Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Sovereign Debt-Default Survival Kit, The Four Countries That Will Keep Their AAA Credit Ratings / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Stories about debt downgrades and sovereign-debt defaults are dominating the headlines.
And it's no longer just Europe that we have to be worried about. On Friday, Standard and Poor's warned that there was a 50-50 chance that the United States would lose its AAA debt rating in the next 90 days - even if the debt ceiling didn't result in a U.S. default.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
What To Look For In A Stock Market Bearish Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
STUDY and SCREENING PROCESS
Does the current market look more like 2004 or 2007? The answer is important because stocks did well from August 2004 to October 2007, but they performed very poorly between October 2007 and March 2009. The fundamental picture remains quite uncertain with:
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Debt Ceiling... Necessary Ingredients... Stock Market Nervous.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Sometimes it's tough to write a newsletter. In times such as these, you can basically throw out much of what I'm about. The technicals are my world, and that's tough enough at times, but when the market becomes a political task, you just throw up your hands and say it's beyond me. It's beyond all of us. The market sitting and waiting on news each day about whether the debt ceiling will be raised, and if it is, will whatever makes it up be enough to satisfy the rating agencies so we don't have financial crisis part two. So much for every citizen of this country to be worried about as the financial stocks continue to set new yearly lows day after day. Each and every day we all hope to hear that our two sides can work together and give in enough to satisfy what it takes to keep this country from a massive embarrassment. The pain to be felt from a downgrade of our debt rating will be more than substantial. Heartbreaking is probably the better word. Too many will suffer unnecessarily as you'd think the two sides would understand what's at stake here.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
After two weeks of solid gains the market opened the week facing a major selloff in the overnight futures market. Fears arose in Europe that Italy could be facing another debt crisis. Since the market had just gone through another Greece bailout, the uncertainty of the another debt crisis in the PIIGS, (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain), drove European and some Asian markets sharply lower. International markets recovered somewhat during the week but ended solidly in the red. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the negative side: the trade balance worsened, import prices declined, the CPI/PPI turned negative, consumer sentiment dropped sharply, and the NY FED remained in the red.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Fall Portends Poorly for Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Last week's stock market decline was largely the product of geopolitical events ranging from the debt-ceiling impasse and rating agency warnings to new Italian and Greek sovereign debt troubles.
But what's really scary is that a weak week for stocks may well carry into the bulk of earnings season, which comes up next week when 40% of the market capitalization of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index reports second-quarter results.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Zombiedon, Stick with Golden Formula as Empires Crumbles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
Yesterday, the concrete cracked…the glass broke…empire continued to crumble.
Not that there was anything special about yesterday. This happens every day.
In the markets, the Dow fell 54 points. Gold rose to a new record of $1,587.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Global Stock Markets Pointing Towards Nasty Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Adam_Brochert
When ignoring the day-to-day noise and focusing on the intermediate to longer term, all the pieces in the puzzle are lining up for another significant cyclical bear market. Yes, policy makers will do everything in their power to prevent it, just like they did in 2007 and 2008. Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, Fannie and Freddie Mac - there were government interventions and guarantees all along the way. All to no avail, although the United States apparatchiks and bankstaz did manage to waste a lot of other people's money. Now it is Europe's turn to bail out that which shouldn't be bailed out in order to save the elite from the losses incurred on their maniacal gambling. When you know you're going to be bailed out at the first sign of trouble, why not be as reckless as possible in the quest for ever increasing profits?
Monday, July 18, 2011
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stock Market Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The dollar is and has been in a strong down trend for many years and I feel as though it’s getting close to another major land slide. It could take place any time in the next month or so according to my weekly chart analysis.The general rule is if the dollar falls in value then we tend to see both stocks and commodities rise. The inverse relationship at times can be tick for tick meaning if the dollar ticks down one increment then we see the broad market or specific commodities move in the opposite direction at the same time.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Odds Still Favour a New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16 (no change).
