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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

GOLD THOUGHTS : Surge in Investing in Paper Equities, Tail End of the Boom? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Investing in paper equities has apparently become far easier. Either a stock will be taken private by a speculative investment fund or it will be purchased with money from China's foreign currency reserves. Investment gains have rarely been so assured. Not since internet stock bubble or Florida condo mania have investors faced such odds of winning. Combine those odds with a Federal Reserve dwelling in the la la land of core inflation creates a near perfect story for placing wealth into paper equities.

 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Stock Market Developing Topping Pattern Over the Summer / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: David_Petch

The decline in the S&P 500 and other broad market indices likely was a shot across the bow for what lies ahead later in the year. Technically the S&P could have completed the move up, but technical evidence suggests that a topping formation will develop over the course of the summer before a sharp decline in September/October.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

A Backdoor Investment Play into Macau / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Tony Sagami writes: : I've never considered myself to be a yuppie. Even when I was younger, I never drove a BMW … bought a Rolex … or belonged to a country club. I'm just the simple son of a vegetable farmer. I drive a domestic pickup truck, wear a Timex, and shop at Wal-Mart and Costco.

Still, the yuppies were a powerful consumer force. They had a major impact on both the U.S. economy and the stock market. People who invested in companies catering to yuppies made small fortunes!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Honest Money Financial Markets Wrap - Stocks, Commodities and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo

Introduction
This week's market wrap is going to focus primarily on the precious metals sector. There are a lot of charts, including a couple of the dollar and bonds.

The recent prolonged correction of gold and silver has produced a good deal of angst in the pm community, as the many emails and comments I've received on my website attest.

I will attempt to address the concerns that were expressed. So let's get to it.

First up is the monthly chart of gold going back to the start of the bull market in 2001.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 28, 2007

CHINA CRASH - Domino Effect on Stock Markets, and Collateral Effect on Resource Stocks... / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Clive_Maund

One of the great fears plaguing resource stock investors is what will happen if the broad market suddenly goes into the tank. This fear is quite justified as resource stocks, in particular gold and silver stocks, have generally performed poorly in comparison with the general stock market over the past year, and every time the broad market shows signs of weakness, they have dropped sharply, a good example being last Thursday.

In this article we are going to take a look at the great Chinese equity bubble, and how the bursting of this bubble will probably affect US stock markets and thus resource stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 27, 2007

Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 27th May 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Many of the major indices hit multi year or all time highs last week.

Short Term
The small caps lead both up and down and for the past month that leadership has left something to be desired.

The chart below covers the past year showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in green and the Russell 2000 (R2K) in red. At the bottom of the chart is a FastTrack (http://fasttrack.net) relative strength indicator called Accutrack (AT). When AT is above the neutral line and/or rising the R2K is outperforming the SPX. For the past month until about a week ago AT has been below the neutral line and falling to its lowest level since this up leg began last summer. Last week AT turned up and, although it is still below the neutral level, the direction is what we like to see.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 26, 2007

Thoughts from the Frontline - The US Mortgage Market - Overexposed and Overrated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
The Chinese Hedge Fund Dragon
Turning Nuclear Waste into Gold
Overexposed and Overrated
Housing Is Weaker than the Data Suggests
Planes, Trains, Automobiles, and We're #30

This week we look at the US mortgage market to see what fallout there is from the subprime mortgage woes. It is both less of a problem and/or more of a problem, depending on your perspective, as I predicted it would be last year. Score one for your analyst, which said score is needed as the stock market continues to rise in spite of my concerns in the face of a slowing economy.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 26, 2007

Can A Major Stock Market Top Occur Here? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Robert_McHugh_PhD

While the following charts are meaningless for predictive purposes, what they do tell us is we currently have a price pattern set-up eerily similar to the price pattern leading up to the January 2000 major top in the Dow Industrials .

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 26, 2007

Into the Pool - ETF Skeptic / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Roger_Conrad

Here's a confession from a 20 years-plus industry veteran: I use investment conferences for more than making my points and chatting with current and prospective readers. I also like to scope out what the rest of the industry—including the competition—is doing, chiefly the products they're selling and the public's reception to them.

One of the most popular items at last week's Las Vegas Money Show was exchange traded funds (ETFs). It's not hard to see that these have captured investors' imagination, and dollars, during the past year. The “Wall Street Journal” now publishes what seems to be an ever-expanding page of ETFs that are offered by a growing array of financial houses anxious to cash in on the trend.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 25, 2007

Is Global Stock Market Exuberance Rational / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Peter_Schiff

As stocks markets around the world rise to record highs, even former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan could not refrain from raising concerns about surging Chinese stocks.  Lest we forget, Greenspan is on record for declaring the impossibility of spotting a bubble before it bursts. But in the few times that he has violated his own credo, his vision has proven invariably faulty. 

Not only did he warn of irrational exuberance in the U.S. just before a five-fold increase in the NASDAQ, but he became one of the markets biggest boosters once the market peaked. Based on his track record, I interpret his statements as a screaming buy signal for Chinese stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Utility Futility Suggests the Bear is Growling / Stock-Markets / US Utilities

By: Brady_Willett

With S&P 500 bank/financial stocks the worst performing sectors so far in 2007, it is becoming clear that the inverted yield curve has damaged investor confidence in the group. Conversely, with utility stocks the best performing sector this year, it is obvious that investors have continued their defensive hunt for yield. Suffice to say, given that financial stocks typically outperform early in the cycle and utilities tend to beat other sectors late (or in the down cycle), the action in 2007 would seem to suggest that the bear is growling.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Financial Markets Timing Signals You Must Watch! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: A couple times a year I like to give you my roadmaps of the markets. They are based on actual signals from my computer models. I watch these signals very closely because they tell me when a fork … speed bump … or U-turn is coming in the markets.

