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Friday, January 09, 2009

Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 9th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it consolidates some of Thursday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1218.58 would confirm that a short- term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the reaction high crossing at 1321.75 is the next upside target.

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Friday, January 09, 2009

Gold and Stock Markets Volume and Time Series Analysis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Brian_Bloom

There are those who are arguing that the equity markets are due for a bounce – maybe even an upward surge in prices. Some are very seasoned analysts who have decades of experience under their belts. They may be right, but this analyst has been struck by the relative lack of emphasis by these bullish analysts on the issues of volume and cyclical timing.

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Thursday, January 08, 2009

Flight to Safety 2009 to U.S. Dollar, Gold, Euro and Yen / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Christopher_Laird

The USD remains stronger than one might think into the beginning of 2009. Between the latest Mid East tensions and general flight to safety it rallied again to 83 on the USDX when it looked like it might crack into the 70's again, the low being 70ish last year, before the USD rallied after April of 08, which caught the commodity and metals complex.

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Thursday, January 08, 2009

New Year Stock Market Rally Over Already? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

The Dow Jones fell 245 points yesterday in the biggest fall in a month. Stocks had their cage rattled with a quadruple body blow in the form of :

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Thursday, January 08, 2009

Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 8th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was higher in overnight trading due to short covering as it consolidates some of Wednesday's decline. However, stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1217.00 would temper the near-term friendly outlook in the market. If March extends the rally off November's low, the reaction high crossing at 1321.75 is the next upside target.

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Thursday, January 08, 2009

India’s Economy Still Strong Amidst Growing Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

Mike Caggeso writes: In a surprise to many, India's central bank has cut its base-lending rate four times since October, going from 9% to its current rate of 5.5%. After all, isn't India's economy growing nearly as fast as China's? And isn't that growth already being fueled by an unprecedented level of middle-class spending?

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Thursday, January 08, 2009

Stocks Bear Market, Setting the Bull Trap / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

Recently I sent you an Outside the Box from Paul McCulley who supports the government and Fed activity (in general) in the current economic crisis. Today we look at an opposing view from Bennet Sedacca of Atlantic Advisors. He asks some very interesting questions like:

Shouldn't the consumer, after decades of over-consumption, be allowed to digest the over-indebtedness and save, rather than be encouraged to take risk?

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Stock Markets Strong Sell Off Breaks Support Level / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a strong sell-off today on negative individual company and economic news. The market indices gapped sharply lower as the futures were down sharply before the opening. They then bounced back a couple times to test resistance and failed both times, and in the afternoon as a result of that they rolled over steadily and sharply, reaching new 2-day pullback lows under 1230 on the Nasdaq 100 and under 902 on the S&P 500.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Anticipating Nasdaq Afternoon Nose Dive / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Based on my near-term pattern work, my preferred scenario calls for upside backing and filling in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) for the next 1-3 hours, followed by another swoon that breaks the low for the day (30.47) on the way to my optimal corrective target of 30.00. If such a scenario unfolds, I will be evaluating the pattern and the underlying momentum gauges for a possible short position, also weighing whether there's a reasonable amount of time remaining in today's session to take the trade.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Offbeat Economic and Financial Predictions for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Oxbury_Research

In this week's article, I wanted to follow up my article from last week – Predictions for 2009 - and this time offer some offbeat predictions for 2009. First, however, I wanted to make a few observations about making prognostications. Many times prognosticators look to the past for patterns which will repeat themselves in the future.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Stock Market Investing 2009: Major Post Asset Deflation Themes / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Our 2009 screening and ranking process included literally thousands of investment options. In addition to our standard watch list of roughly 200 investment alternatives, we also used several stock scanning models to identify other potential sources of opportunity. The final results left us with a collection of investments which congregated around the following overlapping investment themes:

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Stock Markets Find Some Reasons To Be Cheerful / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: PaddyPowerTrader

