Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
SPX On Its Way Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is on its way, first to the 50-day Moving Average at 1868.64, then to its hourly cycle Bottom at 1860.47. At this rate of decline, we could see this accomplished by the close of the day.
This may be an appropriate level at which to start adding short positions. Further evidence below supports this view.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 15, 2014
There Are No Markets Anymore / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s a fun day in finance so far today. Eurozone growth is not going anywhere, but there’s no lack of positive anticipations for the future. Is there ever? Q1 GDP in the Netherlands actually shrank to the tune of -1.4%, but they have a great explanation for that. It’s because of – drumroll, wait for it – … the mild winter! The weather can be used to explain anything and everything these days. Where the US economy was hurt by a harsh winter, the Dutch went down because their winter wasn’t harsh enough.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Bounced Off 1,900 Level – Uptrend Reversal Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market False Breakout and Reversal.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
You've heard the expression suck and spit. We have just that folks. For now anyway. The Dow broke out on a closing basis, but it's only thirty stocks. I wanted to see the S&P 500 break out above its old high on a closing basis at 1897. It reached 1902 intraday yesterday, but closed below. Today it fell hard. The Nasdaq cleared its 50-day exponential moving average yesterday intraday as well only to close below. Today it fell hard again. It's not the action you want to see at breakout levels. Small caps are simply terrible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
How the Government and the Fed are Looting Your Accumulated Wealth / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Greetings,
We have just obtained an engaging -- and perhaps even an enraging -- new report that chronicles 200 years of ineptitude, 100 years of theft and failure, and 50 years of economic regression by the Fed and the U.S. government -- committed against YOU.
The government and the quasi-governmental bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve, do not want you to read this report we are about to share with you, because it uncovers the devastating impact they have had on the nation's money (YOUR money), as well as the U.S. economy and financial markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
The True Parasites Of Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This morning I saw an article by Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg that got my few remaining active neurons going (or I think it was them). The title alone, The Parasites of Finance, did that, actually. I sort of knew, since I’ve known Barry’s work at the Big Picture site for quite some time, what he would talk about, and I knew I wouldn’t – fully – agree.
Or rather, it’s like this: I have nothing against Barry, and he does make some valid points in the article, but in my view his focus is too narrow for the title he’s chosen, willingly or not. But then Barry works in finance, and I don’t. For me the parasites of finance form a much larger group than for him. And that is the direct result of government policies, such as the promotion of creative fantasy accounting and the refusal to restructure debt, multiplied by the tens of trillions of dollars of future wealth that have been pumped into the financial system in the form of QE and other stimuli, lest the system collapse on the spot.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Prechter Slams the Fed, Pulls Back Curtain on 200 Years of Government Ineptitude / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Recently, Barron's included an article from Robert
Prechter, founder of Elliott Wave International (EWI), the
world's largest financial forecasting firm. It was adapted
from a recent issue of Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist,
the investment letter the famed market forecaster has published
every month since 1979.
Part monetary history lesson, part big-picture market forecast, the full report -- Barron's published only part of it -- uncovers "200 Years of Ineptitude, 100 Years of Theft and Failure, and 50 Years of Economic Regression."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Stock Market VIX Term Structure / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Ed_Carlson
The VIX term structure illustrates, by maturity, market expectations of volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The chart (figure 1) below shows the option market's expectation of future market volatility as of last Friday. Currently, the VIX term structure is the steepest it has been in several months. This is a sign of complacency among market participants. Contrarians consider this to be bearish for the equity market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Dow On Breakout....S&P 500 and Nasdaq At Critical Resistance.....Froth Rising Fast.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
No shock that the area of the market that has the lowest P/E's and the highest dividends broke out first. The Dow has been the safety trade by far and continues to be so. The S&P 500 is a point away. A move over 1897 is the breakout for the S&P 500, and with today's close basically at the highs, it bodes well that it should break out over time. The Nasdaq, however, is also trying for a breakout, but it's quite different than the breakout of the Dow or S&P 500. The Nasdaq is trying to just get through its 50-day exponential moving average and trend line. We close a point above the 50's, but does not mean we have a true breakout yet. Give me at least half a percent if not a full percent, and I'm happier that the move is for real.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
The Good, the Bad and the Investor Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
The press is demanding the attention of investors more than ever. Whether it was the recent jobs report or last week’s testimony from Janet Yellen, sorting through the market noise is no easy task. Since the world is so interconnected from Facebook to WhatsApp, a spark of news can ignite unfounded fear in an instant. What’s truly significant when it comes to your investments?
