Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, September 27, 2015
Stock Market Going Down, Gold Chop Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Two weeks ago, I warned that September 17th would be a critical date: the perfect storm coming together with Mercury going retrograde and Jupiter opposing Neptune on the date that the FED announces its intents regarding interest rates. I also warned that gold stocks would take a dip into September 22/23.The stock market as measured by the S&P 500 made its low on Sept 24 falling over 111 points in one week (down over 5%) and gold stocks made their low on September 23 (down over 10%). Now we have Pluto going direct while the super moon eclipses on September 27. The set up is there for a huge rally in stocks on September 28 (to knock out the shorts) followed by a sharp drop into October 5th (especially after September 29/30). Gold stocks should rally into September 30 and then fall hard to new lows into October 5/6.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
A Look At The Dow Jones Industrial Average - Hauntingly Familiar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Just as it did exactly 4-months following its print high in October of 2007, the Dow (within the few trading days remaining in September) is once again on path to breach its cyclical uptrend from a previous bear market low. Although the outcome may be better or worse this time around, the pattern unfolding is nonetheless hauntingly familiar.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Stock Market Primary Wave IV Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 1958. After a short-lived gap up opening on Monday to SPX 1980 the market headed lower into Thursday when hitting SPX 1909. Then after a morning low the market rallied into Thursday’s close and gapped up on Friday to hit SPX 1953. If that wasn’t enough, the market then dropped to SPX 1922 before rallying to close the week at 1932. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.9%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.6%, and the DJ World index was -2.3%. On the economic front, reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: Q2 GDP, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, new home sales and the FHFA. On the downtick: GDPN, durable goods, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week, a busy schedule, will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, the PCE and the Chicago PMI.
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Saturday, September 26, 2015
Violent Stock Market....Fed Tries To Protect Those 401K's... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Ms. Yellen knew she made a terrible mistake last week by not raising rates. She made a speech to the world last night and did her best to correct that error in judgment. She said she would be raising rates this year. The banks would be the biggest beneficiary in that scenario, and it was a way to bring the averages up. It worked early on today as those futures exploded higher and held for the most part allowing a large gap up that started to run. And then it stopped running and went into reverse. A massive quick move down had the Nasdaq down over 100 points from its intraday high at one point before bouncing some. It was very ugly for the market overall. The market is unable to find leadership in enough areas to hold things up. Biotech stocks are in a strong bear market, with one after another falling hard day after day.
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Friday, September 25, 2015
SPX is Abount to Begin its Strongest Decline Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
A visit to the cardiologist resulted in an overnight stay at the hospital. I was experiencing vertigo and the doctors have been trying to pinpoint the source. I may be in for another night, so my email will be brief.
The plunge hasbegun and there is now enough information to identify the pattern. This may be safely called an Intermediate degree Wave (C) of a Primary ‘degree Leading Diagonal Wave [1].
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Friday, September 25, 2015
Elliot Wave Analysis of Long Term SPX Stock Market Chart / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Imad Ahmed writes: An Elliot Wave analysis of the long term SPX chart provides some guidance on where the markets may be heading over the next few months.
If this multiyear rally has finally topped, what we should be seeing next is a confirmation of the location of the blue X below.
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
The Stocks Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By Justin Spittler
Stocks had a horrible day Tuesday…
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.09%.
Indices around the world also fell…
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations As Global Markets Extend Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Peter Krauth writes: Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, September 24, 2015
Stock Market Sentiment Plunges Further Still.....Price Action Weak.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It's really amazing how fear ramps so much faster than froth ever could. Put a good scare into folks and they run for the hills faster than you can blink your eyes, or, for that matter, hit the sell button. Trust won't ever come back the way it had before either. It's been too long with the market going nowhere to down. Very few, if any, strong, sustained rallies, and after a while it becomes a belief that they'll never come any more, thus, of course, they will, but it won't be easy to turn people bullish any longer. They're scared to take any real chances, since they've been burned repeatedly over the past many, many months. So naturally fear took a turn down further after the rough action from last week. Two weeks back we were at minus 2.2%. Last week it went flat at 0%, but now we're back down, and this time it's minus 4.2%. The lowest reading in quite a long time, and the third week at, or below, zero.
