Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, June 30, 2007
Iran Runs Out of Gas and Self Destructing, Stand Aside Also $250 Billion in Subprime Mortgage Losses / Stock-Markets / Iran
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Iran Out of Gas
When an Enemy Is Self-Destructing, Stand Aside
Bear (or Rather Canary?) Stearns
Mark to Model or Mark to Market?
$250 Billion in Subprime Losses?
July 4, Lewis and Clarke, and Fishing
Is the subprime mortgage market collapsing before our eyes, or did we avoid a disaster as Bear Stearns stepped up to the plate with $3.2 billion to help its ailing funds? As we will see from the data, the problems in the subprime world are not over. The Fat Lady has not sung. But will the problems in this market contaminate the rest of the liquidity-driven markets? Is the party over? Not according to the high-yield markets. In this week's letter, we look at what could be the real problem in the next half of the year.
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Germany Wind Power Investing, Tiliting At Windmills / Stock-Markets / Renewable Energy
By: Elliot_H_Gue
Last week I was aboard the MS Deutschland cruising the Baltic Sea in northern Europe for the KCI Investment Cruise. Leaving from the German port of Travemunde, we stopped at a total of seven countries in 11 days. In several of these countries, we had the opportunity to meet with the commercial attaches at the US Embassy as well as local business leaders.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 30, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis: Secrets to Success / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
Did you lose money last week while other traders used the market like a blank check? Did you give into the doom and gloom and short the opening Wednesday morning to just watch the market drain the cash out of your account? Did you make the same mistake during Friday's summer feast, just before the market recovered 13 points in 30 minutes?
If so, you'll be interested in learning the secrets to our success at TradingtheCharts.com, where the traders are unbiased and price action rules.
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Bear Stearns - Please Pass the Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
I have sat here completely agog and amazed at the shenanigans going on within the financial community. Last week some hedge funds associated with Bear Stearns got themselves in trouble on risky subprime mortgage debt. Surprise Surprise. People with common sense have been forecasting this mess for a while now. My point in writing on this is to illustrate the moral hazard that is created when this type of stuff goes on and it is this moral hazard that can get Mr. and Mrs. Main Street into big trouble.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 29, 2007
Is Bear Stearns Just The Tip of the Iceberg? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Chicago Trib's headline says it all. “ Hedge funds' mortgage woes could spread .” “Investors following the near-collapse of two hedge funds managed by Bear Stearns Cos. might be a little bit like a homeowner watching the house down the block catch fire: It's far enough away to think there's no immediate threat, but you still need to care about what the embers could do to your own roof.The worry is the same on Wall Street, where bankers are anxiously watching to see if the hemorrhaging at Bear Stearns will spread elsewhere.” Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 29, 2007
Dow Jones Double Top - Important Steps to Take Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: You're at a unique crossroads. We've had almost four years of relative calm in the financial markets. Corporate earnings have rebounded from their lows in 2003 and the depths of the 2000 - 2001 stock market collapse. There have been no terror attacks on U.S. soil. Interest rates have remained artificially low.
But now, even as foreign economies continue to gather strength, the U.S. economy's second breath — as I call it — is ending.
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Friday, June 29, 2007
JP Morgan Derivatives Book and Manipulation of the Dow Theory Bullish Picture / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Brian_Bloom
The two charts of JP Morgan below show an anomaly which is potentially disturbing in context of other patterns.
The reason I honed in on these charts flows from the discussion regarding Bear Stearns that has emerged over the past week – regarding their packaging of Mortgage Backed Securities and Collateralised Debt Obligations. A discussion on this phenomenon can be found at http://www.321gold.com/editorials/tustain/tustain062307.html .
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Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Stock and Bond Bull Markets - The Beginning of the End? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: William_R_Thomson
The bull market appears to have peaked and a major correction in global bonds and equities is looking more likely, say panelistsPARTICIPANTS
Moderator: Anthony Rowley, Tokyo correspondent for the Business Times
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Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Yen Carry Trade Alert - Gold And Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Christopher_Laird
For the past several weeks, I have been telling subscribers of my concern about the Yen again being at a low level. This present level has led to upsurges in the Yen, as traders unwind Yen carry trades. World stock markets and gold have sold off when this happens, as in late February of this year. The Yen hit a 5 year low days ago.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 25, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Merv_Burak
The good news is: The market is approaching an oversold level near its recent extremes.
Short Term
For the past few weeks the market has been bouncing from one extreme to another. It has gone from an oversold low early this month to an overbought high the end of last week and, if the current trend continues, will be at another oversold low in a few days.
Monday, June 25, 2007
Mergers Abound with Canadian Income Trusts / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
By: Roger_Conrad
Remember when investors could retire and live well on a modest nest egg? Remember when taxes were only 15% a year, and when you didn't have to worry about losing your shirt before the closing bell?
That way of life has gradually been taken from you. But this letter is going to bring it all back, courtesy of the Canadian government.
They've invented a whole new kind of investment, one that's pulling hundreds of billions of US dollars across the border into Canada today.