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more weeks.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Marc Faber on Gold, Silver, Deflation and the U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
Marc Faber was interviewed on the Financial Sense Newshour. It’s a long one, but it’s definitely worth a listen. As usual, we’ve included a summary below for our readers who don’t have the time to sit through the entire video.
Sunday, July 17, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Scrape Through Nasty Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
It''s been a nasty week the past week in the markets, and at one time in the European globex session, there was a potential panic situation when the DAX went into free fall until it hit support at 7000, likewise the FTSE stopped at 5800, the bears really got their claws dug in, but a bad situation got averted, (I don''t know how long it will hold through) but so far so good, the bulls have just scrapped through and my idea of seeing a new yearly high on stocks is still on target as key support areas held, even with that mini panic we saw in the week on European markets.
Sunday, July 17, 2011
Range Bound Stock Market Trading In the Heat of Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Joseph_Russo
After nearly tagging the upper end of its multi-month trading range seven sessions ago, the S&P has settled the week back down near the middle of its range. Friday closed the week with an inside compression bar, which could set the stage for some fireworks early next week.
Saturday, July 16, 2011
How to Protect Yourself From a U.S. Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: Sara_Nunnally
The U.S. is in a very scary position right now... We have a real chance of defaulting on our debt. The government is still arguing over what to do about the debt ceiling, and if they can't find a solution we're looking at an economic meltdown.
The rating agencies are starting to catch on.
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Saturday, July 16, 2011
Standoff...Bad For Stock Markets....For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The republicans want to keep taxes as they are and want to cut spending. The democrats want higher taxes for the wealthy and no cuts to spending. What's the solution to a problem such as this is what the market wants to know. Who will give in a bit? When you get a bunch of babiee, I mean politicians in the same room, the egos are so big you have to stay clear of that room. It fills up with so much nonsense you can't stand the smell. However, these babies, I mean politicians, need to come to some understanding, or some very innocent people are going to pay a very high price for those enormous egos. If we don't raise the debt ceiling, we will default on our debt, get downgraded, and the stock market will crash. No question about that. Not up for debate.
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Saturday, July 16, 2011
Stock Market Foolishly At The Brink! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Governments around the world are struggling with record debt. The debt crisis in Europe and the struggle in Washington to raise the U.S. debt ceiling are in the news every day.
Friday, July 15, 2011
U.S. Dollar Faces Resistance, Stocks Stall / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Before we take a look at the S&P 500 (SPY) and U.S. Dollar (UUP), let’s put the analysis in the context of the biggest news from July 13:
Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
For those new to the blog we would like to restate something we did during the last bull market. The SPX/NDX can offer confusing patterns. Their futures contracts are heavily traded which causes volatility. In fact, occassionally a wave does not appear where it should, or a wave occurs that shouldn’t. How do we know? The DOW.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
How the Stock Market Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Recently I compared the 2007 equity topping pattern to that of the current market. The premise being today as in 2007 the US economy is quite possibly entering economic recession. Long gone are the days of equity markets being forward looking as proven in 2007 when they peaked just two months before contraction began. A similar pattern is also playing out in the 10 year treasury.
Thursday, July 14, 2011
The Long Wave Deflation Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Clif_Droke
David Knox Barker is one of the leading authorities on the economic long wave, otherwise known as the Kondratieff Wave (a.k.a. "K Wave"). Barker has had an impressive career both as a financial market writer and long wave analyst, as well as being an entrepreneur in the emerging field of nanotechnology.
Back in the late 1980s and '90s, Barker was known for his insightful and accurate views on the U.S. economy and financial markets via his K Wave Report newsletter. Today he shares his views on the global financial market and economic outlook through his Long Wave Dynamics Letter.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Market Panic Levels, the VIX, and the NYSE New Lows... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Many regard the VIX as a measurement of fear and panic levels in the market. But, how do you really know what the fear level is?
One way is to keep an eye on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) New Lows for the day. As fear levels rise, the daily number of New Lows should also be rising ... if they aren't, then you have to question how much fear is really in the market.
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