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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment is nowhere close. Continuing claims hit 6.66 million, setting a record for the 16th straight week.

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Economics

Thursday, May 21, 2009

U.S. The Toll Booth Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Hudson writes: It looks like bookstores are about to be swamped this summer and fall by advisories which publishers commissioned a year ago, as the economy was going off the rails. The preferred marketing strategy is to offer advice by celebrity insiders on how to restore the happy 1981-2007 era of debt-leveraged price gains for real estate, stocks and bonds. But the Bubble Economy was so debt-leveraged that it cannot reasonably be restored.

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Economics

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy- Part2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Global_Research

Continued from Part 1 here

A Political Economy - Economics in its classical stage, which encompassed the work of both possessive-individualists, like Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus, and John Stuart Mill, and socialist thinkers such as Karl Marx, was called political economy. The name was significant because it pointed to the class basis of the economy and the role of the state. 39 To be sure, Adam Smith introduced the notion of the “invisible hand” of the market in replacing the former visible hand of the monarch. But, the political-class context of economics was nevertheless omnipresent for Smith and all the other classical economists. In the 1820s, as Marx observed, there were “splendid tournaments” between political economists representing different classes (and class fractions) of society.

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Economics

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Global_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Bellamy Foster and Fred Magdoff write: But, you may ask, won’t the powers that be step into the breach again and abort the crisis before it gets a chance to run its course? Yes, certainly. That, by now, is standard operating procedure, and it cannot be excluded that it will succeed in the same ambiguous sense that it did after the 1987 stock market crash. If so, we will have the whole process to go through again on a more elevated and more precarious level. But sooner or later, next time or further down the road, it will not succeed… We will then be in a new situation as unprecedented as the conditions from which it will have emerged. —Harry Magdoff and Paul Sweezy (1988) 1

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Economics

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

One Thought Could Change Your Life / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Michal_Matovcik

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne thought could change your life, your wealth, your trading day, your happiness. Mostly they come and go, but few stay. This is something that you can find usefull, it’s not only about trading, but it could change your feeling of the market and make you become more resistant to “green shoots”, government stupidity, manipulation and many other things. There is no need to comply with these thoughts, the purpose is to start thinking.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Economic Recovery or Economy Resetting At Lower Activity Levels? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial channels are abuzz with talk of a recovery, but we're not out of the woods yet. In fact, the deceleration in the rate of economic decline is not a sign of recovery at all, but proof that the economy is resetting at a lower level of activity. That means the recession will drag on for some time no matter what the Fed does. The problem is the breakdown in the securitzation markets which has cut off the flow of easy credit to consumers and businesses. The credit-freeze has caused a sharp drop in retail, auto sales, furniture, electronics, travel, global trade etc.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

UK CPI Inflation +2.4%, RPI Deflation -1.2% Hits Forecast Target / Economics / Deflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK RPI Inflation data of minus 1.2% for April 09 represents severe deflation in the official data. Whilst the Governments preferred CPI inflation measure has recorded a smaller decline to 2.3% which still stubbornly puts it above the Bank of England's target rate of 2%. RPI deflation is not surprising given the panic interest rate cuts from 5% at the beginning of October 2008 to just 0.5% by the last cut of March 2009, these cuts in interest rates coupled with quantitative easing aka "money printing" to drive down long-term interest rates and hence mortgage rates is resulting in real deflation for those with large mortgages of as much as minus 5%, therefore this is providing for mini 'temporary' cash flow boom for those mortgage holders that have secure employment during the recession and therefore contributing to the summer bounce in house prices.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America? / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEllen Brown writes: “It was horrible. Horrible! Like lightning it struck. No one was prepared. The shelves in the grocery stores were empty. You could buy nothing with your paper money.” – Harvard University law professor Friedrich Kessler on the Weimar Republic hyperinflation (1993 interview)

