Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 09, 2017
Warnings Posted by European Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Most people watch the FTSE 100, the leading index in the UK, and the German DAX. The former was the first major index in Europe to make a new all-time high as investors rewarded it for Brexit instead of punishing it, counter to expectations. The latter is finally within spitting distance of making a new high. It just needs to rally another 3%.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 09, 2017
Stocks Extended Their Downtrend, But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, March 08, 2017
Bounce in SPX, TNX and USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The SPX futures are mixed this morning. There is a better than even probability that SPX may rally to the potential targets (2380.00 to 2384.00) outlined yesterday afternoon. The reason why is that the Cycle has completed only 29 hours thus far. It must complete 30.1 hours. That gives us a potential rally until 10:00 am. Otherwise yesterday’s afternoon action counts as a horizontal correction. These formations are rare and must be taken with a grain of salt. However, the ensuing decline may provide us with more opportunities to see this phenomenon.
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Wednesday, March 08, 2017
Charting the Maddening Stock Market Messages / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Why are we getting such diverging and maddening market messages from the equity and bond markets? Which one is right? Are either right?
Market Perceptions
Let's consider the perceptions of each of these markets:
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Wednesday, March 08, 2017
Stock Market Very Mixed, Volatile Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a sloppy down day today. The day started out with a move down, and then a strong rally on the Nasdaq 100 took the S&P 500 up as well when Apple Inc. (AAPL) rallied, but they failed at triple-quadruple top near 5374 on the Nasdaq 100 as the S&P 500 got nowhere near their recent high, and as a result of that negative divergences backed off. They retested the lows, bounced around, formed wedges, and then in the afternoon, they broke those wedges to the downside, and made slightly lower lows before a late rally brought them back.
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Tuesday, March 07, 2017
Glass-Steagall Essential Banking Regulation / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
The central struggle since the inception of the Republic has been about the control of money. Since the U.S. Constitution clearly defines coinage, the objective of the mercantile elite was to circumvent the law and establish a National Bank. Woe to any defender of President Andrew Jackson for abolishing the Second Bank of the United States and rendering the Bankster Nicholas Biddle to his ignominious place in hell. This victory for the common man was ultimately betrayed when the Federal Reserve Central Bank was instituted with all the ills of fractional reserve banking.
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Tuesday, March 07, 2017
Stock Market Euphoria, China's Dumping of Treasuries Ignite Recession Concerns / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Citing the uncertainty caused by China dumping U.S. Treasuries, an impending debt ceiling crisis, the upcoming French elections, and more, Wealth Research Group editor Lior Gantz advises investors to make sure their portfolios are diversified.
Each of the last five major U.S. recessions were preceded by a shrinking global trade as a percentage of GDP.
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Monday, March 06, 2017
Stock Market Basic Movements - Basic High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
With the failure to see the expected correction in our longer term forecast, this is probably a good time to review that forecast.
A 15yr interval points to a top sometime in the period from September 2016 until the end of August 2017.
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Monday, March 06, 2017
Financial Markets Have Priced in Trump Getting EVERYTHING He Wants... What If He Doesn’t? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a money manager and who ascribes to the Austrian School of Economics and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals podcast.
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Monday, March 06, 2017
The Stock Market "Trump Bump" Was in the Cards LONG Before Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
How to breach limitations of conventional market forecasting
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Monday, March 06, 2017
It’s Time to Leave the Stock Market Party / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : I’m a sentiment jockey. It’s good to get a feel for the room. That applies to all kinds of situations. When sentiment gets a little one-sided, I pay attention.
My good friend Michael Martin, author of The Inner Voice of Trading, once told me his surefire recipe for staying out of trouble in college.
He would leave a party the first time a beer bottle was thrown against the wall. He would be halfway down the street by the time the cops showed up, lights flashing.
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Monday, March 06, 2017
Why is Trump Tweeting About Stocks so Much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market is now officially a political tool.
The Trump White House has made it clear that it views the stock market as a “report card” on Trump’s policies.
