Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Stock Market Charts Show Smart Money And Dumb Money Are Moving In Opposite Directions—Here’s Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : While all seems calm in the markets, with stocks continuing to hit all-time highs, an interesting trend has emerged underneath the surface.

Combing through the latest Commitments of Traders report from the CFTC, we found that commercial traders (“smart money”) have a record number of short positions in the Dow Jones (DJIA).

At the same time, noncommercial traders (“dumb money”) have a record number of long positions.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them

Monday, October 09, 2017

S&P 500 At Record High But Will Stocks Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index remained within relatively narrow intraday trading range. Overall, it lost 0.1%. The index may retrace some of its recent rally today, as investors will likely continue taking short-term profits off the table. Therefore, intraday short position is favored. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,565 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).

Monday, October 09, 2017

Stock Market Bulls Still in Charge / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long term trend:  Continues to make new highs with no sign of a major top in sight.

SPX Intermediate trend:  A re-accumulation phase at the 2500 level has produced higher counts which should provide higher prices before a reversal takes place.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, October 07, 2017

Stock Market Crash 2018; Will it Prove to be Another Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Sol_Palha

I guess the definition of a lunatic is a man surrounded by them. Ezra Pound

Since Trump was elected we noticed something interesting; economic news seems to have less of an impact than Geopolitical developments. Polarisation has had the effect it was intended to trigger; the masses and the markets are focusing on the wrong issues, and so we can expect a slew of legislation favouring the corporate world to be passed with little to no resistance. This, in turn, will help push stocks even higher as corporations will have even less to worry regarding being liable for using questionable methods to boost their earnings.

Friday, October 06, 2017

XIV Climbs To New Highs As VIX Breaks More Records / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

By Mike Golembesky : Last week the XIV broke back over the previous all-time high of 96.91. This move came after the XIV experienced the largest corrective move since September of 2016.

Although the previous highs were broken, the move up off of the August lows still has what can be viewed as an incomplete pattern. This potentially incomplete pattern is leaving the door open to several scenarios over the course of the next several weeks.

Friday, October 06, 2017

Stock Market Blow-off Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As mentioned earlier, SPX wasn’t finished with its final extension. It now appears to be done. It has exceeded all Wave relationship calculations, from the smallest degree to the largest.

This may be a very dangerous place for the longs, but even the shorts will have difficulty taking a position. We have seen a 2.5% rally in 56 hours, just 4 hours short of 8.6 days.

Friday, October 06, 2017

Stock Market as Good as it Gets; Like 2000 With a Twist / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

With the Semiconductor sector below but hailing its all-time highs, a lot of images come to mind; chief among them the 1999-2000 stock market bubble…

In early 2013 we noted a progression that would go on to birth the current economic expansion and stock market boom (of course, I didn’t come close to envisioning the extent of the boom that followed). I’ve belabored it often since, but here’s the short version of the progression yet again…

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Can Stock Market Mood Analysis Also Predict Social Turbulence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Many of you have noted through the years that you simply do not understand how our analysis methodology works. Yes, it can be more complex than most other forms of analysis, but it is also often more reliable and accurate in identifying targets and trends. As an example, where we have used it at the end of 2015 to call for a drop in the market from the 2100 region down to the 1800 region, to set up a rally to the 2500 region. Yet, many still view it as a form of “voodoo.”

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Here's Why the Time to Worry About the Stock Market "Fear Index" is NOW, Not Later / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

Here's Why the Time to Worry About the "Fear Index" is NOW, Not Later

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

Did You See the 30% Rise in This Major Global Stock Index? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

Did You See the 30% Rise in This Major Global Stock Index?

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

Stock Market Combo Chart…Breakouts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

All the different stock market indexes have now broken out above the top rail of their rising patterns except for the two tech indexes. The IWC, micro caps, continues to be the strongest sector. I know it may not feel like it, but rising wedges and flags that slope up in the same direction of the uptrend tells us the uptrend is very strong.

Monday, October 02, 2017

Are the US Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Many analysts have recently warned that the US markets are setting up for a potentially massive correction, 40~70% some warn.  Our own analysis has shown massive market cycles that correlate with an October market correction.  Our VIX cycle analysis indicates that we should be expecting a spike in the VIX right now (within the next 3~4 days).  What does all this mean in reality for the average investor?