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Economics

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Japans Economy Crashes by 4% in 1st Quarter, Discounted by Stealth Stocks Bull Market / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Japan reported GDP contraction of 4% for the 1st Quarter of 2009 which is the worst fall on record and equates to an annualised crash of 15%. However the fall is less than the widely expected fall of 4.2%, with the stealth stocks bull market continuing to recover from the March lows, which is suggestive of much better data in quarters 2 and 3 of 2009.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Effect of Household Debt Deleveraging on Housing, Consumption and the Stock Market / Economics / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are investigating the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco report on Household Deleveraging and Future Consumption Growth.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Debt Crisis Economic End Game, Future Evolution of the Debt-to-GDP Ratio / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNearly everyone I talk with has the sense that we are at some critical point in our economic and national paths, not just in the US but in the world. One path will lead us back to relative growth and another set of choices leads us down a path which will put a very real drag on economic growth and recovery. For most of us, there is very little we can do (besides vote and lobby) about the actual choices. What we can do is adjust our personal portfolios to be synchronized with the direction of the economy. The question is "What will that direction be?"

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Economics

Monday, May 18, 2009

The Country Most Likely Heading for Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: Mrs. Watanabe is dumping the yen. According to a story from Bloomberg this week, Japanese businessmen, housewives, and pensioners are dumping the yen against foreign currencies, especially the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, and the euro. Women control the family finances in the typical Japanese household, so the international media has nicknamed the Japanese individual investor "Mrs. Watanabe."

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Economics

Monday, May 18, 2009

The Economy’s Search for a "New Normal" / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShamus Cooke writes: When the reality of the economic crisis first made itself known, many who realized what was happening dubbed it “the greatest crisis since the Great Depression.” This description was more than bombast; it was a sober analysis of the immensity of the economic problems in the country — problems that had been building up for years.      

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Economics

Monday, May 18, 2009

2009 The Most Challenging Year for World Economies Since WWII / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Pravda

With overall global economic growth slowing to a near standstill this year, 2009 will be the most challenging year for economies since World War II, according to an International Monetary Fund report.

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Economics

Sunday, May 17, 2009

Europes' Economy Crashes by 2.5% in 1st Quarter GDP / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope’s economy contracted at the fastest pace in at least 13 years in the first quarter as companies cut output and jobs to survive the worst global slump in more than six decades.

Gross domestic product in the 16-member euro region dropped 2.5 percent from the fourth quarter, when it fell 1.6 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today.

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Economics

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Reflation and Stagnation Are Next for the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMr. Market has begun to show clear signs of split personality disorder in recent weeks. Now that investors have exhaled in relief that a deflationary apocalypse has been avoided, the new reality of reflation and stagnation is sinking in…

“Mr. Market” is starting to show clear signs of split personality disorder.

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2009

Why the Economy Will Recover Differently This Time / Economics / US Economy

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEventually the economy will stop declining and start to recover. The manner in which it recovers will provide investors substantial profits if they have a well-founded theme to base their investing strategy. This recession is the result of substantive changes in the economy that will be with us for years to come. Once the recover begins, we should have a good idea how each sector will deal with a stumble along economy. Since the stock market anticipates a recovery by rallying earlier, it is important for investors to be prepared for the changes that are coming.

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2009

How the New China ‘Yuan Carry Trade’ Could Accelerate the U.S. Recovery / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: [Editor's Note: Money Morning Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald is the editor of the new Geiger Index trading service. As the whipsaw trading patterns investors have endured this year have shown, the ongoing global financial crisis has changed the investment game forever.

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2009

U.S. Borrow and Spend DownWard Budgetary Spiral / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: Most Americans dread April 15. That’s when we all have to pay the fiddler — or more specifically, Uncle Sam. If you don’t get your tax check in on time, you may get a knock on your door someday from the IRS.

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Economics

Friday, May 15, 2009

The New Economic Threat From Credit Default Swaps / Economics / Derivatives

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: While the entire U.S. housing market was on the verge of collapse and corporate America was being systemically undermined, regulators purposely looked the other way.

Why would they do this?

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