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Monday, March 06, 2017
Stock Market SPX 2400 Projection Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: 2400 has been reached but the rally could extend just a little higher before an intermediate reversal takes place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 05, 2017
Trump Asks Congress to Investigate Obama Over Wiretapping / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
On Sunday, his press secretary Sean Spicer issued a statement, saying reports “concerning potentially politically motivated investigations immediately ahead of the 2016 election are very troubling.”
“President Donald J. Trump is requesting that as part of their investigation into Russian activity, the congressional intelligence committees exercise their oversight authority to determine whether executive branch investigative powers were abused in 2016.”
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Sunday, March 05, 2017
Trump Flip-Flops on Stock Market Bubblemaking / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
It’s funny how an election can change the way a man sees the world. Before the election, Donald Trump thought that stocks were dangerously inflated. In an interview on CNBC, he said “I hope I’m wrong, but I think we’re in a big, fat, juicy bubble.”
That was Candidate Trump. President Trump sees things differently. Here’s what he tweeted on Tuesday:
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Sunday, March 05, 2017
Important Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Cycle-wise, we are at a crest of the 18 month cycle, which is due to bottom in early August 2017. Astro-wise we have a myriad of reversal aspects in this general time frame: Mars conjunct Uranus/opposite Jupiter (February 26/27); Sun conjunct Neptune (March 1); Jupiter opposite Uranus (second of 3 passages), with a cardinal T-Square to Pluto (March 2); Mars trine Saturn (March 4); Venus Retrograde (March 4).
Watch for war-like agitations ahead and a test of the Trump administration. Bad storms and earthquakes could also be in the offing in the next 3-5 months.
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Sunday, March 05, 2017
Elliott Wave Count Points to Shallow SPX Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
For you occasional "wavers-counters," I was asked by a colleague of mine to provide my "count" if I chose to view the 13-month advance through a wave analysis lens.
Bottom Line: The upleg off of the Nov 4, 2016 post-election low at 2083.79 represents the 3rd of the 3rd from the Feb 11, 2016 low at 1810.10.
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Saturday, March 04, 2017
Will Banks' Excess Reserves Fuel a New Monetary Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
Don't look now but inflation and a new gold rush might be in our future
Introduction: Professional investors are selling stocks and buying gold. Small investors are buying stocks and neglecting gold. While the bulk of attention has gone to the stock market thus far this year, gold is up 7.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 6.2%. What is going on? In this month's issue we explore what the professional investors might know that small investors are missing?
Read full article... Read full article..."Banks in the United States have the potential to increase liquidity suddenly and significantly – from $12 trillion to $36 trillion in currency and easily accessed deposits—and could thereby cause sudden inflation. This is possible because the nation’s fractional banking system allows banks to convert excess reserves held at the Federal Reserve into bank loans at about a 10-to-1 ratio. Banks might engage in such conversion if they believe other banks are about to do so, in a manner similar to a bank run that generates a self-fulfilling prophecy. . . What potentially matters about high excess reserves is that they provide a means by which decisions made by banks – not those made by the monetary authority, the Federal Reserve System – could increase inflation-inducing liquidity dramatically and quickly." – Christopher Phelan, economist, Minneapolis Federal Reserve
Saturday, March 04, 2017
SPX Uptrend continues to make New All-time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The week started at SPX 2367. On Monday the SPX rose to 2372, pulled back to 2359 on Tuesday, then gapped up on Wednesday hitting an all-time high of SPX 2401. Thursday and Friday saw the SPX pullback to 2375 before ending the week at 2383. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.80%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%. Economic reports for the week were mostly higher. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, the WLEI and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: durable goods, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, personal income/spending, ISM manufacturing/services, the PCE, plus weekly jobless claims hit a 44-year low. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly payrolls, factory orders and export/import prices. Best to your weekend and week!
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Saturday, March 04, 2017
Investment Lessons to Be Learned from Golf / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
Dear Paraders,
In my youth, I viewed golf as something only old people enjoyed. Make that OLD people.
While I was never much for sports, in my early forties I discovered polo, one of the most exhilarating sports on the planet, of which golf is pretty much the antithesis.
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