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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 12, 2008

Rise in Treasury Yields Could Benefit Stocks, though Flight to Commodities Continues / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInteresting that the TLT's (Lehman 20 year T-bond ETF) fell 1.4% on Friday, which reflects a climb in 10-year T-note yields to 3.94% from 3.83% earlier on Friday. Yet the stock indices continued to undergo waves of intense long liquidation.

My guess: that the reversal in the TLTs -- normally an instrument that attracts buyers during times of financial panic and flight to safety -- is hinting that the current phase of the plunge in stocks is nearing completion. The problem is that it could last into Monday or Tuesday, so no sense in standing in front of this falling sword.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Decade of No Investment Returns, Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"... Giving money to stockholders now looks like so 20th century, it's downright Victorian...!"

EVEN AFTER their dividend checks, US stock investors earned less than zero thanks to inflation in the 10 years to July 2008.

That marked the first Decade of No Returns in a quarter-century according to Richard Bernstein at Merrill Lynch. And seeing what's happened to US stocks so far in the second-half of 2008 – and given the US authorities' likely response – it won't be the last.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Stock Market Plunges on Paulson's Weak Fannie Policy Statement / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Treasury Secretary Paulson has carried his miraculously successful strong dollar policy statements to Fannnie Mae and Freddie Mac with a Statement on Fannie, Freddie .

Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. made the following comment today on news stories about "contingency planning" at Treasury:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Trading the Stocks Cyclical Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this week, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) officially entered bear-market territory. As it edged past a 20% loss since its all-time high of October 2007, all debate about whether or not a bear really exists was instantly rendered irrelevant. Beyond any doubt we now sojourn in a full-on bear market!

The fearsome reputations of stock bears are well-deserved. During the legendary bear running between January 1973 and October 1974, the SPX lost a sickening 48.2% of its value. In a much more recent specimen, between March 2000 and October 2002 the SPX shed 49.1%. Cyclical bear markets often tend to cut stock prices in half by the time they fully run their courses!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Fannie, Freddie 'Insolvent' and Lehman Brothers May be Next Bear Stearns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $9 40.20 , up $ 13.90 and s ilver was up to $1 8. 24 , up 17 cents . Gold rose again in the New York Globex electronic market before trading sideways in trading in Asia and it has risen sharply again in early European trading to above $950 per ounce .

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Fannie and Freddie Credit Implosions Are Too Big to Bail Out / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's been a wild ride for Fannie and Freddie recently. Yesterday, James Lockhart, director of the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise, said the GSEs are "well capitalized".

William Poole, former Fed governor disagrees. Poole Says "Fannie, Freddie Insolvent" . Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

The Real Reasons the US Banking System Lost its Way / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Unlike Dorothy in " The Wizard of Oz ," the brutalized U.S. banking system will never again return to that comfortable, cozy, and cushy capital place it once happily referred to as "home." But its "Wicked Witch" was its own greed. The curtain has finally been pulled back on the machinery, and the hot air used to pump up the U.S. banking system's version of the Emerald City in the Land of Oz .

For decades, American banks operated on a simple - and nicely profitable - business model: They took in deposits and lent out money.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

Investors Should Stay Clear of Traditional Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Stathis

Originally published on May 5, 2008 on SeekingAlphaBest Financial Markets Analysis Article
Washington continues to manipulate economic data, as it has for several years. The past few Establishment Survey reports confirm the deception of data, as many more jobs were lost than official numbers indicate. A better gauge of economic weakness, in my opinion, is consumer and mortgage late-payment and default rates, since this data is more difficult to manipulate. This is especially true for late credit card payments.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 11, 2008

All Broad Equity Indices Are Down / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Richard_Shaw

There is plenty of bad business news out there, including with icons such as GE, AIG, banks of all sorts, municipal bond insurance companies and more.

