Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 15, 2017
Counting Down the LAST DAYS of the Stocks Bull Market, at FIVE degrees of trend! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: Unemployment Claims, Empire State Manufacturing Index.
Thursday, June 15, 2017
The Retail Sector Downfall We Saw Coming / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector
By: Harry_Dent
It’s like a scene out of “Resident Evil.”Sheets of newspaper scratch along the dusty linoleum floor as the wind beats them into the remnants of a bench… or through the open glass door and into the darkened, empty space beyond.
Escalators haven’t run in decades.
The air itself looks dusty.
Could this really be the future of the American mall?
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Thursday, June 15, 2017
With This Extent of Passive Investing, Even a Minor Correction Will Be Disastrous / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Last week, Doug Kass sent around an e-mail comparing today’s markets to Queen’s classic “Bohemian Rhapsody.” I know that seems odd, but it was actually a good fit.
The point is that, like the song says, “Nothing really matters” to whoever is buying stocks these days.
They just keep buying and pushing prices higher. Stock prices do go higher in a bull market, and sometimes, as the end approaches, they make value investors very uncomfortable.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Ultra-low Stock Market Volatility #ThisTimeIsDifferent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Axel_Merk
We increasingly see claims low volatility in the markets may be structural. Even as we agree that some of the analyses we see make good points, we are concerned we may be setting ourselves up for a major shock. Let me explain.
Before getting into the details about the current environment, let me make some general observations. In my experience, complacency, with its cousin low volatility, is the best bubble indicator I am aware of. Perceived safety gets investors to pile into investments that they later regret. When it happens on a massive scale, major market distortions may be created that can lead to financial crises. And as the tech bubble that burst in 2000 shows, even if there is no systemic risk, the unwinding can be most painful to investors. In 2008, however, the perception that home prices always had to rise had become engrained in highly levered, yet illiquid, financial instruments, causing the unwinding to bring the global financial system to its knees. In our assessment, however, make no mistake about it: assuming for a moment the next crash won't take down a major bank, doesn't imply it cannot wipe out much more of your wealth than you ever anticipated.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
US Dollar Acceleration Phase is Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: CPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Press Conference.
Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Here’s Why Market Deregulation Will Be Bad For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : Deregulation was one of President Trump’s top campaign promises. Expectations for it helped spark a post-election stock rally that boosted highly regulated sectors like banking and biotech.
I’ve thought all along people expected too much. Presidents don’t get a magic wand on Inauguration Day, and they can’t bring on major change just by talking about it.
Now, formerly bullish investors and business leaders are starting to curb their enthusiasm.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Stock Market Tech Shakeout! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: Correction over. May be heading for about 2500, or fall slightly short of it.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Tuesday, June 13, 2017
How One Forecasting Tool Defied the Stocks Bull Market Naysayers / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Three compelling Elliott wave charts lay it all out
The Elliott wave model often indicates a stock market outlook that's at odds with the sentiment of the crowd.
But, that's okay. The crowd is usually wrong at major market turns.
For example, two years ago on May 9, 2015, the bull market was six years old
and the third longest in history. A few days earlier, CNN Money said:
Tuesday, June 13, 2017
Goldman Sachs Crashes Tech FANG Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last Friday June 9th, 2017, Robert Bouroujerdi, a Goldman Sachs analyst, “warned that the $600 billion outperformance by the 5 biggest tech stocks known as ‘FAAMG’ — Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet — had contributed about 42 percent of all stock market gains over the last year. Goldman worries that the boom has created an “valuation air-pocket,” similar to the ridiculously high valuations for tech stocks during the Dot-Com boom.”
Goldman Sachs comments “market’s over-reliance on FAAMG for growth and appreciation has created positioning extremes, factor crowding and difficult-to-decipher risk narratives.”
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Tuesday, June 13, 2017
Stock Market Long-term Elliott Wave View / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am sending the charts in landscape to capture as much detail as possible. Wave [5] has been a stretch of 506 days, approximately 2.8 times the time of Wave [1]. By stretching, it gave us 17.2 years from high to high in this Super Cycle.
Wave [5] was 636.10 points, while Wave [1] was 347.61 points. Wave [5] was 2.81 times the size of Wave [1] in days.
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Tuesday, June 13, 2017
Manipulated and Made-up Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Michael_Pento
The economic ruse that is run by Communist China is growing bigger by the day. The formula behind what has been the Great Red Engine of global growth is really very simple: Print new money and funnel it through the state-owned banking system in order to entice businesses and individuals to incur a debilitating amount of non-productive debt.
