Alive!, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The price action following the SELL signals earlier this month can only be described as a VICIOUS BEAR TRAP !, We got sell signals, good ones for Stock BULLs such as myself (as of Mid March 2009) it was a clear sign to get ready to accumulate more, for bears it was a sign to double up for the long awaited bear market RETEST and maybe to make back some of the money lost shorting the rally ?
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Stock Market Investors Skating on Thin Ice / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As 2009 moves past its midpoint, many market participants are briskly trying to forget the carnage of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. But, before we get lost in the euphoria of the 36% Dow rally in the Spring/Summer of this year, a little hindsight is in order. In March, the Dow had plunged to 6,547, or some 53 percent down from its nominal 14,164 high in 2007. Despite the recent gains, we are still nearly 40% below the 2007 peak. This is a brutal truth that everyone seems to be ignoring.
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Stock Market Sector Rotation Portfolio Strategies / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Aligning your portfolio with the next industries to lead the economy and bear the market is basic to a sector rotation strategy. The current recession is causing some significant changes to the underlying economy that will affect investors. Surprisingly, companies that benefit from their export business are seeing their opportunities expand. There are some fundamental reasons for this change that will help them sustain their export growth. Exports will be the leading reasons for the growth the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for several years to come. Look to align your portfolio with the sectors that benefit from exports.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Try To Take It Up A Notch / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The financial markets have done a good job of forecasting the slow improvements we have seen in the economic numbers in recent weeks. Even though the economy remains weak, we cannot ignore the steady stream of incremental improvements in the economic data. For example leading economic indicators (LEIs) have increased for three consecutive months. In the June report from the Conference Board , seven of the ten LEI components showed positive improvement.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
China One Market Investors Can't Ignore / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Individual investors who still hold any doubts about Mainland China's future growth potential should take a long hard look at Airbus SAS, the Pan-European commercial airliner maker that is now building airplanes in that country.
When Airbus recently announced the delivery of its first China-built passenger jet, it was more than just the usual bit of corporate PR. It was an admission that any company that wants to remain a global leader in its industry will have to embrace China as a customer - and probably as a partner.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Driving Prices Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The week is beginning as it ended in equities, with stock prices moving higher and bulls seemingly buying every dip during the day. The short term picture thus remains bullish even if the S&P 500 has been moving higher without looking back from about 865 on 7/13 to almost 950 on 7/21.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
China The Most Powerful Investment Trend for the Next Decade / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: Sometimes you have to connect a few dots to see the big picture. That was especially true last week. Now I see the unfolding of the single, most powerful investment trend for the next decade.
Here’s what I’m talking about …
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Onward And Upward For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equities are still on a roll with the S&P hitting an 8 month high, rising 1.1% yesterday. Caterpillar, Disney and Alcoa led the Dow up while CIT Group soared 70% on its 11th hour (temporary) expensive reprieve from bankruptcy. Meanwhile way out West, California lawmakers and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said they’ve struck a deal to close a $26 billion budget deficit that’s left the most-populous U.S. state paying bills with IOUs and its credit rating near junk. In other “bullish” news the free market arm of the administration, Government, I mean Goldman, Sachs now expects the S&P 500 to rise 15% from current levels to 1,060 during 2009. The previous guess was 940.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Banks Still in Big Trouble; Protect Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Weiss writes: Since the debt crisis began with the eruption of the subprime mess in 2007, Wall Street pundits have declared “an end to the crisis” at least three times: in mid-2007, in early 2008, and now.
Each time, the government intervened with massive amounts of money to tamp down fear. Each time, investors rushed back to take risks. And each time, stocks rallied sharply.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Stock Market Rally Facing Resistance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
All that great analysis and divining of last week was toss back in our face as the markets raced higher, putting in their best week since March. The catalyst? Some better than expected economic reports, showing home building activity picking up (do we need more?) and unemployment claims fell (messed up seasonal factors with GM/Chrysler bankruptcies).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
IYJ Trading Update and Dow Stocks Index Buy Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREND (> 3 WKS, & <1 YR) OF THE MARKETS: UP
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Stock Market Strong Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices started the week in strong fashion. Although they were very choppy during the day, they did hold support for most of the session, and then came on again in the last hour, closing at the highs for the day going away, which are also the highs for this entire rally.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Market Holy Short Covering, Batman! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If I were to watch one piece of data from the Rydex asset data, it would be the leveraged bulls v. leveraged bears. Not only can we discern what way this small group of market timers is leaning (i.e., bull v. bear bet), but we can also get a glimpse of how much conviction (i.e., use of leverage) they have in their belief. Typically, we want to bet against these market timers.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Market Bears Beware / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
At the risk of sounding a little crazy in knowing the fundamentals are indeed ‘that bad’, this is a cautionary note to those who are short stocks to expect volatility moving forward, but not the kind you are hoping for. And hey, the technicals in the markets are no hell either. In this regard, quite simply, there’s no buying power to legitimately send stocks higher on a lasting basis. To go along with this, the S&P 500 (SPX) is sporting a head and shoulders pattern measuring down to approximately 810. Again though; and in spite of this, if history is a good guide stocks will never get there within the present sequence.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Semiconductor Sector Stocks Rally Leading the Way / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
"The technical evidence suggests that "the bottom" is in for semiconductors. The potential for a secular trend change is there. If the general market gains traction - a big "if" here as I view the current market rally as a counter trend rally in an ongoing bear market - then it would not surprise me to see the semiconductor sector providing leadership."
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Financial Market Recoils as CIT Bank Edges Toward Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Jason Simpkins writes: The probably bankruptcy of CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) could have major implications on the retail and manufacturing sectors this week, as many related companies are reliant on the financing giant.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Markets Grind Higher on More Upside “Surprises” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It was a busy week for the bulls, who where urged on by almost obscene results from Goldman Sach’s. There was also what were perceived as respectable numbers from JP Morgan, BoA & Citi. Risk appetite returned last week, lifting stocks by 7% to their highest point in a month.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Significant Turning Points in Key Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Larry Edelson writes: Martin’s strategic alliance with the Foundation for the Study of Cycles may turn out to be one of the best moves he’s ever made.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Counter Trend Rally NOT Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.