Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 21, 2015
Dow New Stock Market All time High as Greece Surrenders to Germany / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow stocks index set a new all time high Friday, closing up 155 at 18,140, that actually marks the first new all time high of 2015 as the Dow more than recouped the weakness that began late December that had seen the Dow fall to a low of 17,037 by the start of February.
Saturday, February 21, 2015
Greece Gets An Extension... Stock Market Froth Out Of Control.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Early this morning we saw the futures pulling down as the Nasdaq in particular was very overbought on its short-term sixty-minute chart. Not just overbought but ugly overbought. Thankfully, we saw a nice little gap down to start the day and better yet, it ran lower. I turned my eye to the sixty-minute chart on the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) to see where support was and once it hit the 20-day exponential moving average that was the end of the selling. Slowly, but very surely, the market started to climb its way back up. As the day moved on an agreement between the EU and Greece was reached for a four month extension and up we went yet again. Every excuse a bull can find is met with a ticks higher on the indexes.
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Saturday, February 21, 2015
The Morris Massey Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
I first started working in the financial markets—as a clerk on an options exchange—in November of 1999.
Four months before the top.
So over the first three formative years of my career, stocks only went down, not up. Not only did they go down, but they went down relentlessly. Demoralizing everyone. Extinguishing all hope.
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Saturday, February 21, 2015
Are Conditions Setting The Market Up For A Summer Washout? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sy_Harding
Here is what we can quite confidently depend on.
The stock market makes most of its gains each year in a favorable period of November to May, and if there is a serious correction it usually takes place between May and October.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Stock Market Topping Process is Nearing Resolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A very small 12-point Minute Wave [v] ending at 2102.13 may have been all there is to this rally. Since then the Diagonal trendline has been broken and SPX remains beneath it. There seems to be only one alternate pattern…another Broadening Top formation, if it chooses to rally above the Diagonal trendline.
Today is a Trading Cycle Pivot day, while tomorrow is a Primary Cycle turn day. A decline beneath 2085.44 may confirm the decline has begun. A ramp to a marginal new high postpones the turn until Monday.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Beware the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets’ latest record highs have left traders exceedingly euphoric and complacent. They are utterly convinced this stock bull will power higher for years to come. But their enthusiasm is very misplaced. In real inflation-adjusted terms, the US stock markets only just regained breakeven levels 15 years after the last secular bull peaked. Now the secular stock bear ever since is overdue for a new cyclical bear.
The flagship benchmark index for tracking the US stock markets is the mighty S&P 500, often shortened to SPX. The whole financial world literally revolves around this dominant index, with most global equity markets and even some major commodities markets like oil usually mirroring it. American stock traders can directly trade the SPX through a handful of gargantuan ETFs including the leading SPY S&P 500 ETF.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Monetary Policy Gone Wild - When the Best Offense is Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The day is coming when a single carrot freshly observed will set off a revolution. -Paul Cezanne
I'm on a group email list, an old fashioned list-service of mainly technology and science geeks.
While there are lots of witty, seemingly intelligent and often emotional debates on all manner of issues, to my dismay there is rarely a significant discussion about of financial or economic issues.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
The Myth That This Time Is Different / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Money_Morning
Remember subprime?
It’s not that it’s back. It never left.
But this time is different.
Remember how low interest rates led investors into buying packaged, securitized boxes with black holes?
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Thursday, February 19, 2015
Does Economic Stagnation Create Dangerous Financial Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Dan_Amerman
The Federal Reserve has a seemingly odd fear about the markets that may appear completely upside down to most investors – but this fear is so serious it is helping to determine the Fed's actions, even as it poses a potentially acute risk for investors. As reported in MarketWatch on February 19th, there was a wide ranging discussion at the January, 2015 meeting about if and when to raise interest rates, and this was part of the discussion:
"Fed members who supported an early move said they were concerned that holding rates low for too long might lead to asset bubbles."
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Thursday, February 19, 2015
Markets Fear Factor Meets The Year Five Phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
Despite continued front-page fears over Greece's threatened exit from the euro and the military encroachments of the terrorist group known as ISIS, investors apparently aren't sufficiently worried enough to sell equities. If anything, adage about the "wall of worry" has been the driving force behind recent equity market gains as the front-page fears have been largely ignored.
Investors were skittish entering 2015, so much so that billions were poured into safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and precious metals. The soaring U.S. dollar (below) was as much a sign of the flight to safety as it was a symptom of U.S. economic strength.
