Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 17, 2009
Stock Market "Sucker-Rally-Dead-Cat" Still Yowling! Market-Long-Waves Say's "Bull-Run Warning" / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The consensus is that the stock market rally is on it's last legs, market-long-wave analysis says different and that the markets will be 15% to 30% up on today by end 2009 and that the medium term trend is also upwards.If it were up to Sticks and Stones (can break my bones) that Cat would be road-kill by now. On the 14th March Professor Roubini pronounced the rally that started 10th March was a dead-cat-sucker-bounce.
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Friday, April 17, 2009
Unfinished Business on the Upside for XLF Financial's ETF / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
The pattern carved out since Tuesday’s recovery high at 11.35 argues that the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF) has some unfinished business on the upside prior to the completion of the upleg from the March low at 5.88. My optimal target zone is 11.80-12.20. Only a decline that breaks 10.00 will compromise my current outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 17, 2009
Powerful Cyclical Bull Market Within a Secular Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The Ostrich Investors - The withering barrage of misfortune that investors have suffered defies belief. Last year’s horrific 38.5% loss in the stock markets was one of the worst ever witnessed. And this year has offered little respite, with stocks down another 5.7% so far. Such a catastrophic loss of wealth has naturally sparked rampant bearishness, pessimism, and a pervading sense of despair.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 17, 2009
Another Late Rally Lifts Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It seemed like déjà vu for the markets yesterday. They had a slow choppy start before a late rally resulted in more healthy gains. Traders yet again shrugged off concerns about the economy and instead bet that crucial earnings reports will impress. Consumer discretionary stocks staged the best advance with tech stocks not far behind. Will indices do it again heading into the weekend?
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Thursday, April 16, 2009
Stock Market Indices Surge Out of 3-Day Downtrend, Rally to New 5-Month Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Another strong session going into options expiration tomorrow. The indices had a large gap up at the opening, backed and filled, pulled back quickly in the morning but held support. That was key. When support held they started a rally that retested the highs, backed off and then moved through them, and in the last hour spiked up, reaching new 5-month highs, at 870 on the S&P 500 and nearly 1359 on the Nasdaq 100. Only in the last 15-20 minutes did the market pull back and pare the gains.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Sector Rotation Investing Strategy for Beating the Recession / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Sector rotation is a proven strategy to beat the market. When the current economic recession ends marking the beginning of a new bull market, it will be time to enjoy benefits of a properly positioned portfolio. An analysis of the affect of the recession on each industry in the sector rotation model will create opportunities for investors.
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Thursday, April 16, 2009
Performance of Key Asset Types Over Several Time Frames / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Someone on Bloomberg TV today said we have moved from an apocalyptically bearish to a reluctantly bullish market. That is probably a fair statement for the the moment. Someone else a couple of weeks ago said we have gone from a death spiral in the economy to a period of slow rate of economic decline. Then someone else said, the economy is not going up, but it is going down at sufficiently slower rate that it almost feels like up.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Bankrupt Banks to be Hit by New Wave of Losses / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
One must give a tip of the hat to the Wall Street conmen for engineering a reasonably robust stock rally. The Dow and S&P were led by financials. The Financial Times out of London claims ‘no real money’ was behind the stock rally of over 20%. They must mean huge short covering, enhanced by pressure tactics from Wall Street brokerages themselves. They must mean Working Group For Financial Markets putting to work some of their ‘Black Bag’ money. They must mean influenced arbitrage games from preferred versus common shares, which harmed the public but enriched the insiders. Amazing how a better financial journal on US topics comes from outside the Untied States.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Stock Sectors that Could Lead the Next Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
If I told you that the four sectors with the most potential to undergo a secular trend change are semiconductors, housing, retail, and airlines you would probably say "wow". Certainly, that would be a good broad base rally to get excited about if these sectors could provide leadership. Of course, there is the current dynamic of an overbought market within the context of a longer term bear market, but I believe that these sectors are setting up to be the next bull market leaders.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Powerful Bullish Setup / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Yesterday's weakness in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) filled the up-gap left behind on last Thursday at the 31.95 open, and then reversed to the upside into a strong close. This morning's early strength continued yesterday's late rally, which now appears to represent the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of a retest of last week's upside breakout from a multi-month bottom pattern. Let's watch the action in the Q's very closely now because based purely on the developing pattern, the bulls have a VERY POWERFUL technical set-up that could trigger a panic-like climb towards a test of the sharply declining 200 DMA, now at 34.76. In other words, a 5%-6% up-spike COULD be directly ahead, and likely will conclude the Mar.-Apr. upmove.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Late Day Stock Market Rally Lifts Indices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Markets were choppy all day yesterday until the end. Despite lacking a clear catalyst, the Dow Jones picked up over 100 points in the hour before close to finish the day up 1.38%. Just five of the index’s 30 components failed to join the rally, including three tech stocks. The bear market rally rolls on for now. Note that the Dow Futures are off about 0.8% this morning after a weak European open and Asian session.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
New Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Hutchinson writes: Since sinking to a 12-year low of 676.53 on March 9, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index had risen 24% — the best such short-term rally since 1933. But this isn’t 1933 and you shouldn’t trust the rally. Happy Days are NOT here again, at least not yet.The 1933 rally came after a record-breaking decline. Real gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 25% during the Great Depression and the Dow Jones Industrial Index fell by almost 90%.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Nasdaq Trails in Mixed Session, As Blue Chips Hold Support and Rally Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We had a very interesting session on Wednesday. Most indices managed to end in the positive column except for the Nasdaq 100 and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX), which pressured the NDX all day. But the story was how firmly the S&P 500 and Dow held despite three consecutive new intraday lows on the NDX. That positive divergence caused a late, short-covering rally that popped the indices and closed them near the highs for the day going away.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Investing 2009- Leading ETFs, What To Watch Now / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
For those less familiar with technical analysis, markets often pause or reverse at their 200-day moving average, which can act as strong resistance.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Goodbye to the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The market rallied on great Wells Fargo news. However, I am skeptical if not outright cynical of such bullishness. I am not the only one.Minyan Peter, one of the best reads anywhere, seems to agree. Please consider Goldman Sachs: Green This Morning, Hurricane Tonight?
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Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Stock Market Corrections Are Beautiful and Necessary / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Every correction is the same, a normal downturn in one or more of the markets where we invest. There has never been a correction that has not proven to be an investment opportunity. You can be confident that governments around the world are not going to allow another Great Depression "on their watch".Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Is This a New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A month ago when this rally began most people were skeptical, but now all anyone is asking is how much higher will the market go? It is still down for the year, but now almost everyone is looking for the rally to continue from here - with many thinking this may be the start of a new bull market.
Many people are wondering whether or not this is the start of a bull market and whether they should buy now. Most guests on CNBC have been gushing over the market rally and some of the recent earnings reports.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Stock Market Indices Fall on Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Indices fell yesterday due to profit-taking and a further reminder of the weak economy with weak US retail sales figures. The bulls took a breather from their recent run, but they were due a rest. The Dow Jones fell 1.71%, which is nothing really when compared to the 21.98% surge over the previous five weeks. What happens today is crucial. An up day with the bulls returning could signal that there are plenty of legs left in this rally. However, another fall will see the positive momentum halted even more and may see a return to risk aversion as traders don’t want to be caught on the long side as they go through earnings season.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
New Stock Market and Commodities Bubbles Brewing in Shanghai and Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After Shocks from the October Meltdown, - October is famous for stock markets crashes, - the Crash of 1929, “Black Monday” 1987, the Asian Contagion crash in October 1997, and the Sub-Prime crash of October 2008. US Treasury chief Henry Paulson’s ill-fated decision on Sept 14th, to pull the plug on the 158-year old brokerage firm of Lehman Brothers, set in motion a horrific chain of events that unleashed a torrent of panic selling on commodity and global stock markets, froze the European and US banking systems, and changed the direction American politics for years to come.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Stock Market Rally's Momentum Blunted, on Sharp Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It was a decidedly negative session in a turnaround Tuesday as the indices gapped lower, bounced, and then moved sharply lower midday before an afternoon bounce brought them back. But in the last 10-15 minutes, they spiked lower again bringing the SPX and Dow near the lows for the day. Net on the day the Dow was down 137.63 at 7920.18, the S&P 500 down 17.22 to 841.51, and the Nasdaq 100 down 14.36 to 1522.31. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) lost 6.10 to 250.Read full article... Read full article...