U.S. equities managed to keep their head above water yesterday despite a profit warning from Bank of America (recall they now own Merrill Lynch and Countrywide) and very soft home sales and factory orders . So why the new found tentative optimism? The bull's case is that stocks are clearly benefiting from:

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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Financial Markets Outlook 2009: Angling for a Recovery / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Brady_Willett

Give a man to fish and you feed him for a day. Teach him how to print money and you feed him for a lifetime?  Juxtaposed against this seemingly outlandish re-write of the popular Chinese proverb is the image of the U.S. trying to inflate away the ills of asset and debt deflation. To be sure, with zero-bound interest rates unable to revive the lending/borrowing/asset bubbling dynamic that has helped support U.S. economic growth for the better part of the last two decades, policy makers have resorted to directly buying toxic/illiquid assets, lending to unqualified borrowers, and investing in insolvent entities.  And thanks to the power of the printing press (not to mention the continued kindness of foreigners), these activities are largely being funded out of thin air. 

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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Financial Market Forecasts 2009 for Gold, US Dollar and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Daniel_Smolski

The year 2008 will be written about in finance textbooks for generations to come. The inevitable collapse of the boom, built single-headedly on credit, finally came home to roast. Ironically, further liquidity is what has, thus far, ensured the survival of the system. Having received the rubber stamp for a $700B bailout, leave it to politicians to decuple that number to, a now estimated, $7 trillion. A liability that is set to fall on the shoulders of your kids and grandkids that realistically will never be paid off. By next year, America will join the likes of Japan and Italy with GDP-to-debt ratios in excess of 100%. How will congress dig itself out of this whole? All fingers are pointing to the monetization of debt.

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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Reflections On 2008, Investment Themes For 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

2008 may best be remembered as the year most would like to forget.

Sure there were some highlights that nearly everyone will remember fondly such as the opening ceremony of the Olympics in China, and for Democrats the election of Barrack Obama, the first black president in history, but otherwise there were slim pickings, especially on the economic side.

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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Stock Market Indices Brush Off More Dire Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

In the first real trading day of 2009 yesterday, stocks took a breather and headed modestly lower. This was despite truly woeful auto sales numbers and updates on Apple founder Steve Jobs ailing state of health. In short limited risk appetite seems to have returned with less daily volatility. There are now less defensive stocks outperforming and each additional dire piece of gloomy economic news seems to be having a diminishing marginal negative effect on equity markets, for the moment.

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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

China the New Leader in Asian Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: David_Urban

Historically Asian markets tended to follow Japan as Japanese equities provided regional leadership over other developed markets such as Hong Kong, and South Korea. However, in the coming market cycle Japan may find itself replaced by the Chinese markets as the Chinese economy begins to recover from the global slowdown.

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Monday, January 05, 2009

Overbought Stock Market Yields to Profit-Taking / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets had a reasonable consolidation day, but ended lower on the session, due to profit-taking from a very overbought condition. Although at mid-day they did reach new rally highs, a pullback in the last couple hours pulled them back into negative territory.

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Monday, January 05, 2009

Financial System Rotten to the Core / Stock-Markets / Scams

By: Dr_William_R_Swagell

The Madoff “Ponzi” Scam...Con of the Century.

When I read that 70 year old Bernard Madoff... variously called the “Wizard of Wall Street” , “the man with the Midas touch”, and “the Jewish bond” ... was arrested on December 11th 2008 by FBI agents in relation to a US$50 billion dollar fraud I was astounded.

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Monday, January 05, 2009

Stock Market Investment Planning for the End of the Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Paul_J_Nolte

To mangle a bit of Shakespeare – we come to bury 2008, not to praise it. The real question is whether flipping the calendar will make a difference in the markets. Judging by the one trading day so far, yes it does. The economic numbers continue to look bad – from housing to manufacturing – and the earnings season that begins in a couple of weeks won't provide much better news. So with such a dire background, why are we teetering on the bullish side?

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