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Thursday, February 19, 2015
Fed Minutes Remove Rate Fears... Stock Market Sentiment Terrible Again...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The one fear the bulls have more than anything is hearing from the Fed that a rate-hike cycle is about to begin. Any hint towards that reality would be bearish for the bulls short to mid-term, and they know it the way they know day turns to night. They know that the market can handle one rate hike as long as it's accompanied by a statement that alleviates the fears of a new cycle of hikes. The bulls know the Fed is being pressed in to raising rates by many other Fed Governor's, thus, the bulls could deal with a single hike but again, anything pointing to a cycle of hikes would be the kiss of death for this bull. So the fed minutes came out and she said any premature increase in rates could hurt the economic recovery. Wonder why she would say such a thing a I laugh out loud.
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Thursday, February 19, 2015
Stock Market Forecast 2015 And Your Trading Plan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
US Stock Market On The Verge Of Exciting Times
The S&P 500 stock market has been under strong rotation since mid-2014. Rotation in the stock market is when the trend changes direction from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. But the really exciting part is that after strong rotations in the market similar to what we are experiencing now, the stock market always makes massive moves to profit from shortly after.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Doug Casey on ISIS, Gold, Oil, and What to Expect in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist
Today's feature is a special treat: a peek into the brain of one of the most successful speculators of all time. In what follows, Doug Casey talks to Louis James about what to expect in 2015. Doug weighs in on today's most important issues, including ISIS, oil, Putin, and the stock market. He even sticks his nose out to make a bold call on gold.
This (usually subscriber-only) content originally appeared in The Casey Report.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Lindsay Calls for Stock Market High This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
“Given the uncertainty involved in two separate (but very close) date clusters for possible lows to the Dec sell-off, it seems best to consider the “official” forecast for the next low to be sometime between Jan 26 and Feb 3.” – January Lindsay Report
With the February 2nd intra-day low at 1,980 the forecast for a low has worked well. The February Lindsay Report laid out the case for a tradable high early this week. My own Hybrid Lindsay model (which combines Lindsay’s middle section counts with traditional cycle analysis) calls for a tradable high Feb 16-18. It can be a few days early or late so let’s call it sometime this week. Look for the subsequent pullback to last until 14-month and 21-week cycles bottom in March.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Stock Market New Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, February 16, 2015
HFT Illegal? A Remarkable Proposition / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: GoldSilverWorlds
A remarkable new paper by a Cornell law professor and CFTC staff counsel suggests that many aspects of high frequency computer trading (HFT) may be, in fact, illegal under various provisions of basic commodity law. Heretofore, it was generally assumed that HFT was legal, but disabused and impacted markets in disruptive manner on occasion. Many, like myself, never looked on HFT favorably, but few have tried to make the legal case against it. The author, Gregory Scopino, writes in his personal capacity and not on behalf of the CFTC. Not a short or easy read (at 90 pages), I feel Scopino makes a well-researched case and even offers answers to questions asked of me by readers, such as definitions for commodity terms and the like. Please take the time to scan the document.
Monday, February 16, 2015
FTSE Stock Market Index Triple Top / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Austin_Galt
We are all aware, or those that follow the UK market are, that there is a massive triple top formation in play on the Footsie. That’s all well and good but let’s try and really nail it down by looking at both the daily and month charts.
Monday, February 16, 2015
International Hacking Group Steals $300 Million – Global Digital Banking System Not Secure / Stock-Markets / Cyber Crime
By: GoldCore
- Sophisticated “Ocean’s 11″ style heist is one of the largest in history
- Hackers remotely accessed bank computers to manipulate accounts and A.T.M.s.
- Banking groups make no comment
- Details expose incredible systemic vulnerability
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Monday, February 16, 2015
Bubbles, Tensegrity and Fragility / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
"....I thought sympathetically of nature's having to make all those myriad frustrated decisions each time she made a bubble. I didn't see how she managed to formulate the wake of every ship while managing the rest of the universe if she had to make all those decisions. So I said to myself, "I don't think nature uses π. I think she has some other mathematical way of coordinating her undertakings."—R. Buckminster Fuller, Your Private Sky
About 15 years ago I was lucky enough to see a one man play - a monologue portraying the life of R. Buckminster Fuller, the anti-establishment dreamer-mad genius most famous for geodesic domes.
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Sunday, February 15, 2015
In This Stock Market, Don't Drink the Kool-Aid / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks hit new records last week as central banks around the world continued writing checks to prop up still struggling economies, the price of oil stabilized, Vladimir Putin lured the West into a phony truce in the Ukraine, and Athens and the EU tried to pretend that Greece isn't hopelessly insolvent or that it even matters if it is or isn't.
In other words, investors were once again all too willing to ignore economic reality and drink the Kool Aid being served by central bankers and politicians.
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