Historically speaking, countries that have utilized this ersatz form of economics have suffered a currency and bond market crisis. But the command and control government of China always seems to be one step ahead of the laws of economics; and has been able to defer the inevitable day of reckoning due to its large currency reserves.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
3 Charts That Show How Stock Market is“Enormously Overvalued” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Last week in Outside the Box (my free newsletter for investors), Jim Mellon shared some good advice on picking stocks in the Age of the Index Fund. Jim said,
[C]ommitted investors should make a list of companies that they really like, know about, and want to own—at the right price. If the shares of those firms are too high, put in limits, possibly 20–30% below current levels, and wait. Don’t let cash burn a hole in your pocket—let the stocks come to you, and don’t chase.
Within a day of publishing Jim’s piece, my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson’s quarterly letter to clients landed in my inbox, and I thought it would make a good follow-up to Jim’s article.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
India Stock Market Nifty-NSE Next Warning Area for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
In June 2015, we mentioned that Nifty-NSE from India was in a warning area for the bulls and a larger correction was expected to take place. Over the next 12 months, Nifty lost 25% dropping from a high of 9119.20 on 3.4.2015 to a low of 6825 on 2.29.2016. However, as we keep mentioning World Indices trend remains up and dips are nothing more than buying opportunity in the right areas, so this dip in this Indian Index was another buying opportunity in the blue box between 7459 – 6721.
Nifty-NSE buying area down from 3.4.2015 peak
Monday, June 12, 2017
Will Technology Stocks Sell-Off Drive Stock Market Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 12, 2017
Active Trader Predicts Stock Market Vix Spike & Nasdaq Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A potential increase in risk may create massive opportunities for investors.
Throughout our ongoing analysis of the US markets, metals, energy and other market sectors, one thing we have seen over and over is that markets can, and often do, develop longer term trends than most people believe are possible or believable.
Recently, numerous analysts have been warning of potential “critical crashes” and “deep retracements” because of the fear that this rally is nearing some type of end cycle. We believe the charts tell the story of the investor sentiment and that, at some point in the future, these predictions may become true – but not today.
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Watch: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are Closing In on 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
We continue to see articles and comments in the financial media proclaiming that stocks are not in a bubble.
The people claiming this are either delusional or intentionally lying.
Most people would argue that Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about investing. He’s possibly the single most famous investor of all time and is widely thought to be one of the greatest, if not THE greatest investor in history.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
High Flying NDX/NAZ Hit an Air Pocket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
An interesting end to a mostly choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2439. After a tick up to the all-time high at SPX 2440 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2425 by Wednesday. Then after the ECB meeting, the much awaited Comey testimony, and the UK election fiasco, the SPX hit an all-time high at 2446 on Friday. After the high, however, the Tech sector went into freefall, pulling down the SPX to end the week at 2432. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: ISM, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, retail sales, and industrial production. Best to your week!
Saturday, June 10, 2017
Billionaire Jim Mellon: Hoard Cash, Gold And Invest In Biotech Science / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
My friend and British investor extraordinaire Jim Mellon, who made a large amount of money traveling the world doing real estate, is now focused on thinking about and investing in life extension and its derivatives.
But he's also worried about what happens when a lot of people live longer and how we pay for it. He shares my concern about the demographic bubble that we are already in becoming even worse as we live longer than we expected.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
U.S.Bond and Small Cap Stock Soaring Together? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
U.S. Stock Markets just keep going higher and higher! How much higher will they go? I am FORECASTING another 25% higher for U.S. Stocks! The ‘bullish trend’ from the breakout continues, as expected. Breadth has become strong, once again, including a new all-time high on the SPX Advance/Decline line to match the new all-time high for the SPX. My breath thrust index reissued another buy for the SPX on May 31st, 2017! Once the markets wake up and realize that there will be no U.S. tradewars, they will then begin their assent.
Friday, June 09, 2017
Good Sized Drop in Equities, Rally in Gold Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Today (June 8) is the 4/16 TD top. The next low is due on June 12. A sudden sharp sell-off in equities (likely June 9) and a rally in gold is due into Monday. My best guess now is that we see a move into the 2380/90’s. GDX could easily move from the 22.90’s (forecasted 2 days ago) into the low 24.00’s.
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