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Monday, June 25, 2007
Nolte Notes - Stock Markets Bumping Along / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
In keeping with the recent activity of the markets, the major averages took it on the chin this week, for reasons that remain somewhat of a mystery. Oil prices rose back toward the $70/bbl mark, however the pump prices have continued to decline every so slightly. Bond prices moderated from their rapid decline of the past few weeks. The economic reports continue to show an economy that is “bumping along” without the major potholes that many feared. However the rumblings over a housing market still not in recovery mode and the liquidation of Bear Stearns hedge fund (funded by a bunch of sub-prime loans) was enough to make the markets jittery and push them lower for the week.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 25, 2007
Housing Market Mortgage Meltdown and the Hedge Fund Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: For many months, Mike Larson has been warning you about a meltdown in America's vast new market for home mortgages.
Now that meltdown is here.
He told you home sales and prices would fall, and they did.
He told you that American homeowners would default on their mortgage payments in record numbers, and they have.
He warned this would shake Wall Street to its core. Now it is.
The evidence is ubiquitous and indisputable:
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Monday, June 25, 2007
Stock Market Forming Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: David_Petch
I am glad I waited for one more day to examine the S&P, because the volatility confirms that a topping formation is underway and likely will last into September/October (most likely October). The US Dollar declined sharply today and a falling US stock market makes the decline a double whammy.
The upper 55 MA Bollinger band curling down did confirm a top, with the depth of the lower 55 MA Bollinger band suggestive a decline to 1440 is probable but not for 2-4 weeks. Short-term stochastics have the %K beneath the %D within the confines of an expanding stochastic wedge. Given the volatility witnessed during the past two weeks, I do not want to even try and catch every zig and zag. Rather I want to focus on the markets having a chronological decline type of topping process over the course of the next 3-4 months before declining.
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Sunday, June 24, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis: Too Many Were Trading the 4th Wave / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
After calling the market perfectly from the June 2006 low all the way to the June 1 st 2007 turn, right down to the exact date, I could just step back and say the top is in and that I told you first. Unfortunately, I have too much reason to believe the ingredients for a perfect top are not yet in the mix but still out in front of us to simply ignore it and walk away. As of this weekend the confirmation needed isn't there. If it appears early next week I will be fast to work on bearish patterns, but not until then.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
The Dow Industrials Drop 185 Points Friday, the day after we got a Confirmed Hindenburg Omen / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
The Dow Industrials fell sharply again, down 185.58 points to close at 13,360.26 Friday. Volume was huge on the decline in all major averages, which is not good. NYSE volume was 134 percent of its 10 day average, with downside volume leading at 78 percent, with declining issues at 74 percent, with S&P 500 downside points leading at a near panic 89 percent. NYSE New 52 week Highs came in at 88, with New Lows at 73, and for all intents and purposes, we got a third Hindenburg Omen Friday .Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Whispers of Instability in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
There is little doubt that maturing institutionalized paradigms, which foster mounting imbalances of epic proportion, persist in the invisibly slow and torturous erosion across the fabric of collective cultural unity. When mounting imbalances inevitably turn unstable, one may surmise that dwindling unity and collectivism will be reserved for smaller and smaller cultural segments, and eventually dispersed amongst only the most vital of forces who feed upon it - namely the minority of embedded institutions who are most enriched by such deeply layered maladies.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Your Financial Edge - Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere and What Can Go Wrong - China / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Your Financial Edge
Blame It on Stability
That Day of Reckoning
A Billion Here, A Billion There
Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere
What Can Go Wrong: China
600 Home Runs, Calgary, and La Jollay
This week we look at length at an outstanding new book just hitting the bookstores by good friend Paul McCulley (of Pimco fame), called Your Financial Edge . The main themes will give me an opportunity to weave in a few thoughts about some recent data, and a lengthy telephone interview with Paul, done just before writing this week's letter, will bring us up to date on his current thinking. I think readers will take away a few good ideas, so let's jump right in.
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Friday, June 22, 2007
Bear Stearns Caught in Subprime Mortgages Slime / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Bear Stearns is attempting a $3.2 billion dollar rescue of one of its hedge funds specializing in subprime mortgages. It has offered a deal to several of its creditors of the less leveraged of its two collapsing hedge funds whereby it will assume $3.2 billion of their debt in exchange for an agreement not to seize any of the funds' collateral for 90 days. Merrill Lynch has already seized $850 million of the funds most marketable assets and put them on the market, causing mutual funds and hedge funds holding mortgage backed securities to re-price their assets.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 22, 2007
Predicting The Future / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Investmentscore.com
As investors our most valuable tool is definitely the crystal ball, but unfortunately we have yet to find a wizard that is willing to part with his. So if we do not have a crystal ball can we predict the future?
In our opinion the answer is in part, yes. An absolute prediction would be to call specific events at specific times with impeccable accuracy. We can not do this, but we do believe we can reasonably hypothesize what we think will happen in the markets. But what will give us the insight we require to invest accordingly?
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