They are critical signals, and they should not be ignored. They're not always right. But after 30 years of developing and fine-tuning my system, I can safely say that the economic models they are based on are right far more often than they are wrong.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Going Ballistic: The Hard Facts about Parabolic Spikes Such as China's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Doug_Wakefield

Living through a mania is supposed to be a once in a lifetime event. For example, the French, who lived through the implosion of the Mississippi Scheme, and the English, who lived the South Sea Bubble collapse in the 1720s, did not see the same parabolic rises again during their lifetimes. Or for a more recent example, consider the parabolic rise of the Nikkei to its all time high in 1989, the aftermath of which has since changed the disposition of the Japanese toward their stock market. As we mentioned in The Nikkei: Raiders of the Lost Ark , Japanese nationals have a different view of their stock market than foreign hedge fund managers.

“Although there is a problem in that its [ Japan 's] stock market is supported primarily by foreign investors, Japanese nationals make up 95% of its government bond market." 1

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Make That a Cheap Money Bubble to Go / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Adrian_Ash

"...From Shanghai to Soho, the flood of cheap money is causing fresh mischief each day. Investors beware! Creating value is fast losing out to just taking profits..."

"WHY NOT SELL UP? He's been grilling cheese sandwiches for the last 40 years. Now his café and the apartment upstairs are worth £2.5 million [just shy of $5 million]. He can retire rich overnight!

"So what if Costa Coffee or one of the other chains move in? Okay, London's famously cool Soho district loses character...and it loses a little institution, too. But who cares? This guy certainly doesn't. He cashes out and never has to make a frothy coffee again.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

The Ballistic Brazilian Bovespa Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Gary_Dorsch

Higher prices for commodities from coffee to soybeans and iron ore to crude oil, have brought new found wealth to Brazil. Since the election of President Lula de Silva in 2003, Brazil has emerged as a major player in global trade, and its currency - the real, has climbed by 70% against the US dollar, with a trade deficit shifting into a massive surplus. The Bovespa index on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange reached a record high of 52,750 this week, and is up 18.2% so far in 2007.

Brazil economic output rose to $1.6 trillion last year, or half of South America's GDP, and making it the ninth largest economy in the world. Brazil occupies half the South American continent, contains half of its population with 200 million, and is the fifth most populous country in the world. However, there are vast disparities in the distribution of the country's land and wealth, and Brazil has the greatest number of people living in poverty in all of Latin America.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

New Investing Boom in Hong Kong / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Tony Sagami writes: Greetings from Shenzhen, China!

I just got here this morning, after stops in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.

And as you might guess, traveling like this can get exhausting. But while I was in Hong Kong, I got a much needed shot of adrenaline.

That's because the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced a sweeping change that will permit Chinese institutional investors — banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds — to invest billions in the Hong Kong stock market.

In other words, the timing of my trip couldn't have been better! Everything tells me money is going to pour into Hong Kong equities, sending some of them to the moon. And investors who take advantage of this monumental opportunity stand to reap amazing profits. Let me explain …


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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Nolte Notes - Market Equilibrium / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Ladies and gentlemen: we have reached cruising speed, the turbulence of a few months ago is merely a memory and with the added boosts from mergers and acquisitions, we should be flying by the moon in just a couple of weeks. While just a bit fanciful, the markets are not interested in stopping or even slowing down for economic reports that conflict with the view that all is well in the world of investing. While the current euphoria over stock investing will likely last for a while longer, we are surprised at the few actual declines in the markets over the past two months. Housing, the kill-joy of the economy (along with the recent poor reports on retail sales) still shows little in the way of good news, as starts looked ok, but permits (the future construction) declined again – as did the index of sentiment of home builders n general.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2007

Honest Money Financial Markets Wrap - Stocks, Commodities and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo

Economy
The Conference Board reported that the U.S. leading index decreased 0.5%, the coincident index increased 0.2%, and the lagging index increased 0.2% last month (April). In April, the NAHB's (national association of home builders) index registered 33; for May, it was 30. The trend is clearly headed down. This is not good.

The Philly Fed Index came in at +4.2 compared with the previous +0.2. For April, the Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 88.7 from 87.1. This is good.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2007

Regulation of FInancial Markets - The Pursuit of Principles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_Petillo

While many of us have been focusing on mortgage meltdowns, stock surges and inflation indicators, several of our distinguished financial leaders have been looking for ways to improve the marketplace.

Using the argument that rules tend to squash innovation and do little to lure the rest of the globe to our financial shores, the call for more principles and less regulation is quietly making its way out of the backroom and closer to reality.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 21, 2007

The NEXT foreign stock market to blast off ... / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: My global team and I aren't in a race to pick the world's leading stock market.

But right now, the star performer happens to be my personal favorite: Brazil. (And soon, the spotlight could shift to another market I'll tell you about in just a moment.)

Back in January, I told you Brazil was primed to be another "China-like miracle ." I explained why Brazil is one of the greatest beneficiaries of the China boom .

And I told you how Brazil's ethanol explosion would help propel the country even further.

Plus, two weeks ago, I gave you a heads up that Brazil would soon be upgraded by a major U.S. rating agency.

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