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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).

Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.

The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Crash: Is the Dow headed for a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous

We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Italian Bank Panic & Bail-In - The Next Domino To Fall / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

On January 1st of this year the European Union passed into law an official “bank bail-in” clause.  The bail-in legislation put into law, across Europe, what was done in Cyprus in 2013 where bank account holders had their funds seized to “save” the bank.  To us, and anyone who is paying half-attention, this was a clarion call to get your funds out of European banks.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Top May Have Been Made on Friday.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Shortly after 2:20 pm, SPX made its intra-day high at 1906.73.  From a Cyclical view, last Friday’s high at 1908.85 was the high, consuming exactly 17.2 hours from bottom to top. 

Today’s high counts well as an Elliott Wave [c] of 2, but it appears truncated.  Short-term resistance is at 1900.28, with SPX now below it.  The daily Cycle Bottom resistance is at 1898.86.  These resistances are somewhat elastic, but they appear to be holding. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Forecast for February 1st High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

A bottom for the January sell-off appears to be behind us. It fell three trading days after the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low in the period January 12-15. This should be a good week for the bulls. The next forecast for a high is for Monday, February 1. That forecast is detailed below.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Bear Raid Over or the Last Bull Standing? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Its not just the Eastern United States that's been paralysed by freezing temperatures and a huge blizzard, as the stocks bull market also remains frozen in a trading range, which has most recently seen the Dow bounce off the icy cold extreme low end of the range, which according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus just marks the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Capital Controls Are Coming / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The carnage always comes by surprise, often on an otherwise ordinary Saturday morning…

The government declares a surprise bank holiday. It shuts all the banks. It imposes capital controls to stop citizens from taking their money out of the country. Cash-sniffing dogs, which make drug-sniffing dogs look friendly, show up at airports.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Clueless in Davos / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Peter_Schiff

Making their annual pilgrimage to the exclusive Swiss ski sanctuary of Davos last week, the world's political and financial elite once again gathered without having had the slightest idea of what was going on in the outside world. It appears that few of the attendees, if any, had any advance warning that 2016 would dawn with a global financial meltdown. The Dow Jones Industrials posted the worst 10 day start to a calendar year ever, and as of the market close of January 25, the Index is down almost 9% year-to-date, putting it squarely on track for the worst January ever. But now that the trouble that few of the international power posse had foreseen has descended, the ideas on how to deal with the crisis were harder to find in Davos than an $8.99 all-you-can-eat lunch buffet, with a free cocktail.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Corporate Earnings Are Down, But Debt Keeps Rising… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

I recently wrote to you about a number of factors that show the stock market saw a major top back in May 2015.

The most glaring?

Small-cap stocks have diverged massively from large-cap since May. They’re down 24% while large-caps are down only 12%. This is the classic sign that the dumb money is pouring in and the smart money is leaving.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Stock Market Bounce, But No Overlap / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX bounced in the Premarket, but did not overlap, which is a condition of a declining impulse. Confirmation of that would be

Evident only after the open. A gap down open would suggest Wave 3 may be underway.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Stock Market Turnaround Tuesday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off mixed early on, and then they backed and filled, held support, and rallied by midday. The Nasdaq 100 made a new rally high, getting up just under 4270, while the S&P 500 could barely get back above the morning high. That loss of momentum and lack of confirmation led to an afternoon sell off, and a nasty one. The Nasdaq 100 went from 4216 to 4192 before bouncing, and closing at 4195, 3 points off its low. The S&P 500 dropped back from 1903 to 1976. and closed just a point off the low.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Zero Follow-Through For The Bulls....Banks Under Severe Pressure....Oil Slammed Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Friday is looking more and more as if it were simply one of those bear-market rally days from deeply oversold conditions. The only problem being it wasn't that great of an up day. The real powerful, bear-market rally days can be up 2.5% to 3% in a single day. Friday was nice, but far from that type of day thus it seemed as if more upside was likely short-term. Not to be. The market started out down some and tried to fight to green before the bears came in and took it back down. The market stayed down for the better part of the day, but what was most important was how we finished.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Lifting Sanctions on Iran a Mixed Bag / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Browne

From a financial perspective, the New Year has been anything but happy. As of January 20th, the S&P had fallen over 9% since the beginning of the year, to levels not seen since 2014,reflecting a loss of some $2 trillion in market value. Compounding matters was the 30% collapse in oil prices, which brought crude down to the lowest levels in 13 years. The New Year has also seen further evidence of recession in the U.S., which has appeared in a string of bad manufacturing service sector data.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Money Mind Games, Futures, and the Future / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Doug_Wakefield

“In markets, usually when you see massive buying and selling and people piling into trades, it is time to step back, get some perspective, and let the move play out before jumping in or out one way or the other. As we know, trades can get very crowded and almost too tempting to resist.” – Mind, Money & Markets, Dr. Janice Dorn, pg 47

“Reaction to the FOMC news was instant. Within a thousandth of a second, the move was already over. Trades in 8,000 NMS stocks. Nothing to buy after a few milliseconds.” – Buy All The Stocks Now!, Nanex Research, Sept 18, 2013

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Stock Market Premarket is Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket is down below 1900.00, eliminating possible round number support. It is still hard to say whether it has completed Wave 2 in its entirety or Wave [a] of 2, leaving a retest of the Cycle Bottom before rising in [c] of 2. Even it Wave 2 goes higher, taking profits and going short got the most of the rally with a small upside risk that may not last more than a day.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Stock Market SP500 Above 1,900 Mark Again, New Uptrend or Just a Bounce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following recent move down below medium-term lows:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Stock Market Bottoming Out or the Last Bull Standing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market has rallied to back over 16k on Friday, closing at 16,093, up 210 points on the day, which apparently according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus must be the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016. Whilst my consistent view to the continence of many has been that the stock market is undergoing an extreme correction which this interim analysis seeks to evaluate ahead of my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for probably the whole of the remainder of 2016.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 25, 2016

Leading indicator “Bonds” Suggests More Time before Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Every crash was preceded with the 10 year minus the 3 month Bond Yields dropping towards the zero line. Although the equity markets have crashed, the bond markets are still not displaying any signs of panic. This tells us the market must continue to fall until the percent return is around the zero mark.

Thinking of this logically, it makes sense. Investors when scare start moving more and more of their capital in to safer investments, like bonds. Eventually there is a change in this perception, which occurs when bonds are not paying anything in return. That is when investors say enough is enough, and start taking risk and start moving back into the stock market.

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