Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Stock Market is an Accident Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It is abundantly clear that the market decline is being suppressed. However, the decline continues. In the Mid-week Report I put the Master Cycle low at the October 13 low (2114.72). I am not sure that it belongs there yet, due to its shallow nature. In addition, the retracement that peaked out at 2149.19 is unusually small coming from a Master Cycle low. The markets appear to be winding up for a big decline and if there is an “accident” this week, we may still have our flash crash marking the true Master Cycle low. So far, it still has us guessing, but either way, it appears to be bearish.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Cashless Society – Risks Posed By The War On Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: GoldCore
by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Cash is the new “barbarous relic” according to many central banks, regulators, and some economists and there is a strong, concerted push for the ‘cashless society’.
Developments in recent days and weeks have highlighted the risks posed by the war on cash and the cashless society.
The Presidential campaign has been dominated for months and again this week by the power of information that has been gathered through unconventional means – whether due to email hacks, leaked microphone tapes or even late-night twitter rants.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
Stock Market Gives Spike Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week the market sent us one of those special price spikes and member took full advantage of it for some quick and easy profits.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Fluctuations Following Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Chart That Exposes Stock Market Bull Rally As B.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The current bull market in stocks is old by bull standards. It started in early 2009 when Ben Bernanke’s Fed staged a coup, assumed command of the US economy, and by default, the government. After all, they are following the strategy of controlling the money supply and therefore the government of a nation. The central bankers have initiated several quantitative easing periods, reduced interest rates at their bank to zero (thus affecting all interest rate coupons downstream), participated in multiple efforts to steal money from citizens and reward it to corrupt, fraudulent, bankrupt banker friends, and they continue to manipulate asset prices through action and rhetoric. The result has been a bull market in stock prices. That makes the idiots of the world believe in the ‘economic recovery’.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Can we have a Stock Market Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Could a flash crash happen in the next two days? The answer is yes. The Cycles Model implies that today may be the focal point for the two-week delayed Master Cycle low.
However, as you can see, only Waves 1 and 2 are complete. I am not sure that Waves 3, 4 and 5 can be finished in a day, so Thursday afternoon may be the ideal time…for a flash crash low. Here are the reasons.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Stock Market Short Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We have been waiting for a bounce into the high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model and it looks to have come on Tuesday. Cycles warned that the high might come on the late side of the margin of error but internals now appear set-up to give us that rally early this week. Bears don't have much to worry about, however, as the high is expected no later than Wednesday.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
A Falling Stock Market Cannot Be Allowed - Financial Repression Is Now “In-Play”! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
A FALLING MARKET CANNOT BE ALLOWED – at any cost!
The Central Bankers have clearly painted themselves into a corner as a result of their self-inflicted, extended period of “cheap money”. Their policies have fostered malinvestment , excessive leverage and a speculative casino approach to investments. Investors forced to take on excess risk for yield and scalp speculative investment returns, must operate in an unstable financial environment ripe for a major correction. A correction because of the high degree of market correlation that likely would be instantaneously contagious across all global financial markets.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
Stock Market Bubble Has Run Out of Excuses and Time / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Michael_Pento
It is finally going to be a make or break earnings season for stocks. This is because the justification for record high stock prices that have been perched atop extremely stretched valuation metrics has been the following false assumptions: the hope that the Federal Reserve will not resume its interest rate hiking cycle, the U.S. dollar stops rising, the price of oil enters a sustainable bull market and long-term interest rates continue to fall.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
We should now begin to see a drop in WTI over the next couple of months and in to 2017. So far the last few weeks have been as forecast and the next down phase we have been modelling for months is now due.
Monday, October 17, 2016
Stock Market Crash..or No Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Martin Armstrong writes, “Apparently, there are a lot of people calling for a crash in the stock market as usual claiming it looks just like 1987. Sorry, there is nothing of that magnitude showing up at this time. We did elect one Weekly Bearish Reversal back at 18368. However, the main bank of support lies at 17710 followed by 17330. Only a weekly closing below 17330 would hint of a more serious correction.”
I agree that this market does not look like 1987. Trying to make a parallel between this market and another period is usually futile.
However, he points out to PAY ATTENTION to a break of the September 14 low at 17992.21….as I do, as well. This would warn of a drop to a lower level of support.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
A perspective on risk rally – Risks abound but Stock Market is Confident / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
Three of the major indexes posted gains and five posted losses. China's Shanghai Composite was the top performer, up 1.97% following the previous week of market closure celebrating Chinese National Day. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was the biggest loser, down 2.59%. The average of the eight was a modestly negative -0.26%. The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.
Monday, October 17, 2016
Danger, Will Robinson, Stock Market Crash Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Brad_Gudgeon
When I mean crash, I mean about an 11-14% stock market panic in a few days. The astro is there, the e-wave is there and so are the cycles and chart formation (plus some technical information like the MACD daily below the zero line).I’ve been talking about a Rising Wedge building for a while now. I also talked about the expected False Break, which we just had on Thursday when the S&P 500 went down to the 2114 level and then bounced. It pierced the bottom of the daily Bollinger Bands and closed back above them. Now we must go back into the wedge itself before turning back down in expected waterfall action in the coming waning days of October. The SPX will likely be up nicely on Tuesday with some follow through into Wednesday in most indexes. I look for either a bearish evening star pattern or bearish Harami to form on the 19th.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
Brace Yourself for the Quadrillion-Dollar Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2016
By: John_Mauldin
The ever more extreme antics of our central bankers keep forcing us to find new ways to describe them. My good friend Danielle DiMartino Booth does this by drawing an interesting historical parallel.
Danielle takes us back to the 20th-century era of World Wars and draws upon Liaquat Ahamed’s. The Lords of Finance. His work was inspired by that 1999 Time magazine cover story “The Committee to Save the World.” You may recall it: the lovely mugs of Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin, and Larry Summers up there, grinning like the Cheshire Cat.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
John Mauldin: My Infrastructure Plan to Save the US Economy / Stock-Markets / Infrastructure
By: John_Mauldin
Infrastructure. Most people think of roads and bridges when they hear the term. But we really should think of infrastructure as the things that allow us to move food, energy, water, products, people, and information.
It’s our rail and trucking systems. It’s our electric grid. It’s our telephone system, Internet, and other information systems. To some degree, it’s our school systems. It’s the things that make it possible for businesses and governments to provide the services and goods we all expect.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
America's 50-Pound Ball and Chain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
America's economic condition is truly a "tale of two cities." Upper middle class and wealthy earners have never been more flush thanks in large part to the record liquidity creation of the last eight years as well as to their financial market exposure.
By contrast, the middle and lower classes have either stagnated or are struggling as perhaps never before, due in part to their under-exposure to the financial market but also to the erosion of their real estate wealth in the last 10 years.
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