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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

The Ultimate Source of Profit and Loss on the Market / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe changes in the data whose reiterated emergence prevents the economic system from turning into an evenly rotating economy and produces again and again entrepreneurial profit and loss are favorable to some members of society and unfavorable to others. Hence, people concluded, the gain of one man is the damage of another; no man profits but by the loss of others.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Singapore and Thailand, Two Asian Economies Flying Under Investor Radar / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: You know about China, India, and maybe even Korea, but there are two other Asian economies making waves in the South China Sea.

I'm talking about Singapore and Thailand.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Federal Reserve's Digital Bullets Kept in Reserve to Fight Inflation Hedging Mentality / Economics / Central Banks

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery army keeps troops in reserve. If there is a breakthrough in the defensive line by the enemy army, the commanding general needs reserves to send into the breach to keep his army from being routed. It is too risky not to have reserves.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Real Bank Credit and Real GDP Growth, Michael Boskin’s Summer of Economic History Amnesia / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMonetarism, In a September 2 op-ed commentary in the WSJ ("Summer of Economic Discontent"), Michael Boskin, former chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers under Bush 41, compares the anemic current economic recovery with vibrant ones, such as the recovery that commenced in the first quarter of 1983, when Martin Feldstein was chairman of President Reagan's Council of Economic Advisers. Mr. Boskin intimates that the reason the current economic recovery is so feeble is because of economic policies being pursued by the current presidential administration.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

Real Economic GDP Growth, U.S. vs Germany / Economics / Global Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

As Chart 1 shows, German real GDP growth, at an annualized rate of 9.0%, blew away U.S. growth at a paltry 1.6%. A number of factors might account for the stronger performance of the German in economy in the second quarter vs. the U.S. But one I want to concentrate on is the change in credit provided by private-sector financial institutions. These data are presented in Chart 2. I do not have oranges-to-oranges data to compare, but I do have oranges to tangerines data.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

China’s Developing Economic System / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Global” is part of our company name, and we take it seriously. This week two members of our investment team are in Hong Kong for a CLSA conference, another is just back from China, a fourth will be there later this month and I’ve spent a fair bit of time in Colombia in recent months.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

What Bernanke Doesn’t Understand About Debt Deflation and the Economy, Back to the Future / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week's Outside the Box is an incendiary blog written by Steve Keen on debt deflation and GDP growth. I am not certain as to his math (is he double counting debt and consumer spending?) but he does illustrate very well the problem of a deleveraging recession, which I have been writing about for a long time. This is just a different type of recession we are in. So rather than fret over the absolute certainty of the math, read this for an understanding of the nature of the problems we face. He has the direction right, I think, which is the important part for us to grasp.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

Gold, and the Future Way Through Economic Collapse / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen younger, Alan Greenspan wondered if he could have prevented the Great Depression had he been Fed chairman during the 1920s. Fate, however, was to give Greenspan a far different future than he expected; instead of preventing a depression, he would cause one.

After the scare of the 1970s, central bankers, i.e. Greenspan et. al., focused on containing inflation and came to believe they had successfully done so, not realizing that monetary expansion had instead morphed into asset bubbles, e.g. stocks, property, and bonds, not general price inflation as in the past.

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Economics

Monday, September 06, 2010

The Fed and the Ratchet Effect on Government Size / Economics / Government Spending

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of economic historian Bob Higgs's outstanding contributions is the "ratchet effect." During a crisis, the size and scope of government grow tremendously. After the crisis subsides, government shrinks, but not to the precrisis level. In consequence, leviathan expands over the decades, leaping from one crisis to the next.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Non Farm Payrolls: The Devil Is In the Adjustments / Economics / Employment

By: Jesse

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the US government announced a 'better than expected' headline growth number in its non farm payrolls report for August, a loss of 'only' 54,000 jobs versus a forecasted loss of 120,000 jobs, people had to wonder, 'How do they do it? We do not see any of this growth and recovery in our day to day activity.'

Here's one way that those reporting the numbers can 'tinker' with them to produce the desired results.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

More Economic Stimulus to Fix Unemployment? / Economics / Employment

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a recent WSJ article titled “Romer Calls for More Stimulus” Romer stated that the government has the tools to fix unemployment and that we need more stimulus.

Another article in Yahoo quoted her stating that the government must lower taxes.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

The Economic Insane Asylum / Economics / Economic Theory

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a Nutshell: Our economy is really an insane asylum run by lunatics.

Common Sense: No problem can be fixed before a solution is formed. No solution can be formed until the underlying problems are clearly identified.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

The Great Traffic Jam of China, Transport Crisis and Investment Opportunity / Economics / China Economy

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it is official now - in addition to the Great Wall, the Great Traffic Jam started on Aug. 14--60 miles and ten-day long on an "expressway" into Beijing from Inner Mongolia (see map)--has earned the capital of China the top spot among the cities with the world's worst traffic…, at least according to Foreign Policy.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Population and Productivity Fundemental Drivers for Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet's Look at the Rules
Six Impossible Things
Killing the Goose

This week you will get a kind of preview as this week's letter. I am desperately trying to finish the first draft of my book and am one chapter away from having that draft. I have promised my editor (Debra Englander) that she would see a rough draft next week, and the final version will be delivered on the last day of September. More on that process for those interested at the end of the letter. But this week's letter will be part of what will probably be the 4th or 5th chapter, where we look at the rules of economics.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Stimulus and Full Employment, Averting the Great Depression Again / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn multiple posts Paul Krugman is saying "I told you so". For example, please consider Nobody Could Have Predicted

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