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
US Stock Bubble Bursts As The US Fed Begins To Shrink Its Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
All serious students of economics well know there are several factors that can inflate stock values…and even cause them to soar beyond common sense and corresponding fundamentals. However, there is one factor that dwarfs all others in its disproportionate material effect on pumping up stock prices beyond all historical and reasonable metrics: AND THAT IS EXCESSIVE GROWTH IN THE FED’S BALANCE SHEET.
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Thursday, September 24, 2015
The Big Nasty Deflation Word Is Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Nomi Prins latest book, All the Presidents Bankers, allows the reader a glimpse into the comments and actions of those sitting at the highest levels of finance on Wall Street since the open of the 20th century. As I look at where America and the world markets stand today, coming off the top of the 29th financial bubble in history, I believe that a quick examination of two Wall Street bankers from two past market tops is a worthy place to start.
The first individual was Albert Wiggin, President of one of the Big Six Banks in America at the time, Chase National Bank. Wiggins’ start in banking was most certainly a rise to the top at an early age. In 1892, at age 24 he was married; became the assistant cashier to the Third National Bank of Boston at age 26; at age 31 became the vice president of the New York National Park Bank, and by age 36, was the youngest vice president ever of the powerful Chase National Bank.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Stock Market Decline May Begin Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Mornoing!
SPX Premarket is flat. It closed beneath its daily Cycle Bottom at 1962.59. I had thought that it might go back for a retest this morning, but it doesn’t seem to have the energy.
In a nutshell, SPX may begin to sell off without further warning.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Stock Market Trading Bands are Being Squeezed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I like to observe the indices from all degrees of trend, from hourly to monthly and even yearly. The charts can tell you a lot. I am using the hourly charts less these days, because the moves in the market often require a larger perspective. However, the hourly charts caught my eye and, thanks to Roy, a subscriber, his nudge prompted me to view all the pertinent charts.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2015
U.S. Stocks: Volume, Volatility -- and What Should Come Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We should soon see more "all or nothing" days in the stock market
Bespoke Investment Group uses an interesting term to describe recent stock market action: "all or nothing." In the stock market, "all or nothing" days occur when at least 80% of the stocks in the S&P 500 index advance or decline.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
The Great Deflation Will Destroy All Bubbles – These Too / Stock-Markets / Deflation
It’s not enough that jobs are less stable, or that the ones we’re adding are increasingly more part-time…
It’s not enough that rapidly growing student loan costs are plaguing more young echo boomers and millennials…
It’s not enough that the high costs of education are increasing the inequality gap and making upward mobility impossible…
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
NYSE Margin Debt Raise Stock Market Key Questions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It's happening again. The amount of margin debt balances at New York Stock Exchange member firms fell to $473,412 billion in August, down 2.9% from September. It is the 2nd consecutive monthly decline and the first back-to-back monthly drop since December-January.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Stock Market Plunge Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down over 30 points as I write. There is another hour left before the cash market opens, so the probability of a “limit down” at the open or during the trading session is rising. If such a circuit breaker is reached, the market is halted for 15 minutes. The triggers are set at 7%, 13% and 20%.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Steps from a Deep October Stock Market Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
For some reason there was a late flurry of expectations that the FED was going to raise rates this past week. Many in the media would like us to believe that we've finally transitioned out of an economic intensive care and that the economy is ready to stand on its own two feet. Evidence to support the idea is the employment picture, which when taken on the surface provides the illusions that we're in a healthy and thriving economy.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
What to Expect from Stocks into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com D.R. Barton writes: We're living in the proverbial interesting times.
As a technical trader, it's intriguing to me that all the headline-generating volatility – and U.S. Federal Reserve inaction – we've seen lately really hasn't made the market nosedive or skyrocket for any significant length of time.
And so investors, who need to know what's coming next, are looking in some strange places to find the answer.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Stock Market Fear Versus Fundamentals....No Winner For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A horrible market environment exists when there are have two opposing forces battling it out, each with a great weapon on their side. The bulls have a very powerful weapon in the form of fear. The masses are very fearful here. Pessimism is ramping. The bears also have a strong weapon on their side. A weakening, global, economic environment. Two powerful market forces fighting it out every single day. Since sentiment is such a strong force all the time in the market it's going to be nearly impossible to break forcefully below 1867 on a closing basis. Not impossible, of course, but very difficult. It would take some really bad news to make that a reality.
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