Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, October 19, 2012

Best Stock Market Shorting Opportunity in 300 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

In the previous big picture FTSE - a Rose between Two Thorns in May, MAP Analysis projected the retest of last year’s top, which has failed. Now here we are two more fractal waves scales down with 2 more retest failures!! Not good for UK which by my analysis is much further down the road of decay than Germany (for DAX analysis click here) which is one subwave ahead of the DJIA as presented in DOW Stock Market Index 2007 Retest Failure – Game Over USA  published  last week.

However we all know that even with traditional EW analysis of ABC etc that can change fast!. Those of you who are familiar with EW replace each colour scale -2 with a b and you will clearly see the nesting of b's! Not good coming off a high!

Thursday, October 18, 2012

U.S. Presidential Election Doesn’t Matter to the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

As we have moved toward the election I have continued to hear talk that one candidate would be better for the market than the other.  I have also heard that the current administration is responsible for the market advance since 2009.  To say this and/or that this administration would therefore be good for the future of the market is like saying that we have had more sunny days since 2009 and that if the current administration is reelected then we will have more sunny days over the next 4 years. 

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Stock Market Thrill is Gone – Rally Tired or Just Resting? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

For anyone who's been paying attention for the last two years – that's usually not a good thing and, as we noted yesterday, it was a strong Euro and a weak Dollar that was driving our little rally.  The Dollar bottomed out at 79 and the Euro topped out at $1.314 and the Euro's strength sent the Yen back up to 79.30 to the Dollar (weaker) and that led to a 2% Nikkei rally last night.  As you can see from the chart on the right, the S&P for the week is 1% behind UK and Germany and 2.5% behind France and Italy (+4%) and Spain (+7%) – so we have a lot of catching up to do if this rally is real and sustainable. 

Thursday, October 18, 2012

QE Infinity Won't Work, What the Banks Are Really Afraid Of ... / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher recently offered a stunning assessment about our policymaking central bankers down in Washington.

They're winging it.

In a talk before a Harvard Club audience, Fisher presented a candid assessment about all the levers the Fed has been pulling in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. And that includes the recently announced QE3.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

IBM, INTC Disappoint... Stock Market Hangs Tough...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

I have spoken often about looking for signs about what type of market we're in. One clue is to watch how the market handles bad news that comes from just about anywhere, especially earnings. We had a disaster last night in two key places from the world of technology. International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) and Intel Corporation (INTC), two major market leaders and economic indicators, both said things were eroding. Not good news to be sure.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Japan on a World Wide Asset Buying Spree / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: They're baaaaack. While the Chinese are busy grabbing all of the headlines, it's really the Japanese who are making the biggest moves.

So far this year, they've very quietly spent $101 billion on overseas acquisitions in a global buying spree that now dwarfs the one undertaken in the late 1980s and early 1990s according to Edward Jones of Dealogic.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

QE3 Extreme Symptoms and Hidden Menace, Incredibly Gold Bullish / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Some competent analysts claim the United States and Western nations are stuck in the eye of the hurricane. Maybe so, but the internal stresses are so great that they will move beyond the eye into a zone of clearly apparent destruction soon. Some aware analysts believe the bond monetization plans will lift the financial markets. Maybe so, but the ensuing and continuing damage to the economies is profound from rising cost structures. Some awakening analysts no longer look to the USFed as a source of solutions. They see the central bank as increasingly desperate, pushing the same levers that accomplished nothing in the past.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Derivative Meltdown and U.S. Dollar Collapse / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: BATR

The frightening prospects from a derivative meltdown, well known for years, seem to deepen with every measure to prop up a failing international financial system. The essay Greed is Good, but Derivatives are Better, characterizes the gamble game in this fashion:

"The elegance of derivatives is that the rules that defy nature are not involved in intangible swaps. The basic value in the payment from the risk is always dumped on the back of the taxpayer. Ponzi schemes are legal when government croupiers spin loaded balls on their fudged roulette tables."

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Unless We Act, High-Frequency Trading Will Crash the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: High-frequency trading isn't illegal. But the way it is practiced today, it should be.

That's because high-frequency trading, or HFT, doesn't add to market liquidity, stability or efficiency -- but it could cause a catastrophic market crash.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Did Bernanke Bluff the Markets About QE3? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Graham_Summers

The markets roared from June to September, ever Fed mouthpiece Jon Hilsenrath of the WSJ penned an article calling for more QE in June. Fast-forward to mid-September and the Fed did indeed announce QE3, a plan that will see the Fed monetize $40 billion worth of Mortgage Backed Securities in addition to its plans to Twist $45 billion worth of Treasuries per month: a total monetization scheme of $85 billion.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Stock Market Final Bounce Before Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is making a final bounce from its 50-day moving average at 1429.27 before reversing down toward mid-Cycle support at 1377.06. Intermediate-term resistance is at 1439.44, but it’s a toss-up whether SPX will get that far. The trend is still down, but the panic does not begin until it is below the 50-day moving average again.

