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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

China’s Developing Economic System / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Global” is part of our company name, and we take it seriously. This week two members of our investment team are in Hong Kong for a CLSA conference, another is just back from China, a fourth will be there later this month and I’ve spent a fair bit of time in Colombia in recent months.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

What Bernanke Doesn’t Understand About Debt Deflation and the Economy, Back to the Future / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week's Outside the Box is an incendiary blog written by Steve Keen on debt deflation and GDP growth. I am not certain as to his math (is he double counting debt and consumer spending?) but he does illustrate very well the problem of a deleveraging recession, which I have been writing about for a long time. This is just a different type of recession we are in. So rather than fret over the absolute certainty of the math, read this for an understanding of the nature of the problems we face. He has the direction right, I think, which is the important part for us to grasp.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

Gold, and the Future Way Through Economic Collapse / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen younger, Alan Greenspan wondered if he could have prevented the Great Depression had he been Fed chairman during the 1920s. Fate, however, was to give Greenspan a far different future than he expected; instead of preventing a depression, he would cause one.

After the scare of the 1970s, central bankers, i.e. Greenspan et. al., focused on containing inflation and came to believe they had successfully done so, not realizing that monetary expansion had instead morphed into asset bubbles, e.g. stocks, property, and bonds, not general price inflation as in the past.

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Economics

Monday, September 06, 2010

The Fed and the Ratchet Effect on Government Size / Economics / Government Spending

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of economic historian Bob Higgs's outstanding contributions is the "ratchet effect." During a crisis, the size and scope of government grow tremendously. After the crisis subsides, government shrinks, but not to the precrisis level. In consequence, leviathan expands over the decades, leaping from one crisis to the next.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Non Farm Payrolls: The Devil Is In the Adjustments / Economics / Employment

By: Jesse

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the US government announced a 'better than expected' headline growth number in its non farm payrolls report for August, a loss of 'only' 54,000 jobs versus a forecasted loss of 120,000 jobs, people had to wonder, 'How do they do it? We do not see any of this growth and recovery in our day to day activity.'

Here's one way that those reporting the numbers can 'tinker' with them to produce the desired results.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

More Economic Stimulus to Fix Unemployment? / Economics / Employment

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a recent WSJ article titled “Romer Calls for More Stimulus” Romer stated that the government has the tools to fix unemployment and that we need more stimulus.

Another article in Yahoo quoted her stating that the government must lower taxes.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

The Economic Insane Asylum / Economics / Economic Theory

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a Nutshell: Our economy is really an insane asylum run by lunatics.

Common Sense: No problem can be fixed before a solution is formed. No solution can be formed until the underlying problems are clearly identified.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

The Great Traffic Jam of China, Transport Crisis and Investment Opportunity / Economics / China Economy

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it is official now - in addition to the Great Wall, the Great Traffic Jam started on Aug. 14--60 miles and ten-day long on an "expressway" into Beijing from Inner Mongolia (see map)--has earned the capital of China the top spot among the cities with the world's worst traffic…, at least according to Foreign Policy.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Population and Productivity Fundemental Drivers for Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet's Look at the Rules
Six Impossible Things
Killing the Goose

This week you will get a kind of preview as this week's letter. I am desperately trying to finish the first draft of my book and am one chapter away from having that draft. I have promised my editor (Debra Englander) that she would see a rough draft next week, and the final version will be delivered on the last day of September. More on that process for those interested at the end of the letter. But this week's letter will be part of what will probably be the 4th or 5th chapter, where we look at the rules of economics.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Stimulus and Full Employment, Averting the Great Depression Again / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn multiple posts Paul Krugman is saying "I told you so". For example, please consider Nobody Could Have Predicted

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Economics

Saturday, September 04, 2010

Economic Suicide as Economies and the Middle Class are Taxed to Death / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs our socialist progressive leaders in the developed world murder wealth creation, the middle class and our economies under the guise of saving them.  Capitalism is now dead in the lands of its birth because there are NO REWARDS for saving, investing, starting a business, hiring an employee, taking a risk or working your ass off to get ahead. 

The rewards for doing so now go to GOVERNMENT, public serpents and their supporters to redistribute to themselves and to the desperate, useful idiots who support them (because they do not have the education required to know not to).  As the something-for-nothings in society turn to government to save them more torture lays ahead.

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Economics

Saturday, September 04, 2010

U.S. Government Policy Caused America's Unemployment Crisis / Economics / US Economy

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe unemployment rate has risen again for the the first time in 4 months. I predicted a growing, long-term unemployment problem last year.

Indeed, even after the government plays with the numbers to make them look better (using inaccurate birth-death models and other tricks-of-the-trade), this is how the current jobs downturn compares with other post-WWII recessions:

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Weighing In On the Week’s Economic Reports! / Economics / US Economy

By: Sy_Harding

The stock market this week is saying I was wrong in warning in last week’s column that we might already be back in recession in this, the third quarter of the year.

I have to agree that the alarming trend of worsening economic reports since May seemed to turn a bit more mixed with this week’s reports.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

U.S. Unemployment Rises to 9.6%, A Look Beneath the Surface / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning the BLS reported a decrease of 64,000 jobs. However, that reflects a decrease of 114,000 temporary census workers.

Excluding the census effect, government lost 7,000 jobs. Were the trend to continue, this would be a good thing because Firing Public Union Workers Creates Real Jobs.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Bad Monetary Policy Is Redundant / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge F. Smith writes: A great thinker once wrote that "all things useful are of such a nature that where there is too much of them they must either do harm, or at any rate be of no use, to their possessors."[1]

Having experienced the harmful results of a paper currency manufactured at will, early US statesmen tried to forbid it from ever happening again. Article I, Section 10 of the Constitution specified that no state shall "make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a Tender in Payment of Debts," while the

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