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Stock Market Crash to New All Time High Dow 16,695 S&P1897 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Major U.S. stock market indices continue to confound perma bear rhetoric that has seen virtually every minor correction of the past 5 YEARS as the start of a bear market or worse an always imminent crash that has succeeded in scaring most retail investors out of bull market for its duration. When the reality is that if a crash has been taking place than it has been to the UPSIDE as illustrated by the Dow in the face of this time the "'Top is In' mantra resolving to close up another 112 points at 16,695 marking its 3rd closing new all time high of the year whilst the S&P added 18.17 to close at a new high of 1896.65.
Monday, May 12, 2014
SPX Stocks Index Stalls Beneath Its Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
What if SPX does not make a new high? This is my Wave Structure going into the weekend. The Dow made a new high today, but so far the SPX has not. This is indicative of (a defensive) rotation into the Blue Chips out of the momentum stocks.
What is interesting is that today is a highly charged Pivot Day. Should we see a turn down today or tomorrow without making a new high in SPX, we may see a setup for an explosive move to the downside.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 12, 2014
U.S. Dollar/Yen Dynamics and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
It is imperative to understand the dynamics between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese Yen in order to grasp what is occurring across international markets. Investors have been borrowing Yen at nearly zero percent interest rates and buying higher-yielding assets located worldwide. These market savvy institutions and individuals realize that buying income producing assets, which are backed by a currency that is gaining value against the Yen, is a win-win trade.
Monday, May 12, 2014
Stock Market Support and Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 12, 2014
Stocks Continue To Fluctuate, Will They Trend Up Or Top Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 12, 2014
Stock Market on the Brink of a Sharp Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
In today's post I'm going to make the case for stocks moving down into a sharp correction over the next 4 weeks.
To begin we need to examine the last two intermediate cycles. Normally an intermediate cycle will run roughly 22 weeks. Well in our case the last two cycles were both stretched to 32 weeks by the Fed's QE3 programs. As you can see in the next chart both intermediate cycles had 4 smaller daily cycles embedded within them. This is pretty unusual as most intermediate cycles only have 2 or 3 daily cycles nested within. The market is now in desperate need of a short cycle to balance out these two long cycles.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 12, 2014
Stock Market Topping - The Commodities Inflation Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Just like the topping process in 2007/08 the rotation of inflation out of the stock market and into the commodity markets has begun.
Notice that since the first taper in December the stock market has stagnated and gone basically nowhere for the last 4 months. During that period inflation has begun to leak into the commodity markets. This is the same process that occurred as stocks topped in 2007/08.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 11, 2014
Why the Stock Market Could Rise 74% in the Next Three Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: We had a bit of a scare in the markets last month. At one point, the S&P 500 fell more than 4%, causing some permabears to proudly proclaim that the "bubble" had burst.
Of course, they're not quite so vocal now that the market has rebounded and is back within 1% of its all-time high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 11, 2014
Are Stock Market Valuations Really Too High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: John_Mauldin
The older I get and the more I research and study, the more convinced I become that one of the more important traits of a good investor or businessman is not simply to come up with the right answer but to be able to ask the right question. The questions we ask often reveal the biases in our thinking, and we are all prone to what behavioral psychologists call confirmation bias: we tend to look for (and thus to see, and to ask about) things that confirm our current thinking.
I try to spend a significant part of my time researching and thinking about things that will tell me why my current belief system is wrong, testing my opinions against the ideas of others, some of whom are genuine outliers.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 11, 2014
Why Hedge Funds Became Endangered Species / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andrew_McKillop
Long Illnesses End That Way
The history of the hedge funds isn't written. Attempts at explaining how they started always focus the late-1960s “fluttering heartbeat of modern capitalism”. Stock price volatility increased, and prices started declining, sometimes by a lot, as economic growth declined and inflation rose in several G7 countries. This is the 'classic explanation' why the funds emerged. The London Gold Pool panic of March 1968 is often cited as a key tipping point and date. After that, hedge funds had a rationale!