Monday, October 15, 2012

The Coming Stock Market Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: According to high-frequency traders and their backers, the super-fast, computer-driven stock trading desks that employ HFT are a benefit to investors and exchanges here in the U.S. and wherever they ply their trades.

But that's not true.

In fact, if you know exactly what high-frequency traders actually do and how they do it, you'll know what the SEC hasn't figured out, namely what caused the May 2010 Flash Crash.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Money Printing is the Only Thing Keeping the System Afloat / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Last Monday GoldMoney published my article showing the frightening growth in money-quantities for the US dollar. In that article I stated that the hyperbolic rate of increase, if the established trend is maintained, is now running at over $300bn monthly, while the Federal Reserve is officially expanding money at only $85bn.

Monday, October 15, 2012

Gold And The Disappearing Yield, Death of Equities? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Traditionally, when economies expanded stocks outperformed bonds; but these aren’t traditional times and although economies have expanded, over the past 30 years bonds have outperformed stocks.

Since 1981 the return on long-term government bonds averaged 11.5 %. The S&P stock index averaged 10.8 %; and, since 2000, the returns of stocks over bonds have widened. A major reason why bonds have done better is that since 1982 government bond yields have been declining; and when bond yields decline, bond profits rise.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

Don't Ignore Financial Tsunami Signs, Conquer the Crash Lessons / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

If you're a passenger aboard a ship in deep water, you can't detect a tsunami; the swells are indistinguishable from regular ocean waves. Wave lengths can be hundreds of miles long, but only when this energy reaches shallow water does the mammoth tsunami wall form -- and can wash over anything in its path.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

Stock Market A Year-End Rally Is Soon Underway! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Darah_Bazargan

The integrity of a particular resistance level at which prices breakout from is only called into question if the subsequent retest lacks the ability to ‘hold’ above the breakout point. Failure to do so would be a sign of trouble that requires more effort among buyers to ‘absorb’ the oversupply of shares at hand. However, the fact that market fluctuations can be irrational at times; there are cases when the breakout level is not necessarily the fulcrum point. Instead prices have room to ‘give’ but still remain above the general stopping area. This can be equally as valid so long as there comes a period of consolidation 'above' where buyers can defend the newly established higher level of support .

Sunday, October 14, 2012

DOW Stock Market Index 2007 Retest Failure – Game Over USA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

The DJIA has confirmed the failure of it 2007 top, confirming that we are indeed in the third wave down after completing Q-2.

In March I projected the ideal Q-2 reaching 13750 by November in Dow Stock Market Index Ready to Form a Major Top

I have spent a lot of time on methods to help confirm pivots quicker and have overcome this issue and now am testing time warping fractal waves. Because I am a simpleton it is a rule based single A4 page! I will shortly be publishing something on that so click follow on my blog to get it hot off the press.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

Stock Market Downtrend May Be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

The bull market that has been full of surprises dropped another one this week. Early in the week the Tech indices, NDX/NAZ, confirmed downtrends. Ending a three month uptrend in those indices. The Cyclical indices, SPX/DOW, continued higher into October with the DOW making a new bull market high. However, they too are weakening now. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were -3.10%. Asian markets lost 1.1%, European markets lost 1.9%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. On the economic front things continue to improve: positive reports out numbered negatives ones 8 to 1. On the downtick: the Trade deficit expanded. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, the PPI, a Budget surplus, and weekly Jobless claims declined. Next week we get a look at Housing, Industrial production and Retail sales.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Stock Market Forecast for the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Manas_Banerji

Market is expecting stimulus from China and looks like in this moment that is the one thing that may take markets in more higher levels, this is considering the fact that never ending Euro-zone debt fever is not going to improve much in coming days. Rise in Chinese export for September was good but in coming week Chinese inflation and 3^rd quarter growth figures are due to come and those may be huge important events for market. On the other hand expectations are still high about Spanish bail-out and corresponding bond buying by ECB, now it will be very interesting to see whether stock markets get any good thing from that episode.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Stock Market Worst Week Since Memorial Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Despite positive pre-market futures, the S&P 500 struggled at the open but rallied around the amazingly strong Consumer Sentiment report. But alas the gains had no staying power. Earnings season continues to weigh heavily, with the popular press pointing to concerns about shrinking profit margins in big financials (e.g., the fine print in in the quarterly reports of Wells Fargo and JP Morgan). The S&P 500 closed the day with a modest 0.30% decline, but the tally for the week was -2.21%, the worst weekly close since the four-day Memorial Day week (which saw a 3.02% plunge).