Consumers are squeezed by energy, food prices, falling home prices and limitations on credit — and municipalities aren't apparently limiting their budget growth (and taxes) in line with their tax payers growth in income.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Stock Market Liquidity Contraction Points to Increasing Fear and Capitulation ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe reason why Liquidity inflows and outflows is a critical element relative to the market rallying or correcting:

Liquidity inflows and outflows are easily understood by any corporation. When their cash inflows are positive and increasing, they have money to expand and hire. When their cash is outflowing and negative, their businesses contract and they layoff workers.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Paulson: Financial Institutions Must Be Allowed To Fail / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Crypt is reporting Paulson and Bernanke: Economic Melt-Down "Ongoing"
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress that their agencies need greater regulatory powers to deal with the current economic meltdown in the financial and housing markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Are Dark Pools Destined to be the Next Financial Black Hole? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe can almost hear that ominous " Jaws " theme music in the background and can see that huge dorsal fin as it slices threateningly through the water - knowing full well that the real terror is hidden beneath the water's surface.

But this time around, it's not a "Great White" that's sparking our fears; it's a well-capitalized and broadly based series of secret stock exchanges known as " Dark Pools of Liquidity ," "Dark Liquidity," or just "Dark Pools."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Stocks Bear Market Generates Inane Mainstream Commentary / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am amazed at the absolutely inane commentary from the media about how great it is that we're having a bear market, as if they saw it coming ahead of time.  Now they're talking gibberish about all the buying opportunities out there and how after we've reached the 20% decline level it's  time to back up the truck and load up on stocks. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

USAGOLD's Annual Survey of Investment Performance- 12Months to June 2008 / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Pete_Grant

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold up 43% - Outshines Wall Street, Main St. Gold continues to shine as one of the best performing asset classes through the first half of 2008, according to the USAGOLD Annual Survey of Investments. Only the CRB index, which of course includes a gold component, outperformed gold itself over the past year. Arguably it was the latest surge in oil prices that allowed the broad measure of commodities to supplant gold from the number one position over the last month of the second quarter.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

The Decade of Zero Investment Returns, Part I / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Ten years here, a decade there, and pretty soon you're losing real wealth hand over fist..."

WHAT A DIFFERENCE a decade can make! Over the last 10 years of the 20th century, anyone buying and holding US stocks made a total return approaching 18% per year.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

All Eyes on Crude Oil … As Usual / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll those investors on and off Wall Street whose focus is on buying stocks must have sweat through a closet full of shirts by now. The outlook for the stock market is not pretty. And when second quarter earnings season arrives, well, things could get even uglier…they say.

It’s a tough job playing cheerleader for a losing team and waiting for a turnaround, even when Tout TV is on your side. Just ask those die-hard Cubs fans about that if you’re wondering. Unfortunately, it seems to us like it could be a while before this turnaround in stocks materializes.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Emerging Markets Infrastructure Spending Boom for Next Three Years / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Jason_Simpkins

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMerrill Lynch & Co. Inc. ( MER ) has raised its annual infrastructure-spending estimate for emerging markets by 80%, as developing countries try to keep pace with fast-growing economies and large cash reserves, BusinessWeek reported.

Investment in infrastructure, which the firm sees as the long-term solution to inflation, will rise from $1.25 trillion to $2.25 trillion annually over the next three years. And China, the Middle East, and Russia will account for 70% of infrastructure spending. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Three Ways to Protect Your Portfolio Against Stock Market Drops / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNilus Mattive: June wasn't kind to the stock market. In fact, the S&P 500 had its worst month since September 2002 and its worst June since 1930.

So far, July hasn't been much better.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Financial Stocks Meltdown: A Picture Worth 1,000 Words / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Richard_Shaw

Who a few years ago would have thought FNM and FRE would lose 70+% and 80+% of their market value?

This chart comparing the S&P 500 (SPY), the S&P Financial Sector (XLE), the KBW Large Bank Index (KBE) with FRE and FNM is breathtaking.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Brazil Stock Market ETF Suffers Serious Technical Damage / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWithout a doubt, anything commodity-related is getting hammered today -- moreso if it is tied to oil and grains, like Brazil, which has just discovered a huge oil deposit and is a major grain exporter. Let's notice that today's weakness in the iShares Brazil ETF (AMEX: EWZ) has violated key intermediate-term support at 83.00-82.00, which represent both the August 07-July 08 trendline and the sharply rising 200 DMA. Indeed, serious technical damage has been sustained by the EWZ, which projects next into the 75.40/00 target zone.

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