As investors, we have to determine the amount of risk compared to the amount of potential gain in any trade.  Our job is to measure this relationship properly and to attempt to find opportunities in taking risks for an adequate amount of gain.  Often, this business is difficult to manage expectations and presumed risk factors for traders.  We’ve been trading, combined, for over 40+ years and have learned that the markets don’t always do what we expect them to do.  A perfect example is our most recent VIX Spike call for Sept 9^th ~ 12^th.  Even though our analysis was valid and accurate, we did not see the VIX spike levels we had projected to happen – such is life in the markets.  We strive every week to deliver superior analysis, trading triggers/alerts and daily markets updates to our clients.  Right or wrong, we live by our abilities to call successful trading triggers and provide timely and accurate market research.

Sunday, October 01, 2017

Stock Market Brief 1st October 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Christopher_Quigley

Technically Speaking.
The market continues to display a full bull configuration. The Dow Theory divergence that existed in August, between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports, has completely disappeared. In fact the Transport Index, which had been faltering, having had a confirmed price cross-over on its 200 Daily Moving Average, is now technically leading.  This is particularly bullish given the recent rise in oil prices. An additional indicator of current technical strength is the fact that the recent pullbacks in Apple, Amazon and Oracle did no damage to overall market sentiment.

Sunday, October 01, 2017

How To Survive and Thrive in a Zlatan Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: F_F_Wiley

REPORTER: “Who will win the World Cup playoff?”
ZLATAN: “Only God knows who will go through.”
REPORTER: “It’s hard to ask him.”
ZLATAN: “You’re talking to him.”

REPORTER: “What did you get your wife for her birthday?”
ZLATAN: “Nothing. She already has Zlatan.”

ZLATAN: “I can’t help but laugh at how perfect I am.”

Friday, September 29, 2017

Stock Investors Should Brace for the Fed’s October Tightening Gambit / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: MoneyMetals

September’s Federal Reserve meeting left interest rates unchanged but sounded a hawkish tone. The Fed seems intent on hiking interest rates again come December.

Following Fed chair Janet Yellen’s remarks this Tuesday, interest rate futures markets bumped up the odds of a year-end rate hike to 81%.

The more immediate – and perhaps more important – policy move pending from the central bank is its plan to gradually reverse its Quantitative Easing bond buying program starting in October.

Friday, September 29, 2017

USD Weakening. So are Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD futures are in the headlines this morning. It has broken above its 50-day Moving Average at 92.81 and the analysts are calling for a stronger USD. But it may beat a hasty retreat, since the top aof Wave E suggests completion and reversal.

ZeroHedge writes, “The dollar rally paused on Friday and looked poised to finish its best weekly gain of the year with a whimper, when in a repeat of the Thursday session the, Bloomberg dollar index first rose more than 0.1% during Asia hours before slumping around the European open as month and quarter-end flows came into play again.”

Friday, September 29, 2017

U.S. Stocks: A 'Big' Move Ahead? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

Aside from a brief dip a few weeks ago, U.S. stocks have been the embodiment of stability. And many in the mainstream are talking about this continuing for the foreseeable future.

If there's one thing we know, it's that this won't continue forever. Periods of high volatility ALWAYS follow periods of low volatility. Are you ready for some "fireworks" in the stock market?

Friday, September 29, 2017

Gold, Stock Market and Newton's Third Law / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the effects of "Quantitative Tightening" on precious metals markets. In late August, we decided to anchor our boat out in a place called Indian Harbour, a wonderful "safe haven" for boaters that love northern Georgian Bay, in an effort to make the most of what has been an absolutely dreadful summer for most people in the east-central part of Canada and the U.S. This little harbour is protected by a small sliver of rock and trees that separates it from the ravages of the prevailing westerlies which whip across the prairies gathering momentum until they descent upon the largest contiguous consortment of freshwater lakes in the world (The Great Lakes) and gather moisture and volatility until they ultimately unload their liquid bounty into the most fertile farmland in North America which stretches from Detroit and Soo, Michigan, easterly to Kingston, Ontario.

Thursday, September 28, 2017

SPX Needs Another Probe Higher. NDX Does Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have one further probe higher to complete Wave (v). It appears to be an Ending Diagonal, which means that Wave (v) should be an a-b-c form. Five waves already appear, but the middle wave cannot be a Wave iii because it is the shortest in the series. Wave v may reach equality with Wave i at 2515.00, so that is my target. The Cycle Top is at 2524.55, so we may consider that as a possible limit to an extension.